Program: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations (83rd Annual)

Sat 8 Feb

Short Course Registration

Conference Registration*

Sun 9 Feb

Short Course Registration

Conference Registration

Mon 10 Feb

Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)

1

State of the Science: The Role of the Carbon Cycle in the Earth System

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizers: Lisa Dilling, NOAA/OAR; Tony J. Busalacchi, ESSIC, University of Maryland

Papers:

9:00 AM

1.1

Carbon-Climate interaction as a first-order source of uncertainty in future climate

Scott Denning, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

9:30 AM

1.2

Atmospheric observations of the carbon cycle and the North American Carbon Program

Pieter P. Tans, NOAA/CMDL, Boulder, CO

9:45 AM

1.3

The North American Carbon Program and AmeriFlux: Understanding carbon sources and sinks at multiple scales

Beverly E. Law, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR

10:00 AM

1.4

Tradeoffs between measurement accuracy and cost, vertical and horizontal sampling density, and signal strength and variability in an expanded CO₂ observing network

Britton Stephens, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Schimel, D. Baker, R. Dargaville, S. Aulenbach, J. Oxelson, D. Brown, and C. S. I. Participants

10:15 AM

1.5

Data assimilation for carbon cycle studies

David Schimel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Hibbard and D. Baker

10:30 AM

1.6

The changing carbon cycle: contribution from climate variability

Ning Zeng, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Murtugudde and J. Christian

10:45 AM

1.7

Toward a Comprehensive Carbon Budget for North America: Potential Applications of Adjoint Methods with Diverse Datasets

Arlyn Andrews, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

11:00 AM

1.8

Long-term changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide

Francisco P. Chavez, MBARI, Moss Landing, CA; and S. C. Wofsy

11:15 AM

1.9

The role of the equatorial Pacific on interannual and interdecadal variations of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes

Richard A. Feely, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and F. Chai, F. Chavez, M. J. McPhaden, and R. Wanninkhof

11:30 AM

1.4a

Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

Lunch Break

2

Climate Change Modeling: I

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:

1:30 PM

2.1

Factors affecting climate sensitivity in global coupled climate models

Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington and J. M. Arblaster

2:00 PM

2.2

The South-Asian Brown Cloud: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model study of its impact on the Monsoon, El-Nino and the Hyrdological Cycle

Veerabhadran Ramanathan, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. T. Kiehl, T. Bettge, W. M. Washington, and . C. Chung

2:30 PM

2.3

Detectability of anthropogenic changes in temperature and precipitation extremes

Gabriele C. Hegerl, Duke University, Durham, NC; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott

Poster PDF (371.1 kB)

2:45 PM

2.4

Response of South Asian Monsoon climate to global warming in GFDL ensemble climate simulations

Hailan Wang, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and N. C. Lau

3:00 PM

2.5

Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the western U.S

L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian, X. Bian, W. M. Washington, J. Han, and J. O. Roads

3:15 PM

2.6

Hydrologic assessment: application of extreme value theory for climate extreme scenarios construction

Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and M. Mirza, D. Etkin, and J. Milton

Poster PDF (138.7 kB)

3:30 PM

2.7

Using ANOVA to Estimate the Relative Magnitude of Uncertainty in a Suite of Climate Change Scenarios

Julie A. Winkler, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI; and J. A. Andresen, G. Guentchev, E. A. Waller, and J. T. Brown

Poster PDF (268.0 kB)

3:45 PM

2.8

The Impacts of Fraction of Precipitation as Snow on Snowpack Hydrology and General Circulation: A GCM study

Zong-Liang Yang, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Y. Niu

4:00 PM

2.2a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

3

Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: I

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Chet Ropelewski, Columbia Univ.

Papers:

1:30 PM

3.1

Interannual variability in the North American monsoon: A general circulation model study

John D. Farrara, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Y. Yu

1:45 PM

3.2

Interannual variability of the western North Pacific summer monsoon: differences between ENSO and non-ENSO years

Chia Chou, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. Y. Tu and J. Y. Yu

http://ecrc.sinica.edu.tw/~chia/

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)

2:00 PM

3.3

Paper has been moved to Poster Session P1, new paper number P1.30

2:15 PM

3.4

Mechanism and predictability of South American low-level jets

Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu

2:30 PM

3.5

Reconstrction of the oceanic precipitation from 1948 to the present

Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith

Poster PDF (566.8 kB)

2:45 PM

3.6

Variability of River Streamflow and Climate

Carlos Roberto Mechoso, University of California, Los Angeles, CA

3:00 PM

3.7

Storm track variability as seen from aircraft and ship observations

Edmund K. M. Chang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY

3:15 PM

3.8

Evaluating the variability and budgets of global water cycle components

V. R. Sridhar, University of Washington; and G. Goteti, J. Sheffield, D. P. Lettenmaier, and E. F. Wood

3:30 PM

3.9

Covariability of Annual United States Tornado Report Counts and Climate Indices

Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. K. Wikle and R. W. Arritt

Poster PDF (315.7 kB)

3.10

Teleconnection and US Rainfall Anomalies during the Northern Summer

4:00 PM

3.4a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 1

Poster Session: I

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

P1.1

Mountain uplift and ENSO

Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

P1.2

Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO₂

Ping Liu, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. A. Meehl and G. Wu

Poster PDF (598.5 kB)

P1.3

Ouranos: a Global Approach to Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Assessment

R�al Decoste, Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Beauchemin, A. Bourque, B. Bob�e, R. Laprise, R. Laurence, C. A. Lin, R. Roy, and T. Ouarda

P1.4

PCMDI's "portrait" and "Taylor" diagrams, doing science with CDAT

Charles Doutriaux, PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and D. Williams and K. Taylor

P1.5

Seasonal Change of Asia Summer Monsoon Circulation and its Heat Source

Tomoaki Ose, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

P1.6

The ECCO Routine Global Ocean Data Assimilation System

Ichiro Fukumori, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and T. Lee, D. Menemenlis, and L. L. Fu

P1.7

The effect of spatial scale of climate change scenarios on crop production in the Southeastern United States

Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and L. O. Mearns, T. Mavromatis, W. Gao, L. R. McDaniel, and M. W. Downton

Poster PDF (486.2 kB)

P1.8

The Effect of the Orbit of the sun on the Earth's Atmosphere

John C. Freeman, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. F. Hasling

Poster PDF (170.8 kB)

P1.9

The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on hydroelectric power generation in the Iberian peninsula

P1.10

The Indication of the decreasing temperature based on Oxygen isotope in Coral Porites.sp from Maudulung-sumba, Indonesia

P1.11

Seasonal radiation balance of Africa

Donald P. Garber, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and T. Wong

Poster PDF (885.3 kB)

P1.12

Using mean flow change as a proxy to infer inter-decadal storm track variability

Edmund K. M. Chang, Stony Brook University, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY

P1.13

Validation and Diagnosis of AMIP II Land-surface Simulations

Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and A. Henderson-Sellers, P. Irannejad, K. McGuffie, S. Sharmeen, and H. Zhang

P1.14

Long term climatological changes in fog intensity and coverage

Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam Corporation, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars

Poster PDF (91.0 kB)

P1.15

A Comparison of the Weather in U.S. Cities During the 1983�'84 and 1998�'99 La Nina's

Heather L. Honnette, U. S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (33.2 kB)

P1.16

Paper moved to Poster Session 2, new paper number P2.30

P1.17

Analysis of diurnal and seasonal cycles in climatic trends for records with changes of observation times

Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock and A. Basist

P1.18

Comparisons of the NCEP AMIP II integration(s) and the NCEP reanalysis

J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy

P1.19

Conceptual modeling of the climatic role of airborne mineral dust

Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville

P1.20

Decadal changes in summertime typhoon track

Joo-Hong Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. J. Baik, D. Y. Gong, and C. H. Sui

Poster PDF (338.0 kB)

P1.21

Decadal Variability of the Bio-Climate Feedbacks in the Tropics

Raghu Murtugudde, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Ballabrera, J. Christian, J. Beauchamp, and A. J. Busalacchi Jr.

P1.22

Ensemble simulations of Asian-Australian monsoon anomalies during 1997�1998 El Nino by 11 AGCMs

Bin Wang, IPRC University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and I. S. Kang and J. Y. Lee

P1.23

Evaluation of the Entraining-Detraining Plume Model applied to the cumulus parameterization of the large-scale model

Jung-Hee Ryu, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. B. Ahn and J. H. Oh

Poster PDF (266.9 kB)

P1.24

Assessment of Forcing Data Derived from ECMWF Model for SCMs at the ARM SGP Site

Shaocheng Xie, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and R. T. Cederwall, J. J. Yio, and M. Zhang

Poster PDF (278.8 kB)

P1.25

Expanded Pre-1948 Digital Hourly Database

Mark Seiderman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, R. Truesdell, and D. Graybeal

P1.26

Factors affecting the latitudinal location of the intertropical convergence zone in a GCM

Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen

P1.27

Intraseasonal and Synoptic Variations of Radiation Budget

Takmeng Wong, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)

P1.28

Effect of Atlantic SST anomalies on the NAO and associated circulation features in CCM3: Tropical vs. extratropical SST anomalies

Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, CA

P1.29

Observed high latitude temperature change in North America(Formerly paper 4.9)

David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Gleason, D. Wuertz, and R. Vose

P1.30

Influence of Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian summer monsoon (Formerly paper number 3.3)

Jee-Hoon Jeong, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho and D. Y. Gong

Poster PDF (334.9 kB)

Sessions End for the Day

Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Tue 11 Feb

4

Observed Climate Change: I

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:

8:30 AM

4.1

Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the North American region

David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic, Australia

8:45 AM

4.2

Global atmospheric temperatures: Error estimates of AMSU/MSU v. 5.0

John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. W. Spencer and D. Braswell

Poster PDF (55.9 kB)

9:00 AM

4.3

Intercomparison of global upper-air temperature datasets from radiosondes and satellites

Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. K. Angell, J. Christy, M. Free, S. Klein, J. Lanzante, C. Mears, D. Parker, M. Schabel, R. Spencer, A. Sterin, P. Thorne, and F. Wentz

Poster PDF (94.4 kB)

9:15 AM

4.4

A new tropospheric temperature dataset from MSU

Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. C. Schabel and F. J. Wentz

http://www.remss.com/msu/

Poster PDF (413.8 kB)

9:30 AM

4.5

Changing Regional Hydrologic Vulnerabilities: Diagnosis and Potential Links to the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Trends

Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Hoerling

9:44 AM

4.6

Paper has been moved, new paper number 4.4A

9:45 AM

4.7

Expected regional variations and changes of mean and extreme climatology of Eastern/Central Europe

Judit Bartholy, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Matyasovszky, and V. Schlanger

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

10:00 AM

4.8

Contemporary climate changes in high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere: Daily time resolution

Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Sun, R. S. Vose, J. H. Lawrimore, P. H. Whitfield, E. F�rland, I. Hanssen-Bauer, M. C. Serreze, V. N. Razuvaev, and G. V. Alekseev

Poster PDF (897.8 kB)

10:14 AM

4.9

Paper has been moved to Poster Session 1, new paper number P1.29

10:15 AM

4.10

Reduced climate variability with global warming

Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock, R. J. Stouffer, and A. Basist

10:30 AM

4.4A

Observational Data Issues for Analysis of Extremes

Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

10:45 AM

4.4b

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

5

Seasonal/Interannual Prediction

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/ERL/CDC

Papers:

8:45 AM

5.1

Spring and summer seasonal predictability and the land surface

Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and M. Zhao and C. A. Schlosser

9:00 AM

5.2

On the delayed atmospheric response to ENSO SST

Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson

9:15 AM

5.3

Seasonal variability on Southeastern Brazil related to frontal systems behaviour in a climate simulation with the AGCM CPTEC/COLA

Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, S�o Paulo, Brazil; and L. H. R. Coura da Silva

Poster PDF (811.8 kB)

9:30 AM

5.4

Temporal disaggregation of probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts

Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht

Poster PDF (167.9 kB)

9:45 AM

5.5

Predictability of anomalous synoptic variability from interannual to interdecadal timescales

Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

10:00 AM

5.6

Experimental forecasting of dry season storminess over Florida from the ENSO signal: latest results and advancements

Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/enso/mlbnino.html

Poster PDF (794.7 kB)

10:15 AM

5.7

Snow cover, soil moisture, and the Asian summer monsoon

Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Mu, K. Y. Vinnikov, and D. A. Robinson

10:30 AM

5.8

Extending Atmospheric Forecasts beyond Weather: The History of Climate Prediction

Robert W. Reeves, NOAA/NWS, Washington, DC; and D. Gemmill, R. Livezey, and J. Laver

Poster PDF (71.9 kB)

10:45 AM

5.4a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 2

Poster Session II

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

P2.1

Long-term Variations in the 1000+ Year PCM Control Run

Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, T. W. Bettge, and W. G. Strand

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

P2.2

Lidar observation of mid-latitude water vapor layers near the tropopause

John E. Wessel, Aerospace Corp, Los Angeles, CA; and R. W. Farley

P2.3

LASE characterization of the hurricane environment and the influence of moisture on hurricane forecasting

Syed Ismail, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, R. A. Ferrare, S. A. Kooi, A. Notari, J. B. Halverson, T. N. Krishnamurti, and K. Rupa

P2.4

Interannual variations in the south Asian haze forcing: Implications to ENSO

Chul Eddy Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan

P2.5

Indian Ocean Dipole and Regional Climate Variability

P2.6

Implementation of the NCAR Community Land Model (CLM) in the NASA/NCAR finite-volume Global Climate Model (fvGCM)

Jon D. Radakovich, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Wang, J. D. Chern, M. G. Bosilovich, S. J. Lin, S. Nebuda, and B. W. Shen

Poster PDF (298.6 kB)

P2.7

Why did the two strongest El Ni�os in the instrumental record occur in the last two decades?

De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO

P2.8

Performance of the Meteolabor "Snow White" chilled-mirror hygrometer in the tropical troposphere: Comparisons with the Vaisala RS80 A/H-Humicap sensors

Masatomo Fujiwara, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Japan; and M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, H. V�mel, S. J. Oltmans, P. W. Ruppert, T. Horinouchi, and T. Tsuda

P2.9

Paper moved to the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate, Session JP2, New Paper number JP2.16

P2.10

Use of small basin networks for monitoring continental scale changes in the water cycle

J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and E. F. Wood

Poster PDF (75.6 kB)

P2.11

Understanding the dynamic link between tropical climate variation and winter storms along the US west coast through numerical simulations

James M. Wilczak, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, S. A. Michelson, P. J. Neiman, and F. M. Ralph

Poster PDF (327.2 kB)

P2.12

Tropical diabatic heating structure: the role of convective processes and differences between models and observations

F. R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Roads, R. Oglesby, and S. Marshall

P2.13

The Absorption of NIR Solar Radiation by Precipitating Clouds

Wayne F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada; and E. Puckrin

Poster PDF (58.2 kB)

