Monday, 14 January 2002: 10:15 AM
A New Technique to Estimate the Diurnal and Seasonal Cycles of Climatic Trends, With Applications to Temperature and Sea Ice
A new technique has been developed to study
seasonal and diurnal cycles in climatic trends in the
mathematical expectation, variance, and other moments of
the statistical distribution of climatic variables. The
basis of the technique is regression, but with periodical
coefficients. The technique is illustrated with
applications to trends in satellite observed variations of
sea ice extent in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres,
and to the seasonal and diurnal variations in observed
surface air temperature at a few selected stations. This
technique provides users of climatic data with better and
more relevant information about climate and its
variability, and has many other useful applications.
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