21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
    

Session 11A

 Ensembles I
 CoChair: William Bua, UCAR/COMET
Chair: Maria A. Perone, AER, Lexington, MA
8:00 AM11A.1The North American Ensemble Forecast System  
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. Lefaivre, G. Brunet, Y. Zhu, B. Cui, P. L. Houtekamer, L. J. Wilson, R. Verret, R. Hogue, R. Wobus, D. Unger, E. Olenic, B. A. Gordon, and G. Pellerin
8:15 AM11A.2Recent Upgrades to the NCEP Short Range Ensemble Forecasting System (SREF) and Future Plans  extended abstract wrf recording
Jeffery T. McQueen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, B. Zhou, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, H. Y. Chuang, G. DiMego, and Z. Toth
8:30 AM11A.3An Evaluation of Short-Term MOS and Short-Term Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and R. Holmes and J. Villani
8:45 AM11A.4Evaluation of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecast system over the Northeast United States  extended abstract wrf recording
Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Jones and J. S. Tongue
9:00 AM11A.5COAMPSŪ ocean ensemble forecast  
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Bishop
9:15 AM11A.6An Evaluation of Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts from the Medium Range Ensemble Forecast System  extended abstract wrf recording
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and J. Villani and R. Hart
9:30 AM11A.7Wind Energy Forecasting Using Time Lagged Ensembles  
Kevin J. Brundage, NOAA/FSL, Boulder and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. Schwartz, S. G. Benjamin, and M. Schwartz
9:45 AM11A.8An ensemble strategy for road weather applications  extended abstract wrf recording
Paul Schultz, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO

Thursday, 4 August 2005: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Ambassador Ballroom

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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