The Eighth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

SUN 10 JAN___________________________
7:30 AM – 6:00 PM CONFERENCE REGISTRATION
7:00 PM SESSION 1: A DAY IN THE LIFE OF AN AVIATION METEOROLOGIST
Chairperson(s): David A. Sankey, FAA, Washington, DC; and Jack Ernst, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL
7:00 PM 1.1 WEATHER SUPPORT FOR A GLOBAL AIRLINE. David L. Kleckner, United Airlines, Chicago, IL
7:20 PM 1.2 THE MANY LIVES OF A METEOROLOGIST IN SUPPORT OF SPACE LAUNCH. D. E. Harms, 45 Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and A. A. Guiffrida, B. F. Boyd, L. H. Gross, G. D. Strohm, R. M. Lucci, J. W. Weems, and E. D. Priselac
7:40 PM 1.3 WORKING THE AREA FORECAST DESK AT THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. Henry L. Fields, NOAA/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO, none
8:00 PM 1.4 THE ROLE OF AVIATION METEOROLOGISTS IN THE TEST AND EVALUATION OF WEATHER PROCESSOR SYSTEMS AT THE FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION WILLIAM J. HUGHES TECHNICAL CENTER. Danny Sims, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and M. Printy, G. Smythe, and C. Turner
8:20 PM 1.5 FORECASTING AT FEDEX. Dale A. Dockus, FEDEX, Memphis, TN
8:40 PM 1.6 THE ROLE OF AN AVIATION METEOROLOGIST IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR. Dale Raymakers, DTN Kavouras Weather Services, Burnsville, MN
9:00 PM 1.7 A DAY IN THE LIFE OF AN AIR FORCE METEOROLOGIST SUPPORTING AIRLIFT OPERATIONS. Kimberly Kreis, AWS, Offutt AFB, NE

MON 11 JAN___________________________
7:00 AM CONFERENCE REGISTRATION
8:00 AM SESSION 2: PANEL DISCUSSION- WORLDWIDE TRENDS IN AVIATION WEATHER
Moderator(s): David Sankey and Steven Albersheim, FAA, Washington, DC
Panelist(s): John J. Kelly, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; Neil D. Gordon, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd., Wellington, New Zealand; John Foottit, Aviation Weather Services, Ottawa, ON, Canada; Frances Sheretz, FAA, Washington, DC; and Ewen McCallum, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK
10:00 AM COFFEE BREAK
10:30 AM SESSION 3: AVIATION HAZARDS AND OPERATIONAL IMPACTS
Chairperson(s): Tom Adang, University of California, Berkeley, CA
10:30 AM 3.1 REPORT ON THE NATIONAL AVIATION WEATHER CENTER - WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?. David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and J. H. Henderson, F. R. Mosher, F. J. Foss, and R. J. Olson
10:45 PM 3.2 WEATHER IMPACTS ON SPACE LAUNCH OPERATIONS AT THE UNITED STATES EASTERN RANGE. Michael W. Maier, Computer Sciences Raytheon, Patrick Air Force Base, FL
11:00 AM 3.3 REPORT OF THE FIRST STUDY CONFERENCE ON AVIATION WEATHER HAZARDS. Kelvin K. Droegemeier, CAPS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Braaten and D. Rodenhuis
11:15 AM 3.4 THUNDERSTORMS & AIR TRAFFIC VS. SAFETY & ECONOMICS. IS COLLABORATION THE ANSWER?. Thomas H. Fahey III, Northwest Airlines, Inc., St. Paul, MN; and D. Branch, W. Failor, C. Knable, W. S. Leber, and D. R. Rodenhuis
11:30 AM 3.5 FREEZING RAIN AS AN ICING HAZARD. Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. P. Ratvasky, D. R. Miller, and F. McDonough
11:45 AM 3.6 A CASE STUDY OF MID-LEVEL TURBULENCE OUTSIDE REGIONS OF ACTIVE CONVECTION. Richard F. Ferris, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA
12:00 PM LUNCH BREAK
1:30 PM SESSION 4: CURRENT AVIATION FORECAST CAPABILITIES
Chairperson(s): Tom Fahey, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN; and Lynn Sherretz, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 4.1 EVIDENCE OF IMPROVEMENTS IN THE QUALITY OF IN-FLIGHT ICING ALGORITHMS. Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Kane, R. Bullock, and M. K. Politovich
1:45 PM 4.2 INTEGRATED ICING DIAGNOSIS ALGORITHM ASSESSMENT AT THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. Danny Sims, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and C. Fidalgo, C. Turner, M. Politovich, and D. Johnson
2:00 PM 4.3 THE GROWTH AND DECAY STORM TRACKER. M. M. Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and B. E. Forman, R. G. Hallowell, and M. P. Moore
2:15 PM 4.4 NAV CANADA'S TAF AMENDMENT RESPONSE TIME VERIFICATION. Henry Stanski, Environment Canada, Downsview, ON, Canada; and A. Leganchuk, A. Hanssen, D. Wintjes, O. Abramowski, and J. Shaykewich
2:30 PM 4.5 AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO CLEAR-AIR TURBULENCE FORECASTING. Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Tebaldi and B. Brown
2:45 PM 4.6 TURBULENCE FORECASTING ALGORITHMS- CALIBRATION, COMPARISON, AND VERIFICATION. Adrian Marroquin, NOAA/FSL, Ft. Collins, CO
3:00 PM COFFEE BREAK
3:30 PM 4.7 UCAR REVIEW TEAM REPORT ON THE NCEP AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. Carl R. Knable, United Air Lines, Chicago, IL
3:45PM 4.8 INTERNATIONAL FLIGHT FOLDER DOCUMENTATION PROGRAM AT THE AWC. James H. Henderson, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
4:00 PM 4.9 AN UPDATE ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF FORECASTER PRODUCTIVITY TOOLS FOR THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. Wilson, G. Pratt, and J. Frimel
4:15 PM 4.10 GENERATION OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FORECASTS CAPABILITIES AT THE WORLD AREA FORECAST CENTRES. Steve Murray, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK; and R. Olson
4:30 PM 4.11 LESSONS LEARNED DURING THE FIRST YEAR OF SEMI-AUTOMATIC GENERATION OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FORECASTS AT THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. Ronald J. Olson, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
4:45 PM 4.12 THE BENEFITS OF USING FSL'S REAL-TIME VERIFICATION SYSTEM (RTVS) AT THE NWS/NCEP AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Henderson, B. G. Brown, and C. S. Hartsough
5:00 PM 4.13 VERIFICATION OF THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER'S CONVECTIVE SIGMET OUTLOOKS USING RTVS. Craig S. Hartsough, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Mahoney and J. K. Henderson
5:15 PM 4.14 THE USE OF VERIFICATION FROM AN OPERATIONAL FORECASTER'S PERSPECTIVE. Henry L. Fields, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and J. L. Mahoney
5:30 PM SESSIONS END FOR THE DAY
5:00-7:00 PM FORMAL OPENING OF EXHIBITS WITH RECEPTION (Cash Bar)

TUE 12 JAN___________________________
7:30 AM REGISTRATION CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY, 15 JANUARY
8:00 AM SYMPOSIUM ON CLIMATE AND SOCIETAL ISSUES
9:30 AM - 2:15 PM EXHIBIT HOURS
10:00 AM COFFEE BREAK
10:30 AM SESSION 4: CURRENT AVIATION FORECAST CAPABILITIES (Continued)
Chairperson(s): Mary Cairns, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV
10:30 AM 4.15 A GRIDDED AVIATION WEATHER DATABASE FOR FLIGHT SPECIFIC METEOROLOGICAL PRODUCTS. M.-F. Turcotte, Canadian Meteorological Centre, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and R. Verret, V. Souvanlasy, and M. Baltazar
10:45 AM 4.16 REAL-TIME CONFIGURATION OF MM5 USING A GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE. Todd A. Hutchinson, LITTON/TASC, Reading, MA; and P. S. Dailey, R. A. Reynologs, D. Z. Sherer, E. A. Kelley, and J. R. Staudinger
11:00 AM 4.17 THE MM5 AT THE AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY- NEW PRODUCTS TO SUPPORT MILITARY OPERATIONS. Jeffrey A. Doran, Headquarters Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt Air Force Base, NE; and P. J. Roohr, D. J. Beberwyk, G. R. Brooks, G. A. Gayno, R. T. Williams, J. M. Lewis, and R. J. Lefevre
11:15 AM 4.18 AVOIDING TRIGGERED LIGHTNING THREAT TO SPACE LAUNCH FROM THE EASTERN RANGE/KENNEDY SPACE CENTER. W. P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, USAF, Patrick Air Force Base, FL; and J. E. Sardonia, S. C. Jacobs, M. S. Hinson, A. A. Guiffrida, and J. T. Madura
11:30 AM 4.19 REPORT ON A TASK FORCE TO COMMERCIAL AVIATION - RAPID PROTOTYPING OF EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCTS. David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and F. R. Mosher and T. H. Fahey III
11:45 AM 4.20 ACTIVITIES OF THE FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION'S AVIATION WEATHER RESEARCH PROGRAM. Kenneth M. Leonard, FAA, Washington, DC; and K. L. Van Sickle, D. J. Pace, W. L. Fellner, and J. J. Conte
12:15 PM CONFERENCE LUNCHEON
2:15 PM JOINT SESSION J1: APPLICATIONS OF IIPS IN AVIATION WEATHER (Joint with 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
Chairperson(s): Ronald Olson, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and David Pace, FAA, Washington, DC
2:15 PM J1.1 OVERVIEW.
2:30 PM J1.2 OVERVIEW OF THE AVIATION DIGITAL DATA SERVICE. Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. Thompson and T. Mahony
2:45 PM J1.3 AVIATION WEATHER PRODUCTS ON THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER HOME PAGE. Timothy P. Mahony, NOAA/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO
3:00 PM J1.4 DISTRIBUTION OF AVIATION WEATHER PRODUCTS VIA THE PUBLIC INTERNET AND PRIVATE INTRANETS. Ronald C. Martin, SkySource Industry, Annapolis, MD; and T. H. Fahey III and A. E. Zukas
3:15 PM J1.5 PROVIDING AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT THROUGH THE INTERNET. David L. Kleckner, United Airlines, Chicago, IL
3:30 PM COFFEE BREAK
4:00 PM J1.6 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND PLANS FOR THE FAA'S AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING PROGRAM. Kenneth A. Kraus, FAA, Washington, DC; and P. J. Kirchoffer
4:15 PM J1.7 AVIATION WEATHER PRODUCTS AS SEEN BY AN ENGINEER. Arthur Levy, FAA, Washington, DC; and C. J. Tidwell, Jr.
4:30 PM J1.8 THE MILITARY AIRCREW INFORMATION SERVICE (MAIS)- HELPING AIRCREWS NAVIGATE THE MAZE OF WEATHER INFORMATION. Bradley V. Kassube, Headquarters Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt Air Force Base, NE; and M. A. Venerable and P. B. Roohr
4:45 PM J1.9 THE DESIGN OF THE NEW SPACELIFT WEATHER INFORMATION SYSTEM (SWIS) FOR THE U.S. SPACE PROGRAM. Magda S. Hashem, Raytheon Systems Co., Aurora, CO; and J. A. McGinley
3:30 PM POSTER SESSION P5: INTERNET AND TERMINAL FORECASTING
P5.1 AUTOMATED TRANSCRIBED WEATHER BROADCAST (TWEB) ROUTE FORECASTS AT THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. JoAnna L. Green, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
P5.2 STORM-SCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION FOR COMMERCIAL AND MILITARY AVIATION. PART II- DEVELOPMENT AND ASSESSMENT OF AVIATION IMPACT VARIABLES. Eric M. Kemp, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. M. Stock, F. H. Carr, and M. B. Schott
P5.3 OBJECTIVE CLASSIFICATION OF AUSTRALIAN CLIMATES. Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and G. de Hoedt and J. Ernst
P5.4 PREDICTING THE LIKELIHOOD OF FOG AT MELBOURNE AIRPORT. Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and K. Parkyn
P5.5 APPLICATIONS OF THE ETA-10 AND ACARS DATA TO MONITORING AND FORECASTING MARINE LAYER STRATUS IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. Greg Martin, NOAA/NWSFO, San Diego, CA
P5.6 ENVIRONMENT CANADA & NAV CANADA- AVIATION FORECAST VERIFICATION SYSTEM WITH INCENTIVES AND PENALTIES. H. Stanski, Environment Canada, Downsview, ON, Canada; and A. Hanssen, W. Maynard, K. Johnson, J. Shaykewich, J. Foottit, and M. Ouellet
P5.7 THE INTERNET AS A SOURCE OF AVIATION WEATHER. Michael A. Steinberg, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA
P5.8 A MARINE STRATUS FORECASTING SYSTEM. F. Wesley Wilson, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and D. Clark
P5.9 HIGH RESOLUTION SIMULATIONS OF STRATUS/FOG BURNOFF IN SFO. Fanyou Kong, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
P5.10 WEST COAST FOG AND STRATUS EVENTS AT AIR TERMINALS AND RELATED WEATHER SUMMARIES. Dale F. Leipper, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Weygand, J. Millard, and B. Leipper
P5.11 PAPER WITHDRAWN.
P5.12 OPERATIONAL USE OF MM5 AT RESOLUTIONS NEAR FIVE KILOMETERS- FORECASTING IMPROVEMENTS IN SEVERE WEATHER SITUATIONS AND FOR SPACE SHUTTLE SUPPORT. Peter B. Roohr, Headquarters Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt Air Force Base, NE; and D. J. Beberwyk, G. A. Gayno, G. R. Brooks, J. M. Lewis, J. A. Doran, and R. J. Lefevre
P5.13 HIGH RESOLUTION CLOUD FORECAST ANIMATIONS. Mark J. Gibbas, Litton/TASC, Inc., Reading, MA
P5.14 IS THE METEOROGRAM A FORECASTER'S TOOL FOR FOG AND WIND AT VANDENBERG AFB CA?. Christy Crosiar, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA; and S. J. Bradley
3:30 PM COFFEE BREAK
4:00 PM SESSION 6: TERMINAL FORECASTING
Chairperson(s): Paul C. Fike, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
4:00 PM 6.1 THE TERMINAL CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECAST DEMONSTRATION AT THE DFW INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. R .G. Hallowell, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and M. M. Wolfson, B. E. Forman, M. P. Moore, B. A. Crowe, T. M. Rotz, D. W. Miller, and T. C. Carty
4:15 PM 6.2 NORMALIZED VERIFICATION OF AVIATION AERODROME FORECASTS (TAFS). Kent A. Johnson, AES, Kelowna, BC, Canada; and U. Gramann
4:45 PM 6.4 STORM-SCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION FOR COMMERCIAL AND MILITARY AVIATION. PART I- RESULTS FROM OPERATIONAL TESTS IN 1998. Richard L. Carpenter, Jr, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier, G. M. Bassett, S. S. Weygandt, D. E. Jahn, S. Stevenson, W. L. Qualley, and R. Strasser
5:00 PM 6.5 LOCAL DATA INTEGRATION IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA USING THE ARPS DATA ANALYSIS SYSTEM. Jonathan C. Case, NASA, Cocoa Beach, FL; and J. Manobianco
5:15 PM 6.6 OPTIMIZING THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ITWS MICROBURST DETECTION ALGORITHM IN DRY ENVIRONMENTS. Erik A. Proseus, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and M. A. Isaminger
5:30 PM SESSIONS END FOR THE DAY

WED 13 JAN___________________________
8:00 AM HORTON LECTURE
8:45 AM SESSION 7: CONVECTION
Chairperson(s): Jennifer Mahoney, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO
8:45 AM 7.1 COMMERCIAL AVIATION’S THUNDERSTROM FORECAST PRODUCT ACCURACY. Andrew W. Schultz, Northwest Airlines, Inc., St. Paul, MN; and T. H. Fahey III and C. Hartsough
9:00 AM 7.2 THUNDERSTORM INDUCED GRAVITY WAVES AS A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO COMMERCIAL AVIATION. David W. Miller, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA
9:15 AM 7.3 NATIONAL CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECAST PRODUCT. Cynthia K. Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. B. Fidalgo, D. W. McCann, D. Meganhardt, N. Rehak, and T. Carty
9:30 AM 7.4 ASPOC - A FRENCH PROJECT FOR A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCT DESIGNED FOR AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL. Frederic Autones, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. M. Carriere, S. Girres, S. Senesi, and P. Thomas
9:45 AM 7.5 VVSTORM - CONVECTION DIAGNOSED FROM NUMERICAL MODELS. Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
10:00 AM POSTER SESSION P8: CONVECTION AND VOLCANIC ASH
P8.1 THE BENEFITS OF USING NEXRAD VERTICALLY INTEGRATED LIQUID WATER AS AN AVIATION WEATHER PRODUCT. Bradley A. Crowe, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and D. W. Miller
P8.2 USE OF LIGHTNING DATA AS A WEATHER RADAR. Jeffrey D. Giovino, The MITRE Corp., McLean, VA; and J. P. Mittelman
P8.3 VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY CENTERS- ROLES AND CHALLENGES. R. Servranckx, Environment Canada, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and P. Chen and K. Little
P8.4 DEFINING PREDICTORS FOR THE TIMING OF WARM SEASON THUNDERSTORMS AT THE ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIPORT. Ulreen O. Jones, Florida Inst. of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and M. R. Witiw, A. J. Cristaldi, and D. W. Sharp
P8.5 INVESTIGATION INTO LIGHTNING STRIKES TO HELICOPTERS OPERATING OVER THE NORTH SEA. N. G. J. Halsey, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK; and R. Patton
P8.6 ANCHORAGE VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY CENTER OPERATIONS. Elliott G. Barske, Jr, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK
P8.7 VOLCANIC ASH FORECASTING EVENT OVER WESTERN CANADA 1998-07-10- OPERATIONAL RESPONSE AND FORENSIC STUDY. Ken Little, Environment Canada, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and K. Johnson and R. Servranckx
P8.8 AN OPERATIONAL THUNDERSTORM FORECAST EXPERIMENT DESIGNED FOR USE IN REAL TIME AIRCRAFT ROUTING. Horace R. Hudson, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and F. R. Mosher
P8.9 SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING IN AND AROUND THE KWAJALEIN ATOLL. Gail McGovern, Aeromet, Inc., Tulsa, OK; and S. J. Carpenter
P8.10 A REFINEMENT OF THUNDERSTORM CLIMATOLOGY FOR THE TERMINAL RADAR CONTROL AIRSPACE. Paul Bieringer, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and D. W. Miller and D. Meyer
P8.11 PAPER WITHDRAWN.
P8.12 WSR-88D CELL TRENDS FINAL REPORT. Mark M. Wheeler, NASA, Melbourne, FL
P8.13 SATELLITE-BASED VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORIES AND AN ASH TRAJECTORY MODEL FROM THE WASHINGTON VAAC. Davida Streett, NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, DC
P8.14 SOUFRIERE HILLS, MONTSERRAT, ERUPTION ON 17-18 SEPTEMBER - LIMITATIONS IN THE AVIATION WARNING SYSTEM. John L. Beven II, NOAA/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
P8.15 ARAC SIMULATIONS OF THE ASH PLUME FORM THE DECEMBE 1991 ERUPTION OF SOUFRIERE HILLS VOLCANO, MONTSERRAT. John C. Pace, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. J. Vogt, J. S. Ellis, B. Voight, and R. J. Lefevre
P8.16 LONG RANGE THUNDERSTORM DISTRIBUTIONS CONTINUOUSLY OBSERVED BY MEANS OF GROUND BASED SFERICS MEASUREMENTS. J. A. Weinman, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. A. Morales, J. S. Kriz, and S. J. Goodman
P8.17 THE THUNDERSTORM PENETRATION/DEVIATION DECISION IN THE TERMINAL AREA. Dale A. Rhoda, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and M. L. Pawlak
10:00 AM COFFEE BREAK (Exhibit Hours 10:00 AM - 1:30 PM)
10:30 AM SESSION 9: VOLCANIC ASH
Chairperson(s): Steven Albersheim, FAA, Washington, DC
10:30 AM 9.1 TOWARDS A NATIONAL PLAN FOR REPORTING VOLCANIC ASH. Steven R. Albersheim, FAA, Washington, DC
10:45 AM 9.2 DEVELOPMENT OF AN AUTOMATIC SATELLITE VOLCANIC ERUPTION DETECTION SYSTEM, FOR EN-ROUTE AVIATION. R. W. Lunnon, UK MET Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK; and I. J. McNair
11:00 AM 9.3 VOLCANIC ASH CLOUDS POSE A REAL THREAT TO AIRCRAFT SAFETY. Leonard J. Salinas, United Airlines, Chicago, IL
11:15 AM 9.4 IMPROVEMENTS IN VOLCANIC ASH DETECTION USING GOES MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGER DATA. Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, DC; and B. Connell
11:30 AM 9.5 GMS-5 AND NOAA AVHRR SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS OF THE NEW ZEALAND MT RUAPEHU ERUPTION OF 19/20 JULY 1996. Rodney Potts, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. Tokuno
11:45 AM 9.6 VOLCANIC ASH ENCOUNTER PROBABILITIES. Barbara J. B Stunder, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
12:00 PM LUNCH BREAK
1:30 PM SESSION 10: WAKE VORTEX, WINDS, AND TURBULENCE
Chairperson(s): Tom Fahey, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN; and Bill Failor, FAA, Washington, DC
1:30 PM 10.1 NOWCASTING REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AIRCRAFT VORTEX SPACING SYSTEM (AVOSS). Timothy J. Dasey, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and D. A. Hinton
1:45 PM 10.2 OBSERVED AIRCRAFT RISING WAKES AT FLIGHT ALTITUDES. J. Allen Zak, Vigyan, Inc. and NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and W. G. Rodgers and R. A. Rivers
2:00 PM 10.3 A EUROPEAN WAKE VORTEX ENCOUNTER REPORTING SYSTEM AND DATABASE. J. A. Turner, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK; and N. G. J. Halsey and G. Cole
2:15 PM 10.4 THE PREDICTION OF CROSSWIND COMPONENTS OVER VERY SHORT PERIODS IN THE CONTEXT OF WAKE VORTEX AVOIDANCE. N. G. J. Halsey, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK
2:30 PM 10.5 A STUDY OF NETWORK EXPANSION LLWAS (LLWAS-NE) FAULT IDENTIFICATION AND SYSTEM WARNING OPTIMIZATION THROUGH JOINT USE OF LLWAS-NE AND TDWR DATA. Darin R. Meyer, MIT Lincoln Lab, Lexington, MA; and M. A. Isaminger and E. A. Proseus
2:45 PM 10.6 A PRELIMINARY CLIMATOLOGY OF UPPER LEVEL TURBULENCE REPORTS. Tressa L. Kane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and R. Sharman
3:00 PM COFFEE BREAK (Exhibit Hours 3:00-7:30 PM)
3:30 PM 10.7 AUTOMATED SYSTEMS FOR PREDICTING CLEAR AIR TURBULENCE IN GLOBAL AVIATION FORECASTS. J. A. Turner, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., UK; and C. E. Bysouth
3:45 PM 10.8 THE CATEGORIES AND CAUSES OF THE LOW-LEVEL WINDSHEAR NEAR SUNGSHAN AIRPORT IN TAIWAN. Ting-An Wang, Civil Aeronautics Administration, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. P. Pu
4:00 PM 10.9 IMPROVING WIND ESTIMATES FOR TIME OF FLIGHT CALCULATIONS BY ADDING NEAR REAL-TIME AIRCRAFT REPORTS TO RUC. Rodney E. Cole, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and C. Richard, S. Kim, and D. Bailey
4:15 PM 10.10 PAPER WITHDRAWN.
4:30 PM 10.11 USE OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE AIDS IN FORECASTING A TURBULENCE SUPEROUTBREAK OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. Richard G. Cundy, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
4:45 PM 10.12 SENSITIVITY OF FLIGHT PLANNING TO MODEL WINDS. Mark S. Braby, Delta Airlines, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. D. Horel
5:00 PM 10.13 RAPID UPDATE CYCLE (RUC) WINDS ALOFT FORECAST ACCURACY AS A FUNCTION OF OUTPUT RESOLUTION. Joseph E. Sherry, The MITRE Corp., McLean, VA
3:00 PM POSTER SESSION P11: WAKE VORTEX, WINDS, AND TURBULENCE
P11.1 INTEGRATION OF MULTIPLE METEOROLOGICAL SENSOR OBSERVATIONS FOR WAKE VORTEX BEHAVIOR COMPARISON. Michael P. Matthews, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and A. P. Denneno
P11.2 WIND AND MOUNTAIN WAVE CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE PATHFINDER HAWAIIAN FLIGHT TEST OPERATION. Edward H. Teets, Jr, AS&M, Edwards, CA; and N. Salazar
P11.3 DATA ASSIMILATION ERROR IN THE SIMULATION OF THE BOULDER WINDSTORM AND TURBULENCE ENCOUNTERS NEAR MOUNTAINS. D. M. Landau, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. G. Wurtele and L. J. Ehernberger
P11.4 SIMULATION OF GUST AND TEMPERATURE PERTURBATIONS ALONG AN AIRPLANE PATH THROUGH STRATOSPHERIC MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE. D. M. Landau, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and L. J. Ehernberger and M. G. Wurtele
P11.5 TDWR VELOCITY DEALIASING MODIFICATIONS. Christopher F. Keohan, FAA, Oklahoma City, OK
P11.6 RELATIONS BETWEEN GUSTY AREA AND WIND STRUCTURE AROUND RAINBANDS AT THE HOKURIKU COAST, JAPAN, IN WINTER. K . Masuda, National Defense Academy, Hashirimizu, Japan; and K. Tomine, T. Shimura, and F. Kobayashi
P11.7 IMPLEMENTATION STATUS ON THE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR ALERT SYSTEM RELOCATION AND SUSTAINMENT PROGRAM (LLWAS-RS). John D. Nilsen, FAA, Washington, DC; and P. A. Biagi and F. W. Law
5:15 PM SESSIONS END FOR THE DAY
6:00 PM RECEPTION (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM AMS ANNUAL AWARDS BANQUET

THU 14 JAN___________________________
8:00 AM WALTER ORR ROBERTS MEMORIAL LECTURE
8:45 AM SESSION 12: ICING
Chairperson(s): JoAnna L. Green, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
8:45 AM 12.1 A CLIMATOLOGY OF ICING CONDITION PROBABILITIES BASED ON HISTORICAL RADIOSONDE DATA. Eric F. Grelson, U.S. Air Force Academy, Colorado Springs, CO; and M. R. Anderson
9:00 AM 12.2 AN INFERRED WINTER CLOUD CLIMATOLOGY. Lacey D. Holland, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Politovich
9:15 AM 12.3 OBSERVATION AND FORECASTING OF SUPERCOOLED LARGE DROPS AND AIRCRAFT ICING IN CONVECTIVE CELLS EMBEDDED IN A STRATUS CLOUD. Thomas Hauf, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen, Wessling, Germany; and F. Schröder and A. Tafferner
9:30 AM 12.4 PROBABILITY FORECASTS OF IN-FLIGHT ICING CONDITIONS. Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein, F. McDonough, and T. A. O. Bernstein
9:45 AM 12.5 WEATHER SUPPORT TO DEICING DECISION MAKING (WSDDM) METEOROLOGICAL EVALUATION AT THE FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION WILLIAM J. HUGHES TECHNICAL CENTER. Christopher M. Turner, Technical Resources Inc., Egg Harbor Township, NJ; and D. Sims and R. Rasmussen
10:00 AM COFFEE BREAK
10:30 AM 12.6 HOW CAN WE USE AND DEPICT VARIABILITY OF CLOUDS IN ICING FORECASTS?. Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO
10:45 AM 12.7 A NEW MICROPHYSICS SCHEME FOR IMPROVED FORECASTS OF FREEZING PRECIPITATION AND AIRCRAFT ICING. Andre Tremblay, AES, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and A. Glazer
11:00 AM 12.8 APPLICATION OF MESOSCALE MODEL DATA TO ALGORITHMS FOR INFLIGHT ICING OVER THE ALASKA REGION. Jeffrey S. Tilley, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and D. L. Wilkinson and M. K. Politovich
11:15 AM 12.9 A PASSIVE MICROWAVE ICING AVOIDANCE SYSTEM (MIAS). R. C. Savage, Raytheon Systems Co., Aurora, CO; and R. T. Lines, J. Cole, and G. G. Koenig
11:30 AM 12.10 WEATHER SUPPORT TO DEICING DECISION MAKING (WSDDM)- A WINTER WEATHER NOWCASTING SYSTEM. Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and . et al.
