Session 5A Attribution in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability

Saturday, 29 July 2017: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Constellation E (Hyatt Regency Baltimore)
Host: 30th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, 24th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 16th Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair:
Nathaniel C. Johnson, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD

TBD

Papers:
10:30 AM
5A.1
An 'Observational Large Ensemble' to Compare Observed and Modeled Temperature Trend Uncertainty due to Internal Variability
Karen A. McKinnon, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Poppick, E. Dunn-Sigouin, and C. Deser
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
5A.2
A Computationally Efficient Approach to Generate Large Ensembles of Climate Data with Coherent Spatial and Temporal Variability
Cary Lynch, PNNL, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
5A.3
A Flexible Decomposition of Climate Variability into Regional Components and Teleconnections: Insights from a Large Initial Condition Ensemble
Vineel Yettella, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Weiss, J. Kay, and A. G. Pendergrass
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
5A.4
Variability and Confidence Intervals for the Mean of Climate Data with Short- and Long-Range Dependence
Matthew C. Bowers, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
5A.5
Observed Warming in Dry Seasons over Northern South America has an Anthropogenic Origin
Armineh Barkhordarian, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. von Storch and C. R. Mechoso
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
5A.6
Space-Only Fingerprinting
Timothy DelSole, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and X. Yan
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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