Monday, 12 August 2002: 10:30 AM
The role of low-level vertical wind shear in promoting long-lived, severe wind-producing convective systems
Rotunno et al. (JAS, 1988) and Weisman et al. (JAS, 1988) put forth a
theory, based on the analysis of idealized two- and three-dimensional
simulations, that squall line strength and longevity was most sensitive
to the strength of the component of low-level(0-3 km AGL) vertical wind
shear perpendicular to squall line orientation. An ``optimal'' state was
proposed, based on the relative strength of the circulation associated
with the storm-generated cold pool and the circulation associated with
the ambient shear, whereby the deepest leading edge lifting and most
effective convective retriggering occured when these circulations were
in near balance. This work was expanded by Weisman (1993) to consider
three-dimensional bow-shaped segments within such lines, which are
associated with the production of severe surface winds, and found that
such structures were also especially preferred in environments with
strong, low-level vertical wind shear. More recent studies (e.g.,
Coniglio and Stensrud, 2001; Evans and Doswell 2001), however, have
brought into question the results and interpretations of these previous
studies, noting the existence of long-lived, severe wind producing
convective systems for weaker low-level shears than suggested by the
numerical simulations, and raising the question as to the potential role of
deeper-layer shears in promoting system strength and longevity in such
situations. In the present paper, I will revisit the role of shear in
promoting squall line and bow echo strength and longevity, and the
interpretations thereof, through an analysis of an extensive set of 3D
simulations that consider a wider range of shears and finer grid
resolutions than used in the earlier numerical studies. These results
reestablish the primary role of the low-level shear in promoting system
strength and longevity, but also clarify that a wider range of
environments than strickly ``optimal'' support the development of
long-lived, severe convective systems in the simulations, as is also
evident from observations.
Supplementary URL: