Thursday, 13 January 2000: 12:00 PM
Using a coupled atmosphere-land-vegetation model of intermediate complexity,
we explore how vegetation-climate interaction and internal climate variability
might influence the vegetation distribution in Africa. When the model is
forced by observed
climatological sea surface temperature (SST), multiple equilibrium
states are found in the climatically sensitive zones, namely,
the Sahel and southern Africa. Depending on the initial condition,
these regions can settle on
either a forest-like or a desert-like vegetation cover.
When forced by interannually varying SST that corresponds to observed
wet and dry years in the Sahel, these stable equilibria are driven
toward an intermediate grass-like vegetation due to
the nonlinearity in the coupled system.
These results point to a three-way interaction involving feedbacks by
vegetation, the mean climate, and interannual or longer time scale variability
arising from other slow components of the climate system, such as the ocean.
Both vegetation and interannual variability thus play an active role in shaping the subtropical Savanna.
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner