Program: 15th Conference on Hydrology (80th AMS Annual Meeting)

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Conference Registration Continues through Friday, 14 January

Session 1

Data, Modeling and Analysis in Hydrometeorology

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizers: Kenneth E. Mitchell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ.

9:00 AM

1.2

Problems with land surface parameterization schemes in their representation of the lower boundary condition of water fluxes

Dag Lohmann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

9:15 AM

1.3

Short-Term Retrospective Land Data Assimilation Schemes

Paul. R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. A. Cosgrove, J. K. Entin, D. P. Lettenmaier, G. M. O'Donnell, K. E. Mitchell, C. Marshall, D. Lohmann, J. C. Schaake, Q. Duan, E. F. Wood, and F. Habets

9:30 AM

1.4

LDAS Retrospective Analyses: A hydrological perspective

G. M. O'Donnell, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and E. F. Wood

9:45 AM

1.5

Using the Soil Hydrology Model to initialize soil moisture profiles for numerical prediction models

Todd M. Crawford, NOAA/ERL/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and T. N. Carlson

10:00 AM

1.6

Soil Moisture Observations for LDAS Evaluation

Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and L. Luo and K. Vinnikov

10:15 AM

1.7

Precipitation recycling in the NASA GEOS Data Assimilation System

Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Schubert, A. Molod, and L. L. Takacs

1.8

Regional Climate Model simulations over the Central United States

10:45 AM

1.9

Satellite Retrieval Algorithm for Atmospheric Water Budget Over Gulf of Mexico-Caribbean Sea Basin

Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Jacksonville, FL; and E. A. Smith

11:00 AM

1.10

Snow-climate interaction in NCAR CCM3

Zong-Liang Yang, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Y. Niu

11:15 AM

1.11

Influence functions analysis of climate model errors during El Nino episodes

Alice M. Grimm, Federal Univ. of Parana, Curitiba, Brazil and International Research Institution for Climate Prediction, Paliusades, NY; and C. F. Ropelewski and A. D. Moura

11:30 AM

1.12

Time-Space variability of remote sensing and model predictions of skin temperature

Joshua Rhoads, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Dubayah, G. M. O'Donnell, and D. P. Lettenmaier

11:45 AM

1.13

Variational Method for Assimilating GOES-Retrieved LSTs into SVATS Model for Soil Moisture Initialization

David A. Faysash, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. A. Smith

12:00 PM

1.14

Simulations of precipitation over the upper Rio Grande Basin

Keeley R. Costigan, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. E. Bossert and D. L. Langley

12:15 PM

1.15

Validation of long-term precipitation and evolved soil moisture and temperature fields in MAPS

Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, J. M. Brown, B. Schwartz, and D. Kim

12:30 PM

1.16

The proper role of automatic methods in parameter estimation

Douglas P. Boyle, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. Terri, H. V. Gupta, S. Sorooshian, and M. B. Smith

12:45 PM

1.17

Improvements in Landuse Specification in MM5/PLACE

David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Crawford, F. Mora, and J. W. Merchant

1:00 PM

1.18

Impact of SGP97 remotely-sensed soil moisture data on coupled land-surface/atmosphere model (MM5-SHEELS) simulations

Wenje Hwu, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and J. S. Famiglietti, W. L. Crosson, and W. M. Lapenta

1:15 PM

1.19

Impact of improved snow canopy and frozen soils on mesoscale simulations of the wintertime boundary layer

Stephane Belair, AES, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and J. Mailhot and N. Brunet

1:30 PM

1.20

ENSO Impacts over Northeastern Argentina

Norberto O. García, Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina; and M. D. V. Venencio

1:45 PM

1.21

Enhancing the Simplified Biosphere Model (SSIB) to Estimate Carbon Fluxes of Terrestrial Ecosystems for Regional Climate Studies

Xiwu Zhan, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Xue and G. J. Collatz

2:00 PM

1.22

Using Data Assimilation of TRMM Passive Microwave Observations to Improve Land Surface Modeling

Jared K. Entin, Raytheon ITSS and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser, B. A. Cosgrove, B. Choudhury, and J. Wang

2:15 PM

1.23

Implementing and testing of a new snow scheme SAST in Simplified Simple Biosphere Model (SSiB)

Yongkang Xue, Uniersity of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Sun and Y. Jiao

2:30 PM

1.24

The distribution of wintertime precipitation over the midwest during the 1997-98 El Nino and 1998-99 La Nina

Dayton G. Vincent, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and J. Adolphson, S. Lashley, J. Giovinnettone, and A. Lese

2:45 PM

1.4A

Coffee Break

3:15 PM

1.10A

Lunch Break

4:45 PM

1.16A

Coffee Break

5:15 PM

1.24a

Sessions end for the day

Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Fujita Banquet

Session 2

Data, Modeling and Analysis in Hydrometeorology Part II

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizer: Christa Peters-Lidard, Georgia Tech

8:00 AM

2.1

Atmospheric flux computations in complex terrain

Paul L. Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and F. J. Kopp and H. D. Orville

8:15 AM

2.2

A multi-scale data set based on CASES-97 for studying land-surface heterogeneity and for validating land-surface models

Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Yates, M. LeMone, H. Nagai, S. Onkley, and R. Grossman

8:30 AM

2.3

Use of cumulus parameterization and explicit microphysics for climate studies over the Rio Grande basin

James R. Stalker, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. E. Bossert, K. R. Costigan, J. M. Reisner, and D. L. Langley

8:45 AM

2.4

Observed and Modeled Properties of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer During SGP97

Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and L. H. Davis, J. N. McHenry, and F. Pan

9:00 AM

2.5

Project to Intercompare Regional Climate Simulations (PIRCS): Simulation of the 1993 flood over the central U.S

Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. J. Gutowski Jr., E. S. Takle, Z. Pan, C. J. Anderson, and PIRCS Investigators

9:15 AM

2.6

Influence of surface characteristics on the development of cumulus cloud fields

U. S. Nair, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. M. Welch, R. O. Lawton, and R. A. Pielke Sr.

9:30 AM

2.7

A climatology and analysis of evaporative sources of rainfall over the Mississippi Basin

Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and K. L. Brubaker, A. Sudradjat, F. Bernal, and B. Levy

9:45 AM

2.8

Retrospective analysis of water budget for the Mississippi River basin

John C. Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Q. Duan and S. Cong

10:00 AM

2.9

Total water storage range of the Mississippi River basin

Qingyun Duan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. C. Schaake, V. I. Koren, and S. Cong

10:15 AM

2.10

Variational data assimilation of soil moisture from remote sensing observations

Rolf H. Reichle, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. McLaughlin and D. Entekhabi

10:30 AM

2.11

Influence of Temporal Variability of Rainfall on Interception Loss

Ning Zeng, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. W. Shuttleworth and J. H. C. Gash

10:45 AM

2.12

Resonance and Low-Dimensional Modeling of the Low-Level Jet

William J. Martin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Shapiro

11:00 AM

2.13

Atmospheric water vapor fluxes and budgets during wet and dry episodes over the central United States

Evgeney S. Yarosh, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and C. F. Ropelewski

11:15 AM

2.14

Modeling Issues of Snow and Land-Ice in a General Circulation Model

C. Adam Schlosser, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer and L. Marx

11:30 AM

2.15

Systematic and random radar rainfall error and its impact on rainfall-runoff prediction accuracy

Tufa Dinku, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and E. N. Anagnostou and M. Borga

11:45 AM

2.16

Use of Soil Property Data in the Derivation of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Model Parameters

Victor I. Koren, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. B. Smith, D. Wang, and Z. Zhang

12:00 PM

2.17

Statistical Comparison of Mean Areal Precipitation Estimates from WSR-88D, Operational and Historical Gage Networks

Dahong Wang, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. B. Smith, Z. Zhang, S. Reed, and V. I. Koren

12:15 PM

2.18

The Spatial and Temporal Variability of Soil Moisture Conditions at the Norman Mesonet Site: Comparison with Near-surface Atmospheric Conditions

Jeffrey B. Basara, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. S. Humes and K. C. Crawford

12:30 PM

2.19

Streamflow Forecasting on Basins with Limited Hydrologic Data

Michael Thiemann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. V. Gupta, S. Sorooshian, and M. W. Trosset

12:45 PM

2.20

Investigating Forecasts of Streamflow Utilizing Radar Data

Keith M. Stellman, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL and NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA; and H. Fuelberg, R. Garza, and M. Mullusky

1:00 PM

2.21

Use of the NWSRFS OPT3 for Calibration of the SAC-SMA Model

Terri S. Hogue, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. Sorooshian, H. V. Gupta, A. Holz, and D. T. Braatz

1:15 PM

2.9A

Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 a.m.-2:15 p.m.)

1:30 PM

2.14A

Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:30-7:30 p.m.)

2:00 PM

2.9b

WALTER ORR ROBERTS LECTURE IN INTERDISCIPLINARY SCIENCE (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Emerging Environmental Issues: A Global Perspective Speaker: R. E. (Ted) Munn, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

2:45 PM

2.9c

WMO PRESENTATION (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Meteorology and the Environment-The WMO Perspective Speaker: John W. Zillman, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

3:30 PM

2.9d

Conference Luncheon Speaker: D. James Baker, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, Administrator for NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

Poster Session 1

Data, Modeling and Analysis in Hydrometeorology

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizer: James Smith, Princeton Univ.

P1.1

Interannual and Interdecadic Climatic Variability in Rio Iguazu basin

Eleonora M. C. Demaria, Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina; and N. O. García

P1.2

Evaluation of Advantages of the Continuous SAC-SMA Model over an Event API Model

Michael B. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and V. I. Koren, E. Welles, D. Wang, and Z. Zhang

P1.3

Improved river forecasting techniques: a one-dimensional unsteady flow model for the Red River of the North

Steven D. Buan, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and W. Pearson and J. C. Husaby

P1.4

About the relations between ENSO and rainfalls in the Southeast of South America

Norberto O. García, Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina; and M. A. Ghietto and M. L. Silber

P1.5

Anthropic Impacts over Hydrology of the "Río de la Plata" Basin

Norberto O. García, Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina

P1.6

About the Impacts of the ENSO over the Unconfined Aquifer in the "Pampa Humeda"(Argentina)

María del Valle Venencio, Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina; and N. O. García

P1.7

Pearson Type III Data Models for Precipitation Data: New Maximum Likelihood Approach

Richard L. Lehman, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Silver Spring, MD

P1.8

Criteria to select basins for hydrologic model development and testing

John C. Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Q. Duan, M. B. Smith, and V. I. Koren

P1.9

Comparison of WSR-88D derived rainfall estimates with gauge data in Lexington county, South Carolina

P1.10

Scale-invariance in space-time rainfall: Extension to climate scales

V. Venugopal, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer

P1.11

Artificial neural network hydrologic model for urban watersheds

Cláudia Cristina Santos, INPE, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil; and A. J. Pereira Filho

P1.12

Evapotranspiration rates at the Morgan Monroe State Forest AmeriFlux Site: A comparison of results from eddy covariance turbulent flux measurements and sap flow techniques

C. S. B. Grimmond, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and P. J. Hanson, H. P. Schmid, S. D. Wullschleger, and F. Cropley

P1.13

Analysis of the October 1998 Flood event along the Lower Guadalupe River

Andrew R. Patrick, NOAA/NWS, Corpus Christi, TX; and J. Arellano Jr., T. Huber, and J. Metz

P1.14

Comparing various methods for the regionalization of model parameters in the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting Model and Snow Accumulation and Ablation Model

Andrea Holz, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and B. Connelly, D. T. Braatz, T. S. Hogue, and D. P. Boyle

P1.15

Study of the Continuous Parametric Fields Theory applyed to variables without agregation

Daniel A. Rodriguez, Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina; and M. L. Silber

P1.16

Signals of tropical processes as seen in Southern California precipitation

P1.17

QPF verification at the model grid versus at the stations

Ligia R. Bernardet, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO

P1.18

Studies with the Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme 10-layer soil model

Jean C. Morrill, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and R. E. Dickinson

P1.19

The CAPE climatology for continental United States: Sensitivity to perturbations in temperature and dewpoint

U. S. Nair, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. M. Welch and D. Berendes

P1.20

Evolution of warm-season heavy rain systems over the Great Plains during late-morning hours

Carl E. Hane, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. L. Andra, S. M. Hunter, R. M. Rabin, F. H. Carr, and J. C. Derby

P1.21

A new gas - exchange/assimilation surface evapotranspiration model (GEM) for mesoscale applications

Devdutta S. Niyogi, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Raman and K. Alapaty

P1.22

Recent GCIP-sponsored advancements in coupled land-surface modeling and data assimilation in the NCEP Eta mesoscale model

Kenneth E. Mitchell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Lin, E. Rogers, C. Marshall, M. Ek, D. Lohmann, J. C. Schaake, D. Tarpley, P. Grunmann, G. Manikin, Q. Duan, and V. I. Koren

P1.23

The Use of Indirect Estimates of Soil Moisture to Initialize Coupled Models and its Impact on Land Surface/Atmosphere Interactions

William M. Lapenta, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. L. Crosson and S. Dembek

P1.24

The Influence of Watershed-scale Dynamic Soil Moisture on Local PBL Evolution and Structure: Modeled versus Observed

Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. N. McHenry

P1.25

Diagnosing Water Recycling/Water Exchange over Florida Peninsula with Coupled Mesoscale-SVATS Model

Harry J. Cooper, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. A. Smith

P1.26

Improvements in Wintertime GOES SRB Retrievals for Hydrometeorological Modeling of Large Scale BOREAS Domain

Jiujing Gu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. A. Smith

P1.27

Does a climate model reproduce consistent ENSO precipitation signals in southern South America?

Alice M. Grimm, Federal University of Parana, Curitiba, Brazil and International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and C. F. Ropelewski and S. Mason

P1.28

The response of streamflow to climate change over the conterminous U.S.: preliminary analyses using VEMAP Phase 2 model experiments

P1.29

An estimation method for regional sensible heat flux on vegetation using satellite infrared temperature

Dai Matsushima, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan; and J. Kondo

P1.30

The Evaluation of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts at WFO Reno, NV

Steven D. Goldstein, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV

1

Oral sessions end for the day

Joint Session 1

Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: Invited Session (Joint with the 15th Conference on Hydrology and 11th Symposium on Global Change Studies)

Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Conference on Hydrology; and the 11th Symposium on Global Change Studies )

Organizer: Yongkang Xue, University of Maryland

8:00 AM

J1.1

Soil Dust Modeling-Feedbacks of Dust and Climate

Ina Tegen, Columbia Univ. and NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and R. Miller and J. Perlwitz

8:15 AM

J1.2

Incorporating vegetation as a dynamic element in the Hadley Centre GCM

Peter M. Cox, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom

8:45 AM

J1.3

The roles of subgrid topography on land-atmosphere interactions

L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. S. Wigmosta

9:00 AM

J1.4

Investigating the Effect of Seasonal Crop Growth on the Climate of NCAR Regional Climate Model

Elena Tsvetsinskaya, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. O. Mearns and W. E. Easterling

J1.5

The importance of land surface processes for predicting climate change in the Asian monsoon area

9:15 AM

J1.6

A mechanism for the low-frequency variability of the Sahel rainfall

Guiling Wang, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. A. B. Eltahir

9:30 AM

J1.7

Role of natural vegetation dynamics in the Sahel drought

Guiling Wang, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. A. B. Eltahir

9:45 AM

J1.8

Modelling the impact of land surface degradation on the climate of tropical North Africa

Douglas B. Clark, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom; and Y. Xue

10:00 AM

J1.9

The effect of land surface processes on the 1991 Flood Over Yangtze-Huai River Valley as Simulated From Sunya Regional Climate Model

Wei Gong, SUNY, Albany, NY; and W. C. Wang and Y. Xue

10:15 AM

J1.10

Preliminary Results of the AMIP II Diagnostic Subproject 12: Implications for Modeling Coupled Atmosphere/Land Interactions

Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA

10:45 AM

J1.11

Climate Sensitivity to Land Surface Processes: An Evaluation of Three Land Surface Schemes Coupled to a Single GCM

Andrea N. Hahmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

11:15 AM

J1.12

Land-atmosphere Interactions: Successes, Problems and Prospects

Y. C. Sud, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. M. Mocko

11:45 AM

J1.13

Simulations with the coupled Eta/SSiB Model over South America

Sin Chan Chou, INPE/CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and C. A. S. Tanajura, Y. K. Xue, and C. A. Nobre

12:00 PM

J1.14

Simulation of land-ocean influences on the Indian monsoon in simulations of present-day climate and at doubled carbon dioxide concentrations

Lydia Dumenil Gates, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany

12:15 PM

J1.15

Impacts of deforestation and afforestation in the Mediterranean region as simulated by the MPI model

Lydia Dumenil Gates, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and S. Liess

12:30 PM

J1.16

Diurnal cycle the coupled Eta/SSiB Model for El Nino and La Nina conditions over South America

Clemente A. S. Tanajura, Laboratorio Nacional de Computacao Cientifica, Petropolis, RJ, Brazil; and S. C. Chou, Y. K. Xue, and C. A. Nobre

12:45 PM

J1.17

Climate drift in the coupled land-atmosphere system

Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD

1:00 PM

J1.18

Timescales of soil moisture anomalies: results from two GCMs

Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. C. D. Milly, C. A. Schlosser, and M. J. Suarez

1:30 PM

J1.19

Impacts of Surface Processes over Land and Ocean on Summer Precipitation and Subtropical High

Guoxiong Wu, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Liu, H. Liu, P. Liu, and W. Li

1:45 PM

J1.20

Vegetation-climate interaction and Sahel climate variability

Ning Zeng, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and W. K. M. Lau

2:00 PM

J1.21

Sensitivity of GCM simulations to land surface processes

Yongkang Xue, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. H. Juang, S. Y. Hong, M. Kanamitsu, and Y. Sud

2:15 PM

J1.5A

GLOBAL CLIMATE EFFECTS OF HEATING ANOMALIES RESULTING FROM TROPICAL LANDCOVER CHANGE

Thomas N. Chase, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Pielke Sr., M. Zhao, A. J. Pitman, T. G. F. Kittel, R. R. Nemani, and S. W. Running

2:30 PM

J1.7a

Coffee Break

3:00 PM

J1.11a

Lunch Break

4:30 PM

J1.16a

Coffee Break

Session 3

Heavy Precipitation and Flash Flooding (Parallel with Joint Session J1)

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizers: Richard A. Fulton, NOAA/NWS; Roderick Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS

8:30 AM

3.1

Satellite based estimates of rain in hurricane Mitch

Arnold Gruber, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Ferraro, G. Vicente, M. Ba, R. A. Scofield, Q. Li, and R. Weldon

8:45 AM

3.2

Using a high-resolution mesoscale coupled model to simulate the 1996 Buffalo Creek flash-flood event

Fei Chen, NCAR, Boudler, CO; and T. T. Warner, K. Manning, and D. Yates

9:00 AM

3.3

Potential vorticity patterns and their relationship to heavy precipitation in Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs)

Fernando Caracena, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. Marroquin and E. I. Tollerud

9:15 AM

3.4

Heavy precipitation associated with landfalling tropical storms

Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and E. H. Atallah

9:30 AM

3.5

WSR-88D quantitative precipitation estimates along the northern California coast during the 1998 El Niño

David E. Kingsmill, DRI, Reno, NV; and A. B. White and F. M. Ralph

9:45 AM

3.6

A prototype operational 0-1 hour radar-based flash flood potential algorithm

Richard A. Fulton, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seo

10:00 AM

3.7

Flash flood monitoring and prediction in AWIPS Build 5 and beyond

Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. T. Filiaggi, M. Churma, J. Roe, M. Glaudemans, R. Erb, and L. Xin

10:15 AM

3.8

Detecting flash floods in small urban watersheds.

Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA

10:30 AM

3.9

Hydrologic application of global emsemble precipitation forecasts

Sanja Perica, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. C. Schaake and D. J. Seo

10:45 AM

3.10

Mapping the course of satellite precipitation estimates for flash floods into the 21st century

Roderick A. Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and G. Vicente, C. Davenport, and S. Qiu

11:00 AM

3.11

The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center -- Its future role in Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting

James E. Hoke, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and D. W. Reynolds, E. J. Danaher, and K. C. McCarthy

11:15 AM

3.12

The NWS National QPF Verification Program

Brett E. McDonald, NOAA/NWS and UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD; and T. M. Graziano and C. K. Kluepfel

11:30 AM

3.13

Numerical simulations and forecasting potential for extreme rainfall events in the southern United States

John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. Strack

11:45 AM

3.14

Satellite-based Estimates of Precipitation in Hydrological Forecasts

Michael A. Fortune, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Tokar

12:30 PM

3.10A

Lunch Break

12:00 PM

3.6a

Coffee Break

Session 4

Hydrological and Hydrometeorological Impacts due to Climate Change (Parallel with Joint Session J1)

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizers: Robert Oglesby, Purdue Univ.; Frank Quinn, NOAA/DOC/GLERL

2:30 PM

4.1

Interannual-to-interdecadal Variability of river flows in southeastern South America: Description and predictability

Andrew W. Robertson, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and C. R. Mechoso

2:45 PM

4.2

Diagnosing the role of atmosphere-land surface interactions during wet and dry seasons across the Americas

Robert J. Oglesby, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Marshall, J. O. Roads, and F. R. Robertson

3:00 PM

4.3

WMO Hydrology Program

Arthur Askew, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

3:15 PM

4.4

Mesoscale modeling of climate effects on mountain glaciers

Corinne M. Carter, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook

3:30 PM

4.5

Physical processes governing the water budget of and the discharge from the Mackenzie Basin for the 1994/95 water year

Zuohao Cao, AES, Downsview, ON, Canada; and B. A. Proctor, H. Ritchie, M. Wang, R. E. Stewart, and G. S. Strong

3:45 PM

4.6

A comparison over the FIFE region of simulations from RSM, RegCM2, and MM5/BATS

Jason Evans, Australian National Univ., Canberra, Australia; and R. J. Oglesby, W. M. Lapenta, J. O. Roads, S. Marshall, and J. Taylor

4:00 PM

4.7

A comparative study of long term hydrologic forecasts: Deterministic vs. probabilistic

Dean T. Braatz, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and M. M. DeWeese and E. Welles

4:15 PM

4.8

The influence of potential greenhouse warming on Great Lakes hydrology, water levels, and water management

