Explaining Extreme Events from a Climate Perspective

Tuesday, 14 January 2025: 3:00 PM-4:30 PM
Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Understanding anthropogenic effects on extreme weather and climate events is key to informing future infrastructure development, economic growth, ecosystem management, and healthcare needs. We encourage submissions on how human-caused climate change may have affected the predictability, intensity, duration, magnitude, and likelihood of recent extreme events, including, but not limited to heat, drought, extreme rainfall, and flooding. We also encourage abstracts that establish links between extreme events in the context of climate change and resilience efforts for at-risk populations.

Papers:
327
Utility of IMERG Daily Dataset in Assessing Extreme Precipitation Tendencies
Andrey Savtchenko, PhD, NASA/GSFC/ADNET, GES DISC, Greenbelt, MD

Handout (1.9 MB)

328
Enhanced Hydrological Impact of Cross-Equatorial Surges over the Maritime Continent in a Warmer Climate
Sandro W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, PNNL, Richland, WA; and C. C. Chang, S. M. Hagos, K. Balaguru, L. R. Leung, and M. Zhao

329
Simulations of Warm Season Extreme Precipitation Events using MPAS-A Runs in the Southeastern US
Gabrielle Keaton, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and W. A. Robinson, A. C. Michaelis, and G. M. Lackmann

330
Impact of Climate Change on Intense Derecho Events Using the Pseudo-Global Warming Approach
Josh Nathanael Schwarz, Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and C. M. Patricola

332
Understanding the Direct Effect of CO2 on Tropical Precipitation Extremes using Theory and High-Resolution Simulations
Stephanie Marie Ortiz Rosario, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR; and A. I. Williams, T. M. Merlis, and V. T. Narinesingh

333
Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Urbanization on Derechos – Contrasting Results between Two Case Studies
Yuwei Zhang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. Fan, J. Li, Z. Feng, and P. Ullrich

334
Estimating the Future Frequency of Bonnet Carré Spillway Openings
Kayla Thomas, Louisiana State University, Marrero, LA

335
Regional and Seasonal Variations in Synoptic Scale Weather Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation across the Contiguous United States
Amy Johnson, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and P. C. Loikith and D. A. Kalashnikov

Handout (19.1 MB)

336
Contrasting Historical Trend of Atmospheric Rivers in the Northern Hemisphere
Shineng Hu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and M. Pan, B. F. Zaitchik, and W. Pan

337
Investigating the Impact of Western Disturbance Absence on Spring Temperatures in India
Sanketa Kadam, Columbia University / NASA GISS, New York, NY; and A. Ruane and M. Ting

338
Attribution of 2024 Houston Derecho to Anthropogenic Climate Change and Urbanization
Jiwen Fan, ANL, Lemont, IL; and Y. zhang and P. Ullrich

339
Predicting Future Hail Risk under Climate Change: A Covariate-Based Model Leveraging Machine Learning
Subhadarsini Das, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and J. T. Allen

341
An Ensemble Perspective of Changes to Severe Thunderstorms and Hail
John T. Allen, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and D. Gopalakrishnan, R. J. Trapp, and E. Robinson

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner