83rd Annual

: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Saturday, 8 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003


Sat 8 Feb

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 8 February 2003


Conference Registration*

Sunday, 9 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 9 February 2003


Sun 9 Feb

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 February 2003


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 February 2003


Conference Registration

Monday, 10 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 10 February 2003


Mon 10 Feb

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


1
State of the Science: The Role of the Carbon Cycle in the Earth System
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizers: Lisa Dilling, NOAA/OAR; Tony J. Busalacchi, ESSIC, University of Maryland

Papers:
  9:00 AM
1.1
Carbon-Climate interaction as a first-order source of uncertainty in future climate
Scott Denning, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

  10:00 AM
1.4
Tradeoffs between measurement accuracy and cost, vertical and horizontal sampling density, and signal strength and variability in an expanded CO2 observing network
Britton Stephens, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Schimel, D. Baker, R. Dargaville, S. Aulenbach, J. Oxelson, D. Brown, and C. S. I. Participants

  10:15 AM
1.5
Data assimilation for carbon cycle studies
David Schimel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Hibbard and D. Baker

  10:30 AM
1.6
The changing carbon cycle: contribution from climate variability
Ning Zeng, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Murtugudde and J. Christian

  11:00 AM
1.8
Long-term changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide
Francisco P. Chavez, MBARI, Moss Landing, CA; and S. C. Wofsy

  11:15 AM
1.9
The role of the equatorial Pacific on interannual and interdecadal variations of ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes
Richard A. Feely, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and F. Chai, F. Chavez, M. J. McPhaden, and R. Wanninkhof

  11:30 AM
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


2
Climate Change Modeling: I
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
Factors affecting climate sensitivity in global coupled climate models
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington and J. M. Arblaster

  2:00 PM
2.2
The South-Asian Brown Cloud: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model study of its impact on the Monsoon, El-Nino and the Hyrdological Cycle
Veerabhadran Ramanathan, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. T. Kiehl, T. Bettge, W. M. Washington, and . C. Chung

  2:30 PM
2.3
Detectability of anthropogenic changes in temperature and precipitation extremes
Gabriele C. Hegerl, Duke University, Durham, NC; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott

Poster PDF (371.1 kB)
  2:45 PM
2.4
  3:00 PM
2.5
Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the western U.S
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian, X. Bian, W. M. Washington, J. Han, and J. O. Roads

  3:15 PM
2.6
Hydrologic assessment: application of extreme value theory for climate extreme scenarios construction
Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and M. Mirza, D. Etkin, and J. Milton

Poster PDF (138.7 kB)
  3:30 PM
2.7
Using ANOVA to Estimate the Relative Magnitude of Uncertainty in a Suite of Climate Change Scenarios
Julie A. Winkler, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI; and J. A. Andresen, G. Guentchev, E. A. Waller, and J. T. Brown

Poster PDF (268.0 kB)
  3:45 PM
2.8
  4:00 PM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break


3
Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: I
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Chet Ropelewski, Columbia Univ.

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
Interannual variability in the North American monsoon: A general circulation model study
John D. Farrara, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Y. Yu

  1:45 PM
3.2
Interannual variability of the western North Pacific summer monsoon: differences between ENSO and non-ENSO years
Chia Chou, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. Y. Tu and J. Y. Yu

http://ecrc.sinica.edu.tw/~chia/

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
  2:15 PM
3.4
Mechanism and predictability of South American low-level jets
Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu

  2:30 PM
3.5
Reconstrction of the oceanic precipitation from 1948 to the present
Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and T. M. Smith

Poster PDF (566.8 kB)
  2:45 PM
3.6
Variability of River Streamflow and Climate
Carlos Roberto Mechoso, University of California, Los Angeles, CA

  3:00 PM
3.7
  3:15 PM
3.8
Evaluating the variability and budgets of global water cycle components
V. R. Sridhar, University of Washington; and G. Goteti, J. Sheffield, D. P. Lettenmaier, and E. F. Wood

  3:30 PM
3.9
Covariability of Annual United States Tornado Report Counts and Climate Indices
Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. K. Wikle and R. W. Arritt

Poster PDF (315.7 kB)
 
3.10
Teleconnection and US Rainfall Anomalies during the Northern Summer

  4:00 PM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


Poster Session 1
Poster Session: I
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
 
Mountain uplift and ENSO
Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
Multi-model trends in the Sahara induced by increasing CO2
Ping Liu, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. A. Meehl and G. Wu

Poster PDF (598.5 kB)
 
Ouranos: a Global Approach to Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Assessment
Réal Decoste, Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Beauchemin, A. Bourque, B. Bobée, R. Laprise, R. Laurence, C. A. Lin, R. Roy, and T. Ouarda

 
PCMDI's "portrait" and "Taylor" diagrams, doing science with CDAT
Charles Doutriaux, PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and D. Williams and K. Taylor

 
The ECCO Routine Global Ocean Data Assimilation System
Ichiro Fukumori, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and T. Lee, D. Menemenlis, and L. L. Fu

 
The effect of spatial scale of climate change scenarios on crop production in the Southeastern United States
Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and L. O. Mearns, T. Mavromatis, W. Gao, L. R. McDaniel, and M. W. Downton

Poster PDF (486.2 kB)
 
The Effect of the Orbit of the sun on the Earth's Atmosphere
John C. Freeman, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. F. Hasling

Poster PDF (170.8 kB)
 
P1.9
The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on hydroelectric power generation in the Iberian peninsula

 
P1.10
The Indication of the decreasing temperature based on Oxygen isotope in Coral Porites.sp from Maudulung-sumba, Indonesia

 
Seasonal radiation balance of Africa
Donald P. Garber, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and T. Wong

Poster PDF (885.3 kB)
 
Using mean flow change as a proxy to infer inter-decadal storm track variability
Edmund K. M. Chang, Stony Brook University, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY

 
Validation and Diagnosis of AMIP II Land-surface Simulations
Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and A. Henderson-Sellers, P. Irannejad, K. McGuffie, S. Sharmeen, and H. Zhang

 
Long term climatological changes in fog intensity and coverage
Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam Corporation, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars

Poster PDF (91.0 kB)
 
A Comparison of the Weather in U.S. Cities During the 1983–'84 and 1998–'99 La Nina's
Heather L. Honnette, U. S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith

Poster PDF (33.2 kB)
 
Analysis of diurnal and seasonal cycles in climatic trends for records with changes of observation times
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock and A. Basist

 
Comparisons of the NCEP AMIP II integration(s) and the NCEP reanalysis
J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy

 
Conceptual modeling of the climatic role of airborne mineral dust
Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville

 
Decadal changes in summertime typhoon track
Joo-Hong Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. J. Baik, D. Y. Gong, and C. H. Sui

Poster PDF (338.0 kB)
 
Decadal Variability of the Bio-Climate Feedbacks in the Tropics
Raghu Murtugudde, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Ballabrera, J. Christian, J. Beauchamp, and A. J. Busalacchi Jr.

 
Ensemble simulations of Asian-Australian monsoon anomalies during 1997–1998 El Nino by 11 AGCMs
Bin Wang, IPRC University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and I. S. Kang and J. Y. Lee

 
Evaluation of the Entraining-Detraining Plume Model applied to the cumulus parameterization of the large-scale model
Jung-Hee Ryu, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. B. Ahn and J. H. Oh

Poster PDF (266.9 kB)
 
Assessment of Forcing Data Derived from ECMWF Model for SCMs at the ARM SGP Site
Shaocheng Xie, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and R. T. Cederwall, J. J. Yio, and M. Zhang

Poster PDF (278.8 kB)
 
Expanded Pre-1948 Digital Hourly Database
Mark Seiderman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, R. Truesdell, and D. Graybeal

 
Intraseasonal and Synoptic Variations of Radiation Budget
Takmeng Wong, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)
 
Observed high latitude temperature change in North America(Formerly paper 4.9)
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Gleason, D. Wuertz, and R. Vose

 
Influence of Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian summer monsoon (Formerly paper number 3.3)
Jee-Hoon Jeong, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C. H. Ho and D. Y. Gong

Poster PDF (334.9 kB)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


Sessions End for the Day

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Tuesday, 11 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


Tue 11 Feb

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


4
Observed Climate Change: I
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the North American region
David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic, Australia

  8:45 AM
4.2
Global atmospheric temperatures: Error estimates of AMSU/MSU v. 5.0
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. W. Spencer and D. Braswell

Poster PDF (55.9 kB)
  9:00 AM
4.3
Intercomparison of global upper-air temperature datasets from radiosondes and satellites
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. K. Angell, J. Christy, M. Free, S. Klein, J. Lanzante, C. Mears, D. Parker, M. Schabel, R. Spencer, A. Sterin, P. Thorne, and F. Wentz

Poster PDF (94.4 kB)
  9:15 AM
4.4
A new tropospheric temperature dataset from MSU
Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. C. Schabel and F. J. Wentz

http://www.remss.com/msu/

Poster PDF (413.8 kB)
  9:45 AM
4.7
Expected regional variations and changes of mean and extreme climatology of Eastern/Central Europe
Judit Bartholy, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Matyasovszky, and V. Schlanger

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
  10:00 AM
4.8
Contemporary climate changes in high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere: Daily time resolution
Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. Sun, R. S. Vose, J. H. Lawrimore, P. H. Whitfield, E. Førland, I. Hanssen-Bauer, M. C. Serreze, V. N. Razuvaev, and G. V. Alekseev

Poster PDF (897.8 kB)
  10:15 AM
Reduced climate variability with global warming
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Robock, R. J. Stouffer, and A. Basist

  10:30 AM
Observational Data Issues for Analysis of Extremes
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

  10:45 AM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

8:45 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


5
Seasonal/Interannual Prediction
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/ERL/CDC

Papers:
  8:45 AM
5.1
Spring and summer seasonal predictability and the land surface
Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and M. Zhao and C. A. Schlosser

  9:00 AM
5.2
On the delayed atmospheric response to ENSO SST
Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson

  9:15 AM
5.3
Seasonal variability on Southeastern Brazil related to frontal systems behaviour in a climate simulation with the AGCM CPTEC/COLA
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and L. H. R. Coura da Silva

Poster PDF (811.8 kB)
  9:30 AM
5.4
Temporal disaggregation of probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts
Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht

Poster PDF (167.9 kB)
  9:45 AM
5.5
Predictability of anomalous synoptic variability from interannual to interdecadal timescales
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

  10:00 AM
5.6
Experimental forecasting of dry season storminess over Florida from the ENSO signal: latest results and advancements
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/enso/mlbnino.html

Poster PDF (794.7 kB)
  10:15 AM
5.7
Snow cover, soil moisture, and the Asian summer monsoon
Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Mu, K. Y. Vinnikov, and D. A. Robinson

  10:30 AM
5.8
Extending Atmospheric Forecasts beyond Weather: The History of Climate Prediction
Robert W. Reeves, NOAA/NWS, Washington, DC; and D. Gemmill, R. Livezey, and J. Laver

Poster PDF (71.9 kB)
  10:45 AM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


Poster Session 2
Poster Session II
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
 
Long-term Variations in the 1000+ Year PCM Control Run
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, T. W. Bettge, and W. G. Strand

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)
 
Lidar observation of mid-latitude water vapor layers near the tropopause
John E. Wessel, Aerospace Corp, Los Angeles, CA; and R. W. Farley

 
LASE characterization of the hurricane environment and the influence of moisture on hurricane forecasting
Syed Ismail, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, R. A. Ferrare, S. A. Kooi, A. Notari, J. B. Halverson, T. N. Krishnamurti, and K. Rupa

 
Interannual variations in the south Asian haze forcing: Implications to ENSO
Chul Eddy Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan

 
P2.5
Indian Ocean Dipole and Regional Climate Variability

 
Implementation of the NCAR Community Land Model (CLM) in the NASA/NCAR finite-volume Global Climate Model (fvGCM)
Jon D. Radakovich, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Wang, J. D. Chern, M. G. Bosilovich, S. J. Lin, S. Nebuda, and B. W. Shen

Poster PDF (298.6 kB)
 
Performance of the Meteolabor "Snow White" chilled-mirror hygrometer in the tropical troposphere: Comparisons with the Vaisala RS80 A/H-Humicap sensors
Masatomo Fujiwara, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Japan; and M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, H. Vömel, S. J. Oltmans, P. W. Ruppert, T. Horinouchi, and T. Tsuda

 
Use of small basin networks for monitoring continental scale changes in the water cycle
J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and E. F. Wood

Poster PDF (75.6 kB)
 
Understanding the dynamic link between tropical climate variation and winter storms along the US west coast through numerical simulations
James M. Wilczak, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, S. A. Michelson, P. J. Neiman, and F. M. Ralph

Poster PDF (327.2 kB)
 
Tropical diabatic heating structure: the role of convective processes and differences between models and observations
F. R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Roads, R. Oglesby, and S. Marshall

 
The Absorption of NIR Solar Radiation by Precipitating Clouds
Wayne F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada; and E. Puckrin

Poster PDF (58.2 kB)
 
Regional climate scenarios set development for hydrological impact studies
Jeanna Goldstein, EC, Saint-Laurent, QC, Canada; and J. Milton

Poster PDF (148.3 kB)
 
Quasi-equilibrium closure in convective parameterization: a revisit
Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA

Poster PDF (351.8 kB)
 
Impact of ENSO on Snowpack over the Western United States: A GCM Study
Jiming Jin, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao

Poster PDF (187.4 kB)
 
High-Resolution Global Simulation of the Climatic Effects of Increased Greenhouse Gases
Bala Govindasamy, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. B. Duffy

http://en-env.llnl.gov/cccm/balacv.html

Poster PDF (357.3 kB)
 
Climate monitoring using spectrally resolved infrared radiances from space
Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and R. M. Goody and J. G. Anderson

 
Climate Change Induced Streamflow In the Upper Mississippi River Basin
Manoj Jha, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and Z. Pan, E. Takle, and R. Gu

Poster PDF (68.3 kB)
 
Balloon-borne observations of water vapor and ozone in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere
Holger Vömel, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Fujiwara, M. Shiotani, F. Hasebe, and S. Oltmans

 
AIRS Data and Data Support at NASA GES DISC DAAC
Sunmi Cho, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Qin, J. Li, and A. K. Sharma

 
Climate Sensitivity and Thermal Inertia
Qigang Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. R. North

 
Development of a stochastic cloud-radiation parameterization
Dana E. Lane, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and R. C. J. Somerville and S. F. Iacobellis

http://www.envsci.rutgers.edu/~lane/stoca_research.htm

Poster PDF (706.4 kB)
 
Effects of climate change on extreme precipitation events in the western US
Jinwon Kim, University of California, Los Angeles, CA

Poster PDF (113.5 kB)
 
Effects of the Andes on the Eastern Pacific Climate: Regional Model Simulation
Haiming Xu, IPRC/SOEST, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie and Y. Wang

Poster PDF (362.6 kB)
 
Ground-based Observation of Artic middle Atmospheric Water Vapor from 1995–2001
Paul Hartogh, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Aeronomie, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany

 
Determination of radiative forcing by dust using surface and satellite measurements
Anand K. Inamdar, University of California/SIO, La Jolla, CA; and M. V. Ramana and V. Ramanathan

 
A Greenhouse Gas Index for communicating the global greenhouse gas buildup (Formerly paper P1.16)
Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Poster PDF (52.0 kB)

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


Joint Session 4
Water Vapor Observations and Processes (Joint with 14th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations, 7th Symp. on IOS, Fifth Conf. on Atmospheric Chemistry, and Symp. on Observing and Understanding the Varability of Water in Weather and Climate)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations; the 7th Symposium on IOS: The Water Cycle; the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate; and the 5th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry: Gases, Aerosols, and Clouds )
Organizer: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
A Summary of the SPARC Water Vapor Assessment Report
Dieter Kley, Forschungszentrum Juelich, Juelich, Germany; and J. M. Russell III

  2:15 PM
Cloud physics and water vapor in the evanescent convection altitude regime
Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and A. Dessler

Poster PDF (53.4 kB)
  2:30 PM
  2:45 PM
Validating and Understanding the Water Vapor and Cloud Feedbacks in the NCAR CCSM
De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. Zhang, J. Fasullo, and A. Roubicek

  3:00 PM
A new look at cloud radiative forcing: Coupling with water vapor forcing
B. J. Sohn, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and J. Schmetz and V. Ramanathan

  3:15 PM
Spatio-temporal analysis and comparison of total precipitable water from different datasets
Arief Sudradjat, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Ferraro

Poster PDF (61.0 kB)
  3:30 PM
  4:00 PM
Surface evaporation and the greenhouse effect over the intertropical oceans
Rémy Roca, LMD, Palaiseau, France; and A. Gershunov

  4:15 PM
Regional Hydrological Cycle and Weather and Climate in the Contiguous United States
Qi Hu, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and S. Feng

Poster PDF (490.0 kB)
  4:30 PM
The atmospheric moisture budget in the Arctic—introducing and applying a consistent method to use radiosonde data
Reinhard M. Hagenbrock, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and M. Göber, F. Ament, and A. Hense

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
  4:45 PM
Moisture Variations Associated with the Initiation of Madden-Julian Oscillation
Bryan C. Weare, University of California, Davis, CA

  5:00 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)

3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


6
Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability: II
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ.

Papers:
  3:30 PM
6.1
The Influence of the NAO/AO on Temperature Extremes in the Northeastern United States
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Wettstein

  3:45 PM
6.2
  4:00 PM
6.3
The Artic Oscillation—Is It A Physical Mode?
Julian X.L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD

  4:15 PM
6.4
Associations between Low Frequency Variability Modes and Winter Climatic Extremes in Canada
Amir Shabbar, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. Bonsal

http://

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)
  4:30 PM
6.5
Fluctuations in freezing rain incidences in the United States
David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and R. Bigley and S. A. Changnon Jr.

  4:45 PM
6.6
NAO Influence on Maximum and Minimum Temperature of the Iberian Peninsula
M.-J. Esteban-Parra, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain; and D. Pozo-Vázquez, Y. Castro-Díez, and R. M. Trigo

Poster PDF (403.2 kB)
  5:00 PM
6.7
El NiÑo/Southern Oscillation impacts on peak wind gusts in the United States
Jesse G. Enloe, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien

Poster PDF (277.9 kB)
  5:15 PM
6.8
Euro-Mediterranean rainfall and ENSO—a seasonally varying relationship
Annarita Mariotti, ENEA Climate Section, Rome, Italy; and N. Zeng and K. -. M. Lau

  5:30 PM
6.9
Variability of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies
Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. V. Carvalho, W. Higgins, D. Waliser, and J. K. Schemm

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC

5:45 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003


Sessions End for the Day

Wednesday, 12 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Wed 12 Feb

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


7
Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: I
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Alan Basist, NOAA/NCDC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
7.1
The Effects of Amazonian, African and Southeast Asian Deforestation
David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar

  8:45 AM
7.2
Simulations of South American monsoon and the effects of land surface processes
Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Li, F. Sales, S. Chou, and H. M. Juang

  9:15 AM
7.4

8
Observed Climate Change: II
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
8.1
Changes in characteristics of United States snowfall over the last half of the twentieth century
Daria Scott, St. Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN; and D. Kaiser

Poster PDF (182.4 kB)
  8:45 AM
8.2
Long-term trends in snowpack in the Pacific Northwest
Philip W. Mote, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet and D. P. Lettenmaier

  9:00 AM
8.3
Damaging Freezing Rainstorms in the United States, 1949–2000
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL

  9:15 AM
8.4
Digitization of 1800s daily forts data
Karen Andsager, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL; and L. Nicodemus

Poster PDF (73.8 kB)

9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade

10:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Lunch Break

1:25 PM-5:29 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Joint Session 7
U. S. Global Change Research Program water cycle initiative (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate; the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs

Papers:
  1:25 PM
  1:40 PM
USGCRP and CCRI: Improved Management of the Science-Policy Interface (Invited Presentation)
Richard Moss, U.S. Global Change Research Program Office, Washington, DC

  1:55 PM
Contextual Considerations for the US Global Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)
Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Eden

  2:10 PM
NASA plans for a Water- and Energy-cycle Resarch (WatER) Initiative to Advance Global Water Cycle Science and Prediction (Invited Presentation)
C. Adam Schlosser, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. L. Bras

  2:40 PM
NOAA Water Cycle Program (Invited Presentation)
Jin Huang, NOAA/Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Lawford

 
J7.7
DOE water cycle activities (Invited Presentation)

  2:55 PM
Overview of water resources research issues pertaining to the Bureau of Reclamation (Invited Presentation)
Shannon E. Cunniff, Bureau of Reclamation, Washington, DC

http://www.usbr.gov/research

  3:10 PM
A Strategy for Global Water Cycle Research
Paul R. Houser, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

  3:25 PM
  3:40 PM
The water cycle across scales: An NCAR initiative
Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hack, M. A. LeMone, M. Moncrieff, D. Parsons, K. Trenberth, T. Warner, and J. Wilson

Poster PDF (653.4 kB)
  3:55 PM
The U.S. Weather Research Program and its Contributions to Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather
Ward R. Seguin, NOAA/U.S. Weather Research Program Interagency Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Gaynor and R. Gall

Poster PDF (232.0 kB)
  4:10 PM
Opening Remarks by James Mahoney, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere (NOAA)

  4:15 PM
Questions and Discussions: Avissar, Moss, Lawford, Stephens, and Schlosser

  4:30 PM
DOE WATER CYCLE ACTIVITIES (INVITED PRESENTATION)
Wanda R. Ferrell, DOE, Germantown, MD; and T. Cress

  4:45 PM
Oral Briefings: 1–2 Minute Presentation Summarizing Posters in Session JP4 (Please note that the Formal Viewing Time for these posters will be on Thursday, 13 February at 9:45 a.m.)

  5:00 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibit Hours 1:30–7:30 p.m.)

1:30 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


9
Model Diagnostics and Evaluation
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
Organizer: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
9.1
AGCM Simulations of Intraseasonal Variability Associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon
Duane E. Waliser, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Jin, I. S. Kang, W. F. Stern, S. D. Schubert, K. -. M. Lau, M. -. I. Lee, V. Krishnamurthy, A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, V. Y. Galin, V. Satyan, S. K. Mandke, G. Wu, Y. Liu, and C. -. K. Park

http://terra.msrc.sunysb.edu/

Poster PDF (14.3 kB)
  2:00 PM
9.2
Diurnal Variations in the Community Climate System Model
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. E. Trenberth

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)
  2:15 PM
9.3
The role of the diurnal cycle in maintaining the mean state of the climate system
Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Hiltner, R. Hansell, J. Y. Kim, V. LaLiberte, W. L. Lee, N. Lovenduski, B. Medeiros, X. Qu, S. Wang, K. N. Liou, and B. Stevens

  2:45 PM
9.5
Evaluation of the mean simulated climate of the Community Climate System Model
Michael Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and C. Covey

  3:15 PM
9.7
Snow Cover Simulations in the Second Phase of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project
Allan Frei, Hunter College, City University of New York, New York, NY; and J. A. Miller and D. A. Robinson

  3:30 PM
9.8
Preliminary Results from the CCPP-ARM GCM Analysis of Tendency Errors (CA-GATE) project
J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and D. Williamson, G. L. Potter, J. S. Boyle, T. J. Phillips, and M. Fiorino

  3:45 PM
9.9
Stabilization of column physics by parameterized dynamical tendencies
John W Bergman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

  4:00 PM
Statistical correction of Central Southwest Asian winter precipition simulations
Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and M. Barlow and B. Lyon

  4:15 PM
Sensitivity of cloud-radiation interactions to cloud microphysics
Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville, G. M. McFarquhar, and D. Mitchell

Poster PDF (475.2 kB)
  4:30 PM
Evaluation of climate model simulations of HIRS water-vapor channel radiances
Richard P. Allan, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. A. Ringer

Poster PDF (180.3 kB)
  4:45 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–7:30 p.m.)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Sessions End for the Day

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


Reception (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003


AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 13 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Thur 13 Feb

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Joint Session 2
Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts
Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC

  8:45 AM
Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market
Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher

  9:00 AM
  9:15 AM
The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts
Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY

  9:30 AM
What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?
Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO


10
Observed Climate Change: III
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Observed changes in mean tropical cloudiness and net radiation since 1952
Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA

  8:45 AM
The Atlantic Hurricane database Re-analysis Project: Results for the first 60 years—1851 to 1910
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, N. Charles, G. Clark, J. Dunion, J. Fernandez-Partagas, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, and M. Zimmer

Poster PDF (911.9 kB)
  9:00 AM
Characteristics of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in the United States: Variability and Synoptic Climatology
Joshua D. Larson, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Silver Springs, MD and Williams College, Williamstown, MA; and R. W. Higgins

  9:15 AM
Developing global climatologies of severe thunderstorms from reanalysis-derived soundings
Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. W. Lee and J. P. Craven

Poster PDF (680.4 kB)
  9:30 AM
A method to infer historic tornado frequency from radiosonde records
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Poster PDF (196.9 kB)

11
Surface/Atmosphere Interactions: II
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
  8:30 AM
What controls the climatological depth of the PBL?
Brian Medeiros, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall, B. Stevens, and S. Wang

Poster PDF (240.1 kB)
  8:45 AM
Sensitivity of land climate to leaf area index: role of surface conductance versus albedo
Katrina Hales, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and N. Zeng

  9:00 AM
A hydro-thermodynamic soil module to describe soil frost in climate models
Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK

Poster PDF (963.8 kB)
  9:15 AM
Integrating a river routing scheme in the ORCHIDEE land-surface scheme
Jan Polcher, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique du CNRS, Paris, France; and A. C. Vivant and K. Laval

  9:30 AM
Impact of irrigation over India on the land surface fluxes
Patricia de Rosnay, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and J. Polcher and K. Laval

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Joint Poster Session 1
ENSO and Global-Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Papers:
 
Tropical Ocean Recharge Mechanism for Climate Variability: A Unified Theory for Decadal and ENSO Modes
Xiaochun Wang, JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and F. F. Jin, Y. Wang, and Y. Chao

 
The nonlinear ENSO mode and its interdecadal changes
Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)
 
MJO forecast with the NCEP MRF model: Necessity of the inclusion of an interactive ocean
Wanqiu Wang, SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha and R. Kistler

 
Large-Scale Characteristics Associated with Spring Heavy Rain Events over Taiwan in the Warm and Non-warm Episodes
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and G. T. J. Chen and M. C. Wu

Poster PDF (84.6 kB)
 
A null hypothesis of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO

 
A Near-Annual Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Mode in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean
Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin, J. S. Kug, and I. S. Kang

Poster PDF (629.4 kB)

Poster Session 3
Poster Session III
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
 
Recent changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods
Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Huth

Poster PDF (177.2 kB)
 
Seasonality in SST Forced Atmospheric Short-Term Climate Predictability
Xiao-Wei Quan, NOAA/CDC/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, and H. R. Chang

 
Spatiotemporal variability in MODIS-derived surface albedo over global arid and semiarid regions
Elena A. Tsvetsinskaya, Boston University, Boston, MA; and C. B. Schaaf, F. Gao, A. H. Strahler, R. E. Dickinson, X. Zeng, and W. Lucht

 
The impact of changinf land cover on the summertime climate of the U.S
Somnath Baidya Roy, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and C. P. Weaver, G. Hurtt, and S. W. Pacala

 
The Influence of PNA and NAO Patterns on Temperature Anomalies in the Midwest During Four Recent El Nino Events: A Statistical Study
Dayton Vincent, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Lashley, S. O'Connor, M. Skipper, B. O'Hara, T. Reaugh, and G. Lamberty

Poster PDF (397.4 kB)
 
The seasonal pattern of recent change in precipitation normals
Jurgen D. Garbrecht, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. M. Schneider and J. X. Zhang

Poster PDF (165.9 kB)
 
Understanding biosphere-atmosphere interactions through a detailed energy budget analysis of Earth’s biomes
Peter K. Snyder, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. H. Hitchman and J. A. Foley

 
Variability of the North American Monsoon System: An analysis of climate dynamics and frequency modes
Eileen A. Hall-McKim, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. W. Nolin and M. C. Serreze

 
The relationship between low-frequency North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and eastern North American climate
Anthony Arguez, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. R. Smith and J. J. O'Brien

Poster PDF (189.9 kB)
 
Modeling Intra-seasonal to Interannual Variability of Precipitation over Central America
Robert J. Oglesby, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. O. Roads, F. R. Robertson, and S. Marshall

 
A study on the cloud variability in the east Asia
Kazuaki Kawamoto, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan; and T. Hayasaka and T. Nakajima

 
African Easterly Waves: dynamical stability and possible precursors
Nicholas Hall, LEGI, Grenoble, France; and A. Diedhiou

 
Analysis of Subseasonal Variability in Precipitation Over the United States
David Small, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH; and S. Islam

 
Antarctic oscillation variations and teleconnections with convective activity in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and T. Ambrizzi

 
A seasonal comparison of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) to surface temperature, mixing ratio and precipitation in Texas for the years 1975–1997
Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson, A. L. Doggett IV, and J. L. Schroeder

 
P3.17
Dependency of tropical interannual variability on atmospheric horizontal resolution in a CGCM

 
Impact of the Phenomenon La-niña 1998–2000 on the precipitation regimen in the region of the Amazon Medium
David Mendes, University of Lisbon, Lisboa, Portugal; and M. C. Damião Mendes

Poster PDF (244.6 kB)
 
Interannual and interdecadal variability in the predominant Pacific Region SST anomaly patterns
Derrick K. Weitlich, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and E. P. Kelsey, A. R. Lupo, and J. E. Woolard

Poster PDF (278.0 kB)
 
Longwave Surface Radiation Budget and Climate
Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, S. K. Gupta, and P. W. Stackhouse

Poster PDF (617.9 kB)

Joint Poster Session 4
U.S. Global Change Research Program Water Cycle Initiative Poster Session (Joint with the Symposium on Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variation and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Observing and Understanding the Variability of Water in Weather and Climate; the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, NOAA/Office of Global Programs

Papers:
 
ORAL BRIEFINGS: 1-2 MINUTE PRESENTATION SUMMERIZING POSTERS IN SESSION JP4 WILL BE HELD ON WEDNESDAY AT 5:15 P.M. AS PART OF SESSION J7

 
Integrating water cycle research activities at NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
Deborah R. Belvedere, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser and C. A. Schlosser

 
The second GEWEX Global Soil Wetness Project (GSWP2)
Paul Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and T. Oki

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


12
General Circulation and Teleconnections
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Evaluating Multi-decadale Trends in Tropical CAPE
Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall

Poster PDF (620.4 kB)
  11:15 AM
Roles of Ocean in the Biennial Transitions between Indian and Australian Monsoons
Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and S. P. Weng

  11:30 AM
Seamless poleward atmospheric energy transports
Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Stepaniak

Poster PDF (96.9 kB)
  11:45 AM
Terrestrial hydrological states and teleconnections with SST phenomena
J. Sheffield, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and G. Goteti, E. F. Wood, and D. P. Lettenmaier

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


13
Climate Change Modeling: II
Sponsor: 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Sensitivities of a high-resolution coupled GCM in a CO2 doubling experiment
Keiko Takahashi, Japan Marine Science and Technology Center, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and W. Ohfuchi, N. Komori, H. Nakamura, H. Sakuma, and T. Sato

  2:00 PM
Can the CCM3 Global Climate Model Accurately Simulate the Arctic Oscillation?
Raymond Mooring, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

Poster PDF (259.9 kB)
  2:15 PM
A 12-year (1987–1998) ensemble simulation of the U.S. climate with a variable-resolution stretched-grid GCM
Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. L. Takacs and R. C. Govindaraju

  2:30 PM
Impact of increased CO2 levels on interannual tropical variability
Antonio Navarra, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy; and C. Annalisa

  2:45 PM
Interactions among cloud, water vapor, radiation and large-scale circulation in the tropical climate
Kristin Larson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Hartmann

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~klarson/interaction.html

Poster PDF (136.7 kB)
  3:00 PM
Runoff sensitivity to climate warming: a process study with a coupled climate-runoff model
Jan Kleinn, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. Frei, J. Gurtz, P. L. Vidale, and C. Schär

Poster PDF (662.9 kB)
  3:15 PM
Evaluating the A1 scenario in the CCSM for West Africa: 20th and 21st century climates
Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and E. M. Blaisdell

  3:30 PM
Changes in thermohaline circulation in future climate
Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Meehl, W. Washington, and A. Dai

Poster PDF (641.7 kB)
  3:45 PM
The simulated impact of surface albedo feedback on climate variability
Alex Hall, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA

  4:00 PM
Analysis of GCM predicted precipitation recycling over large basins
E. F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield

  4:15 PM
Quasi-periodic natural variations in the Thermohaline Circulation and climate in a 1400 year coupled model calculation
Jeff R. Knight, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and R. J. Allan, C. K. Folland, and M. Vellinga

  4:30 PM
A dynamically interactive column physics model suitable for diagnosing GCM errors and climate variability
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bergman

  4:45 PM
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30–6:00 p.m.)

3:30 PM-5:45 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Joint Session 1
ENSO and Global-scale atmosphere-ocean coupling (Joint with the 14th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations and the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Sponsors: (Joint between the 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Will Global warming Induce a Permanent El Nino? (It has happened before!)
George Philander, Princeton University, Princeton, N.J.

  4:00 PM
Linkages between El Niño and Recent Tropical Warming
Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. -. I. An, A. Timmermann, and J. Zhao

Poster PDF (698.2 kB)
  4:15 PM
  4:30 PM
Tropical precipitation anomalies: ENSO teleconnections vs. global warming
J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su and C. Chou

  4:45 PM
Surface Stress Balance in the Tropics
Matthias Munnich, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. Neelin

  5:00 PM
The impact of ENSO on the North Pacific Ocean during summer
Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Scott

  5:15 PM
Ocean-atmosphere interaction within equatorially trapped atmospheric waves
George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
  5:30 PM
Conference ends

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Simpsons Banquet

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003


Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific