Session 4 Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Climate Predictability, Prediction, and Applications

Monday, 13 January 2025: 4:30 PM-6:00 PM
203 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Submitters:
Andrea M Jenney; Víctor C. Mayta, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, WI and Zeljka Stone

We invite observing, modeling, and forecasting studies aimed at identifying, quantifying, understanding, and/or leveraging S2S predictability. We welcome presentations from the entire research-to-operations (R2O) spectrum, hoping to further strengthen collaborative ties between these communities.

Papers:
4:30 PM
4.1
Probabilistic MJO predictability
Chidong Zhang, PMEL, Seattle, WA

4:45 PM
4.2
The Increasing Trend of the MJO precipitation from 1979-2023 and its Global Impact on Rainfall Variability
Yakelyn R. Jauregui, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. S. Chen

5:00 PM
4.3
Assessing the Impact of Air-Sea Coupling on Subseasonal Predictability of Atmospheric Rivers
TIEN-YIAO HSU, University of California San Diego, SAN DIEGO, CA; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and M. R. Mazloff, M. Zheng, R. Sun, S. T. Gille, M. Simpson, B. D. Cornuelle, and L. Delle Monache

Handout (6.0 MB)

5:15 PM
4.4
How Do Model Biases Affect Large-Scale Teleconnections That Control Southwest US Precipitation?
Yannick Peings, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. Dong and G. Magnusdottir

5:30 PM
4.5
Association of Western US Compound Hydrometeorological Extremes with MJO and ENSO Interaction
Jiabao Wang, Univ. of California San Diego, San Diego, CA; and M. J. DeFlorio, A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, L. Delle Monache, and M. M. Ralph

5:45 PM
4.6
Modulation of the Precipitation over the Indo-Pacific Maritime Continent region by the warming of the Congo Basin
Samson M. Hagos, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and C. C. Chang, S. W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, P. L. Ma, K. Balaguru, P. Shi, O. Garuba, and L. R. Leung

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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