Session: 30WAF/26NWP Monday Poster Session (100th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Verification of Convection-Allowing Initial Condition Ensemble Modeling Systems with WRF-ARW

Russell P. Manser, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

Evolution and Development Mechanisms of a Rare Strong Arc-Shaped Squall Line Occurring in Northern Beijing in 2017

Qi Luo, CMA, Beijing, China; and Y. Zheng and M. Chen

An Evaluation of Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles and Derived Stability Parameters from Parallel FV3- and Spectral-Model GFS Forecasts

Dillon V. Blount, UW-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, I. L. Jirak, and A. R. Dean

Exploring a Missed Convection Initiation Forecast by Assimilating GOES-16 Brightness Temperatures and WSR-88D Observations

Paul Mykolajtchuk, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and K. C. Eure, Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and F. Zhang

Radar-based Investigation of Thunderstorm Outflow Speed vs. Peak Wind Gusts

Angela J Mose, NOAA, Kokomo, IN

Diagnosing Environmental Properties of the July 2018 Heavy Rainfall Event in Japan

Takashi Unuma, JMA, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Takemi

Simultaneous Assimilation of WSR-88D and GOES-16 Observations to Improve Ensemble Forecasts of Convection Initiation

Keenan C. Eure, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. Mykolajtchuk, Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and F. Zhang

Understanding Frequent Lightning Environments Over the NWS Albany, NY County Warning Area

Christina Speciale, National Weather Service, Albany, NY

Verification of Convection-Allowing Ensemble System over the Hindu Kush Himalaya Region during the 2018 and 2019 Pre-Monsoon Severe Thunderstorm Seasons

J. L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL; and P. N. Gatlin, J. Srikishen, and E. W. McCaul Jr.

Investigating the Structure of Updraft Helicity in an Idealized Supercell Simulation

Jeffrey M. Milne, CIMMS, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak and H. E. Brooks

A Meteorological Assessement of the Initial Development of the 19 July 2019 Wisconsin Derecho

William R. Borghoff, NWS, Chanhassen, MN

Analyzing Thunderstorms for Improved Lightning Safety

Jeff Lapierre, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and M. Stock

Thunder-day Climatology Using Modern Lightning Location Data

Michael Stock, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and J. Lapierre, M. Hoekzema, C. Merrill, and M. Mehallow

Exploring the Use of a Storm-Relative Time Height to Analyze Changes in the Pre-Convective Environment

Adam T. Hirsch, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market

The Catastrophic Case of Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flooding of 14–15 October 2018 in South-Western France: a Multi-Scale Observational and Modeling Analysis

Olivier Caumont, CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and F. Bouttier, C. Lebeaupin Brossier, A. Lovat, M. Mandement, O. Nuissier, O. Laurantin, and J. Eeckman

Analysis and Prediction of High Impact Weather over Lake Victoria in East Africa

Rita D. Roberts, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Wilson, A. Hartley, and C. L. Bain

Comparative Analyses of Non-Tornadic versus Tornadic Quasi-Linear Convective Systems in Central Oklahoma 24-25 May 2019

Barry R. Bowers, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Norman, OK; and V. N. Mahale, T. T. Lindley, and R. Smith

Assimilation of Local Ground Stations and Radar Data to Improve the Prediction of the 9-10 September 2017 Thunderstorm in Livorno (Italy)

Diego Cerrai, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and V. Capecchi, S. Melani, L. Rovai, A. Antonini, and A. Ricchi

An Updated Severe Hail and Tornado Climatology for Eastern Colorado

Samuel J. Childs, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Use of WRF-HAILCAST to Produce a Dynamically Downscaled Hail Climatology

Chase Calkins, AER, Lincoln, NE; and R. Adams-Selin

Hailstorms in Association with Cold Core Lows in Brazil.

Ernani L. Nascimento, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, Brazil

Comparison of One-Dimensional Pseudo-Lagrangian and Three-Dimensional Fully Lagrangian Trajectories when Forecasting Hail Size

Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER, Omaha, NE

Updating HAILCAST Hail Size Predictions in NSHARP

Nathan Aaron Dahl, CIMMS, Norman, OK; SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Adams-Selin, R. E. D. Jewell, and I. L. Jirak

Simulating Self-assembly of Tornado Storm Chasers Using Agent-based Modeling

Paul Roebber, University of Wisconsin−Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and A. J. Moxon, A. Seimon, and J. Allen

Examination of the Predictability of Nocturnal Tornado Events in the Southeastern United States

Ryan C. Bunker, NWS, Topeka, KS; and A. E. Cohen, J. A. Hart, A. E. Gerard, K. E. Klockow-McClain, and D. P. Nowicki

Observed Relationship Between Tornado Intensity and Pre-tornadic Mesocyclone Characteristics

Michael Frank Sessa, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp and J. Einbinder

Analyses of Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornado Characteristics, Environments, and Genesis Mechanisms

Devin Chehak, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp

On Improving Tornado Detection in the Northeastern U.S. Via an Objective Radar and Near-Stormenvironment Algorithm

Jonathan O'Brien, NWS Mount Holly, New Jersey, Westampton, NJ; and R. Jain, C. Shafer, L. R. Robertson, P. fitzsimmons, V. Meola, and A. staarmann

The Unusual Tornadoes in Chile in May 2019: Forecasting Challenges from the Synoptic, Mesoscale, and Subseasonal Scales

Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and J. C. Marin and M. Jacques-Coper

Short-Term Prediction of QLCS Mesovortices in the Southeast U.S. on 30 April 2017

Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., CIMMS, Norman, OK; and M. B. Chasteen and M. J. Krocak

Environmental Nuances and Convective Morphology During the 30 April 2017 Tornado Outbreak in the Southeastern United States

Manda B. Chasteen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., M. J. Krocak, and Z. A. Brooke Zibton

The Use of Updraft Helicity As a Severe Weather Surrogate for Convective Systems

Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Sobash, C. S. Schwartz, and K. Manning Sr.

Development of Unified Post Processing System (UPP) for FV3 Based Global, Regional, Hurricane, and Ensemble Systems

Wen Meng, NOAA, College Park, MD; and H. Y. Chuang and J. J. Levit

Experimenting Model Blend at Finnish Meteorological Institute

Leila Hieta, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and M. Partio, M. Vanhatalo, J. S. Ylhaisi, and M. Laine

Recent Upgrades of the Operational HRRR and GFS: Are Cool-Season Precipitation Forecasts Improving over the Mountain West?

W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Caron

Evaluating the Rapid Refresh Numerical Weather Prediction Model in the Arctic

Matthew Bray, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and D. D. Turner and G. de Boer

A Surface Temperature and Moisture Inter-comparison Study of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model, In-situ Measurements, and Satellite Observations over the Atacama Desert

Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden; and M. P. Zorzano-Mier, A. Azua-Bustos, C. González-Silva, and F. J. Martin-Torres

Wind Forecasts for Rocket and Balloon Launches at the Esrange Space Center using the WRF Model

Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden; and F. J. Martin-Torres and K. Andersson

Verification of WRF Model Forecasts of Windstorms in Southwestern British Columbia

Bryan Jansens, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and J. Jeworrek, G. West, and R. Stull

The WMO Standard Verification of the Surface Fields for the Deterministic Numerical Weather Prediction in the Japan Meteorological Agency

Yuiko Ichikawa, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Sakamoto, K. Yamada, and H. Sato

Evaluation of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model Using Near-Surface Meteorological and Flux Observations

Temple R. Lee, NOAA/ARL/ATDD and CIMMS, Oak Ridge, TN; and M. S. Buban, D. D. Turner, T. P. Meyers, and C. B. Baker

Evaluation of the HRRR Model and COAMPS during Atmospheric River Events in California

Kevin J. Dougherty, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Nachamkin and J. Horel

The Use of METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capabilities for Evaluating Sea-Ice Predictions

Lindsay R. Blank, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and R. Grumbine, T. Jensen, and J. J. Levit

Machine Learning Enhancement of Spatial Lake-Effect Precipitation Forecasts

Thomas M. Gowan, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh and D. J. Gagne II

Systematic Comparison of Convection-Allowing Models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment

Corey Potvin, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. R. Carley, A. J. Clark, L. J. Wicker, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, B. T. Gallo, J. S. Kain, G. S. Romine, E. Aligo, K. A. Brewster, D. C. Dowell, L. M. Harris, I. L. Jirak, F. Kong, T. A. Supinie, K. W. Thomas, X. Wang, Y. Wang, and M. Xue

Correction of Temperature Forecast Using Spectral Analysis Method on Mountain Area

Min-Jong Song, KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. Y. Park, S. H. KIM, and Y. H. Lee

Forecast Skill of Varying WRF Resolutions and Physics Parameterization Combinations over the Finger Lakes and Long Island with Statistical Post-Processing

Marc J Alessi, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano

Analyzing Weather-regime-dependence of GFS Extended Precipitation Forecast Skill Based on the Convective Adjustment Timescale

Malcolm T. Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Wong and C. Schwartz

Implementation of CAM-HAILCAST in the Stand-Alone Regional FV3

John M. Henderson, AER, Lexington, MA; and C. Calkins, T. Supinie, L. M. Harris, Y. Wang, and R. Adams-Selin

New Visualization Techniques, Verification Tools and Results from the NWS Probabilistic Snowfall Experiment

Jeff S. Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and D. B. Radell

Verification and Visualization of Ensemble Snowband Forecasts

Jacob T. Radford, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Rain-Band Array Formed on the Southern Part of Shikoku Island, Japan

Akira Nishii, Kochi University, Kochi, Japan; and K. Sassa

A Large Eddy Simulation Study on Atmospheric Flows over Multi-scale Terrain

Song-Lak Kang, Gangneung-Wonju National Univ., Gangneung, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Ryu

Orographic and Land Surface Impacts on Numerical Weather Forecasts When Simulating a Sudden Downwelling Event in a Medium Sized Lake

Campbell D. Watson, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and G. Auger, H. Kolar, and L. A. Treinish

Characterization and Probabilistic Discrimination Between Hailstorm and Rainfall Events Over a Complex Terrain in a Tropical Environment Using Remote Sensors and in Situ Data.

Juan Manuel Valencia, Sistema de Alerta Temprana del Valle de Aburrá (SIATA), Medellín, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos Ortíz

Anabatic Winds over a Steep Alpine Slope: Observations of the Turbulence Structure

Holly J. Oldroyd, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and E. R. Pardyjak and M. B. Parlange

Persistent Cold Air Pools in Mountainous Areas: Distribution and Simulation

Xia Sun, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and S. Colgan, C. E. Ivey, and H. A. Holmes

Downscaling Precipitation Forecast with Super-High Resolution

Xufeng Guo, Shanghai Em-Data Technology Co., Ltd, Shanghai, China; and Z. Liu, H. Zuo, Y. Xiao, Z. Yan, and C. Lu

Development of High-Resolution Japan Regional Reanalysis

Toshiki Iwasaki, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan; and S. Fukui, K. Saito, and H. Seko

Projection and Possible causes of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China Using Self-Organizing Map

Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and M. Li

The Implementation of a High-Resolution Mesoscale Model Test Bed for the New York City Metropolitan Area

Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish, C. D. Watson, and M. Tewari

Single-Suite Stochasticity for Thunderstorms: Can It Beat a Mixed-Physics Suite?

John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, N. Yussouf, and J. S. Kain

The Effect of the North American Monsoon Anticyclone on Cross-tropopause Convective Outflow

Corey E. Clapp, Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Cambridge, MA; and J. B. Smith, K. Bedka, and J. G. Anderson

Poster Session 30WAF/26NWP Monday Poster Session