| Monday, 12 November 2001 |
| 5:00 PM-7:00 PM
Conference Registration |
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| Tuesday, 13 November 2001 |
| 7:30 AM
Conference Registration Continues through Thursday, 15 November |
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| 9:00 AM-10:30 AM
Session 1 Symposium Introduction |
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| 10:30 AM-1:30 PM
Session 2 Fire Behavior |
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Chairperson: Mark Finney, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT |
| 10:30 AM | 2.1 | Forecasting diurnal variation in fire intensity for use in wildland fire management applications
Judi A. Beck, Forest Engineering Research Institute of Canada, Hinton, AB, Canada; and M. E. Alexander, S. D. Harvey, and A. K. Beaver |
| 10:50 AM | 2.2 | Quantile characteristics of forest fires in Saskatchewan
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield |
| 11:10 AM | 2.3 | Measuring Moisture Dynamics to Predict Fire Severity in Longleaf Pine Forests
Julia E. Ruthford, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson |
| 11:30 AM | 2.4 | Airborne infrared observations of wildfire, dynamics, and spread
Lawrence F. Radke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and R. B. Stull |
| 11:50 AM | 2.5 | Case study of an integrated weather/fire spread modeling application
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA |
| 12:10 PM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:30 PM-3:20 PM
Session 3 Numerical Modeling |
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Chairperson: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA |
| 1:30 PM | 3.1 | Recent results from two fine-scale models for short-range predictions of residual smoke at night
Gary L. Achtemeier, USDA Forest Service, Juliette, GA |
| 1:50 PM | 3.2 | Coupled atmosphere-fire model simulations in various fuel types in complex terrain
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and D. Latham |
| 2:10 PM | 3.3 | Coupled atmosphere-fire modeling and fire behavior sensitivity to atmospheric instability
Mary Ann Jenkins, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada |
| 2:30 PM | 3.4 | Studying wildfire behavior using firetec
Rodman Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. Reisner, J. Coleman, and S. Smith |
| 2:50 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 3:20 PM-4:40 PM
Session 3 Numerical Modeling: Continued |
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Chairperson: Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL |
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| Tuesday, 13 November 2001
5:00 PM
Oral Sessions end for the day |
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| 5:00 PM-6:00 PM
Poster Session 1 Poster Session P1 |
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Chairperson: Carol Rice, Wildlife Resource Management, Inc., Alamo, CA |
| 5:00 PM | P1.1 | Florida wildfire initiation and environmental conditions during 1998
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton, S. L. Goodrick, D. Sharp, and P. F. Blottman |
| 5:15 PM | P1.2 | Spatial mapping of KBDI for the southeast United States
Michael B. Johnson, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and G. Forthun |
| 5:45 PM | P1.4 | A potential wildfire feedback mechanism in the Alaskan boreal forest: do fire scars increase lightning activity?
Dorte Dissing, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and S. Chambers and D. L. Verbyla |
| 6:00 PM | P1.5 | GIS and forest fires: case of the domanial forest of kounteidat, Algeria
Bdelkader Missoumia, Sr., National Center of Spatial Techniques, Arzew, Algeria |
| 6:15 PM | P1.6 | Study on impacts of local wind and terrain on wildfire
Jiping Zhu, University of Science and Technology, Hefei, Anhui, China; and J. Zhou, Z. Zhong, and C. Lu |
| 6:30 PM | P1.7 | Combustion parameters and characteristics of clearing fires in the Amazonian arc of deforestation
J. A. Carvalho, Jr., Universidade Estadual Paulista, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. A. G. Veras, E. C. Alvarado, D. V. Sandberg, E. R. Carvalaho, R. Gielow, and J. C. Santos |
| 6:45 PM | P1.8 | Evaluating the Skill of the Haines Index in the Black Hills National Forest
Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD |
| 7:00 PM | P1.9 | Comparison of Real-time Particulate Monitors with Gravimetric Samplers
Andy Trent, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and M. A. Davies and R. Karsky |
| 7:15 PM | P1.10 | Forest Service RAWS Review and Upgrade Study
Karl F. Zeller, USDA Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Zachariassen and T. McClelland |
| 7:30 PM | P1.11 | Applications of MesoWest to Fire Weather
Carol M. Ciliberti, Univ. of Utah and NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, Utah; and J. D. Horel and M. Splitt |
