Session 2 |
| | Mesoscale Predictability I |
| | Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
|
| 2:30 PM | 2.1 | Predictability of Intermittent Mesoscale Phenomena
David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 3:15 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 3:45 PM | 2.2 | Calibration of ensemble spread using forecast spectra 
Joshua P. Hacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Baumhefner |
| 4:00 PM | 2.3 | Growth of small-scale errors within moist baroclinic waves
Chris Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang, R. Rotunno, and Z. M. Tan |
| 4:15 PM | 2.4 | Mesoscale Predictability and Process Issues: Conclusions from Five Years of Real-Time Regional Forecasts
Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA |
| 4:30 PM | 2.5 | Toward short-range ensemble prediction of mesoscale forecast skill
Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass |
|  | 2.6 | Investigation of the ETA Ensemble QPF for elevated convection in the Midwest
Brandon A Storm, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. J. Anderson |
| 4:44 PM | 2.6a | Some simple but effective ensemble generation techniques
Xuguang Wang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Bishop and S. J. Julier |
| 4:59 PM | 2.7 | Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction of Mid-Latitude Cyclones
Bo Cui, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and M. K. Ramamurthy |
| 5:14 PM | 2.8 | The Utility of Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts in the Real-Time Prediction of Severe Convective Weather at the Storm Prediction Center
David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, J. J. Levit, and D. J. Stensrud |