Poster Session 1 30 WAF/26 NWP Monday Poster Session

Monday, 13 January 2020: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Papers:
145
Evolution and Development Mechanisms of a Rare, Strong Arc-Shaped Squall Line Occurring in Northern Beijing in 2017
Qi Luo, CMA, Beijing, China; and Y. Zheng and M. Chen
Manuscript (2.2 MB)

Handout (2.2 MB)

146
An Evaluation of Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles and Derived Stability Parameters from Parallel FV3- and Spectral-Model GFS Forecasts
Dillon V. Blount, Univ. of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, I. L. Jirak, and A. R. Dean

147
Exploring a Missed Convection Initiation Forecast by Assimilating GOES-16 Brightness Temperatures and WSR-88D Observations
Paul Mykolajtchuk, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and K. C. Eure, Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and F. Zhang

148
Radar-Based Investigation of Thunderstorm Outflow Speed versus Peak Wind Gusts
Angela J. Mose, NOAA, Kokomo, IN

149
Diagnosing Environmental Properties of the July 2018 Heavy Rainfall Event in Japan
Takashi Unuma, JMA, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Takemi and T. Tabata

Handout (2.4 MB)

150
Simultaneous Assimilation of WSR-88D and GOES-16 Observations to Improve Ensemble Forecasts of Convection Initiation
Keenan C. Eure, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. Mykolajtchuk, Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and F. Zhang

151
Understanding Frequent Lightning Environments over the NWS Albany, New York, County Warning Area
Christina Speciale, National Weather Service, Albany, NY

152
Verification of the Convection-Allowing Ensemble System over the Hindu Kush Himalaya Region during the 2018 and 2019 Premonsoon Severe Thunderstorm Seasons
J. L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL; and P. N. Gatlin, J. Srikishen, and E. W. McCaul Jr.

153
Investigating the Structure of Updraft Helicity in an Idealized Supercell Simulation
Jeffrey M. Milne, CIMMS, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak and H. E. Brooks
Manuscript (948.9 kB)

Handout (546.3 kB)

154
A Meteorological Assessment of the Initial Development of the 19 July 2019 Wisconsin Derecho
William R. Borghoff, NWS, Chanhassen, MN

Handout (7.4 MB)

155
Analyzing Thunderstorms for Improved Lightning Safety
Jeff Lapierre, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and M. Stock

156
Thunder-Day Climatology Using Modern Lightning Location Data
Michael Stock, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and J. Lapierre, M. Hoekzema, C. Merrill, and M. Mehallow

157
Exploring the Use of a Storm-Relative Time Height to Analyze Changes in the Preconvective Environment
Adam T. Hirsch, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market

158
The Catastrophic Case of Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flooding of 14–15 October 2018 in Southwestern France: A Multiscale Observational and Modeling Analysis
Olivier Caumont, CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and F. Bouttier, C. Lebeaupin Brossier, A. Lovat, M. Mandement, O. Nuissier, O. Laurantin, and J. Eeckman

159
Analysis and Prediction of High-Impact Weather over Lake Victoria in East Africa
Rita D. Roberts, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Wilson, A. Hartley, and C. L. Bain

160
Comparative Analyses of Nontornadic versus Tornadic Quasi-Linear Convective Systems in Central Oklahoma 24–25 May 2019
Barry R. Bowers, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Norman, OK; and V. N. Mahale, T. T. Lindley, and R. Smith

161
Assimilation of Local Ground Stations and Radar Data to Improve the Prediction of the 9–10 September 2017 Thunderstorm in Livorno, Italy
Diego Cerrai, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and V. Capecchi, S. Melani, L. Rovai, A. Antonini, and A. Ricchi

162
An Updated Severe Hail and Tornado Climatology for Eastern Colorado
Samuel J. Childs, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

163
Use of WRF-HAILCAST to Produce a Dynamically Downscaled Hail Climatology
Chase Calkins, AER, Lincoln, NE; and R. Adams-Selin

164
Hailstorms in Association with Cold-Core Lows in Brazil
Ernani L. Nascimento, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, Brazil

165
Comparison of One-Dimensional Pseudo-Lagrangian and Three-Dimensional Fully Lagrangian Trajectories when Forecasting Hail Size
Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER, Omaha, NE

Handout (1.1 MB)

166
Updating HAILCAST Hail Size Predictions in NSHARP
Nathan Aaron Dahl, CIMMS, Norman, OK; SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Adams-Selin, R. E. D. Jewell, and I. L. Jirak
Manuscript (8.1 MB)

Handout (4.2 MB)

167
Simulating Self-Assembly of Tornado Storm Chasers Using Agent-Based Modeling
Paul Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin−Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and A. J. Moxon, A. Seimon, and J. Allen

Handout (443.3 kB)

168
Examination of the Predictability of Nocturnal Tornado Events in the Southeastern United States
Ariel E. Cohen, NWS, Miami, FL; and R. C. Bunker, J. A. Hart, A. E. Gerard, K. E. Klockow-McClain, and D. P. Nowicki

169
Observed Relationship between Tornado Intensity and Pretornadic Mesocyclone Characteristics
Michael Frank Sessa, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp and J. Einbinder

170
Analyses of Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornado Characteristics, Environments, and Genesis Mechanisms
Devin Chehak, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp

171
On Improving Tornado Detection in the Northeastern United States via an Objective Radar and Near-Storm Environment Algorithm
Jonathan O'Brien, NWS Mount Holly, New Jersey, Westampton, NJ; and R. Jain, C. Shafer, L. R. Robertson, P. fitzsimmons, V. Meola, and A. staarmann

Poster 172 is now Paper 2A.2A.

173
Short-Term Prediction of QLCS Mesovortices in the Southeast United States on 30 April 2017
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., CIMMS, Norman, OK; and M. B. Chasteen and M. J. Krocak

174
Environmental Nuances and Convective Morphology during the 30 April 2017 Tornado Outbreak in the Southeastern United States
Manda B. Chasteen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., M. J. Krocak, and Z. A. Brooke Zibton

175
The Use of Updraft Helicity as a Severe Weather Surrogate for Convective Systems
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Sobash, C. S. Schwartz, and K. Manning Sr.

176
Development of Unified Post Processing System (UPP) for FV3-Based Global, Regional, Hurricane, and Ensemble Systems
Wen Meng, NOAA, College Park, MD; and H. Y. Chuang and J. J. Levit

177
Experimenting Model Blend at the Finnish Meteorological Institute
Leila Hieta, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and M. Partio, M. Vanhatalo, J. S. Ylhaisi, and M. Laine

178
Recent Upgrades of the Operational HRRR and GFS: Are Cool-Season Precipitation Forecasts Improving over the Mountain West?
W. James Steenburgh, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Caron

179
Evaluating the Rapid Refresh Numerical Weather Prediction Model in the Arctic
Matthew Bray, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and D. D. Turner and G. de Boer

180
A Surface Temperature and Moisture Intercomparison Study of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model, In Situ Measurements, and Satellite Observations over the Atacama Desert
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Luleå Univ. of Technology, Luleå, Sweden; and M. P. Zorzano-Mier, A. Azua-Bustos, C. González-Silva, and F. J. Martin-Torres

Handout (2.5 MB)

181
Wind Forecasts for Rocket and Balloon Launches at the Esrange Space Center Using the WRF Model
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Luleå Univ. of Technology, Luleå, Sweden; and F. J. Martin-Torres and K. Andersson

Handout (2.0 MB)

182
Verification of WRF Model Forecasts of Windstorms in Southwestern British Columbia
Bryan Jansens, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; and J. Jeworrek, G. West, and R. Stull

183
Evaluation of the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model Using Near-Surface Meteorological and Flux Observations
Temple R. Lee, NOAA/ARL/ATDD and CIMMS, Oak Ridge, TN; and M. S. Buban, D. D. Turner, T. P. Meyers, and C. B. Baker

Handout (3.5 MB)

184
The WMO Standard Verification of the Surface Fields for the Deterministic Numerical Weather Prediction in the Japan Meteorological Agency

184
Evaluation of the HRRR Model and COAMPS during Atmospheric River Events in California
Kevin J. Dougherty, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Nachamkin and J. Horel

185
The Use of METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capabilities for Evaluating Sea-Ice Predictions
Lindsay R. Blank, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and R. Grumbine, T. Jensen, and J. J. Levit

187
Systematic Comparison of Convection-Allowing Models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Corey Potvin, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. R. Carley, A. J. Clark, L. J. Wicker, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, B. T. Gallo, J. S. Kain, G. S. Romine, E. Aligo, K. A. Brewster, D. C. Dowell, L. M. Harris, I. L. Jirak, F. Kong, T. A. Supinie, K. W. Thomas, X. Wang, Y. Wang, and M. Xue

186
Machine Learning Enhancement of Spatial Lake-Effect Precipitation Forecasts

188
Correction of Temperature Forecast Using Spectral Analysis Method on Mountain Area
Min-Jong Song, KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. Y. Park, S. H. KIM, and Y. H. Lee

189
Forecast Skill of Varying WRF Resolutions and Physics Parameterization Combinations over the Finger Lakes and Long Island with Statistical Postprocessing
Marc J. Alessi, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano

190
Analyzing Weather-Regime-Dependence of GFS Extended Precipitation Forecast Skill Based on the Convective Adjustment Time Scale
Malcolm T. Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and M. Wong and C. Schwartz

191
Implementation of CAM-HAILCAST in the Stand-Alone Regional FV3
John M. Henderson, AER, Lexington, MA; and C. Calkins, T. Supinie, L. M. Harris, Y. Wang, and R. Adams-Selin

192
New Visualization Techniques, Verification Tools, and Results from the NWS Probabilistic Snowfall Experiment
Jeff S. Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and D. B. Radell

193
Verification and Visualization of Ensemble Snowband Forecasts
Jacob T. Radford, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

195
A Large Eddy Simulation Study on Atmospheric Flows over Multiscale Terrain
Song-Lak Kang, Gangneung-Wonju National Univ., Gangneung, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Ryu

196
Orographic and Land Surface Impacts on Numerical Weather Forecasts When Simulating a Sudden Downwelling Event in a Medium-Sized Lake
Campbell D. Watson, Thomas J. Watson Research Center, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY; and G. Auger, H. Kolar, and L. A. Treinish

194
Rainband Array Formed on the Southern Part of Shikoku Island, Japan

197
Characterization and Probabilistic Discrimination between Hailstorm and Rainfall Events over Complex Terrain in a Tropical Environment Using Remote Sensors and In Situ Data
Juan Manuel Valencia, Sistema de Alerta Temprana del Valle de Aburrá (SIATA), Medellín, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos Ortíz

198
Anabatic Winds over a Steep Alpine Slope: Observations of the Turbulence Structure
Holly J. Oldroyd, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and E. R. Pardyjak and M. B. Parlange

199
Persistent Cold-Air Pools in Mountainous Areas: Distribution and Simulation
Xia Sun, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and S. Colgan, C. E. Ivey, and H. A. Holmes

200
Downscaling Precipitation Forecast with Super-High Resolution
Xufeng Guo, Shanghai Em-Data Technology Co., Ltd., Shanghai, China; and Z. Liu, H. Zuo, Y. Xiao, Z. Yan, and C. Lu

201
Development of the High-Resolution Japan Regional Reanalysis
Toshiki Iwasaki, Tohoku Univ., Sendai, Japan; and S. Fukui, K. Saito, and H. Seko

202
Projection and Possible Causes of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China Using Self-Organizing Maps
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and M. Li

203
The Implementation of a High-Resolution Mesoscale Model Test Bed for the New York City Metropolitan Area
Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish, C. D. Watson, and M. Tewari

204
Single-Suite Stochasticity for Thunderstorms: Can It Beat a Mixed-Physics Suite?
John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, N. Yussouf, and J. S. Kain

205
The Effect of the North American Monsoon Anticyclone on Cross-Tropopause Convective Outflow
Corey E. Clapp, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. B. Smith, K. Bedka, and J. G. Anderson

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- Indicates an Award Winner
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