Poster Session 30WAF/26NWP Monday Poster Session

Monday, 13 January 2020: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Hall B1 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Verification of Convection-Allowing Initial Condition Ensemble Modeling Systems with WRF-ARW
Russell P. Manser, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

An Evaluation of Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles and Derived Stability Parameters from Parallel FV3- and Spectral-Model GFS Forecasts
Dillon V. Blount, UW-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, I. L. Jirak, and A. R. Dean

Exploring a Missed Convection Initiation Forecast by Assimilating GOES-16 Brightness Temperatures and WSR-88D Observations
Paul Mykolajtchuk, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and K. C. Eure, Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and F. Zhang

Simultaneous Assimilation of WSR-88D and GOES-16 Observations to Improve Ensemble Forecasts of Convection Initiation
Keenan C. Eure, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. Mykolajtchuk, Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and F. Zhang

Investigating the Structure of Updraft Helicity in an Idealized Supercell Simulation
Jeffrey M. Milne, CIMMS, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak and H. E. Brooks

Analyzing Thunderstorms for Improved Lightning Safety
Jeff Lapierre, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and M. Stock

Thunder-day Climatology Using Modern Lightning Location Data
Michael Stock, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and J. Lapierre, M. Hoekzema, C. Merrill, and M. Mehallow

Exploring the Use of a Storm-Relative Time Height to Analyze Changes in the Pre-Convective Environment
Adam T. Hirsch, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market

The Catastrophic Case of Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flooding of 14–15 October 2018 in South-Western France: a Multi-Scale Observational and Modeling Analysis
Olivier Caumont, CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and F. Bouttier, C. Lebeaupin Brossier, A. Lovat, M. Mandement, O. Nuissier, O. Laurantin, and J. Eeckman

Analysis and Prediction of High Impact Weather over Lake Victoria in East Africa
Rita D. Roberts, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Wilson, A. Hartley, and C. L. Bain

Comparative Analyses of Non-Tornadic versus Tornadic Quasi-Linear Convective Systems in Central Oklahoma 24-25 May 2019
Barry R. Bowers, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Norman, OK; and V. N. Mahale, T. T. Lindley, and R. Smith

Assimilation of Local Ground Stations and Radar Data to Improve the Prediction of the 9-10 September 2017 Thunderstorm in Livorno (Italy)
Diego Cerrai, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and V. Capecchi, S. Melani, L. Rovai, A. Antonini, and A. Ricchi

An Updated Severe Hail and Tornado Climatology for Eastern Colorado
Samuel J. Childs, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Use of WRF-HAILCAST to Produce a Dynamically Downscaled Hail Climatology
Chase Calkins, AER, Lincoln, NE; and R. Adams-Selin

Hailstorms in Association with Cold Core Lows in Brazil.
Ernani L. Nascimento, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, Brazil

Updating HAILCAST Hail Size Predictions in NSHARP
Nathan Aaron Dahl, CIMMS, Norman, OK; SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Adams-Selin, R. E. D. Jewell, and I. L. Jirak

Simulating Self-assembly of Tornado Storm Chasers Using Agent-based Modeling
Paul Roebber, University of Wisconsin−Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and A. J. Moxon, A. Seimon, and J. Allen

Examination of the Predictability of Nocturnal Tornado Events in the Southeastern United States
Ryan C. Bunker, NWS, Topeka, KS; and A. E. Cohen, J. A. Hart, A. E. Gerard, K. E. Klockow-McClain, and D. P. Nowicki

Observed Relationship Between Tornado Intensity and Pre-tornadic Mesocyclone Characteristics
Michael Frank Sessa, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp and J. Einbinder

On Improving Tornado Detection in the Northeastern U.S. Via an Objective Radar and Near-Stormenvironment Algorithm
Jonathan O'Brien, NWS Mount Holly, New Jersey, Westampton, NJ; and R. Jain, C. Shafer, L. R. Robertson, P. fitzsimmons, V. Meola, and A. staarmann

The Unusual Tornadoes in Chile in May 2019: Forecasting Challenges from the Synoptic, Mesoscale, and Subseasonal Scales
Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and J. C. Marin and M. Jacques-Coper

Short-Term Prediction of QLCS Mesovortices in the Southeast U.S. on 30 April 2017
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., CIMMS, Norman, OK; and M. B. Chasteen and M. J. Krocak

Environmental Nuances and Convective Morphology During the 30 April 2017 Tornado Outbreak in the Southeastern United States
Manda B. Chasteen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., M. J. Krocak, and Z. A. Brooke Zibton

The Use of Updraft Helicity As a Severe Weather Surrogate for Convective Systems
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Sobash, C. S. Schwartz, and K. Manning Sr.

Experimenting Model Blend at Finnish Meteorological Institute
Leila Hieta, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and M. Partio, M. Vanhatalo, J. S. Ylhaisi, and M. Laine

Evaluating the Rapid Refresh Numerical Weather Prediction Model in the Arctic
Matthew Bray, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and D. D. Turner and G. de Boer

A Surface Temperature and Moisture Inter-comparison Study of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model, In-situ Measurements, and Satellite Observations over the Atacama Desert
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden; and M. P. Zorzano-Mier, A. Azua-Bustos, C. González-Silva, and F. J. Martin-Torres

Wind Forecasts for Rocket and Balloon Launches at the Esrange Space Center using the WRF Model
Ricardo Morais Fonseca, Khalifa Univ. of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden; and F. J. Martin-Torres and K. Andersson

Verification of WRF Model Forecasts of Windstorms in Southwestern British Columbia
Bryan Jansens, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and J. Jeworrek, G. West, and R. Stull

The WMO Standard Verification of the Surface Fields for the Deterministic Numerical Weather Prediction in the Japan Meteorological Agency
Yuiko Ichikawa, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Sakamoto, K. Yamada, and H. Sato

Evaluation of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model Using Near-Surface Meteorological and Flux Observations
Temple R. Lee, NOAA/ARL/ATDD and CIMMS, Oak Ridge, TN; and M. S. Buban, D. D. Turner, T. P. Meyers, and C. B. Baker

Evaluation of the HRRR Model and COAMPS during Atmospheric River Events in California
Kevin J. Dougherty, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Nachamkin and J. Horel

The Use of METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capabilities for Evaluating Sea-Ice Predictions
Lindsay R. Blank, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and R. Grumbine, T. Jensen, and J. J. Levit

Machine Learning Enhancement of Spatial Lake-Effect Precipitation Forecasts
Thomas M. Gowan, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh and D. J. Gagne II

Systematic Comparison of Convection-Allowing Models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Corey Potvin, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. R. Carley, A. J. Clark, L. J. Wicker, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, B. T. Gallo, J. S. Kain, G. S. Romine, E. Aligo, K. A. Brewster, D. C. Dowell, L. M. Harris, I. L. Jirak, F. Kong, T. A. Supinie, K. W. Thomas, X. Wang, Y. Wang, and M. Xue

Correction of Temperature Forecast Using Spectral Analysis Method on Mountain Area
Min-Jong Song, KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. Y. Park, S. H. KIM, and Y. H. Lee

Analyzing Weather-regime-dependence of GFS Extended Precipitation Forecast Skill Based on the Convective Adjustment Timescale
Malcolm T. Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Wong and C. Schwartz

Implementation of CAM-HAILCAST in the Stand-Alone Regional FV3
John M. Henderson, AER, Lexington, MA; and C. Calkins, T. Supinie, L. M. Harris, Y. Wang, and R. Adams-Selin

Verification and Visualization of Ensemble Snowband Forecasts
Jacob T. Radford, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Rain-Band Array Formed on the Southern Part of Shikoku Island, Japan
Akira Nishii, Kochi University, Kochi, Japan; and K. Sassa

A Large Eddy Simulation Study on Atmospheric Flows over Multi-scale Terrain
Song-Lak Kang, Gangneung-Wonju National Univ., Gangneung, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Ryu

Orographic and Land Surface Impacts on Numerical Weather Forecasts When Simulating a Sudden Downwelling Event in a Medium Sized Lake
Campbell D. Watson, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and G. Auger, H. Kolar, and L. A. Treinish

Characterization and Probabilistic Discrimination Between Hailstorm and Rainfall Events Over a Complex Terrain in a Tropical Environment Using Remote Sensors and in Situ Data.
Juan Manuel Valencia, Sistema de Alerta Temprana del Valle de Aburrá (SIATA), Medellín, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos Ortíz

Anabatic Winds over a Steep Alpine Slope: Observations of the Turbulence Structure
Holly J. Oldroyd, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and E. R. Pardyjak and M. B. Parlange

Persistent Cold Air Pools in Mountainous Areas: Distribution and Simulation
Xia Sun, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and S. Colgan, C. E. Ivey, and H. A. Holmes

Downscaling Precipitation Forecast with Super-High Resolution
Xufeng Guo, Shanghai Em-Data Technology Co., Ltd, Shanghai, China; and Z. Liu, H. Zuo, Y. Xiao, Z. Yan, and C. Lu

Development of High-Resolution Japan Regional Reanalysis
Toshiki Iwasaki, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan; and S. Fukui, K. Saito, and H. Seko

Projection and Possible causes of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China Using Self-Organizing Map
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and M. Li

The Implementation of a High-Resolution Mesoscale Model Test Bed for the New York City Metropolitan Area
Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish, C. D. Watson, and M. Tewari

Single-Suite Stochasticity for Thunderstorms: Can It Beat a Mixed-Physics Suite?
John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, N. Yussouf, and J. S. Kain

The Effect of the North American Monsoon Anticyclone on Cross-tropopause Convective Outflow
Corey E. Clapp, Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Cambridge, MA; and J. B. Smith, K. Bedka, and J. G. Anderson

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner