Session 14C Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Numerical Weather Prediction

Thursday, 16 January 2020: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
257AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Chair:
Kandis Boyd, OAR, Office of Weather and Air Quality, Silver Spring, MD

Papers:
3:30 PM
14C.1
Calibrated Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts at IBM/The Weather Company: Business Applications
Todd Crawford, IBM, Andover, MA; and J. Belanger, M. J. Ventrice, and J. K. Williams

3:45 PM
14C.2
A New Technique for Subdaily Week-3 Forecast Updates Using the ECMWF Monthly Model
Michael J. Ventrice, The Weather Company, Andover, MA
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
14C.3
A Priori Identification of Skillful Extratropical Subseasonal Forecasts
John R. Albers, NOAA, Boulder, CO; CIRES–Colorado Univ. Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman
Recorded Presentation

Paper 14C.4 is now Poster 695A.

4:15 PM
14C.4A
Accelerating Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Modeling and Improving Week-3–4 Forecasts with the Unified Forecast System: Plan and Progress
Y. Xue, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. M. Koch, V. Tallapragada, D. DeWitt, T. Hamill, J. Kinter, C. Stan, L. Harris, and J. C. Carman
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
14C.5
Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): Do the Research Center Models Improve the Skill of the Operational Center Models for Multimodel-Mean Forecasting of Weeks 3 and 4?
Emerson Nicole LaJoie, CPC, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
14C.6
Simulating Extreme Precipitation over the Arabian Peninsula Using a Convective-Permitting Subseasonal Reforecast Product
C. Bayu Risanto, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. L. Castro, H. I. Chang, I. Hoteit, and T. M. Luong
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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