Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses
    

Poster Session 2

 Summer Storms (Poster session)
 P2.1HPVCI—Convective Initiation  
Paul J. Croft, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and D. Lu, J. Hafner, P. J. Fitzpatrick, and R. S. Reddy
 P2.2The sensitvity of West African squall line development to land cover changes  
Karen I. Mohr, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Baker, W. K. Tao, and J. S. Famiglietti
 P2.3Cloud physical process in heavy rainfall of Mei-yu frontal system in South China  
Peng-Yun Wang, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and J. Yang, Z. Ruan, and S. Z. Yang
 P2.4The contribution of orographic rainfall to the extreme precipitation in Southeastern Africa in Spring 2000  
Chris C. Funk, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and R. F. MacCracken
 P2.5The Relationship between intense, short-duration precipiation and flash floods  
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
 P2.6Diurnal variations of summer precipitation between wet and dry years in the central U.S  
Zaitao Pan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal, R. W. Arritt, and T. -. C. Chen
 P2.7Characterization Of The Distribution Of Cloud Spectra For Thunderstorms In The Western Mediterranean Area  
Jose L. Sánchez, University of Leon, Leon, Spain; and E. García and J. L. Marcos
 P2.8Extreme precipitation frequency in the Semiarid Southwest  
Lesley T. Julian, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. L. Vogel
 P2.9A Global Climatology of Thunderstorm, Hail, and Tornado Days  
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 P2.10Numerical Sensitivities in Convective/Nonconvective Cloud Interactions in MM5  
Carlie J. Coats Jr., MCNC North Carolina Supercomputing Center, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. N. McHenry
 P2.11Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and relationships with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone  
Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and B. Liebmann
 P2.12Predictability of heavy precipitation induced by mesoscale convective vortices  
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier, D. A. Ahijevych, and R. E. Carbone
 P2.13The sensitivity of simulated supercell precipitation to microphysical parameters  
Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton
 P2.14Potential vorticity streamers and their role in the development of mesoscale convective systems, part III: numerical weather simulations  
Adrian Marroquin, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and F. Caracena and E. I. Tollerud
 P2.15Soil moisture and mesoscale convective complex development during the 1993 Midwest flood: Results from the MM5-PLACE atmosphere/land-surface model  
R. David Baker, Austin College, Sherman, TX; and Y. Wang, W. K. Tao, and P. Wetzel
P2.16Front Range severe flash flooding and El-Niño  
Richard Emil Kreitner, NOAA/NWSFO, Flagstaff, AZ
 P2.17October 1998 Extreme Rains Over South Central Texas  
Robert A. Blaha, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX
 P2.18Overview of the 7 May 2000 extreme rain event in Missouri  
Patrick S. Market, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo, C. E. Halcomb, F. A. Akyüz, and P. Guinan
 P2.19Analysis Of Heavy Precipitation In The Region Of Valencia (Spain) By Means Of Ir Images From The Meteosat  
Jose L. Sánchez, University of Leon, Leon, Spain; and M. V. Fernández, F. Pastor, and M. J. Estrela
 P2.20Synoptic and spatial variability of the rainfall along the northern Peruvian coast during the 1997–8 El Niño event  
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. Peña, N. Ordinola, L. Flores, and J. Boustead
 P2.21Big Thompson, 1976 to Buffalo Creek, 1996: Evolutions in emergency reponse to extreme preciptiation events  
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO
 P2.22The extreme east-central Missouri flash flood of 6–7 May 2000  
Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO; and J. P. Gagan and J. T. Moore
 P2.23MM5 Simulations of the Las Vegas flash flood of 8 July 1999: The role of SSTs  
Dorothea C. Ivanova, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. L. Mitchell and R. Rabin
 P2.24The Role of Dual Cold Fronts Aloft in a Major Tornado and Flash Flooding Event  
Steven E. Koch, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. Mitchem
 P2.25Regional climate model simulation of a multi-week heavy precipitation episode in the central U.S  
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and X. Z. Liang
 P2.25aSimulation of a mid-latitude convective storm initialized with bistatic Doppler radar data  
Thibaut Montmerle, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada; and D. Caya and I. Zawadzki
 P2.26Numerical simulation of the 17–18 July 1996 Chicago flood  
Steven E. Peckham, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson
 P2.27Capabilities and Characteristics of Rainfall Estimates from Geostationary- and Geostationary+ Microwave-Based Satellite Techniques  
Joe Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. S. Liou, S. Qiu, R. A. Scofield, M. B. Ba, and A. Gruber
 P2.28Three-Dimensional Features of Summer Monsoon Precipitation Seen from TRMM/PR and Latent Heat Release over South Asia  
Akiyo Yatagai, National Space Development Agency of Japan/Earth Observation Research Center, Minato-ku, Tokyo, Japan
 P2.29Comparison of TRMM and Rain Gage Rain Rates over New Mexico  
Long S. Chiu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD and George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and Z. Liu, W. L. Teng, G. Serafino, S. Morain, A. Budge, C. Bales, and T. Wulff
 P2.30Regional climate modeling of the monsoon season over the Rio Grande Basin  
James R. Stalker, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and K. R. Costigan, J. M. Reisner, and D. L. Langley
 P2.31Colorado High Elevation Flash Flood Producing Thunderstorms: Radar, Rainfall and Atmospheric Characteristics  
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO
 P2.32On the use of Radar data to verify the long term performance of the UK Met Office Mesoscale Model precipitation forecasts  
Martin Goeber, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and S. F. Milton
 P2.33An AMBER playback of the Kansas City, Missouri flash flood of 05 October 1998  
Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA
 P2.34Satellite observations of Pacific moisture surges associated with the North American Monsoon  
Donald M. Anderson, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. K. Berg and J. J. Bates
P2.35Issues and Advances in WSR-88D Rainfall Estimation of Flash Flood Events in Complex Terrain  
Dong-Jun Seo, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. P. Breidenbach, R. A. Fulton, D. A. Miller, and T. D. O'Bannon
 P2.36National Basin Delineation and Flash Flood Database Creation  
Gina M. Cox, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Arthur, D. Slayter, and N. Kuhnert
P2.37QIWI—A Web-Based Flash Flood Monitoring Tool  
Jonathan J. Gourley, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Arthur, J. Zhang, B. E. Vieux, T. Vasquez, and K. W. Howard
 P2.38Seasonal Variation in Multi-Radar Coverage for WSR-88D Precipitation Estimation in a Mountainous Region  
Jay P. Breidenbach, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seo, P. Tilles, and C. Pham
 P2.39Evaluation of the Areal Mean Basin Estimated Rainfall (AMBER) Flash Flood Algorithm at the Tulsa, OK and Sterling, VA NWSFOs  
Ami T. Arthur, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. W. Howard
P2.40Assessment of quantitative precipitation estimates using weather radar and a distributed hydrologic model  
Jayson Innes, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and N. Kouwen and J. M. C. Young
 P2.41Rainfall Estimation from WSR-88D Reflectivities Using Artificial Neural Networks  
Seth E. Snell, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM
P2.42On the uncertainty of a flood forecasting tool for small and medium size basins  
Barbara Turato, University of Genoa, Savona, Italy; and L. Ferraris, U. Parodi, and R. Rudari
 P2.43A new methodology of rainfall retrievals from indirect measurements  
Aleksandr Falkovich, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord and R. Treadon
 P2.44Ensemble simulations of regional flood and drought climates  
Zhiwei Yang, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt
 P2.45Development of a mesoscale 4-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) system at JMA  
Yoshihiro Ishikawa, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan
 P2.46Short Range Mesoscale Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation over the Southwest United States during the Summer Convective Season  
David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen and R. A. Maddox
 P2.47The impact of model resolution and ensemble population on the detection of intense precipitation events  
Frederic Atger, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France
 P2.48Estimating extreme precipitation at high elevations in Colorado through mesoscale ensemble modeling  
William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. L. McAnelly and C. T. Ashby
 P2.49Short-to-medium range forecasting of midlatitude weather systems using a mesoscale global model with uniform and variable resolution  
Stephane Belair, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and J. Mailhot and M. Desgagne
 P2.50Impact of improved initialization of mesoscale features on convective system QPF in 10 KM ETA Simuations  
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal, I. Jankov, and S. Aves
 P2.51Precipitation forecasts using the Battlescale Forecast Model  
Jeffrey E. Passner, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and T. Henmi
 P2.52Some aspects of severe weather in the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo  
Augusto José Pereira, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and M. T. L. Barros and J. B. N. Romeiro
P2.53Hybrid short-range weather forecast systems  
Keith T. Smith, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; and G. L. Austin
 P2.54The effect of different initial conditions on short-term rainfall prediction  
Ana M. B. Nunes, Centro de Previsão do Tempo e Estudos Climáticos, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil
 P2.55Impact of soil moisture initialization on a simulated flash flood  
C. Travis Ashby, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton and R. L. McAnelly
 P2.56Quantitative precipitation forecasting of extreme synoptic-mesoscale events  
Milton S. Speer, Bureau of Meteorology, Darlinghurst, NSW, Australia; and L. M. Leslie
 P2.57Short-range forecasts of rainfall amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations  
David H. Kitzmiller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. D. Vibert and F. G. Samplatsky
 P2.58Anticipating heavy rainfall: Climatological aspects  
Robert Hart, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and R. H. Grumm
 P2.59Forecasting heavy rainfall in the Middle Atlantic region  
Paul G. Knight, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and M. S. Evans
 P2.60Criteria For Selecting Meteorological Variables To Be Used In Statistical Models For A Short-Term Forecast Of Thunderstorms And Hailstorms  
Jose L. Sánchez, University of Leon, Leon, Spain; and J. L. Marcos, J. T. Fernandez, and E. García
 P2.61Extracting hydrologic information from high-resolution rainfall forecasts  
John W. Nielsen-Gammon, CIAMS, College Station, TX
 P2.61aOn the Use of NEXRAD Stage IV Data in the Multimedia Modeling of Pollutant Transport  
Brian K. Eder, NOAA/ARL, Research Triangle Park, NC; and S. K. LeDuc, A. B. Gilliland, and P. L. Finkelstein
 P2.62Use of surface mesonets, radiosondes and profilers to predict basin-specific QPF and flash floods in complex terrain  
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO
 P2.63Evolutions in emergency reponse to extreme preciptiation events: hope for the future?  
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO
 P2.64Application of an updraft warm layer depth QPF technique to June 2000 flash floods in the NWS Central and Southern Regions  
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO
 P2.65Flash floods in the Caribbean: Environmental conditions and Mitigation  
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL
 P2.66Post-Fire Flash Flood Prediction: A Difficult Challenge  
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO
 P2.67California Flood Damage and The El Niño-Southern Oscillation  
Preston S. Heard Jr., Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and R. A. Pielke, Jr.

Tuesday, 16 January 2001: 2:30 PM-5:30 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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