P2.14

Regional climate scenarios set development for hydrological impact studies

Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and J. Milton

Poster PDF (148.3 kB)

P2.15

Quasi-equilibrium closure in convective parameterization: a revisit

Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA

Poster PDF (351.8 kB)

P2.16

Impact of ENSO on Snowpack over the Western United States: A GCM Study

Jiming Jin, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao

Poster PDF (187.4 kB)

P2.17

High-Resolution Global Simulation of the Climatic Effects of Increased Greenhouse Gases

Bala Govindasamy, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. B. Duffy

http://en-env.llnl.gov/cccm/balacv.html

Poster PDF (357.3 kB)

P2.18

Climate monitoring using spectrally resolved infrared radiances from space

Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and R. M. Goody and J. G. Anderson

P2.19

Climate Change Induced Streamflow In the Upper Mississippi River Basin

Manoj Jha, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and Z. Pan, E. Takle, and R. Gu

Poster PDF (68.3 kB)

P2.20

Balloon-borne observations of water vapor and ozone in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere

Holger V�mel, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Fujiwara, M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, and S. Oltmans

P2.21

Atmospheric mass and momentum signals in climate and Earth studies

David A. Salstein, AER, Lexington, MA

Poster PDF (839.0 kB)

P2.22

AIRS Data and Data Support at NASA GES DISC DAAC

Sunmi Cho, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Qin, J. Li, and A. K. Sharma

P2.23

Building Climate Change Scenarios of Temperature and Precipitation in Atlantic Canada using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM)

Gary S. Lines, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and M. Pancura and C. Lander

Poster PDF (827.9 kB)

P2.24

Climate Sensitivity and Thermal Inertia

Qigang Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. R. North

P2.25

Development of a stochastic cloud-radiation parameterization

Dana E. Lane, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and R. C. J. Somerville and S. F. Iacobellis

http://www.envsci.rutgers.edu/~lane/stoca_research.htm

Poster PDF (706.4 kB)

P2.26

Effects of climate change on extreme precipitation events in the western US

Jinwon Kim, University of California, Los Angeles, CA

Poster PDF (113.5 kB)

P2.27

Effects of the Andes on the Eastern Pacific Climate: Regional Model Simulation

Haiming Xu, IPRC/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie and Y. Wang

Poster PDF (362.6 kB)

P2.28

Ground-based Observation of Artic middle Atmospheric Water Vapor from 1995�2001

Paul Hartogh, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Aeronomie, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany

P2.29

Determination of radiative forcing by dust using surface and satellite measurements

Anand K. Inamdar, University of California/SIO, La Jolla, CA; and M. V. Ramana and V. Ramanathan

P2.30

A Greenhouse Gas Index for communicating the global greenhouse gas buildup (Formerly paper P1.16)

Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Poster PDF (52.0 kB)

Lunch Break

Joint Session 4

Water Vapor Observations and Processes (Joint with 14th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations, 7th Symp. on IOS, Fifth Conf. on Atmospheric Chemistry, and Symp. on Observing and Understanding the Varability of Water in Weather and Climate)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations; the 7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle; the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate; and the 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds )

Organizer: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL

Papers:

1:30 PM

J4.1

A Summary of the SPARC Water Vapor Assessment Report

Dieter Kley, Forschungszentrum Juelich, Juelich, Germany; and J. M. Russell III

1:45 PM

J4.2

Cross-Tropopause Convective Transport of Water Vapor: Model Study, Satellite Observation, and Implications

Pao K. Wang, Unversity of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Poster PDF (191.2 kB)

2:00 PM

J4.3

Variations in stratospheric water vapor and tropical tropopause temperatures

William J. Randel, NCAR, Boulder, CO

2:15 PM

J4.4

Cloud physics and water vapor in the evanescent convection altitude regime

Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and A. Dessler

Poster PDF (53.4 kB)

2:30 PM

J4.5

Modeling water vapor and its changes in the tropical tropopause region

Andrew Gettelman, NCAR, Boulder, CO

2:45 PM

J4.6

Validating and Understanding the Water Vapor and Cloud Feedbacks in the NCAR CCSM

De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. Zhang, J. Fasullo, and A. Roubicek

3:00 PM

J4.7

A new look at cloud radiative forcing: Coupling with water vapor forcing

B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and J. Schmetz and V. Ramanathan

3:15 PM

J4.8

Spatio-temporal analysis and comparison of total precipitable water from different datasets

Arief Sudradjat, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Ferraro

Poster PDF (61.0 kB)

3:30 PM

J4.9

Global precipitable water variations since 1973 based on preliminary radiosonde instrument adjustments

Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Poster PDF (70.0 kB)

3:45 PM

J4.10

Relative importance of the land surface latent flux and large-scale moisture transport in determining the onset of rainy season over Amazon

R. Fu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

4:00 PM

J4.11

Surface evaporation and the greenhouse effect over the intertropical oceans

R�my Roca, LMD, Palaiseau, France; and A. Gershunov

4:15 PM

J4.12

Regional Hydrological Cycle and Weather and Climate in the Contiguous United States

Qi Hu, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and S. Feng

Poster PDF (490.0 kB)

4:30 PM

J4.13

The atmospheric moisture budget in the Arctic�introducing and applying a consistent method to use radiosonde data

Reinhard M. Hagenbrock, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and M. G�ber, F. Ament, and A. Hense

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

4:45 PM

J4.14

Moisture Variations Associated with the Initiation of Madden-Julian Oscillation

Bryan C. Weare, University of California, Davis, CA

5:00 PM

J4.6a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30�6:30 p.m.)

6

Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: II

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ.

Papers:

3:30 PM

6.1

The Influence of the NAO/AO on Temperature Extremes in the Northeastern United States

Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Wettstein

3:45 PM

6.2

Arctic Oscillation versus North Atlantic Oscillation: Arguments based on the principal component analysis methodology

Radan Huth, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Praha, Czech Republic

Poster PDF (287.9 kB)

4:00 PM

6.3

The Artic Oscillation�Is It A Physical Mode?

Julian X.L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD

4:15 PM

6.4

Associations between Low Frequency Variability Modes and Winter Climatic Extremes in Canada

Amir Shabbar, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. Bonsal

http://

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)

4:30 PM

6.5

Fluctuations in freezing rain incidences in the United States

David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and R. Bigley and S. A. Changnon Jr.

4:45 PM

6.6

NAO Influence on Maximum and Minimum Temperature of the Iberian Peninsula

M.-J. Esteban-Parra, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain; and D. Pozo-V�zquez, Y. Castro-D�ez, and R. M. Trigo

Poster PDF (403.2 kB)

5:00 PM

6.7

El Ni�o/Southern Oscillation impacts on peak wind gusts in the United States

Jesse G. Enloe, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien

Poster PDF (277.9 kB)

5:15 PM

6.8

Euro-Mediterranean rainfall and ENSO�a seasonally varying relationship

Annarita Mariotti, ENEA Climate Section, Rome, Italy; and N. Zeng and K. -. M. Lau

5:30 PM

6.9

Variability of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies

Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. V. Carvalho, W. Higgins, D. Waliser, and J. K. Schemm

Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC

Sessions End for the Day

Wed 12 Feb

7

Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: I

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Alan Basist, NOAA/NCDC

Papers:

8:30 AM

7.1

The Effects of Amazonian, African and Southeast Asian Deforestation

David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar

8:45 AM

7.2

Simulations of South American monsoon and the effects of land surface processes

Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Li, F. Sales, S. Chou, and H. M. Juang

9:00 AM

7.3

Global scale climate changes due to observed landcover changes in the vicinity of the southeast Asian jet

Thomas N. Chase, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

9:15 AM

7.4

Southern intertropical convergence zones�annual and interannual variations

W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie

8

Observed Climate Change: II

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:

8:30 AM

8.1

Changes in characteristics of United States snowfall over the last half of the twentieth century

Daria Scott, St. Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN; and D. Kaiser

Poster PDF (182.4 kB)

8:45 AM

8.2

Long-term trends in snowpack in the Pacific Northwest

Philip W. Mote, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet and D. P. Lettenmaier

9:00 AM

8.3

Damaging Freezing Rainstorms in the United States, 1949�2000

Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL

9:15 AM

8.4

Digitization of 1800s daily forts data

Karen Andsager, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL; and L. Nicodemus

Poster PDF (73.8 kB)

Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade

Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology

Lunch Break

Joint Session 7

U. S. Global Change Research Program water cycle initiative (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate; the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs

Papers:

1:25 PM

J7.1

An overview of global water cycle scientific issues (Invited Presentation)

Roni Avissar, Duke University, Durham, NC

1:40 PM

J7.2

USGCRP and CCRI: Improved Management of the Science-Policy Interface (Invited Presentation)

Richard Moss, U.S. Global Change Research Program Office, Washington, DC

1:55 PM

J7.3

Contextual Considerations for the US Global Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)

Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Eden

2:10 PM

J7.4

NASA plans for a Water- and Energy-cycle Resarch (WatER) Initiative to Advance Global Water Cycle Science and Prediction (Invited Presentation)

C. Adam Schlosser, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. L. Bras

2:25 PM

J7.5

Water Cycle Research at the National Science Foundation (Invited Presentation)

Pamela L. Stephens, NSF, Arlington, VA

2:40 PM

J7.6

NOAA Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)

Jin Huang, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Lawford

J7.7

DOE water cycle activities (Invited Presentation)

2:55 PM

J7.8

Overview of water resources research issues pertaining to the Bureau of Reclamation (Invited Presentation)

Shannon E. Cunniff, Bureau of Reclamation, Washington, DC

http://www.usbr.gov/research

3:10 PM

J7.9

A Strategy for Global Water Cycle Research

Paul R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

3:25 PM

J7.10

The U.S. Global Water Cycle Initiative and its Interface with the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) (Invited Presentation)

Soroosh Sorooshian, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. Try and M. P. L. Whitaker

3:40 PM

J7.11

The water cycle across scales: An NCAR initiative

Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hack, M. A. LeMone, M. Moncrieff, D. Parsons, K. Trenberth, T. Warner, and J. Wilson

