25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Sunday, 28 April 2002

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Sunday, 28 April 2002


SUN 28 APRIL

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 28 April 2002


Conference Registration

Monday, 29 April 2002

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 29 April 2002


MON 29 APRIL

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Conference Registration continues through Friday, 3 May

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Introduction. Harry H. Hendon, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

9:10 AM-9:10 AM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Presentation of Banner I. Miller Award. Christopher Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

9:15 AM-9:15 AM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Opening Remarks. Max Mayfield, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL

9:30 AM-10:50 AM: Monday, 29 April 2002


1
Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability I
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Max Mayfield, NOAA/NHC

Papers:
  9:30 AM
1.1
Precursor Global Climate Influences on the Probability of US Landfalling Hurricanes
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)
  10:10 AM
1.3
Prediction of floods in the Bangladeshi monsoon delta
Peter J. Webster, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Grossman, T. Hopson, T. N. Palmer, and D. L. T. Anderson

  10:30 AM
1.4
Tropical cyclones and climate
Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Poster PDF (60.2 kB)

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Poster Session 1
Tropical Cyclones, Large-scale Dynamics and Convection
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Papers:
 
P1.1
Regional damage assessment of U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones with a focus on North Carolina

 
Surface observations of landfalling hurricanes along the United States Gulf and Atlantic coastline (Formerly Paper 8A.1)
Gary D. Skwira, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson, D. A. Smith, C. -. B. Chang, and A. L. Doggett

 
Anomalous Intensification of the Remnants Tropical Storm Allison over land
Kwan-yin Kong, City College of New York, New York, NY

 
A Coastal Internal Boundary Layer within a Tropical Cyclone
J. Rob Howard, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder

Poster PDF (109.9 kB)
 
Inland tropical cyclone wind forecasts for peninsular Florida
Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. F. Morales Jr.

 
Orographic Influences on Rainfall and Track Associated with the Passage of Tropical Cyclones
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. B. Ensley, S. Chiao, C. M. Hill, and C. Y. Huang

Poster PDF (68.5 kB)
 
Aspects of the Tropical Cyclone Program of NOAA/NESDIS
Michael A. Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, DC; and S. J. Kusselson

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/NWAOct2001a.ppt

Poster PDF (64.8 kB)
 
P1.11
Typhoon track prediction using a barotropic global-DFS-spectral model

 
The Impact of Dropsonde Data on Forecasts of Hurricane Debby by the Met Office Global Model
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and X. Qu

 
How the NCEP tropical cyclone tracker works
Timothy P. Marchok, SAIC at NCEP/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

Poster PDF (139.3 kB)
 
Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. Lonfat, J. E. Tenerelli, R. F. Rogers, and F. M. Horsfall

 
Modeliong Track Deflection For Tropical Cyclones Passing Over a Mesoscale Mountain and its Potential Application to Track Prediction
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and N. C. Witcraft and S. Y. Chen

Poster PDF (68.0 kB)
 
The application and use of UW-CIMSS specialized satellite products in Tropical analysis
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and C. S. Velden

 
An Evaluation of CIMSS and CIRA AMSU Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithms
Julie Demuth, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, C. Velden, and K. F. Brueske

 
UW-CIMSS Satellite Products: Recent Research and Developments
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Poster PDF (23.3 kB)
 
P1.19A
Steering dynamics of hurricanes based on satellite-derived far field winds (Formerly Paper Number 2D.1)

 
Operational uses of satellite products at La Réunion
Anne-Claire Fontan, La Reunion Tropical Cyclone Center, Meteo-France, La Reunion, France

Poster PDF (143.8 kB)
 
Microwave satellite retrievals for tropical cyclone forecasting and research
Chelle L. Gentemann, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and D. K. Smith and F. J. Wentz

 
The enhanced role of the polar orbiter constellation in tropical system monitoring in the wake of a geostationary platform failure
Steven D. Miller, NRL, Monterey, CA; and F. J. Turk, T. F. Lee, K. Richardson, and J. D. Hawkins

Poster PDF (486.2 kB)
 
Examining the Eight-Day Evolution of Upper Level Winds in Hurricane Floyd
John A. Knaff, NOAA/CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. S. Velden

Poster PDF (40.1 kB)
 
Additional Insights into Hurricane Gust Factors
John L. Schroeder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and M. R. Conder and J. R. Howard

Poster PDF (103.4 kB)
 
Operational use of QuikSCAT over tropical cyclones
Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corporation, Univ. of Guam, Mangiliao, Guam; and M. A. Lander, C. E. Cantrell, J. L. Franklin, P. S. Chang, and J. D. Hawkins

Poster PDF (153.6 kB)
 
Simulations of Hurricane Erin (2001) with MM5: sensitivity to microphysics
Greg M. McFarquhar, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. Dudhia and H. Zhang

 
A Cyclone phase space Derived from Thermal wind and thermal asymmetry
Robert Hart, Penn State University, University Park, PA

http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/cyclonephase

Poster PDF (315.7 kB)
 
Case Study of an Australian Subtropical Cyclone from March 2001
Paul J. McCrone, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE

Poster PDF (449.1 kB)
 
P1.30
Limitation of tropical cyclone intensification by vertical shear induced structure changes

