Session 4D |
| | Tropical Cyclone Prediction II (Parallel with Sessions 4A, 4B, & 4C) |
| | Organizer: Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
|
| 8:30 AM | 4D.1 | Track Forecasting of 2001 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Using a Kilo-Member Ensemble 
Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| 8:45 AM | 4D.2 | Hurricane track and intensity prediction using a statistical ensemble of numerical models
Harry C. Weber, University of Munich, Munich, Germany |
| 9:00 AM | 4D.3 | Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones
K. Puri, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Barkmeijer, N. E. Davidson, and H. C. Weber |
| 9:15 AM | 4D.4 | Ensemble methods applied to hurricane track and intensity forecasting
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett and H. Liu |
| 9:30 AM | 4D.5 | ASSIMILATION OF GPS DROPWINDSONDE DATA USING A VICBAR ENSEMBLE
Brian J. Etherton, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson |
| 9:45 AM | 4D.6 | Tropical cyclone track predictability limits
Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL |
| 10:00 AM | 4D.7 | Assessment of the Potential for Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the navy Global Models
Ted Dorics, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. L. Elsberry |
| 10:15 AM | 4D.8 | Prospects for operational tropical cyclogenesis forecasting
Christopher C. Hennon, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH |