It was found that during the 1998-2002 cool seasons (October through May) for depth/duration parameters of 4 or more, there was flash flooding during more than 60 % of the events (5 of 8 events). With freezing levels of 6000 feet (about 1800 m) or less at least 12 inches (about 305 mm) of mountain snow fell. For depth/duration parameter values of 2 or more and peak 850 mb winds of 35 knots (about 18 ms-1) or more, there was flash flooding during more than 60 % of the events (2 of 3 events), and either flash flooding or urban and small stream flooding 100 % of the time (3 of 3 events).
The moisture depth/duration parameter and peak storm 850 mb wind speed parameter combine to form a moisture depth/duration/flux flash flood potential index (FLINDEX) for forecasting flash floods and heavy snow. For FLINDEX values of 45 or more with depth/duration parameters of 2 or more there was flash flooding nearly 60 % of the time (5 of 9 events), with a foot or more of mountain snow over 60 % of the time (6 of 9 events). The data suggests that these parameters and FLINDEX can be used as a first guess for predicting flooding or snowfall, and will be discussed.
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