Program: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change (105th AMS Annual Meeting)

Virtual Poster Slam

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the Virtual Posters )

Virtual Poster Slam Session #2

Hosts: (Joint between the Virtual Posters; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; and the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk )

Chairs: Scott S. Lindstrom; Craig B. Clements

CoChair: Angel McCoy, MS, VHB

V19

23COASTAL Enhancing Urban Flood Resilience through 1D-2D PCSWMM Modeling: A Case Study of Air Combat Command Campus, Joint Base Langley Eustis (JBLE)-Langley

Oluwaseyi Dasho, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA; and W. R. Stout

Handout (1.2 MB)

V20

23COASTAL Estimating Greenhouse Gas Fluxes in Brackish Tidal Wetlands As a Function of Plant Community

Uma Grover, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and Z. Brauser and J. Morse

Handout (1.4 MB)

V20A

23COASTAL Characteristics and Dynamics of the Santa Cruz Eddy

Qingfang Jiang, NRL, Monterey, CA; and X. Hong and C. Amerault

V21

CLOUDPHYS Sea Breeze Cloud Response to Soil Moisture, Urban Heating and the Galveston Bay

Jingyi Chen, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Y. Tang, X. Wei, Y. Wang, Y. Ma, A. Varble, PhD, S. L. Tai, J. D. Fast, Y. Qian, C. Kaul, L. K. Berg, and Z. Yang

V22

CLOUDPHYS Separate and Combined Effects of Sea Breezes and Cold Pools on Convective Evolution during TRACER

Aryeh Jacob Drager, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and M. P. Jensen

V23

38CVC Constrained Estimates of Externally Forced Past and Future Warming for Canada

Tong Li, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers, X. Zhang, and N. Gillett

V24

38CVC Classified Pattern and Trend Analyses of Summer Heavy Rainfall in Korea

Seungyeon Lee, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, South korea; and J. W. Yoon and S. K. Park

V25

38CVC Trenberth’s Greenhouse Geometry and its Representation on the Earth’s Atmosphere — a Theoretical Earth System Model

Miklos A. Zagoni, Eotvos Lorand Univ., Budapest, Hungary

Manuscript (7.8 MB)

Handout (428.8 kB)

V26

38CVC The Global Character of the 1993 Extreme Circulation Anomalies, with Implications for the US Midwest Great Flood

Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GMAO and SSAI, Veresegyhaz, ., Hungary; and Y. Chang, A. M. DeAngelis, Y. K. Lim, R. D. Koster, M. G. Bosilovich, A. Molod, and A. Dezfuli

V27

38CVC Tropical Pacific Forcing on the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

Jun-Chao Yang, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, Shandong, China; and X. Lin, J. Li, Y. Zhang, W. Y. Xu, and Z. Lv

V28

38CVC The Decadal Change of Summer Low Cloud over the Tibetan Plateau Lake Group and Associated Mechanisms

Ruibo Wang, China University of Geosciences(Wuhan), China Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China; and X. Xu

V28A

38CVC Increased nighttime land surface temperatures in a seasonally muggy climate

Nkosi Muse, University of Miami Rosenstiel School and Abess Center, Miami, FL; and B. D. McNoldy, A. C. Clement, and K. J. Mach

V30

41EIPT AI based Nowcasting with a Phased Array Weather Radar

Mohit Kumar, Agile RF Systems, Berthoud, CO; and H. Chen

V31

16ENERGY Examining the Effects of Fracking on Groundwater: A Comprehensive Data Analysis of the United States Fracking Well Data Nationwide

William Lin, Belmont High School, Belmont, MA

Manuscript (76.1 kB)

V31A

16ENERGY Enhancing Storm-Induced Power Outage Prediction Using Synthetic Event Generation with GANs: Addressing Data Scarcity and Imbalance for Improved Model Performance

Morteza Azizi, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and X. Zhang, K. Udeh, F. Yang, D. Cerrai, D. Song, and E. Anagnoustou

V32

FIREWX NOAA’s Fire Weather Testbed’s Inaugural, In-Person Evaluation: Evaluating the Next Generation Fire System, Integrated Warnings Teams for Fire Operations, and the Issuance of Fire Warnings

V33

FIREWX Tuning Wildfire Plume Models from Calibrated Imagery

Gene Goh Huntley, SimTable, Santa Fe, NM; and S. Guerin, K. Manavi, J. Thorp, J. Gould, and S. Graydon

V34

FIREWX OSSE for Wildfire Remote Instrumentation System Design and Impacts to Fire Behavior Model Forecasting

Chaincy Kuo, Oakland, CA; and C. Schmidt

V18

23COASTAL High-Resolution Wave Forecasting System Incorporating Wave-Current Interactions at the Columbia River

V29

38CVC The summertime circulation response to simple warming on an aquaplanet.

Twisters Screening - Hosted by the Student Conference

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

7:30 PM

Welcoming Remarks

Newcomers Welcome and Information Exchange

Location: 232 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

2:30 PM

Welcoming Remarks

Session

Presidential Forum: Physical, Social, Cultural, and Economic Impacts: The Gulf Coast as a Microcosm of Global Change

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Annual Meeting Welcome and Annual Review

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 1A

Multiyear to Decadal Climate Variability: Mechanisms, Predictability and Prediction I

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/PSL; Arthur J. Miller; Matt Newman

8:30 AM

1A.1

Asymmetries between Phases of Atlantic Multi-Decadal Variability in the CMIP6 Multi Models

Dong Eun Lee, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, South korea; and H. Baek, Y. H. Kim, Y. G. Park, M. Ting, and Y. Kushnir

8:45 AM

1A.2

Strong Damping of Decadal Variability in the West Pacific Warm Pool By Atmospheric Heat Transport. (Invited Presentation)

Cristian Proistosescu, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL

9:00 AM

1A.3

Improved Homogenisation of Observations Shows Steadier and Faster Historical Global Warming

Duo Chan, University of Southampton, Southampton, Hempshire, United Kingdom; and G. Gebbie, P. Huybers, and E. Kent

9:15 AM

1A.4

The Climate Irreversibility and Regional Characteristics in the Next Fifty Years

Qi Ge, Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA; and Y. Wang and J. H. Jiang

9:30 AM

1A.5

The Shortwave Cloud-SST Feedback Amplifies Multi-Decadal Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Trends: Implications for Observed Cooling

Zachary Ian Espinosa, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. D. Zelinka

9:45 AM

1A.6

Trans-Basin Interaction Sustains Multi-Year Marine Heatwaves in the Gulf of Alaska

Jin-Yi Yu, Univ California Irvine, Irvine, CA

1C

The Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture

Location: La Nouvelle C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Chair: Gretchen Keppel-Aleks, University at Albany

Lecturer: Simona Bordoni, Lamont–Doherty Earth Observatory

8:30 AM

The Influence of Moisture on Seasonally Varying Circulations in Planetary Atmospheres

Simona Bordoni, Trento, CA, Italy

J1B

Responsible Integration of AI in Climate Modeling, Projections and Services

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science )

Cochairs: Annarita Mariotti; Pierre Gentine, Technische Universität München

8:30 AM

J1B.1

Reliable AI-Driven Climate Modeling for more Trustworthy Climate Projection (Invited Presentation)

Christopher Bretherton, Allen Institute for AI (Ai2), SEATTLE, WA

Handout (2.1 MB)

8:45 AM

J1B.2

Constraining AI-based Parameterizations for GCMs using Long-term Observations

Katherine Breen, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD; and D. Barahona, L. Liang, I. Popov, H. Zhao, and V. Jhaveri

9:00 AM

J1B.3

Validation of the Prithvi WxC Model Through Atmospheric Process Evaluation

ANKUR KUMAR, THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA IN HUNTSVILLE, HUNTSVILLE, AL; and S. Roy, C. E. Phillips, R. Shinde, J. Schmude, V. Gaur, U. S. Nair, M. Maskey, and R. Ramachandran

9:15 AM

J1B.4

Enhancing the use of AI in the climate modeling community

Mark L. Carroll, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Li

9:30 AM

J1B.5

Trustworthy AI for Ocean Dynamics: A Semantics-Driven Approach to Southern Ocean Circulation (Invited Presentation)

Maike Sonnewald, University of California Davis, Davis, CA; and W. Yik, R. Lguensat, and M. Clare

9:45 AM

J1B.6

Estimating Decadal Trends in the Southern Ocean Carbon Storage using a Deep-Learning Model

Varvara Zemskova, University of Waterloo, Toronto, ON, Canada

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 2A

Frontiers in Earth System Modeling I

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Youngji Joh; Leo Siqueira

10:45 AM

2A.1

Earth System Models for Understanding and Training

Kevin Reed, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. Medeiros

11:00 AM

2A.2

Advancing Modeling for Earth System Predictability Across Timescales (Invited Presentation)

Jadwiga H. Richter, NCAR, Boulder, CO

11:15 AM

2A.3

Improved simulation of ice sheet surface albedo in the NASA GISS ModelE climate model

Patrick Alexander, GISS, New York, NY; Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. Tedesco, A. LeGrande, M. G. Flanner, D. Ringeisen, I. Aleinov, R. Antwerpen, S. Wang, M. Kelley, X. Fettweis, and G. A. Schmidt

11:30 AM

2A.4

Representation of High-Impact Weather in a Novel High-Resolution Climate-Scale Simulation using the Model for Prediction Across Scales – Atmosphere (MPAS-A)

James DiGilio, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and A. C. Michaelis, W. E. Chapman, L. Getker, F. Cannon, D. F. Steinhoff, L. Delle Monache, G. M. Lackmann, B. Guan, and F. M. Ralph

2A.5

Examining Extreme Precipitation Features and Future Changes with Non-hydrostatic CESM at Storm Resolving Scale over the Western US Region

Session 2B

Winter Weather in a Warming World I

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Esther D. Mullens, University of Florida; Jason C. Furtado

10:45 AM

2B.1

Increasing Impacts of Winter Storms: A persistent Trend or a Temporary Anomaly in a Warming World?

David R. Novak, NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD

11:00 AM

2B.2

Analysis of Climatic Shifts in Freezing Rain Events and Patterns over Eastern North America

Austin Ray Britton, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and E. D. Mullens

11:15 AM

2B.3

Projected Changes to Cold-Season Extratropical Cyclones over Northeastern North America in an Ensemble of Regional Climate Model Simulations

Christopher D. McCray, Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. P. Labonte, D. Paquin, and M. Leduc

11:30 AM

2B.4

The Future of Snowstorms in Central and Eastern North America

Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and A. W. Zeeb, A. Haberlie, V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, and A. C. Michaelis

11:45 AM

2B.5

How do Future Projected Changes in Winter Snowfall Patterns Affect Our Ability to Characterize Them?

Kayden Haleakala, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and A. C. Michaelis, W. T. Brandt, A. Cooper, G. Lewis, V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, W. S. Ashley, and T. Dixon

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 3A

Frontiers in Earth System Modeling II & Climate variability in Emissions-driven Earth System Model Runs

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Youngji Joh; Leo Siqueira; Gretchen Keppel-Aleks, University at Albany; Abigail Lynn Segal Swann, University of Washington

1:45 PM

3A.1

Value added of regionally refined earth system models in simulation of extreme wind events

Paul J. Kushner, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Morris

2:00 PM

3A.2

What are the benefits of km-scale global climate model simulations for predicting extratropical cyclones extreme winds?

Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and L. M. Harris, M. Zhao, and K. Hodges

2:15 PM

3A.3

Quantifying the impact of the convective wind gust parameter on land model estimates of the surface energy balance at kilometer scales that resolve convective gusts

Seth Colston, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and I. N. Williams

2:30 PM

3A.4

Online Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Feedback Control for E3SM

Graham Harper, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; and B. M. Wagman, D. Bull, S. Ojetola, C. Wentland, and D. Schoenwald

2:45 PM

3A.5

Changes to the Brewer-Dobson Circulation and cold point tropopause in perturbed-climate global storm-resolving model simulations

Jacqueline M. Nugent, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and P. Blossey and C. Bretherton

Session 3B

Winter Weather in a Warming World II

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Esther D. Mullens, University of Florida; Jason C. Furtado, University of Oklahoma

1:45 PM

3B.1

A 21^st century shift in the mechanisms of the early-winter United States snowfall variability

Shizuo Liu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and S. Hu

2:00 PM

3B.2

Examining Lake-Effect Changes Across the Great Lakes in a Warming World Utilizing Dynamically Downscaled Climate Simulations

Shaun V. Laurinaitis, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Z. J. Lebo and V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM

2:15 PM

3B.3

Assessing Extreme Snowfall Trends in the White Mountains of New Hampshire Using KMWN Data and CMIP6 Simulations

Jay Broccolo, Mount Washington Observatory, North Conway, NH

2:30 PM

3B.4

The Pacific Arctic as an Emerging “Hot Spot” in the Changing Polar Climate

Stephen Jackson Vavrus, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and I. Franda, A. DuVivier, C. A. Shields, R. G. Thaker, M. M. Holland, and L. L. Landrum

2:45 PM

3B.5

The Impact of Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Large-Scale Patterns of Atmospheric Variability in the Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project

Angela Poulos, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Gervais

Monday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E1

21OESS NOAA-21 Products Update and Enterprise Product Operations in NESDIS Common Cloud Framework

Shuang Qiu, NESDIS, College Park, MD; and J. D. Evans and Z. Cheng

E2

41EIPT Ensuring Operational Resilience during Critical Weather Days: NWS Strategies to Protect Mission Delivery on the Most Dangerous Days

Robert R. Handel, NWS, College Park, MD

E4

20Society Diurnal and Seasonal Patterns of Convective Weather Hazards across Tennessee and Their Likelihood of Causing Harm

Kelsey N Ellis, Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, Knoxville, TN; and C. Hannel, J. First, and D. A. Herrera

E5

33WAF/29NWP Lessons from a Dynamic and Statistical Analysis of Giant Hail Environments in NE Italy

Francesco De Martin, University of Bologna, Bologna, BO, Italy; and A. Manzato, N. Carlon, M. Setvák, and M. M. Miglietta

Manuscript (245.3 kB)

E6

39Hydro The Mechanism of Low-Level Jet Formation during the Rainy Season in the Yangtze River Basin in 2024

chunguang cui, Institute of Heavy Rain,CMA, Wuhan, China

E7

17Aerosol Winter Orographic Cloud Seeding in SNOWIE: Insights from Ensemble Simulation

Sisi Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Xie, Y. Zhang, L. Xue, PhD, C. Hohman, S. A. Tessendorf, K. Friedrich, J. R. French, B. N. Geerts, T. J. Zaremba, J. K. Wolff, R. M. Rauber, C. Weeks, N. Dawson, and S. Parkinson

E8

16Energy On the Prediction of Future Energy Demands in New York State

Kaiden Patrick Sookdar, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and H. Gamarro, J. E. González-Cruz, T. L. Nguyen, R. Kadavil, and H. Hooshyar

E9

15R2O GREMLIN use at the National Weather Service office in Pago Pago, American Samoa

Scott S. Lindstrom, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and E. LUTU-McMOORE, T. Meredith, J. LaPlante, K. A. Hilburn, E. Jacobsen, L. Cronce, B. Rapp, L. Byerle, and J. K. Zajic

E10

39Hydro Linking Groundwater and Land Surface Processes with the Coupled NASA Land Information System and ParFlow Framework

Fadji Zaouna Maina, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Rosen, P. Abbaszadeh, C. Yang, S. V. Kumar, PhD, M. Rodell, and R. M. Maxwell

E11

25SMOI The Impact of Urban Heat Island on Precipitation Patterns in the Greater Washington D.C. Region

Neil Crosby, NCAS, College Park, MD; NCAS, Grovetown, GA; and K. L. Pryor and R. K. K. Sakai

E12

17Aerosol On the Prediction of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions within a Data-driven Framework

XIANGYU Li, PNNL, Richland, WA; and H. N. Wang, T. Chakraborty, A. Sorooshian, L. Ziemba, C. Voigt, and K. L. Thornhill

E13

7Tropical Attributing the Impacts of Future Ocean Warming Over the Gulf of Mexico on Landfalling Hurricanes Over the Texas Coast

SHANRU TIAN, University of Texas at Arlington, ARLINGTON, TX; Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and Y. Zhang and L. Lu

E14

24AI Downscaling Model Guidance to Support the Gridded Forecast Process in Areas of Complex Terrain in OCONUS

Kirana Olympia Bergstrom, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Petrescu and J. Q. Stewart

E16

16Health Mapping the Health Impacts of Urban Heat on Local Populations in the Arid Negev Region of Israel

David Pearlmutter, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Midreshet Ben Gurion, Israel; and M. Eshkoli Pincu

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Communicating Climate Change Uncertainty to the Public

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Zachary Michael Labe, PhD, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory; Jerry M Cyccone

Frontiers in Earth System Modeling

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Youngji Joh; Leo Siqueira

17

Comparison of Wind Farm Parameterization Performance in two Mesoscale Models: Preparation for Surrogate Wind Farm Model Incorporation into Global Exascale Models

Melissa Allen-Dumas, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and M. Natarajan, S. Slattery, and A. Almgren

18

Temperature Acclimation of Six Tropical Tree Species in the Biosphere 2 Rainforest

Andrew Hernandez, Biosphere 2 REU, Oracle, AZ

Manuscript (54.1 kB)

Handout (2.8 MB)

19

Influence of snow on surface air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere and its impact on subseasonal prediction

Yuhei Takaya, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and K. K. Komatsu, N. Ganeshi, T. Toyoda, and H. Hasumi

Handout (1.7 MB)

20

Record Low Antarctic Sea Ice in Austral Winter 2023: Mechanisms and Predictability

Zachary Ian Espinosa, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Tropical Indian Ocean Mixed Layer Bias in CMIP6 CGCMs Primarily Attributed to the AGCM Surface Wind Bias

21

Characterizing ENSO Impacts on Gross Primary Productivity in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Maria Salazar, ; and G. Keppel-Aleks and A. L. Steiner

Heat Waves: Mechanisms, Predictability, Prediction, and Impacts

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Dan Li, Boston University; Wassila Thaiw, NCEP

22

Climatology and Mechanisms of North American Heat Waves

Lauren E. Getker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann, J. T. Radford, and W. A. Robinson

23

Greater Reduction in U.S. Heat Extreme Days in Overshoot Simulations with GFDL SPEAR

Zachary Michael Labe, PhD, Irvine, CA; NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, N. Johnson, L. Jia, W. Cooke, B. T. Jong, and C. E. McHugh

24

Climatology and Large-Scale Drivers of Extreme Heatwaves in the Caribbean: From 1971 to 2020

Frederick Boakye Oppong, University at Albany, Atmospheric Science Research Center, Albany, NY; and J. E. González-Cruz, K. HIBBERT, and P. Méndez-Lazaro

25

Seasonal to Multi-year Predictability and Prediction of Statistics of Marine and Terrestrial Heat Waves

Alexia Karwat, Pusan National University, Busan, South korea; and J. Y. Lee, C. L. E. Franzke, and Y. Y. Kim

26

Mean Summer Land Temperatures in the Southern California Coastal Zone: Connections With Ocean Processes

Maren Hale, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and M. A. Merrifield, R. E. S. Clemesha, A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, T. Benmarhnia, C. Dorman, and S. Iacobellis

27

Chronic Heat in a Warming World: A Global Assessment of Climatic Trends

Ashley Fanning, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. C. Clement

28

Connecting Subnational Climate Policies with Vulnerable Populations: Insights from Cooling Degree Days, Maximum Temperatures, and Heat Wave Risks in the United States

Jessica LaChay Coates, Spelman College, Atlanta, GA

Multiyear to Decadal Climate Variability: Mechanisms, Predictability and Prediction

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/PSL; Arthur J. Miller; Matt Newman

29

Understanding Trends and Drivers of CO₂ based on OCO-2 and GOSAT satellite measurements over Texas, California, and Florida

Shannon Michelle Lindsey, Baylor University, Waco, TX; and M. Bade and Y. Li

30

Assessing Spatial Patterns and Trends in the Sea Level Annual Cycle

Asha C Spencer, NOAA, Princeton, NJ; The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. M. Steinberg

31

Internal Variability as Drivers of Compound Events in a Large Ensemble

Ashley Dwyer, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. A. Barnes and J. W. Hurrell

32

Clustering as a Tool for Understanding Ocean Regions of Sea Level Covariability and Volume Redistribution

Theo Avila, PCHES, Los Angeles, CA; and J. M. Steinberg, J. E. Tesdal, and J. P. Krasting

33

Explaining fluctuations in the period of the quasi-biennial oscillation

Young-Ha Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)

Winter Weather in a Warming World

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Esther D. Mullens, University of Florida; Jason C. Furtado, University of Oklahoma

34

Classification of Cold Air Outbreak Events using SOM

Kent Kumeta, Graduate School of Media and Governance, Keio University, Fujisawa, 14, Japan; and Y. Miyamoto

35

Predictability of California's Winters

Moetasim Ashfaq, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN

36

Disentangling Warming and Circulation Influences on Winter Precipitation Using Nudging Experiments

Arianna M Varuolo-Clarke, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; UCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Kay, B. Medeiros, and W. E. Chapman

37

Investigating Northern Hemisphere Warming Responses to the Mt. Pinatubo Eruption through Limited Variability Ensembles

Thomas Stephen Ehrmann, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; and B. M. Wagman, D. Bull, H. Brown, B. Hillman, K. Peterson, L. P. Swiler, J. E. Watkins, and J. L. Hart

Monday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E17

38CVC Validating Hydroclimate Signals Around Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Jonathan Lee, Cornell University, Forest Hills, NY; and P. Hitchcock, Y. Dai, and F. Lehner

E18

34Education Extending the Science: Examples of Education and Community Engagement during NSF NCAR-Support Field Campaigns

Daniel Zietlow, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Wolff, E. B. McUmber, P. S. Tsai, J. A. Aquino, R. Haacker, and L. Medina Luna

E19

34Education Increasing Student Understanding of Severe Storms in an Era of Climate Change: Online Interactives to Explore Observed and Projected Changes in Convective-Storm Related Hazards

Amy J. Stevermer, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. LaConte, J. T. Allen, R. Payo, and M. S. Rummel

E20

41EIPT NOAA Satellite Oceanographic Products Scientific Stewardship and Development at NEDSIS National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI): Data Archival, Public Access and Production based on Machine Learning

Yongsheng Zhang, NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) and ESSIC/CISESS at University of Maryland College Park, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Frech and H. M. Zhang

E21

41EIPT Cloud-Based Time Series Analysis of Extremes: Use Cases and Applications

Suhung Shen, NASA GSFC GESDISC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. Liu, A. Heath, L. Iredell, M. Hegde, and C. Smit

E22

41EPIT Comprehensive Access to Global Geostationary Satellite Data and Imagery: Leveraging SLIDER and SLIDER Archive

Zayd Paul Amundson, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Micke and C. Seaman

E23

41EIPT The Field Campaign Explorer (FCX): A Cloud-Based, Three-Dimensional Visualization System for Multiple, Coincident Datasets

Navaneeth Selvaraj, Global Hydrometeorology Resource Center DAAC, Huntsville, AL; and G. T. Stano, I. Sivasamy, W. Ellett, and S. Graves

E24

41EIPT Progress Towards Operational Implementation of Convective Warnings using Hazard Services at the National Weather Service

Emily Elizabeth-Janssen Schlie, CIRA, Alexandria, VA; and C. V. Dreisbach, C. Golden, Y. Guo, D. M. Kingfield, J. Ramer, and S. zhuo

E25

15R2O Impact of Aerosol Forcing on UFS-Based Seasonal-Length Predictions

Benjamin W. Green, CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA/OAR/Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun and W. Wang

E26

15R2O Enhancing Dataset Discovery and Usage Tracking in Earth Sciences: Integrating Knowledge Graphs and Large Language Models

Irina Gerasimov, NASA, Ellicott City, MD; NASA, Greenbelt, MD; ADNET, Bethesda, MD; and A. Mehrabian, J. Alfred, B. KC, A. Savtchenko, PhD, NASA/GSFC/ADNET, K. Gilbert, and J. Wei

E27

15R2O Improvements of Severe Weather Prediction - A Proxy of Next Generation Satellite Sounding Observations

William L. Smith Sr., CIMSS, Madison, WI; and A. DiNorscia, W. L. Smith Jr., S. S. Lindstrom, and A. Heidinger

Handout (3.3 MB)

E28

20Society Audience Perceptions of an Interactive Version of the SPC Convective Outlook

Zoey Rosen, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. R. Ernst, B. J. Fellman, M. Krocak, J. Ripberger, and C. Karstens

E29

33WAF/29NWP A Collaborative Approach to Improving the National Blend of Models Sustained Wind Speed and Gust Forecasts for the Coastal Waters of the Florida Keys

Session 4A

Heat Waves: Mechanisms, Predictability, Prediction, and Impacts

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Dan Li, Boston University; Wassila Mamadou Thiaw, University of Colorado, Boulder

4:30 PM

4A.1

What is a Heat Dome?

Paul C. Loikith, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and G. Taylor, S. Bigalke, D. A. Kalashnikov, and B. Suldovsky

4:45 PM

4A.2

Investigating the medium-range predictability of European heatwave onsets in relation to weather regimes using ensemble reforecasts

Alexander Lemburg, Karlsruhe Institute for Technology, Karlsruhe, BW, Germany; and A. H. Fink

5:00 PM

4A.3

Understanding the Role of Land-Atmosphere Interactions in the Intensification of Compound Heat and Drought Events

Ronak Patel, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider

5:15 PM

4A.4

Impact of Topography-Induced Precipitation Biases on Summer Temperature Extremes in Western North America

Dervla Meegan-Kumar, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and G. S. Elsaesser and J. W. Baldwin

5:30 PM

4A.5

Marine heat waves in the Southeast US: Climatology, trends, and connections to humid heat stress

Samantha E. Stone, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and S. M. Milrad

5:45 PM

4A.6

Human Vulnerability to Heatwave in Australia: A country-wide Suburb level Longitudinal Study

Patrick Amoatey, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; and N. Osborne, Z. Xu, R. Trancoso, and D. Phung

Session 4B

Land Use and Land Cover Change

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Bradford Johnson; Marcus D. Williams; Junaid Ahmad

4:30 PM

4B.1

Investigating the Influence of Fallowed Agricultural Lands on Nearby Surface Temperature in California’s Central Valley

Md Minhazul Kibria, University of California Merced, Merced, CA; and A. A. Adebiyi, S. K. Pandey, and J. T. Abatzoglou

4:45 PM

4B.2

Land Cover and Land-Use Change Findings in the Fifth National Climate Assessment

Aaron Grade, US Global Change Research Program / ICF, Washington, DC; and C. Avery

5:00 PM

4B.3

Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Changes on U.S. Climate: A CMIP6 LUMIP Analysis

Yen-Heng Lin, North Gulf Institute, Starkville, MS; and B. O. Fosu, J. He, J. L. Dyer, S. Ambinakudige, and C. Bowman

5:15 PM

4B.4

Effects of Land Use and Land Cover Change On The Cloud Formation in East Java

Georgios Priftis, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and U. Nair and T. J. Lang

5:30 PM

4B.5

Connecting the change in consecutive dry days and temperature across the urban-rural interface

