Session 17 Use of Mesoscale Numerical Modeling in Severe Local Storms Forecasting

Friday, 8 October 2004: 10:30 AM-12:30 PM
Host: 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms
Organizer:
Stanley Benjamin, NOAA/FSL, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO

Papers:
10:30 AM
17.1
Examination of several different versions of the WRF model for the prediction of severe convective weather: The SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2004
Steven J. Weiss, SPC, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, J. J. Levit, M. E. Baldwin, and D. R. Bright
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (268.8 kB)

10:45 AM
17.2
The Promise and Challenge of Explicit Convective Forecasting with the WRF Model
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Davis and J. Done
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (932.1 kB)

11:00 AM
17.3
Improved moisture and PBL initialization in the RUC using METAR data
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, D. Dévényi, J. M. Brown, G. A. Manikin, T. L. Smith, and T. G. Smirnova
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (394.3 kB)

11:15 AM
17.4
Changes to the NCEP SREF system and their impact on convective forecasting
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. T. McQueen, J. Du, and B. S. Ferrier
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
17.5
GPS-IPW observations and their assimilation into the 20-km RUC during severe weather season
Tracy Lorraine Smith, NOAA/FSL/CIRA, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, S. I. Gutman, and S. Sahm
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1011.7 kB)

11:45 AM
17.6
Severe weather forecasts from an ensemble of human-perturbed simulations using an adjoint model
Victor Homar, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and J. J. Levit
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (280.6 kB)

12:00 PM
17.7
Predicting propagating convective systems using operational forecast models
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Kain
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (2.7 MB)

12:15 PM
17.8
Convective contamination and the poor forecasts that follow
James Correia Jr., SPC, Norman, OK; and R. W. Arritt, W. Gallus, and I. Jankov
Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (515.9 kB)

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