11:45 AM 12.11 COMBINING SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS WITH MODEL DATA TO CREATE A BETTER AIRCRAFT ICING DIAGNOSIS. Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein
9:00 AM - 1:30 PM EXHIBIT HOURS
10:00 AM POSTER SESSION P13: COFFEE BREAK & ICING AND SYSTEMS POSTERS
P13.1 COMPARISON OF RESEARCH AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS WITH NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS USING A MIXED-PHASE CLOUD SCHEME. Paul A. Vaillancourt, AES, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and A. Tremblay, S. G. Cober, and G. A. Issac
P13.2 SPECIFICATION AND TEST OF UPPER AIR MEASUREMENT ACCURACY AT THE UNITED STATES EASTERN RANGE. James P. McCann, Computer Sciences Raytheon, Patrick Air Force Base, FL; and M. Maier
P13.3 MULTIPURPOSE BROADCAST DATA LINK PILOT SURVEY. Dana E. Dornbusch, The MITRE Corp., McLean, VA; and R. C. Strain
P13.4 ACCURACY OF RUC-1 AND RUC-2 WIND AND AIRCRAFT TRAJECTORY FORECASTS AS DETERMINED BY ACARS OBSERVATIONS. Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. E. Schwartz
P13.5 AVIATION FORECASTS FROM THE RUC-2. Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, K. J. Brundage, D. Kim, B. E. Schwartz, T. Smirnova, and T. L. Smith
P13.6 DEVELOPMENT AND FLIGHT TEST OF A FAST, MINIATURE DEWPOINT HYGROMETER FOR RADIOSONDE MEASUREMENTS OF TROPOSPHERIC HUMIDITY. Michael E. Hoenk, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and R. K. Watson and G. Cardell
P13.8 AUTOMATED METEOROLOGICAL PROFILING SYSTEM SLATED FOR VANDENBERG AFB CA. Christy Crosiar, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA; and C. Koch
P13.9 CHARACTERISTICS OF OPERATIONAL AIRCRAFT DATA. Patricia M. Pauley, NRL, Monterey, CA
P13.10 A CASE STUDY OF HIGH LEVEL ICING USING RUC MODEL DATA. Paul C. Fike, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO
P13.11 ACCURACY REQUIREMENTS FOR RUNWAY VISUAL RANGE SYSTEMS. David C. Burnham, Scientific & Engineering Solutions, Inc., Orleans, MA; and R. J. Pawlak
P13.12 SCATTERING EFFECTS ON MICROWAVE PASSIVE REMOTE SENSING OF CLOUD PARAMETERS. Guifu Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and M. K. Politovich
P13.13 MULTI-FREQUENCY RADAR TECHNIQUE FOR DETECTING CLOUD PARAMETERS FOR PREDICTING AIRCRAFT ICING POTENTIAL. George G. Koenig, Cold Regions Research & Engineering Lab., Hanover, NH; and C. R. Ryerson, J. Mead, and A. Pazmany
P13.14 WITHDRAWN.
P13.15 OPTIMIZING THE ITWS ALGORITHM DESIGNED TO REMOVE ANOMALOUS PROPAGATION GROUND CLUTTER FROM THE ASR-9 PRECIPITATION PRODUCT. Benjamin G. Boorman, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and M. A. Isaminger and E. B. Mann
P13.16 AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEM AND THE HUMAN OBSERVATION- A COMPARISON STUDY. Christy Crosiar, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA; and R. D. Gonzalez
P13.17 THE NEXRAD ENHANCEMENTS PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT TEAM. J. William Conway, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. D. Eilts
12:00 PM LUNCH BREAK
12:00 PM SESSION 12 ENDS
1:30 PM SESSION 14: SYSTEMS- REQUIREMENTS, DEVELOPMENT, AND OPERATIONAL IMPLEMENTATION
Chairperson(s): William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and Billie F. Boyd, USAF, Patrick Air Force Base, FL
1:30 PM 14.1 THE MODERNIZATION OF FAA WEATHER SYSTEMS TO SUPPORT FREE FLIGHT. Alan Nierow, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and C. G. Souders
1:45 PM 14.2 DISTRIBUTION OF AVIATION WEATHER PRODUCTS TO THE COCKPIT. Albert Homans, ARINC, Inc., Annapolis, MD; and J. McGall and W. Fisher
2:00 PM 14.3 IMPACT ON AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS OF PILOT ACCESS TO UPDATED AUTOMATED TEMPERATURES. C. A. Askue, Air Force Inst. of Technology, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, OH; and T. H. Miner
2:15 PM 14.4 AVIATION USER NEEDS FOR CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECASTS. B .E. Forman, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and M. M. Wolfson, R. G. Hallowell, and M. P. Moore
2:30 PM 14.5 EN ROUTE AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL USE OF NEXRAD INFORMATION- IMPROVEMENTS IN SITUATIONAL AWARENESS LEADING TO POSSIBLE OPERATIONAL CONCEPT CHANGES IN SEVERE WEATHER SCENARIOS. Steve Shema, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Goff
2:45 PM 14.6 THE ROLE OF ITWS IN THE MODERNIZATION OF THE NATIONAL AIRSPACE SYSTEM (NAS). Alan Nierow, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and C. G. Souders
3:00 PM COFFEE BREAK
3:30 PM 14.7 ADDRESSING THE WEATHER DELAY PROBLEMS OF THE NEW YORK CITY AIRPORTS WITH THE INTEGRATED TERMINAL WEATHER SYSTEM. James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and T. Bosco
3:45 PM 14.8 DEVELOPING A WEATHER SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE AND WEATHER PRODUCT MIX THAT CAN EFFECTIVELY ADDRESS THE EXPECTED CAPACITY CRISIS AT MAJOR TERMINALS- INSIGHTS FROM OPERATIONAL USAGE OF THE INTEGRATED TERMINAL WEATHER SYSTEM. James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA
4:00 PM 14.9 A THEORETICAL APPROACH TO AIR TRAFFIC DELAY REDUCTION USING STORM-SCALE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION. Nicole M. Radziwill, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD
4:15 PM 14.10 THE AMDAR PROGRAM. C. H. Sprinkle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
4:30 PM 14.11 AVIATION WEATHER REQUIREMENTS IN THE AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEM. Charles G. Lindsey, NorthWest Research Associates, Inc., Bellevue, WA; and A. Burgermeister, A. Haraldsdottir, R. Schwab, P. van Tulder, and A. Warrren
4:45 PM 14.12 DERIVED DECISION-BASED WEATHER NEEDS FOR THE AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT UNIT. Kevin P. Browne, FAA, Washington, DC; and J. W. Tauss
5:00 PM 14.13 (WARP) WEATHER AND RADAR PROCESSOR. Benn Deans, FAA, Washington, DC; and J. Johnson, R. Graff, and S. Walden
5:15 PM 14.14 IMPROVING AVIATION WEATHER SERVICES THROUGH INTERAGENCY COORDINATION. Thomas S. Fraim, NOAA/OFCM, Silver Spring, MD
5:30 PM SESSIONS END FOR THE DAY

FRI 15 JAN___________________________
8:00 AM SESSION 15: SPECIAL APPLICATIONS AND TRAINING
Chairperson(s): William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and Jack Ernst, Embry Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL
8:00 AM 15.1 WEATHER IMPACTS TO LAUNCH OPERATIONS AT VANDENBERG AFB CA. Steven P. DeSordi, USAF, Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA
8:15 AM 15.2 CURRENT ACTIVITIES AND CAPABILITIES OF THE TERRESTRIAL ENVIRONMENT GROUP AT NASA'S MARSHALL SPACE FLIGHT CENTER. Barry C. Roberts, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. Batts
8:30 AM 15.3 SMG'S WEATHER SUPPORT TO THE NASA X38 AND CRV PROJECTS. Dan G. Bellue, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX; and F. C. Brody
8:45 AM 15.4 LIGHTNING CHARACTERISTICS AND LIGHTNING STRIKE PEAK CURRENT PROBABILITIES AS RELATED TO AEROSPACE VEHICLE OPERATIONS. Dale L. Johnson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. W. Vaughan
9:00 AM 15.5 A VALIDATION STUDY OF THE AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY (AFWA) JETRAX CONTRAIL FORECAST ALGORITHM. Michael K. Walters, Air Force Inst. of Technology, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, OH; and J. D. Shull
9:15 AM 15.6 EVALUATION OF THE BATTLESCALE FORECAST MODEL OVER OKLAHOMA WITH AN EMPHASIS ON ARTILLERY ACCURACY ASSESSMENT. W. Ethan Cook, Environmental Verification and Analysis Center, Norman, OK; and J. S. Greene, P. A. Haines, and D. I. Knapp
9:30 AM 15.7 VALIDATION OF SHORT TERM BATTLESCALE FORECAST MODEL FORECASTS WITH PROFILER AND UPPER AIR DATA COLLECTED OVER OKLAHOMA. P. A. Haines, Army Research Lab., White Sands Missile Range, NM; and T. Henmi, R. E. Dumais, and D. I. Knapp
9:45 AM 15.8 AVIATION WEATHER TRAINING FOR COMMUTER AIRLINES- A FIRST STEP TOWARD THE GOAL OF SAFER SKIES. Lawrence Astor, COMET/UCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Spangler and M. La Tourette
10:00 AM 15.9 THE ROLE OF WEATHER TRAINING IN FLIGHT OPERATIONS. Jim Foerster, DTN Kavouras Weather Services, Burnsville, MN
10:15 AM 15.10 INTERNET-BASED TRAINING FOR MORE ACCURATE DIAGNOSIS AND FORECASTING OF AVIATION WEATHER HAZARDS. Richard E. Cianflone, NOAA/NWS and UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
10:30 AM CONFERENCE ENDS