Monday, 10 February 2003
Effect of Atlantic SST anomalies on the NAO and associated circulation features in CCM3: Tropical vs. extratropical SST anomalies
Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, CA
We have examined in detail the modeled effect of North Atlantic
(NA) extratropical SST anomalies on the North Atlantic
Oscillation (NAO) and the synoptic time-scale transient
circulation features of the NA storm track (Magnusdottir, Deser
and Saravanan 2002). The spatial structure of the SST anomalies
was the same in each 60--80 year experiment. The difference
between the experiments was only associated with the amplitude
and polarity of the anomaly. The spatial structure of the
anomaly was that of the 40-year (1954--1994) trend in SST from
the GISST2 dataset, and it has the structure of the familiar NA
SST tripole. The anomalies were scaled to correspond to the
centennial and bicentennial, both positive and negative, trend.
We find that both polarities of the trend result in significant,
but entirely different, circulation changes. In particular the
negative trend (warm SST anomaly in the subpolar western NA)
projects very strongly onto the NAO with a negative index. The
positive trend results in the strengthening of the downstream
stationary eddies and an interesting extension of the storm track
into Europe.
Here, we compare the results of the aforementioned study to the
results of applying tropical Atlantic (TA) SST anomalies in the
same AGCM. Again, we use the GISST2 dataset to define the SST
anomalies. The first EOF of SST variability in the TA is the
familiar "SST dipole", straddling both sides of the equator. We
split the dipole into two monopoles, one north and the other
south of the equator. Our experiments consist of various
combinations of the two monopoles and their polarity. We carry
out six experiments in all, identified by +n, -n, +s, -s, +n-s
and -n+s, where the + sign indicates a positive SST anomaly and
the - sign a negative SST anomaly, and n (s) stands for SST
anomaly north (south) of the equator. Each experiment is run for
80 years. In all cases, we normalize the SST anomaly to 1.5
standard deviations. We analyze the effects of these anomalies
on the extratropical NA circulation, paying special attention to
storm-track response and the means by which the effects of the TA
SST anomalies get translated into the extratropics.
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