13th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Session 4: Climate Variability and Forecast Strategies (Parallel with Session 5)

Tuesday, 14 May 2002: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Organizer:  David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
  8:00 AM
Exploration of global teleconnection indices for long-range temperature forecasts
Robb M Randall, Air Force Institute of Technology, WPAFB, OH; and R. P. Lowther

  8:15 AM
A seasonal climate forecast methodology for ITCZ associated rainfall over Eastern Africa
Ronald P. Lowther, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; and J. F. Griffiths

  8:30 AM
Impacts of El Nino/Southern Oscillation(ENSO) On The IRAN South East Summer and Autumnal precipitation Anomalies
Mahamood Khosravi, Isfehan University and Sistan & Bluchestan University, Zahedan, Iran; and H. Ghayoor and M. R. Kaviani

  8:45 AM
Multi-variate specification and prediction of rainfall over Devon and Cornwall, South West England
Ian D. Phillips, Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom; and G. R. McGregor

  9:00 AM
Climate Change Impacts in Europe—The Role of Extreme Temperature Events
Matthew T. J. Livermore, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, Norfolk, United Kingdom; and J. P. Palutikof, C. G. Bentham, and T. J. Osborn

Poster PDF (104.1 kB)
  9:15 AM
Development of a discriminant analysis mixed precipitation (DAMP) forecast model for Mid-Atlantic winter storms
J. Dustin Hux, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and P. C. Knappenberger, P. J. Michaels, P. J. Stenger, H. D. Cobb III, and M. P. Rusnak

Poster PDF (165.2 kB)
  9:30 AM
Experimental Real-time Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasting
Andrew W. Wood, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier

  9:45 AM
Designing an algorithm to predict the intensity of the severe weather season
Hugh J. Freestrom, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright -Patterson AFB, OH; and R. P. Lowther

Poster PDF (176.5 kB)