| 7:45 PM | P1.12 | Impacts of El Nino and La Nina on seasonal U.S. temperature and precipitation with implications for fire danger
Narasimhan K. Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA |
| 8:00 PM | P1.13 | Demonstration of a Relocatable High-Resolution, Rapid-Response Meteorological Model Suitable for Forest Fire Response Nowcasting
Nelson L. Seaman, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, A. M. Gibbs, A. Deng, A. J. Schroeder, and G. K. Hunter |
| 8:15 PM | P1.14 | The 2000 Bitterroot Wildfire: Observations and Preliminary Modeling Results
Kenneth Westrick, 3TIER Environmental Forecast Group, Inc, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson |
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| Wednesday, 14 November 2001 |
| 8:00 AM-10:10 AM
Session 4 Climate Analysis |
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Chairperson: Jim Brenner, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL |
| 8:00 AM | 4.1 | Spatial and temporal coherence of forest fire and drought patterns in the Western United States
Thomas W. Swetnam, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ |
| 8:20 AM | 4.2 | Spatial Distribution of Fire Season and ENSO Effects on the Island of Sumatra, Indonesia
Robert Field, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and C. Dymond, W. de Groot, and B. Lee |
| 8:40 AM | 4.3 | Examining the Relationship between Snowfall and Wildfire Patterns in the Western United States
Michael J. Medler, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and P. Montesano and D. Robinson |
| 9:00 AM | 4.4 | A Brush and Forest Fire Climatology for Massachusetts and Rhode Island: Results from 1964-2000
Alan E. Dunham, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. R. Vallee |
| 9:20 AM | 4.5 | Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown |
| 9:40 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:10 AM-12:10 PM
Session 4 Climate Analysis: Continued |
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Chairperson: Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV |
| 10:10 AM | 4.6 | The Potential for Smoke to Ventilate from Wildland Fires in the United States
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. McKay, D. Nagel, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, and C. Anderson |
| 10:30 AM | 4.7 | Climatological and Meteorological Causes and Effects of the 1999 and 2000 Wildfire Seasons in the Western Great Basin
Robert P. Nester, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT |
| 10:50 AM | 4.8 | Atmospheric forcing of severe wildfire years in the American Northwest
Ze'ev Gedalof, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Peterson |
| 11:10 AM | 4.9 | Spatial patterns of fuels and fire behavior at the “La Malinche” National Park in Central Mexico
Lourdes Villers-Ruiz, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, México City, Mexico; and E. Alvarado and J. López-Blanco |
| 11:30 AM | 4.10 | Facilitating use of climate information for wildfire decision-making in the U.S. Southwest
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. J. Morehouse |
| 11:50 AM | | Conference Luncheon (Speaker: John Deeming, Wildland Fire Management Consultant; Title: What IS the Problem?)
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| 1:50 PM-3:20 PM
Session 5 Decision-Making Tools |
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Chairperson: Bryan Lee, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB Canada |
| 1:50 PM | 5.1 | Roadmap for a national wildland fire research and development program
Richard Wagoner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bradley and R. R. Linn |
| 2:10 PM | 5.2 | An Integrated GIS Tool for Wildfire Management in the Southwestern United States
Barbara J. Morehouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Christopherson, C. Farris, B. Orr, J. T. Overpeck, T. Swetnam, and S. Yool |
| 2:30 PM | 5.3 | The 2001 Edition of the NWCG Smoke Management Guide for Prescribed and Wildland Fire
Colin C. Hardy, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT |
| 2:50 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 3:20 PM-5:20 PM
Session 6 Predictive Services |
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Chairperson: Rick Ochoa, National Interagency Fire Center, Boise, ID |
| 3:20 PM | 6.1 | National Weather Service's Onsite Weather Support to Wildfires: Past, Present, Future
Carl J. Gorski, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. S. Birch |
| 3:40 PM | 6.2 | Operational wildland fire management systems: the Oklahoma example
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK |
| 4:00 PM | 6.3 | Storm Prediction Center's Fire Weather Verification
Richard J. Naden, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and P. D. Bothwell and J. L. Peters |
| 4:20 PM | 6.4 | The 10 Day Fire Potential Assessment
Paul Werth, Northwest Interagency Coordination Center, Portland, OR; and T. Marsha and M. Fitzpatrick |