Bradford Johnson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

5:45 PM

4B.6

Rubber-Modified Asphalt A Potential Urban Heat Island Mitigation Strategy In Marginalized Communities

J. Marshall Shepherd, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. Kelly, K. Hillsman, A. J. Grundstein, J. Hong-Dwyer, E. Blomquist, and S. Bernardes

Exhibit Hall Opening Reception

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

11th Annual Speed Networking Event [11SPNE]

Location: Rivergate (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Twisters Screening - In partnership with the WRN Symposium

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

8:00 PM

Welcoming Remarks

Session 5A

Multiyear to Decadal Climate Variability: Mechanisms, Predictability and Prediction II

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/PSL; Arthur J. Miller; Matt Newman

8:30 AM

5A.1

The differing dynamical and thermodynamical mechanisms explaining drying of the Mediterranean over past decades in observations and models

Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and T. Osborn, Y. Kushnir, H. Liu, and J. Nakamura

8:45 AM

5A.2

Future Projections of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the MDR and Wider Caribbean Region: Utilizing CMIP6 GCM Ensembles

KENESHIA HIBBERT, CUNY Graduate Center, brooklyn, NY; City College of New York, New York, NY; and F. B. Oppong and J. E. González-Cruz

9:00 AM

5A.3

Identifying source of predictability for vapor pressure deficit variability in the western United States

Jiale Lou, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and Y. Joh, T. L. Delworth, and L. Jia

9:15 AM

5A.4

A Deep Learning Approach to Identifying Predictable Decadal SST Variability in the North Pacific in Observations (Invited Presentation)

Emily Gordon, Stanford University, Stanford, CA; and N. S. Diffenbaugh

9:30 AM

5A.5

Multi-year to decadal predictions using a model-analog framework and a learned mask of weights trained on observations

Martin Fernandez, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. A. Barnes

9:45 AM

5A.6

Investigating Atmospheric and Oceanic drivers of Multidecadal North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Variability using Explainable Neural Networks

Glenn Yuzu Liu, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography/Applied Ocean Science and Engineering, Cambridge, MA; and P. Wang and Y. O. Kwon

J5B

Panel on Climate, Environment, Health, and Early Warning: Advancing Actionable Climate Forecasts and Disease Modeling and Predictions

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 16th Conference on Environment and Health )

Cochairs: Wassila Mamadou Thiaw, University of Colorado, Boulder; Kacey Clarice Ernst, University of Arizona

Panelists: Mary Hayden, University of Colorado; Luis Fernandez Chavez, Indiana University; Alison Kelly, Johns Hopkins University; Nicole Dawkins-Wright, Jamaican Ministry of Health & Wellness; Jacqueline Spence, Jamaica Met Service; Ousmane Ndiaye, Agence Nationale de l'Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie

8:30 AM

Panel Discussion

Mary Hayden, Univ. of Colorado-Colorado Springs, Colorado Springs, CO

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 7A

Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective I

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory; Stephanie C. Herring, NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

1:45 PM

7A.1

A transition to temperature dominated droughts over the Western United States in the 21^st Century

Rong Fu, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Zhuang

2:00 PM

7A.2

Social Implications of an Extreme Event Attribution Analysis of Hurricane Ida’s Wind and Flood Impacts

Kevin T. Smiley, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and J. M. Done, A. N. Ramos-Valle, T. Yevuyibor, and K. Larrison

2:15 PM

7A.3

Human Influence on the Earliest-forming Category 5 Hurricane Beryl

Huanping Huang, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and E. Bercos-Hickey and H. Uppu

2:30 PM

7A.4

Investigating 2023 Ocean Temperature Variability with Argo Data

Coco Lipe, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. Johnson

2:45 PM

7A.5

The Future of Hazardous Convective Weather in the United States

Caitlin M Roufa, MA, Northern Illinois University, Dekalb, IL; and W. S. Ashley, A. Haberlie, J. M. Corner, K. Hawthorne, L. Moeller, V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, and A. C. Michaelis

Session 7B

Other Topics in Climate Variability and Change I

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Arthur J. Miller; Emily J. Becker, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

1:45 PM

7B.1

A Simplified Physics Atmosphere General Circulation Model for Idealized Climate Dynamics Studies

Ben Paul Kirtman, RSMAS, Miami, FL

2:00 PM

7B.2

Advances in Accuracy and Continuity of Climate Observations: international Coordination and Prioritization

Elizabeth C Weatherhead, Jupiter Intelligence, Lafayette, CO

2:15 PM

7B.3

Advancing Annual Global Mean Surface Temperature Prediction to 2 Months Lead Using Physics Based Strategy

Kexin Li, IAP, Beijing, 11, China

2:30 PM

7B.4

Building a Modified Tornado Environment Index to Predict Tornado Activity using CMIP6 Historical Simulations

Tyler Fricker, University of Louisiana Monroe, Monroe, LA; and Z. S. Searcy, K. M. Malloy, and D. Burow

2:45 PM

7B.5

Increased Global Tensions Jeopardize Climate Targets

Qi Ran, Nanyang Technological University, N/A, Singapore; and W. Dong, J. Chou, W. Yuan, and D. Chen

J7

Climate Literacy and Communication

Location: 350 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 34th Conference on Education; and the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chairs: Haylie Nicole Mikulak; Haven Cashwell, Auburn University; Lindsay C. Maudlin

1:45 PM

J7.1

A Climate Literacy Guide for Understanding and Addressing Climate Change

Frank Niepold III, Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; NOAA/Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and C. O'Donnell, H. Crim, A. Jay, and S. Aguilera-Peterson

2:00 PM

J7.2

Empowering Climate Communicators: The Climate Consensus’s Role in Supporting Climate Engagement and Outreach

Gabrielle R. H. Brown, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Reed, A. T. LaFleur, A. Westgate, G. A. Falco, J. Hanrahan, A. Roosevelt, and C. A. Wishard

2:15 PM

J7.3

The Evolving Roles of Spanish-Speaking Weathercasters in Communicating Climate Change to Hispanic and Latino Communities

Nicole E Collins, Cornell University, Vestal, NY; and J. E. Trujillo-Falcón, L. Meeks, C. G. Hubbard, and B. Woods Placky

2:30 PM

J7.4

Southeast US and Irish Oyster Farmers' Climate Change and Extreme Weather Perceptions

Haylie Nicole Mikulak, Auburn University, East Brunswick, NJ; and K. McNeal and M. Partyka

2:45 PM

J7.5

Learning with Our Ears: Using Context-Supported Geoscience Data Sonification to Engage Public Audiences in Informal Learning Environments

Amy S. Bower, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and J. Bellona, J. Roberts, L. Smith, and H. Li

Tuesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

7Tropical Evaluating Satellite Tropical Cyclone Intensity Products During Rapid Intensification Events

13LIDAR Development of the Best Estimate Planetary Boundary Layer Height with ARM Ground-based Remote Sensing Measurements

E30

FireWx Forecasting Wildfire Emissions within NOAA's Rapid-Refresh Forecasting System Using a Modulated Persistence Approach

Johana Romero-Alvarez, CIRES/NOAA-GSL, Boulder, CO; and H. Li, J. Schnell, E. P. James, S. Bhimireddy, S. Kondragunta, X. Zhang, F. Li, C. Fite, R. Ahmadov, and C. Hartsough

E31

25SMOI Web Platforms for Visualizing Monthly and Daily Land Surface Anomalies

Kenny Yunhui Wu, University of Maryland, Sunnyvale, CA; and P. Yu and J. Peng

E32

7TROPICAL Typhoon Intensification and Nuclear Power Plant Vulnerability in Korea Under Climate Change

Ger Anne Marie Duran, Jeju National University, Jeju City, Jeju, South korea; and I. J. Moon and B. Joseph

E33

24AI Ensemble Uncertainty Visualization Development for Effective Communication of Cold-Stunning Event Threats

Jarett Thomas Woodall, Texas A&M University - Corpus Christi, Tiffin, OH; Texas A&M Univ.-Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX; and M. C. White, P. E. Tissot, and C. Duff

E34

24AI Score based diffusion nowcasting of GOES imagery

Randy J. Chase, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Haynes, J. M. Haynes, and I. Ebert-Uphoff

E35

13JCSDA Application of JEDI to produce a thirty-one year ¼-degree global daily sea level record

James A. Carton, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Chen, T. Sluka, E. Leuliette, and D. A. Byrne

E36

41EIPT Data Quality Anomalies and Phenomena on the WSR-88D

Amy Daniel, National Weather Service, Norman, OK; and C. Payne

E37

2CLOUDPHYS Design of a Convection-Cloud Chamber for Exploring Condensational and Collisional Growth Processes Relevant to Precipitation Formation

Raymond A. Shaw, Michigan Technological Univ., Houghton, MI; and J. C. Anderson, Z. Bakri, J. Bench, G. Bewley, V. Blankenship, W. Cantrell, K. K. Chandrakar, PhD, H. Fahandezh sadi, R. Flagan, J. D. Fuentes, G. Gogos, R. Healey, K. Iyer, G. Kaufman, K. Kim, P. Kollias, S. K. Krueger, K. Lamer, E. Luke, C. Mazzoleni, A. McComiskey, C. Megaridis, A. Mukhopadhyay, D. Niedermeier, M. Oue, M. Ovchinnikov, A. Pal, I. Papailias, M. Rajagopal, Y. Ren, A. Salari, S. Schmalfuss, A. Sedlacek, J. E. Shilling, M. Shrivastava, S. P. Singh, F. Stratmann, Y. M. Sua, L. Thomas, S. V. Sulaiman, A. Wang, F. Yang, J. Yeom, M. A. Zawadowicz, J. Zhang, Z. Zhu, and C. Zuhlke

E38

34EDUCATION Data Lens: A new data literacy campaign using Visual Thinking Strategies and NOAA's SOS Explorer

HILARY PEDDICORD, CIRES/CU Boulder, Boulder, CO; and C. McDougall and K. Semmens

E39

7TROPICAL Reanalysis of the 1970s Atlantic Hurricane Database - Re-discovering "Missing" Tropical Storms and Hurricanes

Christopher W. Landsea, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and S. Delgado, D. Jariwala, and A. Blonsky

E40

27ATCHEM Retrievals of Stratospheric Aerosol Size Distributions from SAGEIII/ISS Multiwavelength Optical Measurements Following Pyrocumulonimbus Events

Vishal Bagadia, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and C. H. Lu

E41

12LIGHTING Physical Modeling of Cloud Charging in Deep and Shallow Convections: Sensitivity to Ice and Snow Growing Habits

Yichen Cai, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and K. J. Sulia

E42

7TROPICAL Using Tropical Storm Value Chains to Better Meet End-User Needs

Melissa Johnson, The Aerospace Corporation, Edgewater, MD; and K. A. Hawley

E43

16ENERGY An Adaptive System for Detecting Rotor Layer Turbulence Using Edge Computing

Robert C. Jackson, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL; and P. Muradyan, B. Raut, S. Park, J. R. O'Brien, M. A. Grover, R. Newsom, R. Krishnamurthy, and R. Kotamarthi

E44

21OESS JPSS Fire Monitoring Applications of the Park Fire in California

Jorel Torres, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO

E45

16Health The Health and Socioecological Dynamics of Mercury Exposure from Small-Scale Gold Mining in the Amazon Rainforest: Insights from Madre De Dios, Peru

Lena Easton-Calabria, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

327

Utility of IMERG Daily Dataset in Assessing Extreme Precipitation Tendencies

Andrey Savtchenko, PhD, NASA/GSFC/ADNET, GES DISC, Greenbelt, MD

Handout (1.9 MB)

328

Enhanced Hydrological Impact of Cross-Equatorial Surges over the Maritime Continent in a Warmer Climate

Sandro W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, PNNL, Richland, WA; and C. C. Chang, S. M. Hagos, K. Balaguru, L. R. Leung, and M. Zhao

329

Simulations of Warm Season Extreme Precipitation Events using MPAS-A Runs in the Southeastern US

Gabrielle Keaton, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and W. A. Robinson, A. C. Michaelis, and G. M. Lackmann

330

Impact of Climate Change on Intense Derecho Events Using the Pseudo-Global Warming Approach

Josh Nathanael Schwarz, Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and C. M. Patricola

331

The differences of global extreme climate events changes in 1.5℃ warming and cooled to 1.5℃ warming level

Ying Xu, BCC, Beijing, 11, China

Manuscript (8.2 MB)

Handout (990.7 kB)

332

Understanding the Direct Effect of CO₂on Tropical Precipitation Extremes using Theory and High-Resolution Simulations

Stephanie Marie Ortiz Rosario, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR; and A. I. Williams, T. M. Merlis, and V. T. Narinesingh

333

Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Urbanization on Derechos – Contrasting Results between Two Case Studies

Yuwei Zhang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. Fan, J. Li, Z. Feng, and P. Ullrich

334

Estimating the Future Frequency of Bonnet Carré Spillway Openings

Kayla Thomas, Louisiana State University, Marrero, LA

335

Regional and Seasonal Variations in Synoptic Scale Weather Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation across the Contiguous United States

Amy Johnson, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and P. C. Loikith and D. A. Kalashnikov

Handout (19.1 MB)

336

Contrasting Historical Trend of Atmospheric Rivers in the Northern Hemisphere

Shineng Hu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and M. Pan, B. F. Zaitchik, and W. Pan

337

Investigating the Impact of Western Disturbance Absence on Spring Temperatures in India

Sanketa Kadam, Columbia University / NASA GISS, New York, NY; and A. Ruane and M. Ting

338

Attribution of 2024 Houston Derecho to Anthropogenic Climate Change and Urbanization

Jiwen Fan, ANL, Lemont, IL; and Y. zhang and P. Ullrich

339

Predicting Future Hail Risk under Climate Change: A Covariate-Based Model Leveraging Machine Learning

Subhadarsini Das, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and J. T. Allen

340

Project Geohazards: Climate Projections and Predictions of Extremes in the Czech Repubic and Connection to Other Activities

Tomas Halenka, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech republic

341

An Ensemble Perspective of Changes to Severe Thunderstorms and Hail

John T. Allen, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and D. Gopalakrishnan, R. J. Trapp, and E. Robinson

Other Topics in Climate Variability and Change

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Arthur J. Miller; Emily J. Becker, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

342

Variability and Trends in Florida's Synoptic-Scale Sea-Breeze Regime Distribution

Sarah E. Strazzo, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, DeLand, FL; and H. Woodson Bowles

343

Corn Production and Climate Variability in the Cumberland Valley, Pennsylvania

Delilah Harne Higgins, Shippensburg University, Shippensburg, PA; and T. W. Hawkins

Handout (1.2 MB)

344

The Relationship Between Global Climate Model Biases and Future Projections of Temperature and Precipitation over the Central U.S.

Mary Jurgensen, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. M. Patricola and I. N. Williams

Handout (1.2 MB)

345

Contrasting Mechanisms for Winter and Summer Antarctic Sea Ice Predictability

Abigail Marie McDonnell, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. Bushuk

346

Long-term Precipitation Changes in the Baiu and Akisame Seasons in Japan over the Past 120 Years (1901-2020)

Hirokazu Endo, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

Handout (555.6 kB)

347

Trends in Daily Temperatures and the Diurnal Cycle

Maria Gehne, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Barsugli

Handout (3.2 MB)

348

Responses of Cacao Tree Carbon Cycling to Light Exposure and Temperature Change.

Cauy Sean Bia, NSF, Saddlebrooke, AZ

349

Sensitivity of the Regional Climate Simulation of the Central American Climate to Cumulus Parameterization

Justin Gonzalez, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and V. Misra and C. Jayasankar

350

Future Tornado Activity in the contiguous United States using CMIP6 Climate Scenarios

Zoe Schroder Searcy, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and T. Fricker, D. Burow, and K. M. Malloy

351

The Role of Southern Ocean Mean State Bias in Climate Sensitivity

Yiqun Tian, Duke University, Durham, NC; Duke University, Durham, NC; and S. Hu and C. Deser

Tuesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E46

Radar Cell Mergers, Boundary Interactions, and Convective Systems in Cases of Significant Tornadoes and Hail

Cameron J. Nixon, CIWRO / SPC, Norman, OK; and J. T. Allen, M. Wilson, M. Bunkers, and M. Taszarek

E47

FireWx Wildfire Aerosol Concentrations and Their Impact on Severe Weather in North America: Historical Analysis and AI Predictions

Mayra Ivelisse Oyola-Merced, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and K. Wilson, S. Kluge, M. McKellar, P. A. Bartels, and D. S. Sproles

E48

Health Cumulative Effects of Climate Disasters on Mental Health and Wellbeing and Opportunities for Adaptation in the U.S. Gulf Coast Vietnamese American Community

Hang Ngo, New York University, New York, NY; and A. Merdjanoff and D. Abramson

E49

24AI Utilizing XGBoost for Post-Processing Wind Gust Predictions from the WRF Model

E50

24AI NVIDIA's Earth-2: An Interactive Exploration of AI's Present and Future in NWP

David Matthew Hall, NVIDIA, Lafayette, CO

E51

24AI Hindcasting with Google DeepMind's GraphCast: A 45-Year Retrospective Analysis from 1979 to 2024

Naveen Sudharsan, PhD, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and M. Singh, H. Kamath, A. Chavoshi, H. Dashtian, C. Dawson, Z. L. Yang, and D. Niyogi

E52

23Coastal Advancements in NOAA’s STOFS-3D-Atlantic: Enhancing Compound Flood Hazard Prediction for the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts

Fei Ye, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA; VIMS, Williamsburg, VA; and Y. J. Zhang, H. C. Yu, H. Yoo, L. Cui, Z. Yang, G. Seroka, S. Moghimi, and E. Myers

E54

12Lightning Evaluation of GLM in Southeast Texas via Ground-Sensor and High-Speed Raspberry Pi-Based Camera Network

Adam D Clark, Texas A&M University - College Station, Duncanville, TX; and D. Zhang

E55

12Lightning Creating a Combined Lightning Product for Operational Use in the Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor System

Sarah M. Stough, The University of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK; and V. C. Chmielewski, K. M. Calhoun, and K. Thiel

E56

MeehlSymp Quasi-Stationary Planetary Scale Waves in Modern Climate Models

Curt Covey, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore , CA; and R. S. Lindzen, J. T. Fasullo, and K. Taylor

E58

34Education Data Fusion Techniques Applied to Training on NWS Operational Short-fuse Warnings

Daniel E. Bikos, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and J. G. LaDue, K. Christian, and J. Blair

Session 8A

Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective II

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory; Stephanie C. Herring, NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

4:30 PM

8A.1

Real-time Attribution of Climate-driven Heat and Heat-related Impacts in the Air and in the Ocean

Andrew Pershing, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ; and D. M. Gilford, PhD, J. Giguere, B. Mares, and M. Young

4:45 PM

8A.2

Changes of extreme fire weather conditions in the contiguous United States

Jiale Lou, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and Y. Joh and T. L. Delworth

5:00 PM

8A.3

Climate change impacts on Great Lakes Basin temperature and precipitation extremes using CMIP6 downscaled simulations

Sudhansu Sekhar Rath, University of Illinois Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. Kotamarthi, A. Satish, J. Wang, and D. J. Wuebbles

5:15 PM

8A.4

Quantifying Extreme Climate Phenomena: A Case Study of Drought in Africa and Moist Heatwaves in Southeast Asia

Ngoc Kim Hong Nguyen, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan; and D. Koji

5:30 PM

8A.5

Updates on NOAA’s Rapid Attribution Capability: The July 2024 California Heat Wave

Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and Z. M. Labe, PhD, D. R. Easterling, R. Vose, J. E. Uehling, X. Zhang, D. A. Coates, N. Johnson, and J. J. Barsugli

Handout (2.8 MB)

5:45 PM

8A.6

Improving Projections of Future Sub-daily Precipitation Events in a Changing Climate Across the U.S. Gulf Coast

Samiul Kaiser, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. Ahmadisharaf

Session 8B

Other Topics in Climate Variability and Change II

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Emily J. Becker, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center; Arthur J. Miller

4:30 PM

8B.1

Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Extratropical Cyclones in the Northeastern U.S.

Alexandra N. Ramos-Valle, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. F. Prein, A. Jaye, and K. A. Emanuel

4:45 PM

8B.2

Heat Squad: Supporting the Media to Connect Climate Change to the 2024 Extreme Heat Events

Shel D Winkley, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ

5:00 PM

8B.3

Identifying and Attributing Changes in the Ratio of Synoptically and Locally ForcedMidlatitude Precipitation Events

Nabindra Gyawali, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and B. E. J. Rose and C. R. Ferguson

5:15 PM

8B.4

Balancing the atmospheric water budget's annual cycle using satellite-based products and ERA5 reanalysis in tropical ocean regions

Paula Brown, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. D. Kummerow

5:30 PM

8B.5

Enhanced risk of hotextremes unveiled by observation-constrained scenario projections

Susanna Corti, CNR, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, BO, Italy; and C. Simolo

Climatological large-scale and near-storm environments associated with derecho initiation

8B.6

The Impact of Wind Speed Trends on Wind Energy Generation

Exhibit Hall Reception

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

University Night Receptions

Location: Hilton Riverside

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Session 9B

El Niño Southern Oscillation: Dynamics, Prediction and Projection I

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/PSL; Arthur J. Miller; Shineng Hu

8:30 AM

9B.1

A Conceptual Model for ENSO Diversity Beyond the Recharge-Oscillator Paradigm

Licheng Geng, Honolulu, HI; and F. jin

8:45 AM

9B.2

The Recharge Oscillator Model of ENSO Revisited: Incorporating the Spatial Structure of Wind Stress Anomalies (Invited Presentation)

Alexey Fedorov, Yale University, New Haven, CT; LOCEAN/Sorbonne University, Paris, France; and J. Stuivenvolt-Allen

9:00 AM

9B.3

Diverse NPMM Conditions Setting the 2023/24 El Niño Apart from the 1997/98 and 2015/16 Extreme Events

Jin-Yi Yu, Univ California Irvine, Irvine, CA

9:15 AM

9B.4

Impacts of precipitation anomaly on the ENSO development

Takahito Kataoka, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, 14, Japan; and M. Watanabe, T. Suzuki, H. Tatebe, F. jin, and H. Bellenger

9:30 AM

9B.5

Ocean salinity feedback amplifies extreme El Niño

Shizuo Liu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and S. Hu

9:45 AM

9B.6

Multidecadal Climate and ENSO’s Seasonal Transitions: The Role of the ENSO Transition Mode

Shikhar Srivastava, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, KA, India; and A. Chakraborty and R. G. Murtugudde

J9A

African Climate Change and Variability

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )

Cochairs: Kerry H. Cook; Ademe Mekonnen; Edward K. Vizy

8:30 AM

J9A.1

Evaluating the Variability of the West African Monsoon in Gridded Paleo Reconstructions

Michela Biasutti, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and E. R. Cook, B. Buckley, A. Giannini, and D. WANE

8:45 AM

J9A.2

The past 21,000 years of tropical African temperature change in GDGT lake sediment proxies and equilibrium and transient model simulations

Charlie Marshall, Rice University, Houston, TX; and S. G. Dee, C. Morrill, and J. Russell

9:00 AM

J9A.3

Influence of Madden Julian Oscillation on Precipitation Extremes and its State-of-Art Climate CMIP6 Historical Simulations over West Africa

Coumba NIANG, Michigan State University, Okemos

9:15 AM

J9A.4

Temperature Increases Threaten the Congo Basin Rainforest in the 21^st Century More Than Precipitation Changes

Kerry H. Cook, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and E. K. Vizy, P. C. Andrews, and S. Zhao

9:30 AM

J9A.5

Characteristics of daily rainfall totals in tropical West Africa over the last 100 years

Andreas H. Fink, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe, Germany; and M. Maranan and A. Jong

9:45 AM

J9A.6

An energetics perspective on the twentieth-century Sahel drought and recovery

Rakshith Mallesh, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and J. Srinivasan and D. Niyogi

J9B

Aerosol-Climate Interactions from Regional to Global Scale I

Location: 220 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; and the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Cochairs: Yu Gu, University of California, Los Angeles; Shaocheng Xie, LLNL

8:30 AM

J9B.1

Quantifying Aerosol Radiative Forcing Uncertainty Within an Earth System Model Using Perturbed Parameter Ensembles

Yusuf Bhatti, SRON Netherlands Institute for Space Research, Leiden, Netherlands; and D. Watson-Parris, H. Jia, D. Neubauer, U. Lohmann, U. Im, N. Schutgens, A. Tsikerdekis, B. van Diedenhoven, A. Arifi, and O. P. Hasekamp

8:45 AM

J9B.2

Interactively Simulating the Plume-Rise of Biomass Burning Aerosol and Impacts on Radiative Energy Budget: Physically-based vs. Machine Learning Model (Invited)

Xiaohong Liu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and Z. Lu, P. L. Ma, and A. Geiss

9:00 AM

J9B.3

Statistically Constraining Uncertain Climate Model Parameters via Perturbed Parameter Ensemble (PPE) Approach: Application to the Radiative Effects of Biomass Burning Aerosols over Southern Africa

Victor Alejandro Sanchez, Carnegie Mellon Univ., Pittsburgh, PA; and K. Gohil, J. Carzon, M. Kuusela, and H. Gordon

9:15 AM

J9B.4

Radiative Forcing Due to Historical Increase in Desert Dust

Jasper F. Kok, University of California - Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and T. Storelvmo, V. Karydis, A. A. Adebiyi, N. M. Mahowald, A. T. Evan, C. He, and D. Leung

J9B.5

Physical Earth System Response to Aerosol Forcing Generated by Fires Following Nuclear Detonations: Findings and Recommendations from the Report on Potential Environmental Effects of Nuclear War - A National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Consensus Study

9:30 AM

J9B.6

Aerosol Impacts on Thunderstorm Electrification and Lightning Discharge over Houston

Yun Lin, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and T. Zhang, T. Logan, Y. Gu, and R. Fu

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 10A

Observationally Derived Causal Inference of Atmosphere, Ocean, and Climate Phenomena

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Chris E. Forest, PhD; Gretchen Keppel-Aleks, University at Albany

10:45 AM

10A.1

A Cabinet of (Climate) Curiosities

Peter J. Webster, Georgia Instutue of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. L. Stephens, S. Ortega, and C. D. Hoyos

11:00 AM

10A.2

An Observational Diagnosis of ENSO, MJO, and Mean Climate Biases over the Warm Pool and Maritime Continent

Prashant D Sardeshmukh, CIRES, University of Colorado and Physical Sciences Laboratory/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and C. Penland and G. P. Compo

11:15 AM

10A.3

Uncovering Processes Responsible for Winter Storm Track Anomalies over North America Using a Causal Inference Framework

Shan He, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and E. K. M. Chang, C. Zheng, J. Lee, and X. Yang

11:30 AM

10A.4

Planning our Evolving Climate Observing System: Identifying Priorities and Evaluation Techniques

Elizabeth C Weatherhead, Jupiter Intelligence, Lafayette, CO; and A. M. Fridlind, R. Kramer, and D. E. Waliser

Session 10B

A session honoring Mark Cane’s legacy and reflecting on the future of climate science I

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Organizer: Amy C. Clement, RSMAS

Cochairs: Amy C. Clement, RSMAS; Christina Karamperidou, Univ. of Hawaii; Antonio J. Busalacchi, NOAA; Tripti Bhattacharya; John C. H. Chiang; Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University

10:45 AM

10B.1

Dynamical Seasonal Prediction before and after Cane, Zebiak and Dolan (1986) (Invited Presentation)

Jagadish Shukla, George Mason University, Rockville, MD

11:00 AM

10B.2

Representing Model Uncertainty in Climate Ensembles (Invited Presentation)

Tim Palmer, Univ. of Oxford, Oxford, United kingdom

11:15 AM

10B.3

Influence of Amazonia Rainfall on equatorial Atlantic SST variability – In honor Mark Cane’s Legacy

Rong Fu, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and S. Zhao

11:30 AM

10B.4

Understanding and Predicting El Niño via Conceptual Models Nomenclated by Mark Cane

Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. Zhao

11:45 AM

10B.5

Process-based pathways to improving projections of extremes

J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and S. Duan, F. Ahmed, Y. H. Kuo, C. A. Martinez-Villalobos, D. Fu, and P. C. Loikith

Women in Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon

Location: Great Hall D (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 11A

Atmospheric Rivers: Processes, Impacts, and Communicating Uncertainty I

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Bin Guan; Christine A. Shields, USRA; Alexandre M. Ramos, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

1:45 PM

11A.1

Diagnosis of the role of the tropics in driving serial clustering of atmospheric rivers over the U.S. West Coast during January 2023

Benjamin J. Moore, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Dias, S. N. Tulich, M. Gehne, A. J. Hoell, J. R. Albers, C. Baggett, and E. LaJoie

2:00 PM

11A.2

Climate Change Effects on the December 2022 - January 2023 High Impact Series of Atmospheric Rivers Along the U.S. West Coast

Hunter Martinez-Buehrer, Northern Illinois University, Dekalb, IL; and A. C. Michaelis, J. Cordeira, A. Gershunov, V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, A. Haberlie, W. S. Ashley, and F. M. Ralph

2:15 PM

11A.3

Characteristics, Impacts, and Historical Perspectives of Atmospheric Rivers along the U.S. East Coast during Winter 2023–2024

Nicholas D. Metz, Hobart & William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. Cordeira, H. B. Kostka, X. Zou, E. A. Slinskey, and F. M. Ralph

2:30 PM

11A.4

Sensitivity of Numerical Atmospheric River Precipitation Forecasts to Choice of Microphysics Parameterization

Sawyer Dylan Smith, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and G. K. Easthom

2:45 PM

11A.5

An Algorithm to Develop a Satellite-Based Atmospheric River Database

Shineng Hu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and T. Liu

Session 11B

A session honoring Mark Cane’s legacy and reflecting on the future of climate science II

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Amy C. Clement, RSMAS; Christina Karamperidou, Univ. of Hawaii; Antonio J. Busalacchi, NOAA; Tripti Bhattacharya; John C. H. Chiang; Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University

1:45 PM

11B.1

Pliocene climates from southwest North America and their implications for 21st century rainfall extremes (Invited Presentation)

Tripti Bhattacharya, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY

2:00 PM

11B.2

Extracting Paleoweather from Paleoclimate: Using Deep Learning to Unravel the Role of the Tropical Pacific in Atmospheric Blocking over the Last Millennium (Invited Presentation)

Christina Karamperidou, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI

2:15 PM

11B.3

Past and Future Climate Trends in the Tropical Pacific: Equatorial Cooling Versus an El Niño-like State

Alexey Fedorov, Yale University, New Haven, CT; LOCEAN/Sorbonne University, Paris, France

2:30 PM

11B.4

A climate change signal in the tropical Pacific emerges from decadal variability (Invited Presentation)

Feng Jiang, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, NY; and R. Seager and M. A. Cane

2:45 PM

11B.5

The Signal-to-noise Error in Decadal Regional Climate (Invited Presentation)

Jeremy M. Klavans, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and P. DiNezio, A. C. Clement, M. A. Cane, C. He, and L. M. Goes

J11B

Aerosol-Climate Interactions from Regional to Global Scale II

Location: 220 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; and the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Cochairs: Yu Gu, University of California, Los Angeles; Shaocheng Xie, LLNL

1:45 PM

J11B.1

Investigating the Short-Term Climate Responses to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection

Evanna Chevalier, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Appleton, WI; and C. J. Connolly, D. M. Hueholt, and E. A. Barnes

2:00 PM

J11B.2

The Effectiveness of Solar Radiation Management for Marine Cloud Brightening Geoengineering by Fine Sea Spray in Worldwide Different Climatic Regions

Zhe Song, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 33, China; and S. Yu, P. Li, N. Yao, Y. Sun, B. Jiang, and D. Rosenfeld

2:15 PM

J11B.3

Using Aerosol-Cloud "Natural Experiments" to Test Hypotheses for Maintaining Earth's Hemispheric Albedo Symmetry

Michael S. Diamond, ; and J. J. Gristey and G. Feingold

2:30 PM

J11B.4

Project FOCI - Non-CO2 Forcers and Their Climate, Weather, Air Quality and Health Impacts: Modelling of Aerosol-Climate Interactions Across the Scales

Tomas Halenka, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech republic; and R. S. Sokhi

2:45 PM

J11B.5

Prognostic Aerosols in a Convection-permitting Earth System Model

Chandru Dhandapani, PNNL, North Hollywood, CA; and B. Singh, O. H. Diaz Ibarra, M. Huang, J. D. Fast, K. Zhang, M. Wu, and P. L. Ma

Wednesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

16Health Diurnal Spatiotemporal Variations of Near-Surface Ozone Concentrations Across China

29IOAS CYGNSS Observation Error Correlation in Data Assimilation Frameworks

E59

39HYDRO Analysis of the Evolution of a Meiyu Frontal Rainstorm Based on Doppler Radar Data Assimilation

Hongli Li, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China

E60

39HYDRO Analysis of Cold Season Precipitation Dynamics in Complex Terrain over the Upper Colorado River Basin

Sierra Liotta, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and K. Friedrich and J. Kay

E61

38CVC Applying weather and climate modeling techniques to human health outcomes: data-informed simulation, inference and forecasting

E62

16HEALTH Climate-resilient Urban Forest Gardens to Address Climate Vulnerability, Food Insecurity, and Inequitable Heat Risks

Karin Warren, Randolph College, Lynchburg, VA; and L. Henry-Stone

E63

24AI Deciphering Heat Wave Mechanisms in Bangladesh: Integrating Meteorological Insights and Machine Learning Techniques

Saurav Dey Shuvo, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and S. S. Sultana

E64

24AI AI Training in Progress: Challenges and Achievements at Meteorological Service of Canada.

Miguel Tremblay, MSC, Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. Beauregard and A. Dacres

E65

21OESS CSPP Geo Direct Broadcast for ABI and AHI Level-2: SuperDAPs and GOES-19 Support

Geoff Cureton, CIMSS, MADISON, WI

E67

WAFNWP 2km CONUS Global Stretched-Grid Numerical Weather Prediction Forecasts using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System Model

William Putman, NASA, Greenbelt, MD

ePoster E66 is now Poster 189A

E68

25ARAM Comparing HRRR and RRFS in Predicting Convective Systems over the Eastern CONUS in JJA 2023 and 2024

Joseph A. Grim, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, Phd

E69

1FIREWX Flint Hills Prescribed Burn Decision Support

Patrick H. Zahn, Sonoma Technology, Petaluma, CA; and J. J. Beamish, S. Irwin, K. Craig, D. Watson, and J. Prentice

E70

24AI All-weather VIIRS LST: Machine Learning Based Methodology and Experiment

Shuo Xu, University of Maryland, RIVERDALE, MD; and Y. Liu

E71

WAFNWP Dependence of Hurricane Forecasts on the Spectral Representation of Cumulus Convection

Anning Cheng, EMC, College Park, MD; EMC, College Park, MD; and F. Yang

E72

25SMOI A Modernized Cutdown/Letdown Mechanism for Mobile Balloon Launches.

Christopher Schneider, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; NSSL, NORMAN, OK; and M. Stock, D. Kennedy, S. M. Waugh, and V. C. Chmielewski

E73

27ATCHEM Exploring Organic Acid Contributions to Cloud Water Chemistry and Aqueous Processing of Organics within Clouds: Insights from Whiteface Mountain Measurements

Archana Tripathy, SUNY Albany, ALBANY, NY; SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; Univ. at Albany, Boulder, CO; and C. E. Lawrence, S. S. Lombardo, P. Casson, R. Patel, L. Hammond, R. Brandt, S. McKim, J. Schlemmer, J. Schwab, H. Khwaja, M. Hussain, E. Yerger, P. Snyder, W. May, D. Kelting, and S. M. Lance

E74

38CVC Extreme Weather Events and School Closures: A Study of Climate Change Effects

Caitlin Finlayson, University of Mary Washington, Fredericksburg, VA

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

A session honoring Mark Cane’s legacy and reflecting on the future of climate science

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Amy C. Clement, RSMAS; Christina Karamperidou, Univ. of Hawaii; Antonio J. Busalacchi, NOAA; Tripti Bhattacharya; John C. H. Chiang; Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University

598

Two seasonal cycles of tropical sea surface temperature under orbital forcing

John C. H. Chiang, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and L. Y. L. Kong

599

Trends and Pathways of the Contributions of Southeastern Subtropical Pacific Water to the Equatorial Undercurrent

Wei-Bang He, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and C. Karamperidou, R. Seager, and M. A. Cane

Two seasonal cycles of tropical sea surface temperature under Milankovitch variations

600

Propagation of Waves in a Varying and Inhomogeneously Moving Medium

Zhaohua Wu, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL

601

ENSO's impact on Antarctic sea ice predictability at subseasonal timescale

Xiaojun Yuan, LDEO, Palisades, NY

602

Is the Last Interglacial Warm Period a Good Analog for Future Greenland Mass Balance?

Kay Ateka Poonawala, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. Lofverstrom

Handout (33.3 MB)

603

Consequences of the Tropical Pacific Zonal Sea Surface Temperature Gradient Discrepancy: What Can the Cane-Zebiak Model Tell Us?

Nandini Ramesh, Commonwealth Scientifc and Industrial Research Organisation, Eveleigh, NSW, Australia; and R. Seager and M. A. Cane

604

Is ENSO Changing? Assimilation of Paleoclimate Data Into the Cane-Zebiak Forecast Model

Alexey Kaplan, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and M. N. Evans, E. R. Cook, B. K. Linsley, and M. A. Cane

605

The future in the past: Risk of more frequent extreme El Niño supported by paleoclimate data and models

Pedro DiNezio, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO; and K. Thirumalai

606

The Three Dimensional Circulation in the Central Equatorial Indian Ocean

Michael J. McPhaden, PMEL, Seattle, WA; and A. T. van den Berg and M. Nagura

Interactive Clouds in a Cane-Zebiak ENSO Model

607

Dynamics and impacts of Coastal El Niño events in global climate models

Gerardo A. Rivera Tello, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and C. Karamperidou and S. Zhao

608

A Physics Inferred Deep Learning Retrospective of the Cane-Zebiak-Dolan 1986 Experimental El Nino Forecasts

609

Contrasting the Global Connections of Internal versus Forced Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

Shineng Hu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and X. Li and A. Fedorov

610

SST Hindcast with a Coupled GCM Forced by Observed Wind Stress

Shang-Ping Xie, University of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Miyamoto and Q. Peng

611

Low dimensional chaos explains ENSO asymmetry and period

Julia Mindlin, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany; and P. DiNezio and G. B. Mindlin

612

Pacific atmospheric circulation from paleoclimate data assimilation via the ensemble Kalman filter

Kevin Anchukaitis, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. Tierney, S. Dee, and J. Zhu

613

Perturbing the Surface Energy Balance to Emulate the Historical Pattern of Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Trends

614

Unforced Millennial Oscillations of the Coupled Climate-Carbon System

Brian E. J. Rose, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and F. Zhu

615

A new intermediate coupled model for tropical climate variability and changes

Honghai Zhang, University of Houston, Houston, TX; and R. Seager, N. Henderson, and M. A. Cane

616

The Effects of Orbital Precession on Environmental Conditions Influencing Tropical Cyclone Development and Evolution

Anthony J. Broccoli, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ

617

No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium

Sylvia Genevieve Dee, Rice Univ., HOUSTON, TX; and K. M. Cobb, N. Steiger, F. Zhu, and J. Emile-Geay

618

Recent tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Climate Variability is dominated by External Forcings

Chengfei He, Northeastern University, Boston, MA; and A. C. Clement, M. A. Cane, S. Kramer, J. Klavans, L. Murphy, and T. M. Fenske

African Climate Change and Variability

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )

Cochairs: Kerry H. Cook; Ademe Mekonnen; Edward K. Vizy

619

African Easterly Jet Response to Changes in the Atmospheric Thermal Heating in CMIP6 Models over Central Africa

Giresse Kuete II, University of Yaounde, Yaounde, CE, Cameroon; and W. M. Pokam, A. A. Adebiyi, E. Dyer, R. James, and R. Washington

620

Responses of the Saharan temperature to Regional Sea Surface Temperature Changes

Li Zhuo, University at Albany - State University of New York, Albany, NY; University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany

621

Unusually low dust activity in North Africa in June 2023: Causes, impacts and future projections

Diana Francis, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, United arab emirates; and R. M. Fonseca, N. R. Nelli, and Y. Yarragunta

622

Effects of Atlantic Ocean SST variability on African winter and summer precipitation

Bhaskar Jha, NCEP, College Park , MD; NOAA CPC, College Park, MD; and W. Thaiw, H. Wang, Z. Z. Hu, E. B. Bekele, Z. T. Segele, and B. Singh

