15th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
13th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
17th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

JP1.9

Is the North Atlantic Oscillation a breaking wave?

Christian Franzke, New York Univ., New York, NY; and S. Lee and S. B. Feldstein

Given the recent observational evidence that the positive (negative) phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the remnant of anticyclonic (cyclonic) wave breaking, this study uses a multi-level primitive equation model to investigate important dynamical attributes to the above wave breaking behaviour. For this purpose, a hierarchy of different basic states (two- and three-dimensional) and initial perturbations are used.

With the three-dimensional climatological flow as the basic state, it is found that initial perturbations located equatorward (poleward) and upstream of the climatological Atlantic jet lead to wave breaking similar to that of the positive (negative) NAO phase. Consistently, analysis of observational data indeed shows that the Pacific storm track is displaced equatorward (poleward) prior the onset of the positive (negative) NAO phase. This result suggests that the latitudinal position of the Pacific storm track plays an important role for determining the phase of the NAO. Sensitivity experiments show that individual lifecycles resemble each other only within the NAO region, but have large case-to-case variability outside of the NAO region.

Calculations with zonally symmetric basic states fail to produce wave breaking of the correct spatial and temporal scale, underscoring the dynamical significance of the three-dimensional climatological flow.

Joint Poster Session 1, DYNAMICS AND CHANGES OF CLIMATE MODES, INCLUDING ANNULAR MODES (JOINT WITH MIDDLE ATMOSPHERE, FLUID DYNAMICS AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS)-POSTER
Monday, 13 June 2005, 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Riverside

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