23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Session 19B

 Ensemble Forecasting Part III
 CoChair: Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWSFO, Valley, NE
Chair: Edward Bensman, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN
10:30 AM19B.1Application of object-oriented verification techniques to ensemble precipitation forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA
10:45 AM19B.2Probabilistic thunderstorm guidance from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts   wrf recording
Curtis R. Alexander, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, and H. Yuan
11:00 AM19B.3Linear and nonlinear response to parameter variations in a mesoscale model   wrf recording
Joshua Hacker, NRL, CA; and C. Snyder
11:15 AM19B.4A comparison of precipitation forecast skill between small convection-allowing and large convection-parameterizing ensembles  extended abstract wrf recording
Adam J. Clark, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, M. Xue, and F. Kong
11:30 AM19B.5An analysis of short range ensemble for cold season cyclones. Part I: An analysis of quantitative precipitation mean and probability forecasts   wrf recording
Kyle D. Weisser, NOAA/NWSFO, Sioux Falls, SD; and P. N. Schumacher and T. R. Hultquist
11:45 AM19B.6An analysis of short range ensemble forecasts for cold season extratropical cyclones. Part II: upper Midwest cases from the winter of 2008-09   wrf recording
Thomas R. Hultquist, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and P. N. Schumacher and K. D. Weisser

Friday, 5 June 2009: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Grand Ballroom West

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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