Session 11 Forecast Verification Methods and Performance: Model Evaluation Techniques

Wednesday, 19 July 2023: 2:00 PM-3:30 PM
Madison Ballroom B (Monona Terrace)
Host: 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Geoffrey Manikin and Jason J. Levit

Papers:
2:00 PM
11.1
Application of Multi-Dimensional Stratification in Forecast Verification
Michael E. Baldwin, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK

Handout (3.1 MB)

2:15 PM
11.2
Recent Advances in the METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capability Across Multiple Scales and Applications
Tara L. Jensen, National Center for Atmospheric Research and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and J. Halley Gotway, J. Opatz, C. P. Kalb, J. L. Vigh, D. R. Adriaansen, M. K. Biswas, K. M. Newman, M. A. Harrold, and T. J. Hertneky

2:30 PM
11.3
Convergence of Sampling Uncertainty in Forecast Models: When Do We Have Enough Ensemble Members?
Kirsten Tempest, Ludwig Maximilian Univ., Munich, BY, Germany; and G. C. Craig, M. Puh, C. Keil, and J. R. Brehmer

2:45 PM
11.4
Validating HRRR Simulated Cloud Properties for Different Weather Phenomena Using Satellite and Radar Observations
Sarah Griffin, UW-CIMSS, Madison, WI

3:00 PM
11.5
Assessing the Meteorological Skill of the Navy Weather Model (COAMPS)
Rachel Erin Kennedy, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter

3:15 PM
11.6
An Analysis on the Sources of Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GEFS Ensembles
Kevin Prince, National Research Council, Washington, DC, MD; and W. Komaromi, J. Moskaitis, and J. D. Doyle

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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