JP1.17
Land surface forcing as an element in seasonal ensemble prediction
Loren D. White, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS
The application of a "surface ensemble" technique which utilizes variation of spinup time for certain poorly observed surface variables will be discussed. Results of using surface ensembles with a regional spectral model will be analyzed with regard to seasonal/monthly numerical forecasting. Focus will be both on the potential value for improvement of seasonal forecasts/simulations and on the use of the surface ensemble approach in sensitivity studies.
Joint Poster Session 1, Ensemble Forecasting and Other Topics in Probability and Statistics (Joint with the 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences and the Symposium onObservations, Data Assimilation,and Probabilistic Prediction)
Wednesday, 16 January 2002, 1:30 PM-3:00 PM
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