Short Course/Student Conference Registration
Short Course Registration
Conference Registration
Registration continues through Thursday, 15 January
Session 1 Seasonal Prediction (Room 6C)
| 1.1 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 9:00 AM | 1.2 | Multiscale evolution and predictability of a warm season climate anomaly in the U.S. southern Great Plains  Paul Nutter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. Leslie and P. Lamb | |
| 9:15 AM | 1.3 | Warm Season Precipitation Prediction over North America with Eta Regional Climate Model Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell | |
| 9:30 AM | 1.4 | Usefulness of recent NOAA/CPC seasonal temperature forecasts  Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and J. D. Garbrecht | |
| 9:45 AM | 1.5 | Seasonal prediction of Pacific island rainfall using artificial intelligence Mark L. Morrissey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
Session 2 Climate Observations (Room 608)
| 9:00 AM | 2.1 | NWS Plans for Upper Air System Data Continuity Joseph Facundo, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and C. Bower | |
| 9:15 AM | 2.2 | A new Radiosonde dataset for climate studies Imke Durre, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC | |
| 9:30 AM | 2.3 | Global large-scale precipitation: Seasonal and interannual variations in the merged analyses, reanalysis and NCEP/GFS model outputs Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. J. Janowiak, P. A. Arkin, and M. Chen | |
| 9:45 AM | 2.4 | The next-generation PACRAIN database Michael D. Klatt, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Morrissey, J. S. Greene, and S. Postawko | |
| 10:00 AM | 2.5 | Stratocumulus and climate: observations from EPIC 2001 Kimberly Comstock, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Bretherton, S. Yuter, and R. Wood |
Coffee Break in the Poster Session Room
Joint Session 1 Climate Trends (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
| 10:45 AM | J1.1 | Economic signals in global temperature histories Patrick J. Michaels, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA and the Cato Institute, Washington, DC; and R. McKitrick and P. C. Knappenberger | |
| 11:00 AM | J1.2 | Irrigation-induced warming in Central California? John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris | |
| 11:15 AM | J1.3 | Trends in time-varying percentiles of daily minimum and maximum temperature over North America Scott M. Robeson, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN | |
| 11:30 AM | J1.4 | Is the 50-year trend in tropical Indo-Pacific SSTs significant? Cécile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh | |
| 11:45 AM | J1.5 | AO, COWL and observed climate trends Qigang Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus |
Session 3 Atmospheric Oscillations (Room 608)
| 10:45 AM | 3.1 | Mid-latitude atmospheric influence on tropical Pacific climate variability Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI | |
| 11:00 AM | 3.2 | The Impact of ENSO on the NAO variability Zhaohua Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and E. Schneider and B. Kirtman | |
| 11:15 AM | 3.3 | Diagnosing the Effect of ENSO and PDO associated Summer Teleconnections in North America with a regional climate model Christopher L. Castro, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke, Sr. | |
| 11:30 AM | 3.4 | Aspects of the Heat Balance of the Indian Ocean on Interseasonal and Interannual Timscales Kamran Sahami, Univerity of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster | |
| 11:45 AM | 3.5 | Dynamic Origin of Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations in the Stormy Atmospheric Circulation Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and L.-L. Pan and M. Watanabe |
Lunch Break
Joint Session 2 Drought: Variability Monitoring, Impacts, and Prediction (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Room 6C)
| 1:30 PM | J2.1 | Paleodrought reconstructions to planning Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb | |
| 1:45 PM | J2.2 | Ensemble Tree-Ring Reconstructions of Streamflow in the South Platte Robert S. Webb, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse | |
| 2:00 PM | J2.3 | ENSO and the changing landscape of drought Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY | |
| 2:15 PM | J2.4 | Recent Advances in Drought Monitoring Mark D. Svoboda, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. J. Hayes, D. A. Wilhite, and T. Tadesse | |
| 2:30 PM | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break | ||
| 4:00 PM | J2.5 | Putting recent U.S. and Southwest drought impacts in perspective Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ | |
| 4:15 PM | J2.6 | Estimating the Economic Impacts of Drought Michael J. Hayes, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. D. Svoboda, C. L. Knutson, and D. A. Wilhite | |
| J2.7 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 4:30 PM | J2.7A | The Drought of 2002 in Colorado (Formerly Poster JP3.6) Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Pielke, Sr. | |
| 4:45 PM | J2.8 | The recent 4-year drought: Global Warming or La Nina? Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo | |
| 5:00 PM | J2.9 | Regional Drought Driven by Tropical Ocean Warming Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Hurrell | |
| 5:15 PM | J2.10 | CMORPH: An 8KM, Half-Hourly Global Precipitation Monitoring Tool John Janowiak, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Joyce, P. Arkin, and P. Xie |
Joint Poster Session 1 Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
Joint Poster Session 2 Climate Trends (Joint with the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the 14th Conference on Applied Climatology; Hall 4AB)
| JP2.1 | Temporal changes in dew point temperatures associated with short-duration heat waves in Chicago David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and M. Sandstrom and C. Schaffer | |
| JP2.2 | Visibility trends for coastal regions Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley | |
| JP2.3 | Trends in Relative Humidity in Canada from 1953–2003 William A. Van Wijngaarden, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and L. A. Vincent | |
| JP2.4 | Variations and trends in climate indices for Canada Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and É. Mekis | |
| JP2.5 | Changes of seasonality and phenological cycles in South Korea Gwangyong Choi, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and W.-T. Kwon and D. A. Robinson | |
| JP2.6 | Climate analysis and prediction over the Arno river basin, Italy Francesco Meneguzzo, Institute of Biometeorology /National Research Council, Firenze, Italy; and G. Menduni, G. Maracchi, M. Baldi, G. Brandani, A. Crisci, F. Marrese, M. Pasqui, and F. Piani |
Joint Poster Session 3 DROUGHT: VARIABILITY MONITORING, IMPACTS, AND PREDICTION (JOINT withTHE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB)
| JP3.1 | Paleoclimatology: A New Tool in Drought Monitoring C. Mark Eakin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Woodhouse, E. R. Cook, and R. Heim | |
| JP3.2 | Real-time Soil Moisture Information for Drought Monitoring and Assessment Bradley G. Illston, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, C. Fiebrich, M. Wolfibarger, G. McManus, and D. Arndt | |
| JP3.3 | Linking Drought Vulnerable Soil Landscapes with Placement of Climate Stations for Monitoring Drought Phillip Pasteris, USDA, Portland, OR; and S. Waltman, G. Schaefer, and R. Sinclair | |
| JP3.4 | Drought and the modernized cooperative observer network Derek S. Arndt, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer and K. C. Crawford | |
| JP3.5 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| Poster JP3.6 moved, now Paper J2.7A | ||
| JP3.7 | A Climatology of drought for Arizona Jenna C. McPhee, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. C. Comrie and G. G. Garfin |
Sessions end for the Day
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Joint Session 12 Subseasonal forecasting (Joint with 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations and the Symp on Forecasting the Weathe and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean; Room 6C)
| 8:30 AM | J12.1 | Progress and Challenges in Subseasonal Prediction Siegfried Schubert, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD | |
| 8:45 AM | J12.2 | The Missing Forecasts: A discussion of the Gap between extended numerical weather prediction and seasonal climate forecasts Chester F. Ropelewski, IRI, Columbia University, Palisades, NY | |
| 9:00 AM | J12.3 | Predictability and Prediction of Tropical Intraseasonal Variability Duane E. Waliser, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY | |
| 9:15 AM | J12.4 | The Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Northern Hemisphere High Latitude Wintertime Surface Air Temperatures Gabriel A. Vecchi, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattl, WA; and N. Bond | |
| 9:30 AM | J12.5 | Analytic Approximation of MJO-like Systems in Super-parameterization Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO | |
| 9:45 AM | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break | ||
| 11:00 AM | J12.6 | Intraseasonal prediction experiments using the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) Model coupled to the MOM3 Ocean Model Suranjana Saha, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang and H.-L. Pan | |
| 11:15 AM | J12.7 | Analysis of recent atmospheric climate anomalies using the NSIPP-1 AGCM Philip J Pegion, NASA-GSFC SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Schubert, M. Suarez, and Y. Chang | |
| J12.8 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 11:30 AM | J12.9 | Subseasonal to interannual prediction sensitivities in the GFDL/FMS GCM W. Stern, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and A. Rosati, R. Gudgel, M. Harrison, and A. Wittenberg | |
| 11:45 AM | J12.10 | The physical perturbation implementation of NCEP RSM for regional climate downscaling Hann-Ming Henry Juang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Washington, DC; and Y. Song and K. Mo | |
| 12:00 PM | Lunch Break | ||
| 1:30 PM | J12.11 | A study of subseasonal predictability Matthew Newman, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh | |
| 1:45 PM | J12.12 | The lifespan of subseasonal locally coupled anomalies Malaquias Pena, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai and E. Kalnay | |
| 2:00 PM | J12.13 | A Synoptic Model of Low Frequency Variability with Application to Subseasonal Prediction Klaus M Weickmann, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and E. Berry | |
| 2:15 PM | J12.14 | Lingering Memory and Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Prediction Ming Cai, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. Van den Dool and S. Saha | |
| 2:30 PM | J12.15 | Long-range forecasting by EEOF extrapolation by linear and non-linear methods Constantin Mares, National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania; and I. Mares | |
| 2:45 PM | J12.16 | Probabilistic Forecasting of South-East Asian Intraseasonal Variability using a Wavelet Banding Technique Carlos D Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster | |
| 3:00 PM | Coffee Break In Exhibit Hall | ||
| 3:30 PM | J12.17 | Improved intraseasonal South Asian monsoon forecasts using a GCM by comparison to wavelet analysis of empirical precipitation data Dan C. Collins, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. Hoyos and P. J. Webster | |
| 3:45 PM | J12.18 | Impacts of Rainfall Assimilation on Madden-Julian Oscillation and Large Scale Dynamics Song Yang, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. Tao, A. Hou, and W. Olson | |
| 4:00 PM | J12.19 | Forecasts of tropical rainfall with the Constracted Analog method Peitao Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Van den Dool | |
| 4:15 PM | J12.20 | Combined dynamical and statistical forecasting of the Arctic Oscillation Warwick Norton, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Baldwin and J. Whitaker | |
| 4:30 PM | J12.21 | Stratospheric memory and skill of subseasonal forecasts Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and D. Stephenson, D. W. J. Thompson, T. J. Dunkerton, A. J. Charlton, and A. O'Neill | |
| 4:45 PM | J12.22 | A Diagnostic study of the changes in Atmospheric Moisture over the Indian Ocean prior to Monsoon Onset over Kerala K.P. Sooraj, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Cochin, IA, India; and C. K. Rajan, B. Simon, and P. C. Joshi | |
| 5:00 PM | J12.23 | International stretched-grid model intercomparison project (SGMIP): Initial results on exploring the new approach to regional climate modeling and prediction ( Formerly paper j13.20) Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Cote, M. Deque, B. Dugas, and J. McGregor |
Joint Session 3 Land-Atmosphere Interactions (Joint with the 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations and 18th Conf on Hydrology; Room 609/610)
| 8:30 AM | J3.1 | The contribution of land-atmosphere interaction to boreal summer season predictability Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and M. Zhao and J. Shukla | |
| 8:45 AM | J3.2 | Alternative approaches to land initialization for seasonal precipitation and temperature forecasts Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. J. Suarez, P. Liu, and U. Jambor | |
| 9:00 AM | J3.3 | Impact of land-surface initial conditions spin-up on warm season predictability by the NCEP GFS coupled with the Noah LSM Cheng-Hsuan Lu, RSIS Inc. McLean, VA and EMC and NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell | |
| 9:15 AM | J3.4 | Role of land surface processes in monsoon development—EAST ASIA AND WEST AFRICA Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H.-M. Juang, W.-P. Li, S. Prince, R. DeFries, and Y. Jiao | |
| 9:30 AM | J3.5 | A stratified diagnosis of the Indian monsoon—Eurasian snow cover relationship J. Fasullo, PAOS, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO | |
| 9:45 AM | Coffee Break with Formal Poster Viewing | ||
| 11:00 AM | J3.6 | A soil moisture initialization method, based on antecedent precipitation approach, for Regional Atmospheric Modeling System: a sensitivity study on precipitation and temperature Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology - National Research Council (IBIMET-CNR), Florence, Italy; and C. J. Tremback, F. Meneguzzo, G. Giuliani, and B. Gozzini | |
| 11:15 AM | J3.7 | The Mesoscale Impact of Oklahoma's Winter Wheat Belt Renee A. McPherson, OCS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and K. C. Crawford | |
| 11:30 AM | J3.8 | Contrasting land surface processes over basins of the Americas using Eta model forecasts Ernesto Hugo Berbery, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Luo, K. Mitchell, and A. K. Betts | |
| 11:45 AM | J3.9 | Why are the lower level cumulus clouds often better organized on the east bank of the Tapajos River? -- a mechanistic study Lixin Lu, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Denning, M. Silva Dias, and P. Silva Dias | |
| 12:00 PM | J3.10 | GLACE: An intercomparison of land-atmosphere coupling strength across a range of atmospheric general circulation models Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. Dirmeyer and R. D. Koster |
Session 4 Climate Models: Evaluation and Projections, Part I (Room 608)
| 8:30 AM | 4.1 | An appraisal of the state of the art of coupled ocean-atmosphere GCMs Curt Covey, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and K. M. AchuaRao, M. Fiorino, P. J. Gleckler, T. J. Phillips, K. R. Sperber, and K. E. Taylor | |
| 8:45 AM | 4.2 | Climate feedbacks in the GFDL AM2 model Anthony J. Broccoli, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ | |
| 9:00 AM | 4.3 | Changes of Precipitation Characteristics by Global Warming Simulated by the MRI CGCM Akio Kitoh, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Hosaka, Y. Adachi, and Y. Murata | |
| 4.4 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 9:15 AM | 4.5 | Climate change predicted by the CNRM Climate Model: comparison between coupled and forced experiments Herve Douville, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France | |
| 9:30 AM | 4.6 | Assessment of changes in winter extratropical cyclones with increasing CO2 Eun-Pa Lim, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and I. Simmonds | |
| 9:45 AM | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break | ||
| 4.7 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 11:00 AM | 4.7a | INTERDECADAL VARIATIONS IN AGCM SIMULATION SKILLS (Formerly paper P1.30) Alice M. Grimm, Federal University of Parana, Curitiba, Parana, Brazil; and A. Sahai | |
| 11:15 AM | 4.8 | An evaluation of two GCMs: North American teleconnections and synoptic phenomena J. T. Schoof, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and S. C. Pryor | |
| 11:30 AM | 4.9 | Comparison of regional climate scenarios for the Carpathian Basin generated by statistical and dynamical methods Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Matyasovszky, and V. Schlanger | |
| 11:45 AM | 4.10 | The Madden-Julian Oscillation in GCMs Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL/PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and J. M. Slingo, P. M. Inness, S. Gualdi, W. Li, P. J. Gleckler, and C. Doutriaux | |
| 12:00 PM | Lunch Break | ||
| 4.11 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 1:30 PM | 4.12 | A mechanism of the MJO based on interactions in the frequency domain T.N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. R. Chakraborty, N. Cubukcu, L. Stefanova, and T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar | |
| 1:45 PM | 4.13 | Feedbacks affecting the response of the thermohaline circulation to increasing CO2: A study with a model of intermediate complexity Igor V. Kamenkovich, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. P. Sokolov and P. H. Stone | |
| 2:00 PM | 4.14 | Precipitation and surface air temperature in the central United States and related physical processes in CMIP2+ simulations Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and X.-Z. Liang | |
| 4.15 | PAPER WITHDRAWN |
Poster Session 1 Climate Modeling and Observed Climate Change (Hall 4AB)
Joint Poster Session 4 Land-Atmosphere Interactions Posters (Joint with the 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations and 18th Conf. on Hydrology; Hall 4AB)
| JP4.1 | The Impact of Soil Moisture Initialization on Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts in the West African Sahel: Preliminary testing of the HU-RSMCVS model Andrea M. Sealy, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, C.-H. Lu, and H.-M. H. Juang | |
| JP4.2 | The relationship between soil moisture and climate at seasonal to interannual scales Jiarui Dong, GEST/University of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and W. Ni, P. Houser, and R. Koster | |
| JP4.3 | Regional scale energy and water flux climatologies as derived from remote sensing inputs and a land-exchange model John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and M. C. Anderson, J. A. Otkin, and J. M. Norman | |
| JP4.4 | Roles of land use and orography on the simulated summer monsoon over South Asia using a regional climate model Suhee Park, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea; and S.-Y. Hong | |
| JP4.5 | Local moisture cycling in the Nebraska Sand Hills -- the key to dune stabilization? Clinton M. Rowe, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson, D. B. Radell, and D. B. Loope | |
| JP4.6 | THE IMPACT OF LOCALLY FORCED DIURNAL CIRCULATIONS ON PREDICTABILITY OVER COMPLEX LANDSCAPES Daran L. Rife, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. T. Warner | |
| JP4.7 | Investigation of South American land/atmopshere interactions using the regional Eta/SSiB model Fernando H. De Sales, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue | |
| JP4.8 | Investigating the Role of Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Desert Feedback Mechanism During the Active and Break Phases of the Monsoon Using MM5 and ARPS Sam Chiao, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and A. P. Barros | |
| JP4.9 | Isolating microscale phenomena from mesoscale observations Matthew J. Haugland, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK | |
| JP4.10 | A study of the physical influences on the location and strength of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) over land. Dan C. Collins, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and V. Toma and P. J. Webster | |
| JP4.11 | Relationship between antecedent land surface conditions and precipitation in the North American Monsoon region Chunmei Zhu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and T. Cavazos | |
| JP4.12 | The Role of Prairie Wetland Extent on the Pre-storm Environment of the Northern Great Plains W. J. Capehart, South Dakota School of Mines, Rapid City, SD; and M. R. Hjelmfelt, R. D. Farley, K. W. Harding, D. P. Todey, and J. L. Elsen | |
| JP4.13 | ENSO effects on reference evapotranspiration (ETo) at the Maipo river basin, Chile Francisco J. Meza, Facultad de Agronomía e Ingeniería Forestal. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., Santiago, RM, Chile | |
| JP4.14 | Representativeness of Soil Moisture Conditions in Central Oklahoma During the Enhanced Drying Phase Bradley G. Illston, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. C. Caldwell and S. G. Bodnar | |
| JP4.15 | Evaluation of Sahel ground climatology from 1982 to 1990 based on satellite derived LAI, 200 raingauge stations, and a vegetation model (SSiB) Isabelle Poccard, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue | |
| JP4.16 | Testing of several recent modifications to ARPS land surface model Ming Xue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Ren | |
| JP4.17 | On the soil thermal diffusivity and liquid water flux density in a Tibetan short-grass prairie Zhiqiu Gao, Sr., NPS, MOnterey, CA | |
| JP4.18 | The Regional Evapotranspiration of the Amazon David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar | |
| JP4.19 | COMPASS: Coupled models package of surface schemes Mariza Costa-Cabral, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Richey, D. P. Lettenmaier, M. Logsdon, S. S. Rodda, E. Mayorga, and A. K. Aufdenkampe | |
| JP4.20 | Direct and indirect feedbacks of simultaneous soil moisture and atmospheric CO2 changes on simulated terrestrial ecosystem response Dev Niyogi, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Xue | |
| JP4.21 | Global warming effects on Great Lakes water: More precipitation but less water? Brent M. Lofgren, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab, Ann Arbor, MI | |
| JP4.22 | Convective Planetary Boundary Layer Evolution And Land Surface Energy Balance Joseph A. Santanello, Jr., Boston University, Boston, MA; and M. A. Friedl | |
| JP4.23 | Impact of GCM climate biases on the simulation of soil moisture memory Sarith Mahanama, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. D. Koster | |
| Paper JP4.24 moved, new paper number 2.7a | ||
| JP4.24a | Snowpack advances in the Noah land-surface model Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Suitland, MD; and K. Mitchell, D. Lohmann, and H. Wei | |
| JP4.25 | A west-wide seasonal to interannual hydrologic forecast system Andrew W. Wood, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, S. Babu, and D. P. Lettenmaier | |
| JP4.26 | Global energy and water balance simulation with bucket model for GSWP2 Naota Hanasaki, The university of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and S. Kanae and T. Oki | |
| JP4.27 | Impact of GCM climate biases on the simulation of soil moisture Sarith Mahanama, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. D. Koster | |
| JP4.28 | A tendency towards lower frequency climatic variations in the southwestern U.S. during the past 100 years John A. Dracup, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and H. G. Hidalgo | |
| JP4.29 | Land surface temperature estimation for hydrological assimilation Andrew N French, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and P. Houser, A. Pinheiro, and J. Meng | |
| JP4.30 | Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Snowpack in the western United States Jiming Jin, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao | |
| JP4.31 | Roughness lengths over snow Edgar L Andreas, U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and R. E. Jordan, P. S. Guest, P. O. G. Persson, A. A. Grachev, and C. W. Fairall | |
| JP4.32 | Land-surface issues in the NCEP Regional Reanalysis Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Suitland, MD; and K. Mitchell, P. Shafran, and D. Jovic | |
| JP4.33 | Using GSWP 2 in a Global Water Cycle Synthesis and Analysis (Formerly paper 1.8) C. Adam Schlosser, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser, J. K. Entin, and D. R. Belvedere | |
| JP4.34 | Land Memory in GSWP 2 and AMIP 2 Simulations (Formerly paper 1.9) Adam Schlosser, UMBC/GEST, Baltimore, MD; and R. Koster and P. A. Dirmeyer |
Session 5 Observed Climate Change: Part I (Room 608)
| 3:30 PM | 5.1 | Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western north America Philip W. Mote, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Clark and A. F. Hamlet | |
| 3:45 PM | 5.2 | Variability and trends in United States snowfall over the last half century Daria Scott, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. Kaiser | |
| 4:00 PM | 5.3 | Trends in 30-year satellite record of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extent Donald J. Cavalieri, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. L. Parkinson and K. Y. Vinnikov | |
| 4:15 PM | 5.4 | Historical variability in Arctic surface air temperature records James E. Overland, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and M. Spillane and K. Wood | |
| 4:30 PM | 5.5 | Trends in high clouds over the past 22 years Donald Wylie, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. L. Jackson, P. Menzel, and J. J. Bates | |
| 4:45 PM | 5.6 | Assessment of observational biases and changes in Canadian cloudiness Xiaolan L. Wang, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers, V. R. Swail, and T. Yuzyk | |
| 5:00 PM | 5.7 | Evaluation of cloud amount trends and connections to large scale dynamics Todd D. Ellis, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. L. Stephens and D. W. J. Thompson |
Session 6 Radiative Forcing of the Climate: Modeling (Room 609/610)
| 3:30 PM | 6.1 | Changes in global ocean cloud cover and related radiation flux since 1952 Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA | |
| 3:45 PM | 6.2 | Testing the impact of clouds on the radiation budgets of 19 AMIP models Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and R. D. Cess | |
| 4:00 PM | 6.3 | Testing AGCM-predicted cloud and radiation properties with ARM data: The super-parameterization approach Mikhail Ovtchinnikov, PNNL, Richland, WA; and T. Ackerman, R. Marchand, and M. Khairoutdinov | |
| 4:15 PM | 6.4 | Improving climate projections by empirical quantification of climate forcing by aerosols Theodore L. Anderson, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. J. Charlson, S. J. Ghan, S. Gasso, C. R. Trepte, C. A. Hostetler, D. M. Winker, L. A. Remer, and J. A. Ogren | |
| 4:30 PM | 6.5 | Evaluation of AGCM Radiation Parameterizations in the Arctic Dana E. Veron, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and J. F. Brodie, J. O. Pinto, and J. A. Curry | |
| 4:45 PM | 6.6 | Evaluating new cloud-radiation and hydrologic cycle parameterizations Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville | |
| 5:00 PM | 6.7 | A new type of idealized global climate model and its application to dust-climate interactions Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. Somerville | |
| 5:15 PM | 6.8 | Cloud resolving model simulations of water and energy budgets for the Indian Ocean region: Effects of aerosols on trade wind cumuli Greg McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and H. Wang and W. Grabowski |
Sessions end for the day
Session 7 Seasonal prediction (Room 6C)
| 8:30 AM | 7.1 | Experiments in downscaled seasonal forecasting from the ENSO signal: extreme interseasonal and intraseasonal variability of Florida dry season storminess and rainfall and the role of the MJO, PNA, and NAO Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. J. Almeida | |
| 8:45 AM | 7.2 | Multi Model Synthetic Superensemble Prediction System Won-Tae Yun, Korea Meteorological Administration and Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. Stefanova and T. N. Krishnamurti | |
| 9:00 AM | 7.3 | Seasonal prediction effort at NCEP: toward a seamless suite of forecast products Wanqiu Wang, SAIC at NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha, G. White, and H.-L. Pan | |
| 9:15 AM | 7.4 | Validation and forecast applicability of multi-year global soil wetness products Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and Z. Guo and X. Gao |
Session 8 Radiative Forcing of the Climate: Observations (Room 608)
| 8:30 AM | 8.1 | Radiative forcing of tropospheric ozone W. F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada; and C. R. Ferguson and E. Puckrin | |
| 8:45 AM | 8.2 | On the relationship between tropical mean radiation and SST Bing Lin, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and T. Wong, B. A. Wielicki, and Y. Hu | |
| 8.3 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 9:00 AM | 8.3A | Intraseasonal Variations of Earth Radiation Budget: CERES EOS/Terra Observations Versus NCEP Reanalysis 2 Data (Formerly paper JP5.15) Takmeng Wong, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith | |
| 9:15 AM | 8.4 | Cloud forcing in the tropical eastern Pacific Meghan F. Cronin, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA |
Fourth Presidential Policy Forum: Weather and National Security (Room 6AB)
Session 9 Observed Climate Change: Part II (Room 6C)
| 1:30 PM | 9.1 | Interannual and long-term changes in middle atmosphere temperature from HALOE Ellis Remsberg, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and L. Deaver | |
| 1:45 PM | 9.2 | Update on Microwave-Based Atmospheric Temperatures by UAH John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. W. Spencer and D. Braswell | |
| 2:00 PM | 9.3 | A Self-Consistent Analysis of Climate Trend in MSU/AMSU Satellite Observations Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. C. Grody | |
| 2:15 PM | 9.4 | Describing global temperature changes during the past half century Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD | |
| 2:30 PM | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break | ||
| 4:00 PM | 9.5 | Some Trends of Relative Sea Level in The Pacific Bernard J. Kilonsky, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Merrifield | |