| 4:40 PM | 6.5 | New tools for fire danger assessment in Florida
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and A. G. Laing |
| 5:00 PM | 6.6 | Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: 2001
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Sevice, Seattle, WA |
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| Wednesday, 14 November 2001
5:20 PM
Sessions end for the day |
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| Thursday, 15 November 2001 |
| 8:00 AM-10:10 AM
Session 6 Predictive Services: Continued |
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Chairperson: Paul Stokols, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 8:00 AM | 6.7 | Automated, Real-Time Predictions of Cumulative Smoke Impacts from Prescribed Forest and Agricultural Fires
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. Peterson and A. Acheson |
| 8:20 AM | 6.9 | A New Approach to Fire Weather Forecasting at the Tulsa WFO
Sarah J. Taylor, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK; and E. D. Howieson |
| 8:40 AM | 6.10 | Developing Experimental Fire Weather Products with a Graphical Forecast Editor
Chris V. Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT |
| 9:00 AM | 6.11 | Operational Weather Support for Fire Management at the DOE's Savannah River Site
Charles H. Hunter, Westinghouse Savannah River Company, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and D. J. Shea |
| 9:20 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:10 AM-1:10 PM
Session 7 Climate Prediction |
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Chairperson: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV |
| 10:10 AM | 7.1 | Paper has been moved to Paper Number 7.4A
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| 10:11 AM | 7.1a | Fire-Climate Relationships and Long-Lead Seasonal Wildfire for Hawaii (Formerly paper Number 7.4)
Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka |
| 10:30 AM | 7.2 | Statistical forecasts of western wildfire season severity
Anthony L. Westerling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov and D. R. Cayan |
| 10:50 AM | 7.3 | A model to predict lightning-caused fire occurrences
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada |
| 11:09 AM | 7.4 | Paper has been moved to paper numer 7.1A
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| 11:10 AM | 7.4a | A novel approach to distinguishing Regime-scale climate signals (Formerly Paper Number 7.1)
Paul F. Hessburg, USDA Forest Service, Wenatchee, WA; and E. E. Kuhlmann and T. W. Swetnam |
| 11:30 AM | 7.5 | Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and B. L. Hall |
| 11:50 AM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:30 PM-3:20 PM
Session 8 Fire Danger Indexes |
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Chairperson: Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI |
| 1:30 PM | 8.1 | Paper move to paper number 8.3A
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| 1:31 PM | 8.1a | Fire danger and the Standardized Precipitation Index (Formerly Paper number 8.3)
Paul M. Schlobohm, Bureau of Land Management, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown |
| 1:50 PM | 8.2 | Developing the Fire Potential Index Model into an operational planning tool
T. P. DeFelice, Raytheon, ITSS, EDC, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. Klaver, G. Xian, J. Golden, and S. Albers |
| 2:10 PM | 8.3 | Paper moved to Paper Number 8.1A
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| 2:11 PM | 8.3a | Extension of the Fosberg Fire Weather Index to include the impact of precipitation and drought (Formerly Paper number 8.1)
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL |
| 2:30 PM | 8.4 | The influence of atmospheric instability on fire behaviour in the Northwest Territories, Canada
B. Kochtubajda, MSC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and M. D. Flannigan, J. R. Gyakum, and R. E. Stewart |
| 2:50 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 3:20 PM-5:00 PM
Session 8 Fire Danger Indexes: Continued |
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Chairperson: Tom McClelland, USDA, Washington, DC |
| 3:20 PM | 8.5 | Performance of the Haines Index during August 2000 for Montana
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and S. Goodrick |
| 3:40 PM | 8.6 | Development of an Improved Haines Index for the Black Hills National Forest
Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD |
| 4:00 PM | 8.7 | The Analysis of the Haines Index Climatology for the Eastern United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico
Paul J. Croft, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and M. Watts, B. E. Potter, and A. Reed |
| 4:20 PM | 8.8 | How and why does the Haines Index work: energy and dynamics considerations
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI |
| 4:40 PM | | Concluding Remarks
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