Session 19B |
| | Ensemble Forecasting Part III |
| | CoChair: Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWSFO, Valley, NE
Chair: Edward Bensman, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN
|
| 10:30 AM | 19B.1 | Application of object-oriented verification techniques to ensemble precipitation forecasts  
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA |
| 10:45 AM | 19B.2 | Probabilistic thunderstorm guidance from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts
Curtis R. Alexander, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, and H. Yuan |
| 11:00 AM | 19B.3 | Linear and nonlinear response to parameter variations in a mesoscale model
Joshua Hacker, NRL, CA; and C. Snyder |
| 11:15 AM | 19B.4 | A comparison of precipitation forecast skill between small convection-allowing and large convection-parameterizing ensembles
Adam J. Clark, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, M. Xue, and F. Kong |
| 11:30 AM | 19B.5 | An analysis of short range ensemble for cold season cyclones. Part I: An analysis of quantitative precipitation mean and probability forecasts
Kyle D. Weisser, NOAA/NWSFO, Sioux Falls, SD; and P. N. Schumacher and T. R. Hultquist |
| 11:45 AM | 19B.6 | An analysis of short range ensemble forecasts for cold season extratropical cyclones. Part II: upper Midwest cases from the winter of 2008-09
Thomas R. Hultquist, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and P. N. Schumacher and K. D. Weisser |