* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Monday, 12 November 2001
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Monday Conference Registration
Tuesday, 13 November 2001
	7:30 AM, Tuesday Conference Registration Continues through Thursday, 15 November
	9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Session 1 Symposium Introduction
9:00 AM 1.1 Welcoming Remarks   Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. A. Ferguson 9:15 AM 1.2 Mike Fosberg Tribute   Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA 9:30 AM 1.3 Opening Prologue   Sue Husari, U.S. Forest Service, Vallejo, CA 10:00 AM Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-1:30 PM, Tuesday Session 2 Fire Behavior
Organizer: Mark Finney, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT
10:30 AM 2.1 Forecasting diurnal variation in fire intensity for use in wildland fire management applications   Judi A. Beck, Forest Engineering Research Institute of Canada, Hinton, AB, Canada; and M. E. Alexander, S. D. Harvey, and A. K. Beaver 10:50 AM 2.2 Quantile characteristics of forest fires in Saskatchewan   Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield 11:10 AM 2.3 Measuring Moisture Dynamics to Predict Fire Severity in Longleaf Pine Forests   Julia E. Ruthford, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson 11:30 AM 2.4 Airborne infrared observations of wildfire, dynamics, and spread   Lawrence F. Radke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and R. B. Stull 11:50 AM 2.5 Case study of an integrated weather/fire spread modeling application   Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA 12:10 PM Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-3:20 PM, Tuesday Session 3 Numerical Modeling
Organizer: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA
1:30 PM 3.1 Recent results from two fine-scale models for short-range predictions of residual smoke at night   Gary L. Achtemeier, USDA Forest Service, Juliette, GA 1:50 PM 3.2 Coupled atmosphere-fire model simulations in various fuel types in complex terrain   Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and D. Latham 2:10 PM 3.3 Coupled atmosphere-fire modeling and fire behavior sensitivity to atmospheric instability   Mary Ann Jenkins, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada 2:30 PM 3.4 Studying wildfire behavior using firetec   Rodman Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. Reisner, J. Coleman, and S. Smith 2:50 PM Coffee Break
	3:20 PM-4:40 PM, Tuesday Session 3 Numerical Modeling: Continued
Organizer: Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL
3:20 PM 3.5 Forecasting Santa Barbara Sundowners: application to wildfire management   Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 3.6 Fine scale mesoscale modeling applied to wildfires in British Columbia   Roland B. Stull, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and T. L. Clark and H. Modzelewski 3:40 PM 3.7 MM5 simulations for the period of 2000 Cerro Grande fire in Los Alamos area   Zhong Wu, EarthTech Inc., Concord, MA 4:00 PM 3.8 Development of a Seasonal Fire Severity Forecast for the Contiguous US: Weather Forecast and Validation   John O. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Fujioka and T. J. Brown
	5:00 PM, Tuesday Oral Sessions end for the day
	5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 1 Poster Session P1
Organizer: Carol Rice, Wildlife Resource Management, Inc., Alamo, CA
P1.1 Florida wildfire initiation and environmental conditions during 1998   Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton, S. L. Goodrick, D. Sharp, and P. F. Blottman   P1.2 Spatial mapping of KBDI for the southeast United States   Michael B. Johnson, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and G. Forthun P1.3 Examination and forecasting implications of the April 1995 Craig County Virginia fire   Heath E. Hockenberry, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA   P1.4 A potential wildfire feedback mechanism in the Alaskan boreal forest: do fire scars increase lightning activity?   