Frank H. Quinn, NOAA/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI; and B. M. Lofgren

4:30 PM

4.9

Precipitation, soil, and evaporation validation of the Coupled Hydrosphere-Atmosphere Model

Brent M. Lofgren, NOAA/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI

4:45 PM

4.10

Trends in Canadian Streamflow

Xuebin Zhang, AES, Downsview, ON, Canada; and K. D. Harvey, W. D. Hogg, and R. Yuzyk

5:00 PM

4.11

Hydrological Responses to Climate and Land-Cover Changes in A Mid-Sized Watershed

Qi Hu, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and G. D. Willson

5:15 PM

4.2a

Coffee Break

1

Sessions end for the day

Reception (Cash Bar)

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Session 5a

Terrestrial Biosphere Feedback to the Atmosphere at the Regional and Global Scales (Parallel with Session 5B)

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizers: Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland; Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA

8:30 AM

5a.1

The importance of land-surface variability to climate variability

Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and O. Reale and C. A. Schlosser

8:45 AM

5a.2

Land surface processes over GCIP Large Scale Areas

Ernesto Hugo Berbery, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and W. Chen, R. T. Pinker, and K. E. Mitchell

9:00 AM

5a.3

Model Validation of Observed Secondary Circulation in FIFE-1989 IFC-5 Dataset Using Coupled Mesoscale-SVATS Modeling System

Eric A. Smith, NASA/GHCC, Huntsville, AL; and H. J. Cooper, D. A. Faysash, and G. J. Tripoli

9:15 AM

5a.4

Land cover-convective cloud interactions in the US Midwest

Jimmy O. Adegoke, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and A. M. Carleton

9:30 AM

5a.5

A new gas/Carbon Assimilation Surface Evapotranpiration Model (GEM) for Mesoscale Applications

Devdutta S. Niyogi, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Raman and K. Alapaty

9:45 AM

5a.6

On the Parameterization of Convective Precipitation Generated by Land Cover Change/Land Use in Large-Scale Atmospheric Models

Christopher P. Weaver, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and R. Avissar and Y. Liu

10:00 AM

5a.7

The simulation of complex land cover in regional climate studies

Diana L. Verseghy, AES, Downsview, ON, Canada

10:15 AM

5a.8

The Impacts of Land Cover Change/Land Use on Regional Hydrometeorology

Roni Avissar, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and C. P. Weaver and S. Baidya Roy

10:30 AM

5a.9

Estimating root-zone moisture and evapotranspiration with AVHRR Data

Jie Song, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and M. L. Wesely

10:45 AM

5a.10

Coupled atmosphere-land surface modeling over GAME-T region

Jian-Hua Joshua Qian, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao and W. K. M. Lau

11:00 AM

5a.11

Surface climate equilibrium over land

Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT

5a.12

Using second order closure to obtain mesoscale and turbulent heat fluxes

11:30 AM

5a.13

Coupling Atmospheric, Ecologic, and Hydrologic Processes in a Regional Climate Model

Lixin Lu, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke Sr., G. E. Liston, W. J. Parton, D. Ojima, and M. Hartman

11:45 AM

5a.14

Preliminary Results of the OASIS Project

Jerald A. Brotzge, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. J. Richardson and T. W. Horst

12:00 PM

5a.15

The Role of Vegetation-Climate Interaction and Interannual Variability in Shaping the African Savanna

Ning Zeng, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

12:15 PM

5a.16

Surface Heat Balance Observation in the Western Tibet

Shigenori Haginoya, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and H. Naoe

12:30 PM

5a.12A

Lunch Break

2:00 PM

5a.6a

Coffee Break

Session 5b

TRMM Hydrology (Parallel with Sessions 5A)

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizers: Jose A. Fuentes, Univ. of Virginia; Michael Garstang, Univ. of Virginia

8:30 AM

5b.1

An overview of the WETAMC/LBA - January and February 1999

Maria A. F. Silva Dias, Univ. of São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and A. J. Dolman, P. L. Silva Dias, S. Rutledge, E. Zipser, G. F. Fisch, P. Artaxo, A. O. Manzi, J. A. Marengo, C. A. Nobre, and P. Kabat

8:45 AM

5b.2

Linking surface-based processes to the deeper atmosphere at a Brazilian tropical deforested site

Jose D. Fuentes, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. C. Heitz, M. Garstang, J. M. Sigler, B. Ferrier, J. Halverson, A. K. Betts, G. F. Fisch, J. Tóta, and P. J. de Oliveira

9:00 AM

5b.3

Mesocale Reanalysis of the LLJ along the Andes during the WETAMC/LBA - TRMM: comparison with observations

