For operational hurricane forecasting, NOAA/NCEP is considering the replacement of the GFDL Hurricane Prediction System with WRF sometime in the next 5-10 years. We will present simulations of tropical cyclones in the WRF and GFDL models, for both a real data case and an idealized case. In these calculations, WRF will be compared with GFDL for identical initial and boundary conditions. The sensitivity of the WRF results to various physical parameterizations will also be presented. To aid in these comparisons, the WRF Standard Initialization has been augmented to allow initialization directly from GFDL model output. In the case of Hurricane Humberto (2001), WRF makes similar track and intensity predictions as the GFDL and global models. The idealized case is the simulation of a developing tropical cyclone on a constant-SST ocean with a homogenous environment.
Supplementary URL: