Planning for a Changing Mountain Hydroclimate: Using Large Ensembles to Assess Future Risks (Invited Presentation)

Large ensembles are useful tools for providing probabilistic estimates of future climate. For climate extremes, they are critical for generating sufficient data to quantify climate risk exposure. For regions of the world where adaptation is closely tied to historical records, large ensembles provide estimates of future shifts in the mean state and variability. Understanding changes in the statistics of climate are critical for effective risk management. This talk will examine how large ensembles can be used in mountainous regions to explore snowpack, the water budget, and hazards such as landslides.