Pedro L. Silva Dias, Univ. of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and M. A. F. Silva Dias, J. A. Marengo, and M. W. Douglas

9:15 AM

5b.4

Measurements of solar and terrestrial radiation above and inside the Rebio-Jaru Amazonian forest during the LBA Wet Season Campaign

Antonio O. Manzi, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and R. G. Moura, L. D. Abreu Sá, and R. C. S. Alvalá

9:30 AM

5b.5

Wet season boundary layer dynamics over a deforested pasture site in Amazonia

Ryan C. Heitz, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and J. M. Sigler, J. D. Fuentes, M. Garstang, and B. Ferrier

9:45 AM

5b.6

Atmospheric boundary layer growth during LBA/TRMM experiment

Gilberto F. Fisch, Centro Tecnico Aeroespacial, Sao Jose dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and J. Tota, L. Machado, B. Ferrier, M. A. F. Silva Dias, A. J. Dolman, J. Halverson, and J. D. Fuentes

10:00 AM

5b.7

On the circulation features of the low level jet episode of April 14-15 1999, during the TRMM-LBA

Jose A. Marengo, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and M. W. Douglas and P. L. Silva Dias

10:15 AM

5b.8

Flux-variance method estimation of scalar turbulent fluxes above Amazonian rain forest

Celso von Randow, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and L. D. Abreu Sá, G. S. S. D. Prasad, and A. O. Manzi

10:30 AM

5b.9

Convective systems in contrasting regimes during TRMM-LBA in Rondonia, Brazil

Thomas M. Rickenbach, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and R. C. Cifelli, J. Halverson, P. A. Kucera, and O. W. Thiele

10:45 AM

5b.10

Surface Rainfall Observations during TRMM-LBA Field Campaign

Ali Tokay, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Sieveking, B. Fisher, J. Wang, and O. W. Thiele

11:00 AM

5b.11

Turbulent transport scales and breakdown coefficient statistics over a deforested tropical site

Alin Carsteanu, Universite du Quebec, Sainte-Foy, PQ, Canada; and J. D. Fuentes and R. C. Heitz

11:15 AM

5b.12

The Distribution and Structure of Precipitation in Hurricane Georges: Observations from TRMM, SSM/I, and GOES

Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL

11:30 AM

5b.13

Measurement and Analysis of Orographic Precipitation in the Himalayas - First Results from the TRMM Hydrometeorological Network in Central Nepal

Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and J. Putkonen, D. W. Burbank, and A. T. C. Chang

11:45 AM

5b.14

Characterizing precipitation processes during 1998, 1999 in West and Central Africa from the TRMM data

Andrea Sealy, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and G. S. Jenkins and T. Holmes

12:00 PM

5b.15

Towards the use of TRMM PR measurements for the inter-calibration of the South African radar network

M. P. Mittermaier, Precipitation Research, South African Weather Bureau, Bethlehem, South Africa

5b.16

Comparisons of the atmospheric hydrologic processes depicted by the operational ECMWF analyses with the corresponding forecasts at medium range over tropical Africa

12:30 PM

5b.17

Characterization of Radar Rainfall Estimation Error due to Variations of Raindrop Size Distribution and Vertical Storm Structure

Emmanouil N. Anagnostou, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and C. A. Morales and M. Steiner

12:45 PM

5b.18

Direct Validation Analysis of TRMM Precipitation Retrievals Based on TRMM Field Experiment Measurements

Fong-Chiau Chang, NASA/GHCC and Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and E. A. Smith, J. A. Marengo, B. J. Sohn, and S. Yang

1:00 PM

5b.19

Improved precipitation forecasting of landfalling tropical cyclones by data assimilation of microphysical structures retrieved from TRMM

Gregory J. Tripoli, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. Panegrossi and E. A. Smith

1:15 PM

5b.20

An observationally based conceptual model of warm oceanic convective rain in the tropics

David Atlas, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. W. Ulbrich

1:30 PM

5b.21

Rainfall estimation using a combination of geosynchronous infrared and TRMM observations

Liming Xu, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. J. Negri, R. F. Adler, and E. N. Anagnostou

1:45 PM

5b.22

Initial radar echo development in different regimes of tropical contintental convection

Earle Williams, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. Rosenfeld, N. Madden, J. Gerlach, and L. Atkinson

2:00 PM

5b.23

Rainfall morphology in semi-tropical convergence zones

J. Marshall Shepherd, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

2:15 PM

5b.24

Improved Algortithm to Estimate Convestive and Stratiform Rain From TRMM Microwave Radiometer Data