Poster PDF (653.4 kB)

3:55 PM

J7.12

The U.S. Weather Research Program and its Contributions to Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather

Ward R. Seguin, NOAA/U.S. Weather Research Program Interagency Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Gaynor and R. Gall

Poster PDF (232.0 kB)

4:10 PM

J7.0a

Opening Remarks by James Mahoney, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere (NOAA)

4:15 PM

J7.5a

Questions and Discussions: Avissar, Moss, Lawford, Stephens, and Schlosser

4:30 PM

J7.7a

DOE WATER CYCLE ACTIVITIES (INVITED PRESENTATION)

Wanda R. Ferrell, DOE, Germantown, MD; and T. Cress

4:45 PM

J7.12a

Oral Briefings: 1�2 Minute Presentation Summarizing Posters in Session JP4 (Please note that the Formal Viewing Time for these posters will be on Thursday, 13 February at 9:45 a.m.)

5:00 PM

J7.5b

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibit Hours 1:30�7:30 p.m.)

Simpsons Symposium�A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson

9

Model Diagnostics and Evaluation

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:

1:30 PM

9.1

AGCM Simulations of Intraseasonal Variability Associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon

Duane E. Waliser, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Jin, I. S. Kang, W. F. Stern, S. D. Schubert, K. -. M. Lau, M. -. I. Lee, V. Krishnamurthy, A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, V. Y. Galin, V. Satyan, S. K. Mandke, G. Wu, Y. Liu, and C. -. K. Park

http://terra.msrc.sunysb.edu/

Poster PDF (14.3 kB)

2:00 PM

9.2

Diurnal Variations in the Community Climate System Model

Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. E. Trenberth

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)

2:15 PM

9.3

The role of the diurnal cycle in maintaining the mean state of the climate system

Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Hiltner, R. Hansell, J. Y. Kim, V. LaLiberte, W. L. Lee, N. Lovenduski, B. Medeiros, X. Qu, S. Wang, K. N. Liou, and B. Stevens

2:30 PM

9.4

Modelling evidence for the role of the Western Pacific in determining Pacific decadal variability

Bin Yu, MSC, Victoria, BC, Canada; and G. J. Boer

2:45 PM

9.5

Evaluation of the mean simulated climate of the Community Climate System Model

Michael Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and C. Covey

3:00 PM

9.6

Statistical limitations for diagnosing changes in extremes from climate model simulations

Christoph Frei, ETH, Z�rich, Switzerland

Poster PDF (190.0 kB)

3:15 PM

9.7

Snow Cover Simulations in the Second Phase of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project

Allan Frei, Hunter College, City University of New York, New York, NY; and J. A. Miller and D. A. Robinson

3:30 PM

9.8

Preliminary Results from the CCPP-ARM GCM Analysis of Tendency Errors (CA-GATE) project

J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and D. Williamson, G. L. Potter, J. S. Boyle, T. J. Phillips, and M. Fiorino

3:45 PM

9.9

Stabilization of column physics by parameterized dynamical tendencies

John W Bergman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

4:00 PM

9.10

Statistical correction of Central Southwest Asian winter precipition simulations

Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Barlow and B. Lyon

4:15 PM

9.11

Sensitivity of cloud-radiation interactions to cloud microphysics

Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville, G. M. McFarquhar, and D. Mitchell

Poster PDF (475.2 kB)

4:30 PM

9.12

Evaluation of climate model simulations of HIRS water-vapor channel radiances

Richard P. Allan, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. A. Ringer

Poster PDF (180.3 kB)

4:45 PM

9.5a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30�7:30 p.m.)

Sessions End for the Day

Reception (Cash Bar)

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thur 13 Feb

Joint Session 2

Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)

Sponsors: (Joint between the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International

Papers:

8:30 AM

J2.1

Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts

Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC

8:45 AM

J2.2

Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market

Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher

9:00 AM

J2.3

National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data

Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC

9:15 AM

J2.4

The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts

Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY

9:30 AM

J2.5

What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?

Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO

10

Observed Climate Change: III

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

8:30 AM

10.1

Observed changes in mean tropical cloudiness and net radiation since 1952

Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA

8:45 AM

10.2

The Atlantic Hurricane database Re-analysis Project: Results for the first 60 years�1851 to 1910

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, N. Charles, G. Clark, J. Dunion, J. Fernandez-Partagas, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, and M. Zimmer

Poster PDF (911.9 kB)

9:00 AM

10.3

Characteristics of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in the United States: Variability and Synoptic Climatology

Joshua D. Larson, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Silver Springs, MD and Williams College, Williamstown, MA; and R. W. Higgins

9:15 AM

10.4

Developing global climatologies of severe thunderstorms from reanalysis-derived soundings

Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. W. Lee and J. P. Craven

Poster PDF (680.4 kB)

9:30 AM

10.5

A method to infer historic tornado frequency from radiosonde records

Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Poster PDF (196.9 kB)

11

Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: II

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

8:30 AM

11.1

What controls the climatological depth of the PBL?

Brian Medeiros, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall, B. Stevens, and S. Wang

Poster PDF (240.1 kB)

8:45 AM

11.2

Sensitivity of land climate to leaf area index: role of surface conductance versus albedo

Katrina Hales, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and N. Zeng

9:00 AM

11.3

A hydro-thermodynamic soil module to describe soil frost in climate models

Nicole M�lders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK

Poster PDF (963.8 kB)

9:15 AM

11.4

Integrating a river routing scheme in the ORCHIDEE land-surface scheme

Jan Polcher, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique du CNRS, Paris, France; and A. C. Vivant and K. Laval

9:30 AM

11.5

Impact of irrigation over India on the land surface fluxes

Patricia de Rosnay, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and J. Polcher and K. Laval

Simpsons Symposium�A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Joint Poster Session 1

ENSO and Global-Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Papers:

JP1.1

Tropical Ocean Recharge Mechanism for Climate Variability: A Unified Theory for Decadal and ENSO Modes

Xiaochun Wang, JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and F. F. Jin, Y. Wang, and Y. Chao

Poster PDF

JP1.2

The nonlinear ENSO mode and its interdecadal changes

Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

JP1.3

MJO forecast with the NCEP MRF model: Necessity of the inclusion of an interactive ocean

Wanqiu Wang, SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha and R. Kistler

JP1.4

Influences of air-sea coupling and continental monsoons on the climate of the tropical Pacific

Xiouhua Fu, IPRC, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

JP1.5

Large-Scale Characteristics Associated with Spring Heavy Rain Events over Taiwan in the Warm and Non-warm Episodes

Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and G. T. J. Chen and M. C. Wu

Poster PDF (84.6 kB)

JP1.6

A null hypothesis of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO

JP1.7

A Near-Annual Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Mode in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean

Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin, J. S. Kug, and I. S. Kang

Poster PDF (629.4 kB)

Poster Session 3

Poster Session III

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

P3.1

Recent changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods

Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth

Poster PDF (177.2 kB)

P3.2

Seasonality in SST Forced Atmospheric Short-Term Climate Predictability

Xiao-Wei Quan, NOAA/CDC/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, and H. R. Chang

P3.3

Spatiotemporal variability in MODIS-derived surface albedo over global arid and semiarid regions

Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and C. B. Schaaf, F. Gao, A. H. Strahler, R. E. Dickinson, X. Zeng, and W. Lucht

P3.4

The impact of changinf land cover on the summertime climate of the U.S

Somnath Baidya Roy, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and C. P. Weaver, G. Hurtt, and S. W. Pacala

P3.5

Multi-Decadal Regime Shifts in United States Precipitation, Temperature and Streamflow at the end of the 20th Century

Steven A. Mauget, USDA/ARS, Lubbock, TX

P3.6

The Influence of PNA and NAO Patterns on Temperature Anomalies in the Midwest During Four Recent El Nino Events: A Statistical Study

Dayton Vincent, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Lashley, S. O'Connor, M. Skipper, B. O'Hara, T. Reaugh, and G. Lamberty

Poster PDF (397.4 kB)

P3.7

The seasonal pattern of recent change in precipitation normals

Jurgen D. Garbrecht, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. M. Schneider and J. X. Zhang

Poster PDF (165.9 kB)

P3.8

Understanding biosphere-atmosphere interactions through a detailed energy budget analysis of Earth�s biomes

Peter K. Snyder, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. H. Hitchman and J. A. Foley

P3.9

Variability of the North American Monsoon System: An analysis of climate dynamics and frequency modes

Eileen A. Hall-McKim, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. W. Nolin and M. C. Serreze

P3.10

The relationship between low-frequency North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and eastern North American climate

Anthony Arguez, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien

Poster PDF (189.9 kB)

P3.11

Modeling Intra-seasonal to Interannual Variability of Precipitation over Central America

Robert J. Oglesby, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. O. Roads, F. R. Robertson, and S. Marshall

P3.12

A study on the cloud variability in the east Asia

Kazuaki Kawamoto, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan; and T. Hayasaka and T. Nakajima

P3.13

African Easterly Waves: dynamical stability and possible precursors

Nicholas Hall, LEGI, Grenoble, France; and A. Diedhiou

P3.14

Analysis of Subseasonal Variability in Precipitation Over the United States

David Small, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH; and S. Islam

P3.15

Antarctic oscillation variations and teleconnections with convective activity in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone

Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and T. Ambrizzi

P3.16

A seasonal comparison of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) to surface temperature, mixing ratio and precipitation in Texas for the years 1975�1997

Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson, A. L. Doggett IV, and J. L. Schroeder

P3.17

Dependency of tropical interannual variability on atmospheric horizontal resolution in a CGCM

P3.18

Impact of the Phenomenon La-ni�a 1998�2000 on the precipitation regimen in the region of the Amazon Medium

David Mendes, University of Lisbon, Lisboa, Portugal; and M. C. Dami�o Mendes

Poster PDF (244.6 kB)

P3.19

Interannual and interdecadal variability in the predominant Pacific Region SST anomaly patterns

Derrick K. Weitlich, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and E. P. Kelsey, A. R. Lupo, and J. E. Woolard

