Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses

P2.11

Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and relationships with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone

Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and B. Liebmann

The climatology of South America shows a prominent cloudiness feature, the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), extending from the Amazon basin towards southeast Brazil and the western portion of the subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Previous studies have shown that the SACZ plays a dominant role in the summertime precipitation variability. The SACZ is also characterized by significant temporal variability from intraseasonal-to-interannual time scales. This study provides investigates the occurrence of extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and the relationships with the SACZ. A new way to objectively characterize some fundamental structural properties of the SACZ and its temporal variability, intensity, geographical location and persistence is proposed. Daily Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) and precipitation data derived from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) from the period January 1979-1999 are used. A computer algorithm uses OLR thresholds to identify periods of SACZ activity. The method further identifies some structural properties of the SACZ, such as geographic center (i.e. center of gravity), area, perimeter, axis of orientation and temporal persistence. Daily precipitation from surface stations from the states of São Paulo and Paraná are used to determine the frequency of occurrence of extreme precipitation events. The presentation will focus on the relationships between the occurrence of extreme precipitation and the variability of the SACZ.

Poster Session 2, Summer Storms (Poster session)
Tuesday, 16 January 2001, 2:30 PM-5:30 PM

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