11th Symposium on Global Change Studies
    

Session 12

 Advancing Our Understanding of Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability: Part 3 (Parallel with Sessions 11, 13, JP3, JP4, J5, and J6)
 Organizer: Alan Basist, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:00 AM12.1Evaluating the performance of short-term climate forecasts  
Jeffrey A. Shorter, TASC, Inc., Reading, MA; and M. J. Gibbas, R. J. Boucher, J. D. Goldstein, and R. F. Brammer
8:15 AM12.2Interdecadal Changes in the Structure and Frequency of ENSO Mode  
Soon-Il An, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang and F. F. Jin
12.3Factors controlling decadal variations in ENSO-teleconnections and seasonal climate predictions  
Martin P. Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Kumar
8:30 AM12.4Teleconnections and local response to tropical SST anomalies  
Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin, C. Chou, and N. Zeng
8:45 AM12.5Forecast of tropical Pacific SST and Sea Level using Markov models  
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
9:00 AM12.6Understanding the annual cycle of equatorial Pacific as a result of ocean-atmosphere-land interactions  
Xiouhua Fu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang
9:15 AM12.7An assessment of the association between the Arctic Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere temperature  
Anthony J. Broccoli, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth and N. C. Lau
9:30 AM12.8Anomaly Forcing in an Ensemble Regional Climate Model Simulation  
Jan F. Dutton, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and E. J. Barron
9:45 AMCoffee Break  
10:15 AM12.9Assessment of the Utility of the Regional Climate Simulations in the Prediction of Drought  
Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and G. S. Jenkins and R. Bindlish
10:30 AM12.10Regional climate simulation of the anomalous U.S. Climate events with a variable resolution stretched grid GCM  
Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Takacs and M. J. Suarez
12.11Examining interannual variability in West Africa from the NCEP reanalyses and the CCM3 for the period of 1979-1993  
Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. C. Mikovitz
12.12Climate variability and change, scale-interactions and precipitation processes in West Africa. Limitations and challenges of modeling efforts  
Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and A. Gabra
12.13Simulation of a squall line associated with an african easterly wave: sensitivity to the parameterization of convection  
M. Diop, Direction de la Meteorologie Nationale, Dakar-Yoff, Senegal; and J. F. Gueremy and J. P. Ceron
10:45 AM12.14Non-modal growth in ENSO and its interdecadal change  
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
11:00 AMLunch Break  
12:30 PM12.15The SST Anomalies Dipole in the Extratropical Pacific and Its Relationships with the ENSO Cycle  
Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. T. Liu and C. R. Mechoso
12:45 PM12.16Ocean-atmosphere-land feedbacks in an idealized monsoon  
Chia Chou, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin, H. Su, and N. Zeng
1:00 PM12.17Effects of a stochastic convective parameterization on tropical intraseasonal variability  
Johnny Wei-Bing Lin, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin
1:15 PM12.18A study of initializations for ENSO forecast models  
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Leetmaa and M. Cane
1:30 PM12.19Interannual variations in satellite observed top-of-atmosphere longwave clear-sky radiation and consistency with diagnostics from global climate models  
Franklin R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. D. Braswell and D. Fitzjarrald

Thursday, 13 January 2000: 8:00 AM-1:45 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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