C. Prabhakara, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Iacovazzi Jr.

5b.25

Validation of TRMM and other satellite estimates of rainfall over select regions of Africa

2:45 PM

5b.6a

Coffee Break

3:15 PM

5b.12a

Lunch Break

4:45 PM

5b.18a

Coffee Break

Poster Session 2

TRMM Hydrology Poster

Host: 15th Conference on Hydrology

Organizers: Jose Fuentes, Univ. of Virginia; Michael Garstang, Univ. of Virginia

P2.1

January/February 1999 Mesoscale Reanalysis of the WETAMC/LBA-TRMM/Brazil campaign in Rondonia/Brazil

Pedro L. Silva Dias, Univ. of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and M. A. F. Silva Dias, S. R. Freitas, E. Inazawa, J. A. Marengo, and F. Gilberto

P2.2

General aspects of the rebio-jaru Amazon forest micrometeorological tower LBA wet season campaign and preliminary results

Leonardo D. Abreu Sa, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Jose dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and R. C. S. Alvala, E. Arai, P. R. A. Arlino, A. C. Barbosa, M. J. A. Bolzan, A. Bonfim Jr., W. E. Castro Jr., M. A. F. Silva Dias, G. S. S. Durga Prasad, R. Gielow, A. C. Lola da Costa, A. O. Manzi, J. L. Martins Nogueira, J. Melo, R. G. Moura, L. E. Rosa, L. Rossato, and C. von Randow

P2.3

Use of the inertial dissipation method for calculating hourly variability of the turbulent fluxes over Amazonian forest

Leonardo Deane Abreu Sa, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Jose dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and E. P. M. Filho and S. S. D. P. Gannabathula

P2.4

Incorporating TRMM and other high-quality estimates into the One-Degree Daily (1DD) global precipitation product

George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC and SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler and D. T. Bolvin

P2.5

Wavelet analysis of coherent structures above and within the Amazon Rain Forest

Sri Sesha Durga Prasad Gannabathula, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Jose dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and W. E. Castro Jr., L. D. Abreu Sa, and K. P. R. Vittal Murty

P2.6

Nonextensivity in atmospheric surface layer turbulence

Mauricio Jose Alves Bolzan, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Jose dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and L. D. Abreu Sa, F. M. Ramos, C. R. Neto, and R. R. Rosa

P2.7

An Empirical Study of TRMM-LBA Rainfall

Jianxin Wang, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Fisher, A. Tokay, and J. Wang

P2.8

Boundary Layer Thermodynamics over Rondonia in the rainy season (LBA/TRMM)

Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and J. D. Fuentes and M. Garstang

P2.9

Studies on the diurnal cycle of rainfall and its variations during the TRMM-LBA and Wet AMC.LBA campaigns during Austral Summer 1999

Jose A. Marengo, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and G. F. Fisch, I. Vendrame, P. Cervantes, and C. Morales

P2.10

Case study of multiple squall lines during the WETAMC/LBA and TRMM/Brazil: 7 Feb 1999

Maria A. F. Silva Dias, Univ. of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and P. L. Silva Dias, S. Rutledge, E. Zipser, M. A. Lima, A. M. Gomes, M. Antonio, and G. F. Fisch

P2.11

Soil heat flux and temperature profiles under Amazonian rain forest during the wet season of 1999

Ralf Gielow, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Jose dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and R. C. S. Alvala, H. R. da Rocha, H. C. Freitas, and O. M. R. Cabral

P2.12

The Clouds-Induced Bimodal Characteristics and Enhancements of Surface Irradiance as Observed over a Brazilian Grassland

Lianhong Gu, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and J. D. Fuentes, M. Garstang, R. C. Heitz, and J. M. Sigler

1

Conference Ends

1 15th Conference on Hydrology

Sunday, 9 January 2000

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2000

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2000

Monday, 10 January 2000

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2000

9:00 AM-5:15 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000

Tuesday, 11 January 2000

8:00 AM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000

Wednesday, 12 January 2000

8:00 AM-4:59 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

8:30 AM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

2:30 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

5:45 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

Thursday, 13 January 2000

8:30 AM-2:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

8:30 AM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

5:15 PM-7:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

Sunday, 9 January 2000

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2000

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2000

Monday, 10 January 2000

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 10 January 2000

9:00 AM-5:15 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000

Tuesday, 11 January 2000

8:00 AM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000

Wednesday, 12 January 2000

8:00 AM-4:59 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

8:30 AM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

2:30 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

5:45 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000

Thursday, 13 January 2000

8:30 AM-2:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

8:30 AM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

5:15 PM-7:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000