Atmospheric Rivers: Processes, Impacts, and Communicating Uncertainty

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Bin Guan; Christine A. Shields, USRA; Alexandre M. Ramos, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

623

The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in the Snowpack over the Upper Colorado River Basin during Water Year 2023

Zhenhai Zhang, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph, J. J. Rutz, and D. L. Nash

624

Atmospheric Rivers of Varying Intensity in the Western United States: Variability in the Present and Future Climate

Vlad Adam Munteanu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. R. Abel, B. J. Moore, D. Swales, and L. Swenson

625

Storm Patterns Conducive to Extreme Precipitation in the Willamette River Watershed of Oregon

Grace May Lovell, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and P. C. Loikith, E. N. Russell, and J. Riedl

626

Investigating Different RegCM5 Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations to Simulate an Atmospheric River Case Study

Rebecca Z Porter, UCAR, Olathe, KS; and C. A. Shields and T. A. O'Brien

627

The role of Dry Intrusions in the formation and intensification of Atmospheric Rivers in the North Atlantic

Alexandre M. Ramos, KIT, Karlsruhe, Germany; and K. Weiss, A. Pérez-Alarcón, S. Raveh Rubin, and J. G. Pinto

628

Influence of Long-Term Trends in Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature on Atmospheric River Statistics in Western North America

Andrew Kwong, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. Dixit and F. Lehner

629

The Influence of the Amazonian Moisture Transport by the Aerial Rivers to the Water Budget at Southeastern Brazil Using Atmospheric Modelling and Re-analysis

Gilberto Fisch, University of Taubate UNITAU, Taubate, SP, Brazil; and M. Ruv Lemes, J. A. P. Veiga, and L. M. Alves

El Niño Southern Oscillation: Dynamics, Prediction and Projection

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/PSL; Arthur J. Miller; Shineng Hu

630

Southeastern Florida has seen unprecedented rainfall events in the past year, with models failing to accurately predict the amount of precipitation over the region. This work will investigate the dependence of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts on precipitation over the southeastern US, specifically during the cold season. We will examine the output from a suite of coupled model experiments with varying ENSO strength, frequency, asymmetry, and the location of the strongest sea surface temperature anomalies, in both the pre-industrial and future climate. At least 18 model runs of approximately 400 years each will be generated, with output saved from several daily variables and many monthly fields. To achieve the project's objectives, machine learning techniques will be used to quantify meaningful statements in the data. Expected outcomes from the proposed project include a nuanced understanding of ENSO’s effect on the southeastern US extreme climate.

631

Understanding projected future changes in multi-year La Niña events

Samantha Faye Donner, NOAA, Fair Lawn, NJ

632

Decoding ENSO Predictability: The Impact of Seasonality on Deterministic Dynamics and Noise Forcing

Alexandra Vizcarra, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont, M. Newman, E. E. Thomas, and M. L. Breeden

633

Meridional Heat Transport Variability Inferred from Top-of-Atmosphere Radiation and Ocean Heat Content Observations

Ona Melvin, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO; and D. Du and J. B. Weiss

634

A comparison Of The Effects Of Teleconnection Patterns on The Total Number And Severity Of Snowstorms From 1994 Through 2024 In The Northeastern United States During The Winter Months Of December Through February.

Caitlin J. Lawrence, USA Weather, Inc, Carmichaels, PA

635

Future Changes in ENSO Governed by Eastward Shift in Air-Sea Coupling

Brandon Ricardo Molina, Home, BOULDER, CO

636

Simulation of ENSO teleconnections in a resolved scales hierarchy of earth system models

Salil Mahajan, ORNL, OAK RIDGE, TN

Wednesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E76

21OESS Value Tree Assessment of Low Earth Orbit Observations for the Dynamic Arctic Region

Andrew Lomax, MS, JPSS, Lanham, MD; and J. P. Goldstein, J. Dissen, S. Kalluri, K. A. Hawley, and C. Y. Wu

E77

27AtChem Evaluation of a WRF-Chem-HYSPLIT modeling framework to simulate smoke-taint conditions in the western US.

Ana Carla Fernandez Valdes, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and V. P. Walden, M. Vahidi Ghazvini, and J. Meng

E78

24AI Application of Data Driven Model in the Forecast of Short-Range Microscale Rainfall to Mitigate the Impact of Climate Change in Tropical Climates

Ogochukwu Ejike, University of the West of Scotland, Paisley, RFW, United kingdom

E79

24Airsea Simulating Cloud Radiative Forcing with WRF During Arctic Winter Sea Ice Extremes

Valerie Elizabeth Gorden, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. T. Strey

E81

38CVC The use of Arctic-CORDEX Regional Climate Change Predictions to Anticipate Impacts on Coastal Alaska Villages

Hashem Zahedipour, Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr.

E82

FireWx Development and Application of an Hourly Wildfire Potential Index for Predicting Wildfire Activity

Craig Hartsough, CIRES at NOAA/GSL, Fort Collins, CO; and E. P. James, R. Ahmadov, J. Romero-Alvarez, J. Schnell, S. Bhimireddy, and S. S. Weygandt

E83

39Hydro Evolutionary Mechanism of Cloud Clusters Moving Eastward from the Qinghai Tibet Plateau

Xiaofang Wang, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration，Wuhan, Wuhan, Hubei, China

E84

39Hydro Merging and Downscaling of Satellite and Model Soil Moisture over Taiwan

Chia-Jeng Chen, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan; and Y. R. Ciou

E85

39Hydro Drought Prediction over the U.S. Using a Statistical Model of Groundwater and Land-Atmosphere Stable States

Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and P. R. Makhasana, P. Lawston Parker, and J. A. Santanello Jr.

E86

39Hydro Enhancing Water Resource Management in the EEC (Thailand) Using WEAP

Vinitar Khettar, Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency (Public Organization): GISTDA, Lak Si, Bangkok, Thailand; and D. Phoomikiattisak, W. Chansury, J. Kruasilp, P. Faikratok, C. Charoenchim, and P. Petchprayoon

E87

33WAF/29NWP Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Impact-based Decision Support Services (IDSS): Adding Local Value to the Climate Prediction Center’s 8-14 Day U.S. Hazards Outlook

Kristopher D. White, NWS/NASA SPoRT, Huntsville, AL; and R. A. Junod and A. Pritchett

E88

2CloudPhys An Overview of the Cold Air outbreak Experiment in the Sub Arctic Region (CAESAR) campaign

Paquita Zuidema, University of Miami Rosenstiel School, Key Biscayne, FL; and B. Geerts, G. M. McFarquhar, A. Raudzens Bailey, J. J. Cassano, C. Costanza, J. D. Doyle, A. M. Dzambo, S. Ephraim, J. R. French, C. Grasmick, E. Järvinen, T. W. Juliano, M. D. Petters, R. J. Perkins, E. M. Rosky, J. R. Snider, G. Svensson, M. Tjernstrom, F. Tornow, P. R. veres, Y. Wang, S. Woods, and L. Xue, PhD

Session 12A

Atmospheric Rivers: Processes, Impacts, and Communicating Uncertainty II

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Bin Guan; Christine A. Shields, USRA

4:30 PM

12A.1

Characterizing Atmospheric Rivers associated with Persistent Flow Regimes

Tyler C. Leicht, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

4:45 PM

12A.2

Characterizing Storm Types that Drive Heavy Precipitation at the Watershed Scale

Paul C. Loikith, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and E. N. Russell, J. Riedl, and G. M. Lovell

5:00 PM

12A.3

Inland-penetrating Atmospheric Rivers and Hydrometeorological Impacts in Colorado

Deanna L. Nash, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and J. J. Rutz, J. Cordeira, F. M. Ralph, K. J. Sanders, and E. Walter

5:15 PM

12A.4

Atmospheric River Induced Arctic Sea Ice Variability: Investigations in Low- and High-Resolution Climate Models

Alexander Massa, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and P. Zhang, C. A. Shields, and L. Li

5:30 PM

12A.5

Temporal Clustering of Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation Impacts in Southern South America

Surabhi C. Biyani, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and E. A. Slinskey, A. Hall, and J. D. Neelin

5:45 PM

12A.6

Sorting Atmospheric Rivers in a Future Climate by Pattern

Greta Katherine Easthom, North Carolina State University, Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and A. C. Michaelis

Session 12B

A session honoring Mark Cane’s legacy and reflecting on the future of climate science III

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Amy C. Clement, RSMAS; Christina Karamperidou, Univ. of Hawaii; Antonio J. Busalacchi, NOAA; Tripti Bhattacharya; John C. H. Chiang; Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University

4:30 PM

12B.1

Warming-induced historical (1871-present) and future increase in tropical cyclone rapid intensification.

Gabriel A. Vecchi, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and K. Bhatia, W. Yang, E. L. Levin, and G. Villarini

4:45 PM

12B.2

Using climate information services to cope against climate change impacts on food security : example of Senegal. (Invited Presentation)

Ousmane Ndiaye, NWS, Dakar, Senegal, Senegal; Agence Nationale de l'Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie, Dakar, Senegal; and D. Ndiaye and O. Konte

5:00 PM

12B.3

Initialized Earth system prediction of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation as motivated by Mark Cane

Gerald Allen Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO

12B.4

Increasing Extreme Humid Heat Frequency Across Global Land Regions: Trends and El Niño Driven Variability (Invited Presentation)

5:30 PM

12B.5

What Should We All be Working on in India for Climate and Society? (Invited Presentation)

Raghu G. Murtugudde, Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay, Mumbai, MH, India

5:45 PM

12B.6

Basic Research and Societal Impact : the Example of Mark Cane

Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY

J12B

Aerosol-Climate Interactions from Regional to Global Scale III

Location: 220 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; and the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Cochairs: Yu Gu, University of California, Los Angeles; Shaocheng Xie, LLNL

4:30 PM

J12B.1

Observations of Aerosols, Clouds, and Radiation over the Amazon Rainforest while constraining the Large-Scale Synoptic Variability Using Self-Organizing Maps

Siddhant Gupta, ANL, Lemont, IL; and E. Ledres and D. Wang

4:45 PM

J12B.2

How the Asian Summer Monsoon Affects Aerosol Properties in the UTLS Region Across the Northern Hemisphere (Invited)

Franziska Köllner, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Mainz, Rheinland-Pfalz, Germany; and O. Appel, P. Brauner, M. D. Brown, A. Dragoneas, F. Ekinci, O. Eppers, M. Fujiwara, M. Höpfner, S. Johansson, M. Kohl, D. Kunkel, V. Lauther, G. Michailoudi, S. Molleker, D. M. Murphy, A. E. Perring, G. P. Schill, J. Schneider, J. Schwarz, W. Smith, R. Ueyama, J. Ungermann, M. Volk, C. Williamson, L. Ziemba, M. Riese, S. Borrmann, P. M. Hoor, and L. L. Pan

5:00 PM

J12B.3

The Dominant Patterns of Evolving Historical Industrial Aerosol and Biomass Burning Emissions and Their Climate Impacts Via Atmospheric and Oceanic Pathways

Xueying Zhao, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Deser, G. G. Persad, A. S. Phillips, and N. Rosenbloom

5:15 PM

J12B.4

AERO-MAP: A Data Compilation and Modelling Approach to Understand Spatial Variability in Fine and Coarse Mode Aerosol Composition

Natalie Marie Mahowald, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and L. Li, J. Vira, M. Prank, D. Hamilton, H. Matsui, R. L. Miller, L. Lu, E. Akyuz, D. Meidan, P. Hess, H. Lihavainen, C. Wiedinmyer, J. Hand, M. Grazia Alaimo, C. Alves, A. Andres Alastuey, P. Artaxo, A. Barreto, S. Becagli, F. Barraza, G. Calzolai, S. Chellam, Y. Chen, P. Chuang, D. D. Cohen, C. Colombi, L. Diapouli, G. Dongarra, K. Eleftheriadis, J. Engelbrecht, C. Galy-Lacaux, C. Gaston, D. Gomez, Y. Gonzalez Ramos, R. M. Harrison, C. Heyes, B. Herut, P. Hopke, C. Hüglin, M. Kanakidou, Z. Kertesz, Z. Klimont, K. Kyllönen, F. Lambert, X. Liu, R. Losno, F. Lucarelli, W. Maenhaut, B. Marticorena, R. V. Martin, N. Mihalopoulos, Y. Morera-Gomez, A. Paytan, J. M. Prospero, S. Rodríguez, P. Smichowski, D. Varrica, B. Walsh, C. Weagle, and X. Zhao

5:30 PM

J12B.5

Dry Deposition Effect of Urban Green Spaces on Particulate Matter During the 2024 Freezing Rain Event in Hubei

XINGHUI XIA, Hubei University, Wuhan, China; and T. TIAN, T. Zhang, Z. Zhu, and W. Gong

5:45 PM

J12B.6

Geostationary-Satellite-based Wildfire Smoke Transport Nowcasting using Optical-Flow-GRU Coupled Scheme

Tianhao Zhang, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Lin and Y. Gu

Awards Reception and Ceremony

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Wednesday Night Live

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Session 13A

Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons I

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Hamid A. Pahlavan, University of Washington; Gang Chen; Aditi Sheshadri, Rice Univ.; Jezabel Curbelo; Sandro W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Marianna Linz, Harvard University; Y. Qiang Sun

8:30 AM

13A.1

Monsoon precipitation biases in storm-resolving NextGEMS Earth System Models

Simona Bordoni, University of Trento, Italy, Trento, TN, Italy; University of Trento, Italy, Trento, Italy; and A. M. Tompkins

8:45 AM

13A.2

Onset and Withdrawal of Indian Monsoon as Phase Transition: A Climate Network Perspective

Yogenraj Pravin Patil, Indian Institute of Technology Madras, Chennai, TN, India; and G. Chopra, S. Tandon, B. N. Goswami, and R. I. Sujith

9:00 AM

13A.3

A 1D axisymmetric model for the tropical atmosphere and its seasonality

Ryan Michael Eusebi, Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider

9:15 AM

13A.4

Explaining Tropical Expansion Using an Energy Balance Framework

Polina Khapikova, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider

9:30 AM

13A.5

Quantifying and Understanding Forced Changes to Unforced Modes of Atmospheric Circulation Variability over the North Pacific in eight Large Ensembles

Nicola Maher, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia; and C. Deser and J. P. O'Brien

13A.6

25 Years of Height Resolved Cloud Motion Vector Winds from MISR Reveal Details About Atmospheric Dynamics

Session 13B

El Niño Southern Oscillation: Dynamics, Prediction and Projection II

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/PSL; Arthur J. Miller; Shineng Hu

8:30 AM

13B.1

An Advanced Framework for Disentangling Deterministic Dynamics and Stochastic Processes in ENSO Predictability (Invited Presentation)

Cait Martinez, University of Miami, Miami, FL; University of Miami, Miami, FL; and B. P. Kirtman and S. Larson

8:45 AM

13B.2

Initialized Seasonal Prediction and ENSO Teleconnections with the NCAR Models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)

Emily J. Becker, University of Miami, Miami, FL

9:00 AM

13B.3

Effects of Extreme La Niña Events on the Asymmetry of ENSO Impacts

Robert White Payne Jr., North Carolina State University, Cary, NC; NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Larson and E. J. Becker

9:15 AM

13B.4

Investigating the Impact of Climate Variability and Change on the California Current System Using a Pacific Pacemaker Experiment

Jacqueline Maureen Kiszka, Pennsylvania State University, York, PA; and N. M. Freeman and D. J. Amaya

9:30 AM

13B.5

Role of the Indo-Pacific Oceanic channel in ENSO dynamics

Dongliang Yuan, FIO, Qingdao, China; FIO, Qingdao, China

9:45 AM

13B.6

The role of the tropical Atlantic in tropical Pacific climate variability

Antonietta Capotondi, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/PSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Zhao

Session 13C

Cities and Climate Change I

Location: 336 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Negin Nazarian; Lei Zhao, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Matei Georgescu, Arizona State University; Jennifer Salmond; Rafiq Hamdi, Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium; Andrew Jones, University of California, Berkeley; Yongling Zhao, ETH Zurich; Quang Van Quang Doan; Karen Seto, Yale University; Winston Chow, Singapore Management University

8:30 AM

13C.1

Assessing the Impact of Extreme Heat Events on Energy Demand and Power Grid Resilience

Buket Sahin, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT

8:45 AM

13C.2

Building the scientific foundation for climate solutions in cities

Andrew D Jones, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; University of CA, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and N. Nazarian, A. Hsu, C. Brelsford, J. Salmond, K. Seto, L. Zhao, M. Georgescu, P. Romero-Lankao, P. Vahmani, Q. V. Q. Doan, R. Hamdi, S. Schultz, and Y. Zhao

9:00 AM

13C.3

The Meteorology of Urban Heat Islands

Elie Bou-Zeid, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and P. Maruri and F. Gerges

9:15 AM

13C.4

CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC: Urban Environments and Regional Climate Change

Tomas Halenka, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech republic; and G. Langendijk and P. Hoffmann

9:30 AM

13C.5

Characterizing the Influence of Urban Morphology on the Amplification of Heat Waves in Cities

Melissa Allen-Dumas, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and L. Sweet-Breu, C. Brelsford, and J. R. New

9:45 AM

13C.6

Impacts of New York City on Summer Extreme Precipitation

Madhusmita Swain, University at Albany, Albany, NY; University at Albany, Albany, NY; and J. C. Pena and J. E. Gonzalez

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Exhibit Hall Breakfast

Location: Hall B (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 14A

Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons II

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Hamid A. Pahlavan, University of Washington; Gang Chen; Aditi Sheshadri, Rice Univ.; Jezabel Curbelo; Marianna Linz, Harvard University; Sandro W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Y. Qiang Sun

10:45 AM

14A.1

Investigating the Baroclinic Annular Mode and its Predictability of Atmospheric Blocking and Extreme Weather Events in the Midlatitudes (Invited Presentation)

Lei Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette , IN; and Z. Liu

11:00 AM

14A.2

Moisture and Persistence of Annular Mode: Insights from Idealized Simulation of GFDL Spectral Model

Jin-Yu Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei City, Taipei, Taiwan; National Taiwan Univ., Taipei city, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. C. Tseng

11:15 AM

14A.3

On the Maintenance of Atmospheric Blocking by Migrating Synoptic Cyclones: A Lagrangian and Wave Activity Perspective

Yanjun Hu, Purdue University, WEST LAFAYETTE, IN; and L. Wang

11:30 AM

14A.4

Significant Modulations in Storm-Track Activity and Transient Eddy Structure in Association with the Southern Hemisphere Baroclinic Annular Mode

Hisashi Nakamura, RCAST, Univ. of Tokyo, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Nakayama, F. Ogawa, and S. Okajima

11:45 AM

14A.5

Assessing Rossby Wave Breaking Activity in the CESM Large Ensemble 2 from the Historical Period to the Late 21^st Century

Grant LaChat, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and K. A. Bowley and M. Gervais

Session 14B

Earth system predictability across timescales for informed decisions and societal resilience at the community level I

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Jadwiga H. Richter; Annarita Mariotti; Carlos M. Carrillo; Christopher D. Wirz

10:45 AM

14B.1

An Unexpected Outcome Followed an Apparent Forecast of Opportunity and Prolonged Drought in Southwest Asia (Invited Presentation)

Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. Breeden, M. Robinson, R. P. Worsnop, A. McNally, K. Slinski, W. Anderson, S. Shukla, F. Zaheer, and H. Jayanthi

11:00 AM

14B.2

Skillful Long-lead Seasonal Predictions in the Summertime Northern Hemisphere Middle Latitudes

Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and R. Muncaster, J. Derome, B. Merryfield, and G. T. Diro

11:15 AM

14B.3

Hyper-local Climate Projections Using Convective-Permitting Simulations in the Southern Florida Region

Rachel Gaal, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and B. P. Kirtman, A. C. Clement, and B. Soden

11:30 AM

14B.4

Scoping the Climate Lens on Delaware: Using Statistically Downscaled Climate Models to Inform Delaware's Climate Adaptation Plan and Community-level Planning

Christina Callahan, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. J. Leathers, K. R. Brinson, C. Hughes, M. Shatley, and E. Olamiriki

11:45 AM

14B.5

Leveraging Expertise Across Disciplines to Respond to Societal Needs through the NSF NCAR Early Career Faculty Innovator Program

Alexandra N. Ramos-Valle, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Session 14C

Cities and Climate Change II

Location: 336 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Negin Nazarian; Lei Zhao, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Matei Georgescu, Arizona State University; Jennifer Salmond; Rafiq Hamdi, Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium; Andrew Jones, University of California, Berkeley; Yongling Zhao, ETH Zurich; Quang Van Quang Doan; Karen Seto, Yale University; Winston Chow, Singapore Management University

10:45 AM

14C.1

Reversal of Extreme Precipitation Trend over the Northeast U.S. in Response to Rapid Reductions in Greenhouse Gas Concentrations

Bor-Ting Jong, NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, Z. M. Labe, PhD, and W. Cooke

11:00 AM

14C.2

Increased Flood Risk resulting from Climate Change over an Urban Catchment: A CMIP6 Multi-model Analysis

Sudhansu Sekhar Rath, University of Illinois Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL; and D. M. Putri, B. Jewett, and F. Dominguez

11:15 AM

14C.3

Simulating the effect of the urban land use on a severe convective windstorm in the Po Valley

Francesco De Martin, University of Bologna, Bologna, BO, Italy; and A. Zonato and S. Di Sabatino

Manuscript (103.0 kB)

11:30 AM

14C.4

Patterns of Compound Drought and Heatwave events and their Atmospheric Circulation Drivers: Implications for Urban Areas in the Mediterranean region

Constantinos Cartalis, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, A1, Greece; and K. Philippopoulos, I. Agathangelidis, A. Zazani, and A. Polydoros

11:45 AM

14C.5

Urban Rainfall Anomalies: Regional and Diurnal Variability under Diverse Landscapes

Xinxin Sui, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang and D. Niyogi

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 15A

Global Warming Pattern: Formation Mechanisms and Climate Impacts

Location: 336 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Shineng Hu; Shineng Hu, LDEO

1:45 PM

15A.1

A critical role for seasonality in forcing, feedback, and climate system response over the mid-latitude oceans

Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin-Madison, MADISON, WI; and S. Rathod, J. Zweifel, S. Mahajan, and D. S. Henderson

Handout (2.7 MB)

2:00 PM

15A.2

Quantifying the internal variability in Arctic Amplification and identifying the associated spatial trend pattern using machine learning

Aodhan Sweeney, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and Q. Fu, S. Po-Chedley, H. N. Wang, and M. Wang

2:15 PM

15A.3

Projected changes of the warm Arctic-cold North American pattern

Bin Yu, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Lin

2:30 PM

15A.4

Is Antarctica on the Threshold of Abrupt Climate Change?

David H. Bromwich, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and X. Zou and S. H. Wang

2:45 PM

15A.5

Connecting warming patterns of the paleo-ocean to our future

Xiaoqing Liu, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and Y. Zhang, M. Huber, P. Chang, and L. Wang

Session 15B

Earth system predictability across timescales for informed decisions and societal resilience at the community level II

Location: 243 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Jadwiga H. Richter; Annarita Mariotti; Carlos M. Carrillo, Cornell University; Christopher D. Wirz

1:45 PM

15B.1

Co-producing Understanding of a Changing Arctic and Implications for Sea Ice Prediction Needs (Invited Presentation)

Marika M. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Apassingok, B. Kelly, C. Koch, and V. Metcalf

2:00 PM

15B.2

Climate Model Data for Local Resilience: A New Downscaled and Bias-Corrected CMIP6 Synthesis to Better Characterize Evolving Climate Risks at Local and Regional Scales

Devin Rand, Berkeley Earth, San Francisco, CA; and R. A. Rohde

15B.3

Avoiding a Malthusian Future for Africa in a Changing World

2:30 PM

15B.4

An explainable machine learning prediction system for early-warning of coral bleaching on Florida’s Coral Reef

Marybeth Arcodia, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and R. Karp and E. A. Barnes

2:45 PM

15B.5

Urban Air Quality in a Changing Climate

Robert Bradley Pierce, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and J. J. M. Acdan, M. Bruckner, and A. Lenzen

Session 15C

Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons III

Location: 244 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Hamid A. Pahlavan, University of Washington; Gang Chen; Aditi Sheshadri, Rice Univ.; Jezabel Curbelo; Marianna Linz, Harvard University; Sandro W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Y. Qiang Sun

1:45 PM

15C.1

A New Metrict to Quantify the Impacts of Tropical Cyclones on the Jet Stream Waviness in the Present and Future Climates

Giorgio Massimo Sarro, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL; and N. Nakamura

2:00 PM

15C.2

A Linear Analysis of the Footprints of Heating from U.S. Mesoscale Convective Systems on Springtime Extratropical Synoptic Variability

Zhenyu You, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Deng

Handout (3.3 MB)

2:15 PM

15C.3

Moisture-induced Diabatic heating enhances Baroclinic Annular Mode (BAM)

Zhaoyu Liu, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and L. Wang

2:30 PM

15C.4

Two Types of Air-Sea Interaction Mechanisms over the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension Region

Dong Wan Kim, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and Y. O. Kwon, C. Frankignoul, C. Deser, G. Danabasoglu, A. Czaja, A. Herrington, and S. Kim

2:45 PM

15C.5

Tracking the Jets as Lagrangian Objects

Louis Rivoire, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; MIT, Cambridge, MA; and J. Curbelo and M. Linz

Thursday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

27AtChem Contribution of marine biological emissions to gaseous methylamines in the atmosphere: an emission inventory based on multi-source data sets

E3

7Tropical Observations, Analysis, and Implications from Tropical Cyclone Landfalls in a Near-Shore Environment

James Robert Howard Ph.D, Meteorologist, Ponchatoula, LA; and S. W. Mayberry, S. M. Wingo, S. F. Blair, C. Kelly, C. Cupp, and D. R. Jones

E89

1FIREWX Diagnosing Moisture Anomalies at the Drought-Wildfire Nexus: the Marshall (CO) and Caldor (CA) Fires.

Mike Hobbins, CIRES, Boulder, CO; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO; and D. J. McEvoy

E90

41EIPT Polarimetric Radar Data Assimilation With a Parameterized Radar Operator Using MPAS-JEDI

Zhiquan Liu, NSF-NCAR, Lafayette, CO; and H. Xie, T. Sun, and R. Kong

E91

39HYDRO Investigation of Machine Learning Algorithms in Representing Global Flash Drought Patterns

Stuart Galen Edris, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, J. C. Furtado, H. O. Olayiwola, and X. Xiao

E92

17AEROSOL New particle formation from isoprene under upper-tropospheric conditions

Jiali Shen, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; and D. Rusell, J. Kirkby, J. Curtius, and X. C. He

E93

24AI Advancing Extreme Precipitation Prediction over CONUS Using Diffusion Models with Spatial and Temporal Uncertainty Quantification

E94

34EDUCATION The Center for Inclusive Climate Communications: Towards A Global Resource for Education, Training, Research, and Service

Bruce N. Walker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. S. Bower and I. Martincic

E95

17AEROSOL Assessing the effect of cloud organization on cloud-aerosol interactions

E96

1FIREWX Integrating Vertical Wind Adjustment into Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-smoke)

Fangjiao Ma, CIWRO, Norman, OK; and T. A. Jones

E97

21OESS WxNet: A Next Generation Space-Based Environmental Monitoring Constellation

John Fisher, Brandywine Photonics, West Chester, PA; and C. David, Z. Burns, D. B. Hogan, and J. Predina

E98

24AI Deep Learning based Postprocessing for Freezing Level Forecasting over FIRO Watersheds

Vesta Afzali Gorooh, SIO, La Jolla, CA; Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and S. Roj, A. Sengupta, M. Ghazvinian, PhD, J. L. Bano Medina, R. Weihs, D. Axisa, J. F. Kalansky, and L. Delle Monache

E99

38CVC Continental and Regional-Scale Urban Warming Signals are Detectable and Increasing with Urban Evolution

TC Chakraborty, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian

E100

24AI Temporal Causal Analysis of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions in Atmospheric Models Using Time-Series Causal Neural Networks

Xue Zheng, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and Faruque, S. Qiu, and J. Wang

E101

24AI Deep Learning-Based Methods for Precipitation Bias Correction

Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Z. Zhang

E102

21OESS Delphi: An Infrared Projection System for Next Generation Weather Satellite Testing

Cordelia David, Brandywine Photonics, West Chester, PA; Brandywine Photonics, WEST CHESTER, PA; and J. Fisher

E103

41EIPT Establishing the Airborne Phased Array Radar (APAR) Observing Simulator as a Proving Ground for Radar Scan Analysis and Algorithm Development

Bradley Klotz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, J. Vivekanandan, and K. Manning

E104

FireWx Integration of the Freitas 1-D Model with NUCAPS for Assessing 2020 California Pyrocumulonimbus Events

Arunas P. Kuciauskas, Retired, Marine Meteorology Division, Naval Research Laboratory, MONTEREY, CA; and L. Wilson, D. V. V. Mallia, T. Wilmot, D. A. Peterson, and J. R. Campbell

Coffee Break

Location: Hall B (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Cities and Climate Change

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Negin Nazarian; Lei Zhao, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Matei Georgescu, Arizona State University; Jennifer Salmond; Rafiq Hamdi, Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium; Andrew Jones, University of California, Berkeley; Yongling Zhao, ETH Zurich; Quang Van Quang Doan; Karen Seto, Yale University; Winston Chow, Singapore Management University

877

Rooftop photovoltaic solar panels warm up and cool down cities

Rafiq Hamdi, Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Brussels, Belgium; Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Urumuqi, Xinjiang, China; and A. khan, P. Anand, S. Garshasbi, R. Khatun, S. khorat, D. Niyogi, and M. Santamouris

878

Predicting Washington DC's Cherry Blossoms: Warming Trends, Effects of the Solar Cycle and Solar Max

Robert J. Leamon, Univ. of Maryland - Baltimore County, Washington, DC

879

Evaluation of Urban Heat Stress Response to Heatwaves in the Washington, DC Metro Area Using UrbanNet Observations

Praveena Krishnan, NOAA, Oak Ridge, TN; and H. J. Diamond, T. P. Meyers, R. White, D. Christensen, W. Luke, N. Lichiheb, L. Myles, A. Stein, B. B. Hicks, and W. Pendergrass

880

Nocturnal Land Surface Temperature Cooling in Urbanizing Florida

881

Evaluating Models to Measure Urban Heat Islands in the U.S.

Jennifer Brady, Climate Central, Skillman, NJ

882

A Continued Evaluation of the Urban Heat Mitigation Potential of the San Antonio Cool Pavement Pilot

Neil Debbage, University of Texas San Antonio, San Antonio, TX

Handout (3.9 MB)

883

Evaluating Future Heat Health Emergencies in Philadelphia, PA: Blending Model Projections, Observations, and Downscaling Methods

Nicole Zenes, SAIC, Princeton, NJ; and D. Adams-Smith, K. W. Dixon, and B. Le Roy

Handout (1.4 MB)

884

Investigating Changes of Summer Urban Heat Island in Kansas City from 2000-2023 with Remote Sensing

William David Barnes, University of Missouri - Kansas City, Kansas City, MO; and F. Sun

Anthropogenic Influence on 2022 Extreme Winter Precipitation over Southern China

Earth system predictability across timescales for informed decisions and societal resilience at the community level

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Jadwiga H. Richter; Annarita Mariotti; Carlos M. Carrillo, Cornell University; Christopher D. Wirz

885

Predicting weather extremes and water resources in the climate transition: a focus on America’s headwater region

Bart nmn Geerts, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and P. Geerts, S. Rahimi, B. Shuman, S. Albeke, K. Smith, and C. Knapp

886

Improvement of Drought Prediction Model Through Sensitivity Analysis of Predictor Variables

Irenea de Lima Corporal-Lodangco, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson and M. B. Richman

887

The Development, Use and Interpretation of Climate Projections to Support Regional and National Climate Services

888

Sitting Ducks: Preparing for unprecedented extremes

Erin Coughlan de Perez, Tufts University, Boston, MA; and I. G. Masukwedza, N. Dhakal, and A. Aljoda

Global Warming Pattern: Formation Mechanisms and Climate Impacts

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Shineng Hu; Shineng Hu, LDEO

890

Replicating the Regional Hadley Cell Response to Increased CO2 in CMIP6

Patricia Hutton, GISS, New York, NY; and M. E. Menzel

Handout (1.1 MB)

891

Modulation of the Pacific Meridional Mode on the Dipole Pattern of the CONUS Summertime Precipitation

Grace Esenam Affram, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and W. Zhang

892

How Global Warming is Transforming ENSO Teleconnections and Rainfall Patterns in Thailand and Vietnam?

Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, CCSR, New York, NY; GISS, New York, NY; IRI, Palisades, NY; and A. V. Ines and T. FitzSimons

Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Cochairs: Hamid A. Pahlavan, University of Washington; Gang Chen; Aditi Sheshadri, Rice Univ.; Jezabel Curbelo; Marianna Linz, Harvard University; Sandro W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Y. Qiang Sun

893

Teleconnections and Great Lakes Extratropical Cyclones: Is There a Correlation, and Does it Trend with our Changing Climate?

Sydnie Hansen, CIGLR, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. L. Hutson, J. Ward, D. Jones, and A. Fujisaki-Manome

On vortex heat fluxes and entropy production in the jet flow region and the earth surface

894

Quantifying the Role of Rossby Wave Breaking in Mediterranean Precipitation Events between the Early and Late 21st Century within the CESM Large Ensemble 2.

Marina Krajewski, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and G. LaChat, K. A. Bowley, and M. Gervais

895

Climate Model Performance in Simulating Winter Extratropical Cyclones over North America

Shan He, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and J. Lee, X. Yang, C. Zheng, and E. K. M. Chang

896

Role of tropical synoptic-scale disturbances in modulating the strength of east Pacific Hadley cell

Pratiksha Priyam Baruah, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Pune, Pune, MH, India; and J. M. Neena

897

Downstream Effects of Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Transition in a Future Climate

Kathryn Graham Boyle, Univ. of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans and S. Kravtsov

Handout (8.6 MB)

898

Exploring the Origins of Monsoon Onset Variability in the South Asia Monsoon through MSE Dynamics

HSUAN-CHENG LIN, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan, Taiwan; and K. C. Tseng

899

Climate Models Do Not Capture Recent Trends in Double Jets over Eurasia

Malcolm Maas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. M. Kang and T. A. Shaw

900

Features of subseasonal concurrent variations between subtropical and polar front jets and their association with temperature anomalies in China

Yaocun Zhang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China

901

Energetic Constraints on Seasonal Zonal Shifts of Indo-Pacific Intense Precipitation Regions

Sujatra Bhattacharyya, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, KA, India; and A. Chakraborty and O. Adam

902

Dynamics and Impacts of Northeast Pacific Wintertime Atmospheric Blocking

Grant J Gilcrease, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and S. A. Henderson

903

Environmental Controls Influencing the Relationship Between Atmospheric Rivers and Overshooting Convection: Insights from DCOTSS

Ju-Mee Ryoo, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA; NASA Ames Research Center, MOUNTAIN VIEW, CA; and C. Liu, K. Bowman, and R. Ueyama

904

Origins, tracks, and processes resulting in summertime atmospheric ridges in North America

Siiri Bigalke, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and P. C. Loikith, X. Bai, and D. Singh

905

Dynamical Drivers of Changing Rainfall and Flood Risk in the Mississippi River Basin from the Last Millennium to the 21st Century

Kelsey Murphy, Rice University, Houston, TX; and S. Dee, E. Pitchon, E. Wallace, J. Doss-Gollin, and S. Munoz

906

Influence of ENSO on the characteristics of extreme ridges over Pacific-North America

Xiaoyu Bai, Washington State University, Vancouver, Vancouver, WA; and P. C. Loikith, D. A. Kalashnikov, P. Liu, S. Bigalke, and D. Singh

907

Climatic Controls on West Antarctic Ice Sheet Surface Mass Balance

Ella Hunter, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

Assessing the Hypothesis that Nonlinear Schrödinger Equation Explains Atmospheric Blocking

908

Interannual Variability of Spring Rainfall over South China in Association with the North Pacific Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation as Revealed by Reanalysis Data and CMIP6 Simulations

Jiangyu Mao, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and S. Hao

909

Climatology, Trends, and Variability of Cold-Season Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclone Characteristics during 1950-2023 in ERA5

Matthew Solomon Lynne, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and A. Dai

910

What is the Necessary Ensemble Size for a Sub-Seasonal Timescale Simulation of Regional Climate?

Dong Wan Kim, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and Y. O. Kwon, C. Frankignoul, C. Deser, G. Danabasoglu, and A. Czaja

911

Examining the Influence of Stratospheric Polar Vortex Variability on Rossby Wave Breaking Regimes

Cameron Raymond Paquette, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

912

On the Modulation of Mesoscale Convective Systems Associated with the Baroclinic Annular Mode

Zachary Holder, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; Purdue University, Lafayette, IN; and L. Wang, Z. Liu, D. Chavas, Z. Feng, and L. R. Leung

913

Observed Changes of Poleward Energy Transport for Northern Hemisphere Cool-Season Extratropical Cyclones: A Multi-perspective Eulerian Approach

Austin Thomas Reed, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

Thursday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E105

39Hydro Utilizing Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Quantify Drought Risk Index in Thailand’s Agricultural Regions

Woranut Chansury, Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency, Lak si, 10, Thailand; and V. Bonnlerd, P. Nueangjumnong, P. Petchprayoon, Y. Chaweewong, V. KHETTAR, S. Noikeaing, P. Rattanaburi, A. Yutthapan, and S. Rattanasupa

E106

27AtChem TEMPO CLDO4 cloud algorithm and product

Huiqun wang, Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, MA; and G. Gonzalez Abad, C. R. Nowlan, H. Chong, W. Hou, J. Park, X. Liu, K. Chance, J. Houck, D. E. Flittner, A. Vasilkov, E. S. Yang, J. Joiner, R. J. SPURR, W. Qin, Z. Fasnacht, and K. E. E. Knowland

E107

27AtChem Modeling the atmospheric transport and possible radiative impact of alumina aerosols emitted from the projected increase in annual satellite reentry emissions.

Christopher Maloney, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and R. Portmann, M. Ross, and K. H. Rosenlof

E108

38CVC The Influence of the North Atlantic Subtropical High on Atmospheric Rivers over the Eastern United States

Julia E. Finkhauser, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and University, Blacksburg, VA

E109

21OESS Advances in Integrated Calibration Validation System (ICVS) ATMS Instrument Performance and Science Data Quality Monitoring

E110

21OESS NESDIS Common Cloud Framework (NCCF) Products Operation Processes and Procedures

Zhaohui Cheng, NOAA, College Park, MD

E111

21OESS GOES-19 ABI Imagery at UW-Madison

Mathew Gunshor, CIMSS, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and T. J. Schmit and J. P. Nelson III

E112

21OESS Scaling Satellite Ground Systems Leveraging Artificial Intelligence

Carter Long, Cognitive Space, Houston, TX; and J. Edmiston, T. Fleming, and D. Garner

Manuscript (3.6 MB)

E113

21OESS NOAA/NESDIS/GEO Satellite Applications Training and User Engagement

Sherrie Secunda Morris, NOAA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Lindsey, S. Goodman, S. Superczynski, and A. Latto

E114

21OESS Operational Implementation of DoD's WSF-M Satellite at FNMOC

Yiping Wang, FNMOC, MONTEREY, CA

E115

13WRN Cleveland Public Library Microclimate Study Initiative

Suzi M Perez, Cleveland Public Library, Cleveland, OH

E116

13WRN Service Equity Conference at WFO Indianapolis: Taking Results and Applying Towards Improvement to Products and Services

David L. Beachler, NWS, Indianapolis, IN; NWS, Indianapolis, IN; and S. L. Lashley

38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Tuesday, 7 January 2025

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 7 January 2025

Saturday, 11 January 2025

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Saturday, 11 January 2025

Sunday, 12 January 2025

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2025

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2025

5:30 PM-6:15 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2025

Monday, 13 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 13 January 2025

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 13 January 2025

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

Tuesday, 14 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

7:00 PM-11:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2025

Wednesday, 15 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2025

Thursday, 16 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

Tuesday, 7 January 2025

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 7 January 2025

Saturday, 11 January 2025

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Saturday, 11 January 2025

Sunday, 12 January 2025

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2025

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2025

5:30 PM-6:15 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2025

Monday, 13 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 13 January 2025

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 13 January 2025

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2025

Tuesday, 14 January 2025