Heat Waves: Mechanisms, Predictability, Prediction, and Impacts

Monday, 13 January 2025: 3:00 PM-4:30 PM
Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
Dan Li, Boston University, Boston, MA and Wassila Thaiw, NCEP, CPC, College Park, MD

In a warming climate, extreme heat has become more frequent and intense than ever before as the world grapple with its impacts on many socio-economic sectors, including health, water resource management, energy, and agriculture. However, there is a major gap in predicting heat waves due a lack of understanding of the mechanisms associated with them. This session aims to address all aspects of heat waves from both diagnostics and prediction perspectives. Oral and poster presentations are solicited on all topics related to heat waves worldwide, that address improved understanding of the mechanism and impacts associated with heat waves, predictability, and predictions at all time scales.

Papers:
22
Climatology and Mechanisms of North American Heat Waves
Lauren E. Getker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann, J. T. Radford, and W. A. Robinson

23
Greater Reduction in U.S. Heat Extreme Days in Overshoot Simulations with GFDL SPEAR
Zachary Michael Labe, PhD, Irvine, CA; NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, N. Johnson, L. Jia, W. Cooke, B. T. Jong, and C. E. McHugh

24
Climatology and Large-Scale Drivers of Extreme Heatwaves in the Caribbean: From 1971 to 2020
Frederick Boakye Oppong, University at Albany, Atmospheric Science Research Center, Albany, NY; and J. E. González-Cruz, K. HIBBERT, and P. Méndez-Lazaro

25
Seasonal to Multi-year Predictability and Prediction of Statistics of Marine and Terrestrial Heat Waves
Alexia Karwat, Pusan National University, Busan, South korea; and J. Y. Lee, C. L. E. Franzke, and Y. Y. Kim

26
Mean Summer Land Temperatures in the Southern California Coastal Zone: Connections With Ocean Processes
Maren Hale, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and M. A. Merrifield, R. E. S. Clemesha, A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, T. Benmarhnia, C. Dorman, and S. Iacobellis

27
Chronic Heat in a Warming World: A Global Assessment of Climatic Trends
Ashley Fanning, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. C. Clement

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