Poster PDF (278.0 kB)

P3.20

Longwave Surface Radiation Budget and Climate

Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, S. K. Gupta, and P. W. Stackhouse

Poster PDF (617.9 kB)

P3.21

Paper have been moved to Session 11, new paper number 11.5

Joint Poster Session 4

U.S. Global Change Research Program Water Cycle Initiative Poster Session (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate; the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs

Papers:

JP4.0a

ORAL BRIEFINGS: 1-2 MINUTE PRESENTATION SUMMERIZING POSTERS IN SESSION JP4 WILL BE HELD ON WEDNESDAY AT 5:15 P.M. AS PART OF SESSION J7

JP4.1

Integrating water cycle research activities at NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center

Deborah R. Belvedere, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser and C. A. Schlosser

JP4.2

The second GEWEX Global Soil Wetness Project (GSWP2)

Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and T. Oki

12

General Circulation and Teleconnections

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

11:00 AM

12.1

Evaluating Multi-decadale Trends in Tropical CAPE

Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall

Poster PDF (620.4 kB)

11:15 AM

12.2

Roles of Ocean in the Biennial Transitions between Indian and Australian Monsoons

Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and S. P. Weng

11:30 AM

12.3

Seamless poleward atmospheric energy transports

Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Stepaniak

Poster PDF (96.9 kB)

11:45 AM

12.4

Terrestrial hydrological states and teleconnections with SST phenomena

J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and G. Goteti, E. F. Wood, and D. P. Lettenmaier

Lunch Break

13

Climate Change Modeling: II

Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:

1:30 PM

13.1

Sensitivities of a high-resolution coupled GCM in a CO2 doubling experiment

Keiko Takahashi, Japan Marine Science and Technology Center, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and W. Ohfuchi, N. Komori, H. Nakamura, H. Sakuma, and T. Sato

2:00 PM

13.2

Can the CCM3 Global Climate Model Accurately Simulate the Arctic Oscillation?

Raymond Mooring, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

Poster PDF (259.9 kB)

2:15 PM

13.3

A 12-year (1987�1998) ensemble simulation of the U.S. climate with a variable-resolution stretched-grid GCM

Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. L. Takacs and R. C. Govindaraju

2:30 PM

13.4

Impact of increased CO2 levels on interannual tropical variability

Antonio Navarra, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy; and C. Annalisa

2:45 PM

13.5

Interactions among cloud, water vapor, radiation and large-scale circulation in the tropical climate

Kristin Larson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Hartmann

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~klarson/interaction.html

Poster PDF (136.7 kB)

3:00 PM

13.6

Runoff sensitivity to climate warming: a process study with a coupled climate-runoff model

Jan Kleinn, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. Frei, J. Gurtz, P. L. Vidale, and C. Sch�r

Poster PDF (662.9 kB)

3:15 PM

13.7

Evaluating the A1 scenario in the CCSM for West Africa: 20th and 21st century climates

Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and E. M. Blaisdell

3:30 PM

13.8

Changes in thermohaline circulation in future climate

Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Meehl, W. Washington, and A. Dai

Poster PDF (641.7 kB)

3:45 PM

13.9

The simulated impact of surface albedo feedback on climate variability

Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA

4:00 PM

13.10

Analysis of GCM predicted precipitation recycling over large basins

E. F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield

4:15 PM

13.11

Quasi-periodic natural variations in the Thermohaline Circulation and climate in a 1400 year coupled model calculation

Jeff R. Knight, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and R. J. Allan, C. K. Folland, and M. Vellinga

4:30 PM

13.12

A dynamically interactive column physics model suitable for diagnosing GCM errors and climate variability

Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bergman

4:45 PM

13.5a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30�6:00 p.m.)

Joint Session 1

ENSO and Global-scale atmosphere-ocean coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere )

Sponsors: (Joint between the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Papers:

3:30 PM

J1.1

Will Global warming Induce a Permanent El Nino? (It has happened before!)

George Philander, Princeton University, Princeton, N.J.

4:00 PM

J1.2

Linkages between El Ni�o and Recent Tropical Warming

Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. -. I. An, A. Timmermann, and J. Zhao

Poster PDF (698.2 kB)

4:15 PM

J1.3

Evolution of El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific during 2002�03

Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA

4:30 PM

J1.4

Tropical precipitation anomalies: ENSO teleconnections vs. global warming

J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su and C. Chou

4:45 PM

J1.5

Surface Stress Balance in the Tropics

Matthias Munnich, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. Neelin

5:00 PM

J1.6

The impact of ENSO on the North Pacific Ocean during summer

Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Scott

5:15 PM

J1.7

Ocean-atmosphere interaction within equatorially trapped atmospheric waves

George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

5:30 PM

J1.7a

Conference ends

Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

Simpsons Banquet

Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific

: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Saturday, 8 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

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Sunday, 9 February 2003

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Thursday, 13 February 2003

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8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

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Saturday, 8 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

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9:00 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

Sunday, 9 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 9 February 2003

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 February 2003

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 February 2003

Monday, 10 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 10 February 2003

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

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5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

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5:45 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003