Joint Session 3
	Climate forecasting (Joint between 15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences and 12th Conference on Applied Climatology)
	Organizer: W. Matt Briggs, Doubleclick, New York, NY
	8:40 AM	J3.1	Is Monsoon Predictability through Statistical Methods decreasing?   R. H. Kripalani, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and A. Kulkarni
	9:00 AM	J3.2	Statistical Associations Between African Rainfall and ENSO-Monsoon Circulations   Mark R. Jury, University of Zululand, KwaDlangezwa, South Africa
		J3.3	A Seasonal Climate Forecast Methodology for ITCZ-Associated Rainfall in Eastern Africa   Ron Lowther, Air Force Combat Climatology Center, Asheville, NC; and J. F. Griffiths
	9:19 AM	J3.4	Seasonal Forecasting of UK Winter Storminess   Steve E. George, University College London, Holmbury St. Mary, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders
	9:39 AM	J3.5	Application of Markov Chain Model to Long-Range Temperature Prediction   Stephen F. Mueller, Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, AL; and Q. Mao
	9:59 AM		Coffee Break
	10:39 AM	J3.6	Comparative assessment of predictability over mid-latitudinal and tropical climate using statistical models: Example over North Carolina and Indonesia   Orbita Roswintiarti, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. S. Niyogi and S. Raman
	10:59 AM	J3.7	Altered data distributions conditioned on seasonal climate forecasts   Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV
	11:19 AM	J3.8	A methodology for adjusting error estimates during disaggregation of seasonal forecasts   Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA-ARS, El Reno, OK
	11:39 AM	J3.9	Disaggregation of the CPC seasonal outlooks   Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

Thursday, 11 May 2000: 8:40 AM-11:59 AM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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