Session 12 Advancing Our Understanding of Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability: Part 3 (Parallel with Sessions 11, 13, JP3, JP4, J5, and J6)

Thursday, 13 January 2000: 8:00 AM-1:45 PM
Host: 11th Symposium on Global Change Studies
Organizer:
Alan Basist, NOAA/NCDC, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC

Papers:
8:00 AM
12.1
Evaluating the performance of short-term climate forecasts
Jeffrey A. Shorter, TASC, Inc., Reading, MA; and M. J. Gibbas, R. J. Boucher, J. D. Goldstein, and R. F. Brammer

8:15 AM
12.2
Interdecadal Changes in the Structure and Frequency of ENSO Mode
Soon-Il An, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang and F. F. Jin

12.3
Factors controlling decadal variations in ENSO-teleconnections and seasonal climate predictions

8:45 AM
12.4
Teleconnections and local response to tropical SST anomalies
Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin, C. Chou, and N. Zeng

9:00 AM
12.5
Forecast of tropical Pacific SST and Sea Level using Markov models
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

9:15 AM
12.6
Understanding the annual cycle of equatorial Pacific as a result of ocean-atmosphere-land interactions
Xiouhua Fu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

9:30 AM
12.7
An assessment of the association between the Arctic Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere temperature
Anthony J. Broccoli, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth and N. C. Lau

9:45 AM
12.8
Anomaly Forcing in an Ensemble Regional Climate Model Simulation
Jan F. Dutton, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and E. J. Barron

10:00 AM
12.9
Assessment of the Utility of the Regional Climate Simulations in the Prediction of Drought
Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and G. S. Jenkins and R. Bindlish

10:15 AM
12.10
Regional climate simulation of the anomalous U.S. Climate events with a variable resolution stretched grid GCM
Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Takacs and M. J. Suarez

12.11
Examining interannual variability in West Africa from the NCEP reanalyses and the CCM3 for the period of 1979-1993

12.12
Climate variability and change, scale-interactions and precipitation processes in West Africa. Limitations and challenges of modeling efforts

12.13
Simulation of a squall line associated with an african easterly wave: sensitivity to the parameterization of convection

11:15 AM
12.14
Non-modal growth in ENSO and its interdecadal change
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

11:30 AM
12.15
The SST Anomalies Dipole in the Extratropical Pacific and Its Relationships with the ENSO Cycle
Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. T. Liu and C. R. Mechoso

11:45 AM
12.16
Ocean-atmosphere-land feedbacks in an idealized monsoon
Chia Chou, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin, H. Su, and N. Zeng

12:00 PM
12.17
Effects of a stochastic convective parameterization on tropical intraseasonal variability
Johnny Wei-Bing Lin, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

12:15 PM
12.18
A study of initializations for ENSO forecast models
Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Leetmaa and M. Cane

12:30 PM
12.19
Interannual variations in satellite observed top-of-atmosphere longwave clear-sky radiation and consistency with diagnostics from global climate models
Franklin R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. D. Braswell and D. Fitzjarrald

12:45 PM
12.8a
Coffee Break

1:15 PM
12.14a
Lunch Break

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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