| 4:15 PM | 9.6 | Recent trends in the Southern Oscillation Todd Mitchell, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace | |
| 4:30 PM | 9.7 | Interdecadal Changes in Potential Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Bister and K. Emanuel | |
| 4:45 PM | 9.8 | Variability of extreme precipitation events in Tijuana, Mexico Tereza Cavazos, Centro de Investigacion Cientifica de Educacion Superior de Ensenada, Ensenada, B. C., Mexico; and D. Rivas | |
| 5:00 PM | 9.9 | Detecting Arctic climate change using Köppen climate classification and satellite NDVI Muyin Wang, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland |
Poster Session 2 Atmospheric Oscillations and Boundary Layer Processes (Hall 4AB)
| P2.1 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| P2.2 | Red Shift Phenomena Revealed in the Zonal Winds Oscillations Probably Induced by the Sunspot Cycle G.-H. Lim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and A.-S. Suh and Y. Suh | |
| P2.3 | The Madden-Julian Oscillation Signal in the Arctic Oscillation Jee-Hoon Jeong, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C.-H. Ho | |
| P2.4 | Wave-mean-flow interaction and the annular mode David J. Lorenz, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Hartmann | |
| P2.5 | On the relationship between very low frequency North Pacific SSTA and global climate variations Sang-Wook Yeh, COLA, Calverton, MD; and B. P. Kirtman | |
| P2.6 | A seasonal intercomparison of the dominant modes of climatic variability Kevin J. Rennert, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace | |
| P2.7 | Indian Ocean response to atmospheric intraseasonal oscillations Galina Chirokova, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster | |
| P2.8 | Assessing the influence of decadal climate variability and climate change on snowpacks in the Pacific Northwest Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. Mote and D. P. Lettenmaier | |
| P2.9 | Synoptic disturbances in the east Pacific ITCZ and their effect on the boundary layer Yolande Serra, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Cronin and M. McPhaden | |
| P2.10 | A Theory for Long Term Changes in the General Circulation—Corilis effect in the Solar System John C. Freeman, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. F. Hasling | |
| P2.11 | Does the Antarctic Oscillation Modulate Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Northwestern Pacific Joo-Hong Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea; and C.-H. Ho | |
| P2.12 | Comparing convergence and/or moist-air advection zones from TPW analyses Arief Sudradjat, University of Maryland and CICS/ESSIC, College Park, MD; and R. Ferraro | |
| P2.13 | Satellite Observations of Ocean Moisture Advection and its Effect on South American Low Level Jet and Hydrological Balances Xiaosu Xie, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. T. Liu and W. Tang | |
| P2.14 | Simple Experiments on the Relationship of Air Temperature to SST in the Tropics Philip J. Regulski, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Hartmann | |
| P2.15 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| P2.16 | Near-surface flow regimes: Recent changes and tools for prognoses S.C. Pryor, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and J. T. Schoof and R. J. Barthelmie | |
| P2.17 | Planetary Boundary Layer Height: Lidar and Radiosonde based Observations Segayle C. Walford, Howard University, Washington, DC; and B. B. Demoz and E. Joseph | |
| P2.18 | A fire scenario builder for coarse-scale modeling of current and future fire effects based on future climate scenarios Narasimhan K. Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and D. McKenzie, S. M. O'Neill, S. Ferguson, and D. V. Sandberg | |
| P2.19 | The International Polar Year 2007–2008 Sheldon Drobot, The National Academies, Washington, DC; and C. Elfring | |
| P2.20 | Seasonal heat budget of the California Current Kathleen A. Edwards, APL and Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. A. Kelly |
Joint Poster Session 5 Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY; Hall 4AB)
| JP5.1 | Nonlinear patterns of North American winter surface air temperatures associated with El Niño/La Niña Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar | |
| JP5.2 | The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and its role in cold-season tornado outbreak climatology Katherine H. Nunn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano | |
| JP5.3 | El Niño and precipitation in the peruvian Andes Pablo Lagos, Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru; and Y. Silva and E. Nickl | |
| JP5.4 | Nonlinear Complex Principal Component Analysis, with Applications to Tropical Pacific Wind Variability Sanjay S.P. Rattan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh | |
| JP5.5 | Propagation and the Vertical Structure of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL, Livermore, CA | |
| JP5.6 | Interannual and interdecadal variability in the Pacific region SST anomaly patterns and their impact on local climate Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and F. A. Akyuz, I. I. Mokhov, E. P. Kelsey, D. K. Weitlich, and J. E. Woolard | |
| JP5.7 | The impact of teleconnection patterns on air mass frequency and character in North American winters Melissa Lynn Malin, Center for Climatic Research, University of Delaware, Newark, DE | |
| JP5.8 | Northern Hemisphere snow cover variability David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ | |
| JP5.9 | A climate report card for New Jersey David A. Robinson, Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and J. Parlagreco | |
| JP5.10 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| JP5.11 | The Recent Increase in Western US Streamflow Variability and Persistence Thomas C. Pagano, USDA/Natural Resources Conservation Service/National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR; and D. Garen | |
| JP5.12 | Wind climate analyses for a 61-m tower in the Southeast Allen H. Weber, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and R. J. Kurzeja | |
| JP5.13 | Intraseasonal variability of subtropical cyclone occurrence in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean Jason A. Otkin, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin | |
| JP5.14 | Interannual variability of North America summer precipitation in CAM2.0 and NSIPP AMIP-like simulations Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam | |
| Paper JP5.15 moved to session 8 in the 15th Symp on Global Change/Climate Variations, new paper number 8.3A | ||
| JP5.16 | Global Precipitation Climatology from AMSU Passive Microwave Satellite Observations Frederick W. Chen, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. H. Staelin | |
| JP5.17 | High-latitude cloud and surface radiative properties from space Joannes Berque, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Lubin and R. Somerville |
Joint Session 4 Applications of Seasonal Predictions (Joint with the 15th Symp on Global Change and Climate Variations and 14th Conf on Applied Climatology (Room 609/610)
| 4:00 PM | J4.1 | Forecasting Rainfall and Floods in Bangladesh on Weekly to Seasonal Time Scales: Climate Forecast Applications in Bangladesh (Formerly Poster JP1.12) Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. R. Subbiah, T. M. Hopson, C. Hoyos, R. L. Grossman, H. -. R. Chang, K. Sahami, T. N. Palmer, D. L. T. Anderson, and A. Hossain | |
| J4.1A | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 4:15 PM | J4.2 | Helping resource managers apply seasonal predictions: considerations of equity in providing knowledge development and decision support tools Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Imam, E. Lay, D. Lamb, and S. Sorooshian | |
| 4:30 PM | J4.3 | National Long-range Hydrologic Prediction System Qingyun Duan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake | |
| 4:45 PM | J4.4 | Use of a weather generator to disaggregate seasonal forecasts: Application to forecasting streamflow M. P. Clark, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Hay and S. Gangopadhyay | |
| 5:00 PM | J4.5 | Climate, fuels, fire and decisions: The making of national monthly and seasonal wildland fire outlooks Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and G. G. Garfin, T. Wordell, R. Ochoa, and B. Morehouse | |
| 5:15 PM | J4.6 | The North American (Mexican) Monsoon: MM5 modeling study implications Dorothea Ivanova, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. L. Mitchell |
Sessions end for the day
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Session 10 Climate Models: Evaluation and Projections, Part II (Room 608)
| 8:30 AM | 10.1 | The CCPP-ARM Parameterization Testbed (CAPT): Evaluating climate models in a weather forecasting framework Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and G. L. Potter, D. L. Williamson, R. T. Cederwall, J. S. Boyle, M. Fiorino, J. J. Hnilo, J. G. Olson, S. Xie, and J. J. Yio | |
| 8:45 AM | 10.2 | Stochastic climate simulators for diagnosing regional climate variability and model physics John W. Bergman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. Penland | |
| 9:00 AM | 10.3 | The Effect of Subtropical/Extratropical Cooling on the Magnitude of El Niño Warming: A Numerical Study De-Zheng Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and T. Zhang and S.-I. Shin | |
| 9:15 AM | 10.4 | Projecting climate change in mesoscale river basins Eric P Salathé, Jr., JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA | |
| 9:30 AM | 10.5 | Global Changes of the Water Cycle Intensity Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Schubert and G. Walker |
Joint Session 13 Seasonal to interannual climate prediction with emphasis on the 2002 El Nino (Joint with 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations and the Symp. on Forecasting Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean (Room 6C)
| 8:30 AM | J13.1 | Evolution of the 2002-03 El Niño Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA | |
| 8:45 AM | J13.2 | Predictability of the 1997 and 2002 El Ninos Alicia Karspeck, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and M. Cane and D. Chen | |
| 9:00 AM | J13.3 | The termination of the 2002-3 El Niño Gabriel A. Vecchi, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattl, WA; and D. E. Harrison | |
| 9:15 AM | J13.4 | The effect of ocean data assimilation on the spring predictability barrier of ENSO during the 1993–2002 decade Augustin Vintzileos, GEST-UMBC and GMAO-NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Rienecker, M. J. Suarez, and S. Schubert | |
| J13.5 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 9:30 AM | J13.6 | Development of a new seasonal forecast model at NCEP Hua-Lu Pan, EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha, W. Wang, and G. White | |
| 9:45 AM | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break | ||
| 11:00 AM | J13.7 | Atmospheric Predictability of Seasonal Climate Means: Sensitivity to Annual Cycle and ENSO Variations Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan, Taiwan | |
| 11:15 AM | J13.8 | Observational impact on seasonal forecast skill using the NSIPP ocean data assimilation system Chaojiao Sun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. M. Rienecker and C. L. Keppenne | |
| 11:30 AM | J13.9 | The Gerrity equitable skill score as a near optimal alternative to the modified Heidke score for verification of categorical seasonal forecasts Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD | |
| 11:45 AM | J13.10 | Generalized Inversion of the Bryan & Cox ocean model and Tropical Atmosphere -Ocean (TAO ) Data Andrew F. Bennett, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and B. S. Chua | |
| 12:00 PM | Lunch Break | ||
| 1:30 PM | J13.11 | Representing model uncertainty in ensemble-based weather and climate prediction Tim Palmer, ECMWF, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom | |
| 2:00 PM | J13.12 | Initialization of unstable coupled systems by breeding ensembles Shu-Chih Yang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai, M. Pena, and E. Kalnay | |
| J13.13 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | ||
| 2:15 PM | J13.14 | ENSO forecast by Markov model since 1996: Strength, Weakness and Improvement Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Kousky | |
| 2:30 PM | J13.15 | Predictability of extratropical stormtrack variations Gilbert P Compo, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh | |
| 2:45 PM | J13.16 | Predictability of Monthly Means based on Information Theory Timothy M DelSole, COLA, Calverton, MD | |
| 3:00 PM | Coffee Break | ||
| 3:30 PM | J13.17 | Predictability of Indian monsoon rainfall variability Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and T. DelSole | |
| 3:45 PM | J13.18 | POAMA: an Australian ocean-atmosphere model for climate prediction Guomin Wang, BMRC, Melbourne, Australia; and O. Alves, A. Zhong, N. Smith, A. Schiller, G. Meyers, F. Tseitkin, and S. Godfrey | |
| 4:00 PM | J13.19 | Seasonal Predictions from the FSU Regional Climate Model Steven D. Cocke, FSU, Tallahassee, FL; and T. E. LaRow and D.-W. Shin | |
| 4:15 PM | J13.20a | A Hierarchy of Data-Based Enso Models D. Kondrashov, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and S. V. Kravtsov and M. Ghil |
Joint Session 5 Climate Change and Urban Areas (Joint with the Symp. on Planning, Nowcasting and Forecasting in the Urban Zone and 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations; Room 609/610)
| 8:30 AM | J5.1 | Detection of urban effects in the climate record Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC | |
| 9:00 AM | J5.2 | Impact of land-use change and urbanization on climate Ming Cai, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. Li and E. Kalnay | |
| 9:15 AM | J5.3 | The impact of climate change on our cities Martin Best, Met Office, Wallingford, United Kingdom; and R. Betts | |
| 9:30 AM | J5.4 | Modeling future climate and air quality in the New York City metropolitan area Kevin L. Civerolo, New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, Albany, NY; and J. Biswas, C. Hogrefe, J. Rosenthal, K. Knowlton, B. Lynn, J.-Y. Ku, R. Goldberg, C. Rosenzweig, and P. Kinney |
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Hall 4AB)
Poster Session 3 ENSO and Monsoons (Hall 4AB)
| P3.1 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| P3.2 | The global nonlinear impact of SST changes in the central tropical Pacific Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo | |
| P3.3 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| P3.4 | Differences between the North Pacific and ENSO Modes Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang | |
| P3.5 | Changes in the Intraseasonal Variability of Precipitation over the United States Associated with ENSO David Small, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH; and S. Islam | |
| P3.6 | Spatial coherence of Southwest U. S. rainfall on intraseasonal and interannual timescales Eileen A. Hall-McKim, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis | |
| P3.7 | Atmospheric circulation associated to extreme rainfall events in Piura, Peru, in 2002 Ken Takahashi, University of Washington, Seattle, WA | |
| P3.8 | TRMM and the global interannual variability of rain over the past five decades Ziad S. Haddad, JPL and California Institute of Technical, Pasadena, CA; and J. P. Meagher, R. F. Adler, E. Smith, E. Im, and S. L. Durden | |
| P3.9 | Low-frequency rainfall variability in northwest Africa and the Sahelian and Sudanian zones Jon M. Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink, T. Bruecher, M. Christoph, P. Knippertz, and P. Speth | |
| P3.10 | Nonlinear response of the N. Hemisphere winter atmospheric circulation to El Niño/La Niña Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh | |
| P3.11 | PAPER WITHDRAWN | |
| P3.12 | Study of East Asian Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA | |
| P3.13 | Relation between Winter Monsoon Index and Air Temperature around Korean Peninsula Yong-Hoon Youn, Meteorological Research Institute, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea; and I. S. Oh and H.-S. Chung |
Session 11 Observed Seasonal/Interannual Variability (Room 608)
| 11:00 AM | 11.1 | The climate of 2003 in historical perspective Levinson David, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, A. Waple, S. Stephens, and C. Tankerlsey | |
| 11:15 AM | 11.2 | Mechanisms of land rainfall anomalies associated with tropical Atlantic variability J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su | |
| 11:30 AM | 11.3 | The Scatter in Tropical Average Precipitation Anomalies Hui Su, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin | |
| 11:45 AM | 11.4 | Intraseasonal modulation of precipitation over the North American monsoon region George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and E. Hall-McKim | |
| 12:00 PM | 11.5 | Nonlinear Scale Interactions Via Energy Exchanges Between the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation L. Stefanova, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti | |
| 12:15 PM | Lunch Break | ||
| 1:30 PM | 11.6 | On the North Atlantic decadal variability Lixin Wu, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and Z. Liu | |
| 1:45 PM | 11.7 | Mechanisms for intraseasonal variability in the Northern Annular Mode Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. A. McDaniel | |
| 2:00 PM | 11.8 | A Physically-Consistent Long-term Reconstruction of the Northern Annular Mode Using Tree Rings Justin J. Wettstein, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace | |
| 2:15 PM | 11.9 | Linear atmospheric response to ENSO associated SST meridional differential Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD | |
| 2:30 PM | 11.10 | A Model Study of Intraseasonal Oscillations over South America South America Baode Chen, GEST, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. Chao | |
| 2:45 PM | 11.11 | Guinea Gulf SST and Mediterranean Summer Climate: analysis of the interannual variabilty Marina Baldi, IbiMet - CNR, Rome, Italy; and F. Meneguzzo, G. Dalu, G. Maracchi, M. Pasqui, V. Capecchi, A. Crisci, and F. Piani |
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
Registration Desk Closes
Joint Session 6 Observed Climate Variability (JOINT with THE 15TH SYMPOSIUM ON GLOBAL CHANGE AND CLIMATE VARIATIONS AND THE 14TH CONFERENCE ON APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (Room 609/610)