Dorte Dissing, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and S. Chambers and D. L. Verbyla   P1.5 GIS and forest fires: case of the domanial forest of kounteidat, Algeria   Bdelkader Missoumia Sr., National Center of Spatial Techniques, Arzew, Algeria   P1.6 Study on impacts of local wind and terrain on wildfire   Jiping Zhu, University of Science and Technology, Hefei, Anhui, China; and J. Zhou, Z. Zhong, and C. Lu   P1.7 Combustion parameters and characteristics of clearing fires in the Amazonian arc of deforestation   J. A. Carvalho Jr., Universidade Estadual Paulista, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. A. G. Veras, E. C. Alvarado, D. V. Sandberg, E. R. Carvalaho, R. Gielow, and J. C. Santos   P1.8 Evaluating the Skill of the Haines Index in the Black Hills National Forest   Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD   P1.9 Comparison of Real-time Particulate Monitors with Gravimetric Samplers   Andy Trent, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and M. A. Davies and R. Karsky   P1.10 Forest Service RAWS Review and Upgrade Study   Karl F. Zeller, USDA Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Zachariassen and T. McClelland   P1.11 Applications of MesoWest to Fire Weather   Carol M. Ciliberti, Univ. of Utah and NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, Utah; and J. D. Horel and M. Splitt   P1.12 Impacts of El Nino and La Nina on seasonal U.S. temperature and precipitation with implications for fire danger   Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA   P1.13 Demonstration of a Relocatable High-Resolution, Rapid-Response Meteorological Model Suitable for Forest Fire Response Nowcasting   Nelson L. Seaman, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, A. M. Gibbs, A. Deng, A. J. Schroeder, and G. K. Hunter   P1.14 The 2000 Bitterroot Wildfire: Observations and Preliminary Modeling Results   Kenneth Westrick, 3TIER Environmental Forecast Group, Inc, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson
Wednesday, 14 November 2001
	8:00 AM-10:10 AM, Wednesday Session 4 Climate Analysis
Organizer: Jim Brenner, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL
8:00 AM 4.1 Spatial and temporal coherence of forest fire and drought patterns in the Western United States   Thomas W. Swetnam, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 8:20 AM 4.2 Spatial Distribution of Fire Season and ENSO Effects on the Island of Sumatra, Indonesia   Robert Field, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and C. Dymond, W. de Groot, and B. Lee 8:40 AM 4.3 Examining the Relationship between Snowfall and Wildfire Patterns in the Western United States   Michael J. Medler, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and P. Montesano and D. Robinson 9:00 AM 4.4 A Brush and Forest Fire Climatology for Massachusetts and Rhode Island: Results from 1964-2000   Alan E. Dunham, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. R. Vallee 9:20 AM 4.5 Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S   Beth L. Hall, DRI, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown 9:40 AM Coffee Break
	10:10 AM-12:10 PM, Wednesday Session 4 Climate Analysis: Continued
Organizer: Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV
10:10 AM 4.6 The Potential for Smoke to Ventilate from Wildland Fires in the United States   Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. McKay, D. Nagel, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, and C. Anderson 10:30 AM 4.7 Climatological and Meteorological Causes and Effects of the 1999 and 2000 Wildfire Seasons in the Western Great Basin   Robert P. Nester, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT 10:50 AM 4.8 Atmospheric forcing of severe wildfire years in the American Northwest   Ze'ev Gedalof, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Peterson 11:10 AM 4.9 Spatial patterns of fuels and fire behavior at the “La Malinche” National Park in Central Mexico   Lourdes Villers-Ruiz, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, México City, Mexico; and E. C. Alvarado and J. López-Blanco 11:30 AM 4.10 Facilitating use of climate information for wildfire decision-making in the U.S. Southwest   Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. J. Morehouse 11:50 AM Conference Luncheon (Speaker: John Deeming, Wildland Fire Management Consultant; Title: What IS the Problem?)
	1:50 PM-3:20 PM, Wednesday Session 5 Decision-Making Tools
Organizer: Bryan Lee, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB Canada
1:50 PM 5.1 Roadmap for a national wildland fire research and development program   Richard Wagoner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bradley and R. R. Linn 2:10 PM 5.2 An Integrated GIS Tool for Wildfire Management in the Southwestern United States   Barbara J. Morehouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Christopherson, C. Farris, B. Orr, J. T. Overpeck, T. Swetnam, and S. Yool 2:30 PM 5.3 The 2001 Edition of the NWCG Smoke Management Guide for Prescribed and Wildland Fire   Colin C. Hardy, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT 2:50 PM Coffee Break
	3:20 PM-5:20 PM, Wednesday Session 6 Predictive Services
Organizer: Rick Ochoa, National Interagency Fire Center, Boise, ID
3:20 PM 6.1 National Weather Service's Onsite Weather Support to Wildfires: Past, Present, Future   Carl J. Gorski, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. S. Birch 3:40 PM 6.2 Operational wildland fire management systems: the Oklahoma example   J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK 4:00 PM 6.3 Storm Prediction Center's Fire Weather Verification   Richard J. Naden, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and P. D. Bothwell and J. L. Peters 4:20 PM 6.4 The 10 Day Fire Potential Assessment   Paul Werth, Northwest Interagency Coordination Center, Portland, OR; and T. Marsha and M. Fitzpatrick 4:40 PM 6.5 New tools for fire danger assessment in Florida   Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and A. G. Laing 5:00 PM 6.6 Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: 2001   Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Sevice, Seattle, WA
	5:20 PM, Wednesday Sessions end for the day
Thursday, 15 November 2001
	8:00 AM-10:10 AM, Thursday Session 6 Predictive Services: Continued
Organizer: Paul Stokols, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:00 AM 6.7 Automated, Real-Time Predictions of Cumulative Smoke Impacts from Prescribed Forest and Agricultural Fires   Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. Peterson and A. Acheson 6.8 A Fire Weather Forecast Preparation Program   Thomas Andretta, NOAA/NWSFO, Pocatello, ID; and S. Alden 8:20 AM 6.9 A New Approach to Fire Weather Forecasting at the Tulsa WFO   Sarah J. Taylor, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK; and E. D. Howieson 8:40 AM 6.10 Developing Experimental Fire Weather Products with a Graphical Forecast Editor   Chris V. Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT 9:00 AM 6.11 Operational Weather Support for Fire Management at the DOE's Savannah River Site   Charles H. Hunter, Westinghouse Savannah River Company, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and D. J. Shea 9:20 AM Coffee Break
	10:10 AM-1:10 PM, Thursday Session 7 Climate Prediction
Organizer: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV
10:10 AM 7.1 Paper has been moved to Paper Number 7.4A   10:11 AM 7.1a Fire-Climate Relationships and Long-Lead Seasonal Wildfire for Hawaii (Formerly paper Number 7.4)   Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka 10:30 AM 7.2 Statistical forecasts of western wildfire season severity   Anthony L. Westerling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov and D. R. Cayan 10:50 AM 7.3 A model to predict lightning-caused fire occurrences   Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada 11:09 AM 7.4 Paper has been moved to paper numer 7.1A   11:10 AM 7.4a A novel approach to distinguishing Regime-scale climate signals (Formerly Paper Number 7.1)   Paul F. Hessburg, USDA Forest Service, Wenatchee, WA; and E. E. Kuhlmann and T. W. Swetnam 11:30 AM 7.5 Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output   Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and B. L. Hall 11:50 AM Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-3:20 PM, Thursday Session 8 Fire Danger Indexes
Organizer: Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI
1:30 PM 8.1 Paper move to paper number 8.3A   1:31 PM 8.1a Fire danger and the Standardized Precipitation Index (Formerly Paper number 8.3)   Paul M. Schlobohm, Bureau of Land Management, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown 1:50 PM 8.2 Developing the Fire Potential Index Model into an operational planning tool   T. P. DeFelice, Raytheon, ITSS, EDC, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. Klaver, G. Xian, J. Golden, and S. Albers 2:10 PM 8.3 Paper moved to Paper Number 8.1A   2:11 PM 8.3a Extension of the Fosberg Fire Weather Index to include the impact of precipitation and drought (Formerly Paper number 8.1)   Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL 2:30 PM 8.4 The influence of atmospheric instability on fire behaviour in the Northwest Territories, Canada   B. Kochtubajda, MSC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and M. D. Flannigan, J. R. Gyakum, and R. E. Stewart 2:50 PM Coffee Break
	3:20 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday Session 8 Fire Danger Indexes: Continued
Organizer: Tom McClelland, USDA, Washington, DC
3:20 PM 8.5 Performance of the Haines Index during August 2000 for Montana   Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and S. Goodrick 3:40 PM 8.6 Development of an Improved Haines Index for the Black Hills National Forest   Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD 4:00 PM 8.7 The Analysis of the Haines Index Climatology for the Eastern United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico   Paul J. Croft, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and M. Watts, B. E. Potter, and A. Reed 4:20 PM 8.8 How and why does the Haines Index work: energy and dynamics considerations   Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI 4:40 PM Concluding Remarks

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