Monday, 15 January 2001
Using historical snowfall data from Pulliam Airport in Flagstaff, Arizona snowfall events from
November to April between 1975-94 were categorized as light (greater than a trace), moderate (3
to 6 inches) or heavy (greater than 6 inches). The 500 mb height charts associated with light,
moderate and heavy snowfall events at Flagstaff were then analyzed. The 500 mb charts were
subjectively categorized into pattern types and various parameters for the matching 250, 500 and
700 mb levels were generated and examined. The general conclusion is that broad and/or deeper,
slow moving, longer wavelength trough patterns are responsible for the bulk of the heavy
snowfall amounts with short wavelength more transient troughs associated with lighter snowfall
accumulation. One surprise is that heavy snow amounts can strike Flagstaff in a west to
northwest flow regime somewhat against the predominant upslope direction which is south to
southwest. Strong jet/front dynamics appear to do much of the work. Also, the upper low can
take essentially an inland track over the great basin and still produce heavy snow accumulations
at Flagstaff if the wavelength of the trough is broad and slow moving. Light accumulating snow
can take place with almost any weak late fall, winter or early spring system at Flagstaff if enough
moisture for condensation is present (likely due to wet-bulbing).
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