 
From Asymmetric Heating to Axisymmetric Intensification
David S. Nolan, Princeton University, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and M. T. Montgomery

Poster PDF (90.5 kB)
 
Western North Pacific "Tropical Cyclogenesis" in an AGCM
Suzana J. Camargo, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel

Poster PDF (57.9 kB)
 
The interaction of a tropical-cyclone-like vortex and a front in a barotropic model
Martin Juckes, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Chilton, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom; and S. C. Jones

Poster PDF (512.3 kB)
 
Sensitivities of modeled tropical cyclones to surface friction and the Corolis Parameter
Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen and W. K. Tao

Poster PDF (241.2 kB)
 
A grid sensitivity study for vertical sigma levels in idealized hurricane simulations
F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and J. Hayes and S. K. Kimball

Poster PDF (167.5 kB)
 
Precipitation structures observed in CAMEX hurricanes
Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and G. M. Heymsfield, F. J. LaFontaine, M. G. Bateman, E. J. Zipser, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Poster PDF (161.6 kB)
 
In situ measurements of particle size distributions in Hurricane Humberto
Aaron R. Bansemer, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Heymsfield and P. T. Willis

 
Supersaturation in tropical storms measured during CAMEX-3 and CAMEX-4
Robert L. Herman, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. J. Heymsfield, L. Pfister, T. P. Bui, and J. Dean-Day

 
The relationship of tropical cyclone convective intensity to passive microwave observations
Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and F. J. LaFontaine, D. J. Cecil, A. Guillory, G. M. Heymsfield, and R. Blakeslee

 
A mesoscale climate model for the tropics
Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and B. N. Belcher and K. H. Cook

Poster PDF (119.6 kB)
 
A fifty year history of subtropical cyclones
David M. Roth, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
 
A climatology of intense tropical cyclones in the south-west Indian Ocean
Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and R. Robert and J. P. Hoarau

 
Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles From TRMM PR data: Algorithm development with a cloud-resolving model
Shoichi Shige, National Space Development Agency of Japan, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, W. -. K. Tao, and D. E. Johnson

Poster PDF (386.1 kB)
 
A Climatology of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic Basin, 1975-2000
Chris C. Robbins, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL; and S. R. Stewart

 
The ENSO signal in tropical tropospheric temperature
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and I. M. Held and C. S. Bretherton

http://www.columbia.edu/~ahs129/pubs.html

Poster PDF (12.8 kB)
 
Stability of the relationship between regional rainfall in Africa and ENSO
Sylwia Trzaska, CNRS/Univ. de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and N. Fauchereau, I. Poccard, P. Camberlin, Y. Richard, and N. Philippon

Poster PDF (201.3 kB)
 
Spring to summer contrasted transitions in the West African monsoon
Bernard Fontaine, CNRS/Univ. de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and N. Philippon, S. Trzaska, C. Frelin, and P. Roucou

Poster PDF (89.2 kB)
 
 
Numerical study of a sahelian synoptic weather system: Initiation and Mature stage of Convection and its interactions with the large scale dynamics
Aida Diongue, CNRM, Toulouse, paris, United Kingdom; and J. P. Lafore, J. L. Redelsperger, and R. Roca

Poster PDF (468.6 kB)
 
Impact of greenhouse warming on the variability of easterly waves, rainfall and convection over West Africa
Arona Diedhiou, LTHE/IRD, Grenoble, France; and J. F. Royer, I. Poccard, and T. Lebel

Poster PDF (129.1 kB)
 
Sensitivities of Cloud and Radiation to Changes in SST over the Tropical Eastern Pacific: Results from Cloud-Resolving Simulations
Donghai Wang, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and E. Deckter, T. Wong, and B. A. Wielicki

Poster PDF (78.4 kB)
 
A General Theory of Monsoon Regulation in the Context of a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System
Peter J. Webster, PAOS, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. Chirokova, W. Han, and J. Loschnigg

 
P1.56
Mean water vapor fluxes over the Gulf of California from routine and special radiosonde data

 
Diagnosis and prediction of some extreme rain events over southeast Asia
Noel E. Davidson, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and E. A. Adug, W. A. W. Hassan, P. T. Nguyen, and M. R. Prabowo

Poster PDF (62.0 kB)
 
How much "skill" was there in forecasting the strong 1997-98 El Nino and 1998-2001 La Nina events?
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. A. Knaff

 
An independent assessment of ENSO-CLIPER seasonal prediction skill 1987–2001
Paul Rockett, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

 
Seasonal prediction of sea surface temperature and trade wind anomalies over the tropical north Atlantic and Caribbean Sea
Mark A. Saunders, University College London, London, United Kingdom; and P. Rockett

 
Climatological study of the gulf stream's impact on tropical cyclone intensity
Robert J. Bright, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and L. J. Pietrafesa

Poster PDF (15.7 kB)

12:30 PM-12:30 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


2A
Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability II (Parallel with Sessions 2B, 2C, & 2D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: James B. Elsner, Florida State University

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Seasonal prediction of Atlantic, US and Caribbean landfalling hurricanes
Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and P. Rockett

  2:15 PM
Seasonal prediction of NW Pacific and Japan landfalling typhoons
Paul Rockett, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

  2:30 PM
Seasonal forecasting for tropical cyclones affecting Shanghai
Xiaotu Lei, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China

Poster PDF (61.1 kB)
  2:45 PM
Prediction of August Atlantic basin hurricane activity
Eric Blake, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (634.9 kB)
  3:00 PM
Forecasting September Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity at zero and one month lead times
Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (286.5 kB)
 
2A.6
Multidecadal-Scale Fluctuations in October Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Atlantic Basin


2B
Convection (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2C, & 2D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Richard Johnson, Colorado State University

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Ship radar observations of a developing tropical cyclone in the east Pacific
Robert Cifelli, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. A. Petersen, D. J. Boccippio, C. W. Fairall, and S. A. Rutledge

Poster PDF (496.2 kB)
  2:15 PM
The effects of buoyancy, shear and humidity on convection in the eastern tropical Pacific
Graciela B. Raga, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and D. J. Raymond and D. Baumgardner

Poster PDF (28.3 kB)
  2:30 PM
Composite analyses of local influences of tropical convection
Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT

  2:45 PM
Characteristics of Amazonian Rain During Contrasting Wet Season Regimes
Steven A. Rutledge, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Carey, R. Cifelli, and W. A. Petersen

Poster PDF (110.7 kB)
  3:00 PM
Diurnal variation during TOGA COARE
Taotao Qian, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and R. D. Cess

Poster PDF (245.2 kB)

2C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2B, and 2D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Greg Holland, Aerosonde Ltd.

Papers:
  2:00 PM
The use of GOES imagery in statistical hurricane intensity prediction
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and R. M. Zehr, J. P. Kossin, and J. A. Knaff

  2:15 PM
  2:45 PM
An analysis of the forecast performance of the GFDL model during Debby (2000)
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and S. Raman and R. S. Pasch

  3:00 PM
Hurricane heat potential estimates from monthly versus seasonal temperature and salinity data
Sean R. White, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. M. Mainelli, S. D. Jacob, and L. K. Shay

Poster PDF (166.2 kB)
  3:15 PM
Forecast skill of a simple coupled hurricane intensity prediction model
Fiona M. Horsfall, NOAA/AOML/NHC, Miami, FL; and K. A. Emanuel

Poster PDF (98.9 kB)

2:00 PM-3:15 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


2D
Tropical Cyclone Motion (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2B, & 2C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Jeff Halverson, JCET/University of Baltimore

Papers:
  2:01 PM
Nonlinear motion of a two-layer baroclinic hurricane in shear
Robert W. Jones, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and H. E. Willoughby

  2:16 PM
Hurricane Risk in Hawaii. Part 1: Steering flow analysis in the central north pacific
Anthony Reynes-Figueroa, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and D. Stevens and S. H. Houston

Poster PDF (4.7 MB)
  2:31 PM
Control Parameters for Track Continuity and Deflection Associated with Tropical Cyclones over a Mesoscale Mountain
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Y. Chen and C. M. Hill

Poster PDF (62.1 kB)
  3:01 PM
Satellite Applications for Tropical Wave/Tropical Cyclone Tracking (Formerly Paper P1.19)
Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD and Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. S. Velden

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 29 April 2002


3A
Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability III (Parallel with Sessions 3B, 3C, & 3D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Stanley Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  4:15 PM
Interannual variations in tropical cyclone tracks
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

http://garnet.acns.fsu.edu/~jelsner/www/research.html

Poster PDF (16.2 kB)
  4:30 PM
Seasonal Environmental Conditions Related to Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Northeast Pacific Basin
Jennifer M. Collins, University College London, London, UK and Plymouth State College, Plymouth, NH; and I. M. Mason

Poster PDF (809.1 kB)
  4:45 PM
Variability of Tropical Storms in AGCMS
Suzana J. Camargo, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and S. E. Zebiak

Poster PDF (15.8 kB)
  5:00 PM
  5:15 PM
Tropical Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts Using Multi-Model Superensemble Technique
W. T. Yun, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

http://

Poster PDF (102.1 kB)

3B
Convection II (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3C, & 3D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University

Papers:
  4:00 PM
THE IMPACT OF TAIWAN TOPOGRAPHY ON TYPHOON NARI AS LANDFALLING FROM THE HIGH RESOLUTION SIMULATION
Jing-Shan Hong, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. C. Yeh and D. S. Chen

Poster PDF (666.3 kB)
  4:15 PM
Satellite-Based Passive and Active Microwave Remote Sensing of Precipitation and Latent Heating Distributions in the Tropics
William S. Olson, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and S. Yang, Z. S. Haddad, C. D. Kummerow, W. K. Tao, and J. J. Wang

  4:30 PM
Mesoscale cloud analysis using METEOSAT data: application to the JET2000 experiment
Mathieu Nuret, Meteo-France/CNRM, Toulouse, France; and F. Hdidou, V. Gouget, and J. P. Lafore

Poster PDF (3.4 MB)
  4:45 PM
  5:00 PM
A Numerical Model Study of Formation of Congestus Clouds in Vicinity of MCSs
Marja H. Bister, Academy of Finland and Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and B. E. Mapes

  5:15 PM
A Parameterization For Mixing in moist turbulent Thermals
Stefan Tulich, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (51.6 kB)

3C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3B, & 3D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS

Papers:
  4:00 PM
MPI, shear and rapid intensification of hurricanes
Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

  4:15 PM
Intensity change and eyewall replacement in Hurricane Floyd (1999)
Joseph E. Tenerelli, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Poster PDF (691.9 kB)
  4:30 PM
Inhibiting factors to tropical cyclone intensification
Greg J. Holland, Aerosonde Ltd., Notting Hill, Vic., Australia; and Y. Wang

  4:45 PM
Vertical wind shear characteristics with Atlantic hurricanes during 2001
Raymond M. Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO

  5:00 PM
  5:15 PM
Eyewall contraction, breakdown and reformation in landfalling Typhoon (1998)
Kun-Hsuan Chou, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. Wang

http://

Poster PDF (631.2 kB)

3D
Tropical Cyclone Prediction (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3B, & 3C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

Papers:
  4:00 PM
The Advancement of NCEP's Hurricane Prediction System: Present and Future
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan, Q. Liu, W. Shen, and S. Lord

  4:15 PM
NCEP Global Model Tropical Forecast Upgrades: Model Performance during the 2001 Hurricane Season
Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Liu, N. Surgi, and S. Lord

  4:30 PM
Use of the NCEP Global Ensemble for tropical cyclone track forecasting
Timothy P. Marchok, SAIC at NCEP/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and Z. Toth and Q. Liu

Poster PDF (221.7 kB)
  4:45 PM
Forecasting tropical cyclogenesis in the NCEP global model
Richard S. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. G. Jiing, F. M. Horsfall, H. L. Pan, and N. Surgi

Poster PDF (63.6 kB)
  5:00 PM
The Met Office 2002 global model upgrade and the expected impact on tropical cyclone forecasts
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and G. Greed

  5:15 PM
Landfall prediction of hurricanes/typhoons from the FSU superensemble
T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar, L. Stefanova, and J. Wood

Tuesday, 30 April 2002

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


TUE 30 APRIL

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


4B
Convection III (Parallel with Sessions 4A, 4C, & 4D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Impacts of humidity-corrected sonde data on TOGA COARE analyses
Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson and J. Wang

Poster PDF (141.8 kB)
  8:45 AM
Spurious divergence within objective analyses with application to TOGA COARE heat and moisture budgets
Patrick T. Haertel, Colorado State University, Ft Collins, CO

http://

Poster PDF (61.8 kB)
  9:00 AM
Effects of random sampling errors on TOGA-COARE atmospheric budgets
Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. E. Ciesielski and B. E. Mapes

Poster PDF (197.3 kB)
  9:15 AM
Convective momentum transport observed during the TOGA COARE IOP: Implications for parameterization
Wen-wen Tung, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Yanai

Poster PDF (165.8 kB)
  9:30 AM
Evaluation and impact study of convective momentum parameterization using 3D cloud-resolving model and general circulation model
Xiaoqing Wu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff, X. Z. Liang, and G. J. Zhang

Poster PDF (290.2 kB)
  10:00 AM
Vertical Transport of momentum within and surrounding isolated cumulus clouds
Paul B. Bogner, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes

Poster PDF (502.2 kB)
  10:15 AM
Fluctuations in an ensemble of cumulus clouds
Brenda G. Cohen, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and G. C. Craig


4C
HL2001/CAMEX-4
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Russ Elsberry, NPS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Overview of the fourth Convection and Moisture Experiment (CAMEX-4)
Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Kakar, E. Zipser, T. N. Krishnamurti, and F. D. Marks Jr.

  8:45 AM
Structure of the highly sheared tropical storm chantal during camex-4
Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. B. Halverson, M. L. Black, F. D. Marks Jr., E. J. Zipser, L. Tian, L. Belcher, P. Bui, and E. Im

  9:00 AM
Thermal structure of Hurricane Erin's (2001) Core Using Dropsonde Data from 68,000 Feet and Comparison with AMSU Satellite Measurements
Jeffrey B. Halverson, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and T. Hock, H. Cole, J. Simpson, G. M. Heymsfield, H. Pierce, C. Velden, and K. F. Brueske

  9:15 AM
A multiple aircraft experiment in Hurricane Humberto (2001). Part I: Wind fields
Steven E. Feuer, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. F. Gamache, M. L. Black, F. D. Marks Jr., and J. B. Halverson

  9:30 AM
A multiple aircraft experiment in Hurricane Humberto (2001): Part 2, Precipitation fields
Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. M. Heymsfield, D. J. Cecil, R. Blakeslee, S. Durden, J. F. Gamache, and F. D. Marks Jr.

  9:45 AM
Observations of hurricane boundary layer structure and air-sea interaction processes from HAL 2001/ CAMEX4 (NASA) as a prelude to HAL2002/ CBLAST (ONR)
Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and F. D. Marks Jr., E. W. Uhlhorn, D. McLaughlin, X. Zhang, and E. J. Walsh

  10:00 AM
Rain rate measurements in Hurricane Humberto using the airborne NASA Scanning Radar Altimeter
Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, D. Vandemark, L. F. Bliven, E. W. Uhlhorn, P. G. Black, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Poster PDF (207.8 kB)
  10:15 AM
Airborne lidar measurements of water vapor profiles in the hurricane environment
Richard A. Ferrare, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, S. Ismail, S. Kooi, L. H. Brasseur, A. Notari, L. Petway, M. Clayton, M. J. Mahoney, J. B. Halverson, F. J. Schmidlin, T. N. Krishnamurti, E. Bensman, V. Brackett, and R. Herman

Poster PDF (284.5 kB)

4D
Tropical Cyclone Prediction II (Parallel with Sessions 4A, 4B, & 4C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Track Forecasting of 2001 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Using a Kilo-Member Ensemble
Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

http://lamar.colostate.edu/~jvigh/ensembles/

Poster PDF (102.8 kB)
  8:45 AM
  9:00 AM
Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones
K. Puri, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Barkmeijer, N. E. Davidson, and H. C. Weber

  9:15 AM
Ensemble methods applied to hurricane track and intensity forecasting
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett and H. Liu

Poster PDF (248.8 kB)
  9:30 AM
ASSIMILATION OF GPS DROPWINDSONDE DATA USING A VICBAR ENSEMBLE
Brian J. Etherton, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson

Poster PDF (177.6 kB)
  9:45 AM
Tropical cyclone track predictability limits
Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (60.7 kB)
  10:00 AM
Assessment of the Potential for Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the navy Global Models
Ted Dorics, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. L. Elsberry

Poster PDF (91.1 kB)
  10:15 AM
Prospects for operational tropical cyclogenesis forecasting
Christopher C. Hennon, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Poster PDF (179.9 kB)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


4A
Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability IV (Parallel with Sessions 4B, 4C, & 4D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: John L. McBride, BMRC

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Decadal Variations of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Central North Pacific
Pao-Shin Chu, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI

  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
How strong El Nino affect tropical storm activity in the western North Pacific
Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. C. L. Chan

  9:45 AM
West African monsoon and SST variability. A numerical study of the respective roles of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans
Sylwia Trzaska, CNRS/Universite de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and B. Fontaine and S. Janicot

Poster PDF (494.8 kB)
  10:00 AM
Relationships between deep soil wetness, monsoon dynamics and rainfall, and their potential use for improving seasonal forecasting in West Africa
Nathalie Philippon, CNRS/Universite de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and B. Fontaine and V. Moron

Poster PDF (58.7 kB)
  10:15 AM
Why does Climate conflict with Development over the Tropical regions of Eastern Africa? A case study for Ethiopia
Diriba Korecha, National Meteorological Services Agency of Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


5A
Monsoons I (Parallel with Sessions 5B, 5C & 5D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: John T. Fasullo, PAOS, University of Colorado

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Factors contributing to the onset of the Australian summer monsoon
Chih-wen Hung, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Yanai

http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/~tropics/AMS/5A1.pdf

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
  11:15 AM
Interhemispheric atmospheric mass exchange associated with the onset of an active phase of the Australian summer monsoon
Marco L. Carrera, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum

Poster PDF (162.0 kB)
  11:30 AM
Symmetry and asymmetry of the Asian and Australian summer monsoons
Michio Yanai, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and X. Liu and C. W. Hung

http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/~tropics/AMS/5A3.pdf

Poster PDF (658.7 kB)
  11:45 AM
  12:00 PM
Relationships between the maritime continent heat source and the El Nino Southern Oscillation phenomenon
John L. McBride, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and M. R. Haylock and N. Nicholls

Poster PDF (208.5 kB)
  12:15 PM
Influence of Coastal Upwelling on the Indian Ocean
Larissa E. Back, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY

Poster PDF (396.9 kB)

5B
Convection IV (Parallel with Sessions 5A, 5C, & 5D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Kuan-Man Xu, NASA/LRC

Papers:
  11:00 AM
A new approach to the cumulus parameterization
Yoshio Kurihara, Frontier Research System for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan

  11:15 AM
Towards a wavelet-based convective representation for GCM: rationales and preliminary results
Jun-Ichi Yano, CNRM,Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and P. Bechtold, J. L. Redelsperger, and F. Guichard

Poster PDF (3.3 MB)
  11:30 AM
  11:45 AM
Resolution dependence of parameterized physics inferred from nonhydrostatic model experiments
Joon-Hee Jung, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Arakawa

  12:00 PM
Resolution dependence of a tropical squall line
Tomoe Nasuno, Frontier Range System for Global Change, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and K. Saito

  12:15 PM
Initiation of Mesoscale Convective Complexes in Eastern Africa: A precursor to Tropical Cyclogenesis
Christopher M. Hill, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin

Poster PDF (179.6 kB)

5C
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III (Parallel with Sessions 5A, 5B, & 5D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Cynthia Palmer, University Of Hawaii

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Symmetric and asymmetric contributions to the intensification of Hurricane Opal in a GFDL model forecast
J. Dominique Möller, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and L. J. Shapiro

  11:30 AM
On the intensification and recurvature of tropical cyclone Tracy (1974)
Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (93.2 kB)
  11:45 AM
Comparison of Hurricane intensity as realized in an axisymmetric model with MPI theory
John Persing, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Poster PDF (582.5 kB)
  12:00 PM
An application of Atmospheric Thermodynamics to Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Activity
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and P. R. Remata and R. L. Miller

 
5C.6
The tropical cyclone-jet streak interaction: A numerical study of the role of pre-existing outflow channels in tropical cyclone intensification


5D
Tropical Cyclone Prediction III (Parallel with Sessions 5A, 5B, & 5C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Brian Etherthon, University of Miami

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Observing-systems simulation experiments for tropical cyclone initialization based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and K. H. Chou, Y. H. Kuo, and W. P. Huang

Poster PDF (406.2 kB)
  11:30 AM
4-D Variational assimilation of QuikScat winds into the MM5 Model
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, J. E. Tenerelli, and R. Foster

  11:45 AM
Hurricane Forecasting using Adaptive Unstructured Grids
David P. Bacon, SAIC, McLean, VA; and N. N. Ahmad, Z. Boybeyi, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, M. S. Hall, P. C. S. Lee Sr., and R. A. Sarma

http://vortex.atgteam.com

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
  12:00 PM
Hurricane initialization using reconnaissance data in GFDL hurricane forecast model
Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. J. Lord, N. Surgi, H. L. Pan, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Poster PDF (151.1 kB)
  12:15 PM
Short-term high-resolution prediction of tropical cyclones in the northwest Pacific using the TCM-90 dataset
Xiaqiong Zhou, Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. Qi, L. M. Leslie, and J. C. L. Chan

12:30 PM-12:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


6A
Monsoons II (Parallel with Sessions 6B, 6C, and 6D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University

Papers:
  2:15 PM
a Hydrological definition of Indian Monsoon onset and withdrawl
John T. Fasullo, PAOS, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster

Poster PDF (17.1 kB)
  2:30 PM
Connections Between the African, Indian rainfall regimes
Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

Poster PDF (265.0 kB)
  2:45 PM
West African Monsoon project
Jean-Luc Redelsperger, CNRM,CNRS and Meteo-France, Toulouse, France

Poster PDF (21.1 kB)
  3:00 PM
Extra-tropical dry air intrusions in the West African Moonson region
Rémy Roca, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France; and C. Piriou, J. P. Lafore, and J. L. Redelsperger

Poster PDF (186.6 kB)
  3:15 PM
The role of the intra-seasonal time scale variability in the West African monsoon
Serge Janicot, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France; and B. Sultan

Poster PDF (543.1 kB)

6B
Large-scale dynamics and convection (Parallel with Sessions 6A, 6C, and 6D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Comparison of the characteristics of convection in the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans
Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. J. Webster

  2:15 PM
Cirrus generation and maintenance in the Tropical Western Pacific
James H. Mather, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. M. Comstock and T. P. Ackerman

  2:30 PM
Convective Clouds over the Bay of Bengal
Paquita Zuidema, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO

http://www.etl.noaa.gov/~pzuidema/jasmine.pdf

Poster PDF (277.0 kB)
  2:45 PM
Deformation of Large Cloud Disturbance over the Western Tropical Pacific
Atsushi Hamada, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and N. Nishi and H. Kida

Poster PDF (538.1 kB)
  3:00 PM
Dynamics of Northwest Pacific tropical disturbances
Hung-Chi Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. P. Chang and R. T. Williams

Poster PDF (207.6 kB)
  3:15 PM
Time dependent energetics budget for quasi-stationary conectively coupled modes
Robert A. Tomas, PAOS, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster

Poster PDF (113.1 kB)

6C
Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Dynamics I (Parallel with Sessions 6A, 6B, and 6D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Noel Davidson, BOM

Papers:
 
6C.1
Topographic effect on a barotropic cyclone encountering a mountain: laboratory experiment and numerical simulation

  2:15 PM
On the interaction of binary typhoon systems with MM5
Ling-Feng Hsiao, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. Y. Liu

Poster PDF (40.0 kB)
  2:30 PM
A case study of tropical cyclone merger
Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and B. D. McNoldy, R. Prieto, J. L. Vigh, S. R. Fulton, and R. M. Zehr

Poster PDF (329.6 kB)
  3:00 PM
Precipitation and landmass interaction during Hurricane Georges (1998) landfall at Puerto Rico
Craig M. Orndorff, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and J. E. Tenerelli

Poster PDF (174.6 kB)
  3:15 PM
A simple model of the hurricane boundary layer
Roger K. Smith, University of Munich, Munich, Germany


6D
Tropical Cyclone Prediction IV (Parallel with Sessions 6A, 6B, and 6D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

Papers:
  2:00 PM
  2:15 PM
Trends in track forecasting for tropical cyclones threatening the United States, 1970–2001
James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and C. J. McAdie and M. B. Lawrence

  2:45 PM
intense very-late-season Caribbean Hurricanes
Richard G. Henning, 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron, Keesler AFB, MS

  3:00 PM
The Performance and the Recent Improvement of Typhoon Forecast System of the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan
Der-Song Chen, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. C. Yeh and K. -. N. Huang

Poster PDF (12.2 kB)
 
6D.6
Tropical Cyclone Wave Height Forecast Comparison using the GFDL/NWW3 Model vs the NWW3 Model

3:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


7B
Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection II (Parallel with Sessions 7C and 7D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Brian E. Mapes, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Threshold Sea Surface Temperature For Initiation of Convection
J. David Neelin, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su and J. E. Meyerson

  4:15 PM
Sensitivity of Tropical Tropospheric Temperature to Sea Surface Temperature Forcing
Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson

  4:30 PM
LARGE-SCALE waves interacting with deep convection in idealized mesoscale model simulations
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and C. S. Bretherton

http://www.columbia.edu/~ahs129/pubs.html

Poster PDF (26.0 kB)
  4:45 PM
A simple model of a convectively-coupled Walker circulation using the Weak Temperature Gradient approximation
Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. H. Sobel and M. Peters

  5:00 PM
A two-column model USING THE WEAK TEMPERATURE GRADIENT APPROXIMATION
Daniel A. Shaevitz, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel

http://www.columbia.edu/~ahs129/pubs.html

Poster PDF (12.6 kB)

7C
Tropical Cyclones: Vertical Shear (Parallel with Sessions 7B and 7D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Wayne Schubert, Colorado State University

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Tropical Cyclones in Complex Vertical Shears
William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and E. A. Ritchie

Poster PDF (134.4 kB)
  4:15 PM
Understanding the dynamics of vertically sheared hurricanes
Paul D. Reasor, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. T. Montgomery

Poster PDF (58.5 kB)
  4:30 PM
  5:00 PM
  5:15 PM
High-resolution simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998): Storm structure and evolution
Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. X. Pu


7D
Tropical Cyclone Prediction V (Parallel with Session 7B and 7C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  4:15 PM
Development of a Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Climatology and Persistence (R-CLIPER) Model
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and G. Kappler and M. DeMaria

Poster PDF (153.0 kB)
  4:30 PM
Performance of the Emanuel cumulus parameterization scheme in NOGAPS: Impact of recent modifications
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. A. Ridout and T. F. Hogan

Poster PDF (52.2 kB)
  4:45 PM
Variability of Hurricane Wind and Wave Prediction due to Track Projections
Hans C. Graber, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. E. Jensen, V. J. Cardone, J. L. Guiney, and M. D. Powell

  5:00 PM
Beta test of a prototype dynamical model track prediction evaluation system model for the Atlantic
Mark A. Boothe, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry and L. L. Salvador

Poster PDF (848.6 kB)

7:30 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 April 2002


Panel Discussion 1
A Proposal for an international field experiment in West Africa and Atlantic Ocean 2004/2005
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY
Panelists: Jean Luc Redelsperger, CNRM; Mitch Moncrieff, UCAR; Frank Roux, Laboratoire d'Aerologie; Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD; Arona Diehdiou, LTHE

Wednesday, 1 May 2002

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


WED 1 MAY

8:30 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


8A
Tropical Cyclones at Landfall (Parallel with Session 8B, 8C, and 8D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  8:45 AM
Profiler, radar and electric field observations of the landfall of tropical storm Gabrielle
Kevin Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walters

  9:00 AM
TTU WEMITE: A summary of data collected from landfalling tropical cyclones during 2000-2001
J. Rob Howard, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder, G. D. Skwira, A. L. Doggett, and A. C. Sims

  9:15 AM
Evolution of the coastal windfield during the landfall of Hurricane Floyd (1999)
Carolina E. Mayrinck, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. P. Dodge, F. D. Marks Jr., S. H. Houston, and J. F. Gamache

Poster PDF (454.2 kB)
  9:30 AM
An evaluation of the precipitation distribution in landfalling tropical cyclones
Eyad H. Atallah, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)
  9:45 AM
WSR-88D Observations of Boundary Layer Rolls during Hurricane Landfall
Ian J. Morrison, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. D. Marks Jr. and S. Businger

Poster PDF (837.8 kB)
  10:00 AM
Asymmetric structure of a landfalling hurricane
M. K. Yau, McGill University, Montreal, Canada; and Y. Chen

Poster PDF (158.6 kB)
  10:15 AM
Hurricanes at Landfall: Evolution of Structure and Isotope Ratios
Stanley D. Gedzelman, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. R. Lawrence

  10:30 AM

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


8C
Tropical Cyclogenesis (Parallel with Sessions 8A, 8B, and 8D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Paul Reasor, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  8:30 AM
A three-dimensional cloud-resolving numerical study of tropical cyclogenesis
Michael T. Montgomery, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. E. Nicholls and T. A. Cram

  8:45 AM
A Cloud-Resolving Regional Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Formation
Jordan G. Powers, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis

  9:00 AM
Intense tropical cyclogenesis over the northwest Australian Region in 1998/1999: causal factors and case studies
Milton S. Speer, BOM, Sydney, Australia; and L. M. Leslie and R. F. Abbey Jr.

  9:15 AM
Numerical simulations of the formation of Typhoon Robyn (1993)
Kevin K. W. Cheung, NPS, Monterey, CA

Poster PDF (373.9 kB)
  9:30 AM
The Genesis of East Pacific Tropical Storm Lorena
Joseph A. Zehnder, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and D. J. Raymond

  9:45 AM
  10:00 AM
Contrasting Influences of the Saharan Air Layer on Tropical Cyclogenesis over the Eastern Atlantic
V. Mohan Karyampudi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Pierce

 
8C.8
Possible effects of Sahara dust on tropical cyclone development using spectral microphysics in the GFDL axisymmetric TC model


8D
Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Dynamics II (Parallel with Sessions 8A, 8B, and 8D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Sarah Jones, University of Munich

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Potential vorticity mixing in shallow-water vortices
Scott R. Fulton, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY; and W. H. Schubert

Poster PDF (78.6 kB)
  8:45 AM
Wave activity diagnostics in a simulated hurricane
Yongsheng Chen, McGill Univ., Montreal, PQ, Canada; and G. Brunet and M. K. Yau

Poster PDF (188.9 kB)
  9:00 AM
Investigating convective elements in a high resolution simulation of Hurricane Opal(1995)
Glen Romine, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. Wilhelmson

http://pampa.ncsa.uiuc.edu/~romine/opal.html

Poster PDF (240.0 kB)
  9:15 AM
The Role of Horizontal Eddy Momentum Fluxes on Hurricane Core Structures
Young C. Kwon, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank

Poster PDF (40.4 kB)
  9:30 AM
The Implications of Low Potential Vorticity in the Tropical Cyclone Outflow Layer
Kristopher Bedka, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli

  9:45 AM
Mechanisms for the Generation of Mesoscale Vorticity Features within Tropical Cyclone Rainbands
Charmaine N. Franklin, RMIT University, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and G. J. Holland and P. T. May

Poster PDF (67.9 kB)
  10:00 AM
A case study of heavy rainfall caused by a tropical depression
Yihong Duan, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China

  10:15 AM
A Simulation of Hurricane Danny (1997) at Landfall using an artificial initial vortex
Sytske K. Kimball, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL

Poster PDF (286.9 kB)

9:15 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


8B
Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection III (Parallel with Sessions 8A, 8C, and 8D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Robert A. Tomas, PAOS, Univ. of Colorado

Papers:
 
8B.1
The relationship between precipitable water vapor variability and convective activity over the Tropical Western Pacific as revealed by the GMS split-window data

 
8B.2
Satellite-observed convective components of the ITCZ

  9:30 AM
Mechanisms of night-morning maximum rainfall offshore of high mountains
Brian E. Mapes, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. T. Warner and M. Xu

Poster PDF (77.5 kB)
  9:45 AM
Westward generation of eastward-moving tropical convective bands in TOGA COARE
Shoichi Shige, National Space Development Agency of Japan, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Satomura

Poster PDF (154.7 kB)
  10:00 AM
An idealised two-dimensional framework to study convection over West Africa
S. D. Wright, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore and J. L. Redelsperger

  10:15 AM
Decadal Trends in Tropical CAPE
Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall

Poster PDF (217.7 kB)

10:30 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


9B
Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection IV (Parallel with Sessions 9A, 9C, and 9D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: George Kiladis, NOAA/AL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Rainfall variability and convection in african easterly wave regime
Arona Diedhiou, IRD/LTHE, Grenoble, France; and H. Laurent, T. Lebel, and C. Lauaysse

Poster PDF (148.8 kB)
  11:15 AM
  11:30 AM
Initiation of Convective systems in Subsaharan Northern Africa
Mariane Diop, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker

  11:45 AM
The African Easterly jet-wave system
Rosalind J. Cornforth, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom

Poster PDF (105.3 kB)
  12:00 PM
The JET2000 experiment: large-scale overview of the 2001 season
Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. J. Parker, D. Aida, and C. M. Taylor

  12:15 PM
Jet2000 experiment : Mesoscale Structures, Diurnal Cycle and NWP issues
Aida Diongue, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker, C. D. Thorncroft, R. Dumelow, and A. M. Tompkins

http://www.env.leeds.ac.uk/ias/dynamics/JET2000/

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

9C
Tropical Cyclogenesis II (Parallel with Sessions 9A, 9B, and 9D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Sytske Kimball, University of South Alabama

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Genesis of a hurricane in a sheared environment
John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro and K. L. Corbosiero

Poster PDF (48.3 kB)
  11:15 AM
Baroclinic Tropical Cyclogenesis: Developing and Non-developing Cases
Christipher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. F. Bosart

Poster PDF (175.9 kB)
  11:30 AM
Impacts of environmental moisture on tropical cyclogenesis
Jeremy T. Pennington, RSMAS/University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL

Poster PDF (189.9 kB)
  11:45 AM
The Vertical Alignment of an Incipient Tropical Cyclone
David A. Schecter, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and P. D. Reasor

Poster PDF (167.0 kB)
  12:00 PM
Early detection of tropical cyclones using SeaWinds-derived vorticity for the 2001 hurricane season
Ryan J. Sharp, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, J. J. O'Brien, K. Katsaros, and E. B. Forde

Poster PDF (134.6 kB)
  12:15 PM
Possibility of prevention of destructive hurricanes generation by their initiation on stage of genesis
Vadim N. Pelevin, P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia


9D
Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Initialization and Assimilation (Parallel with Sessions 9A, 9B, and 9C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Joseph A. Zehnder, Arizona State University

Papers:
  11:00 AM
An initialization technique using airborne Doppler radar observations for numerical simulations of Hurricane Bret (21–23 August 1999)
Olivier Nuissier, Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, Toulouse, France; and R. F. Rogers and F. Roux

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
  11:15 AM
Initialization of a hurricane vortex based on single-doppler radar observations
Jim-Luen Lee, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, Y. -. H. Kuo, W. -. C. Lee, W. Wang, and S. -. H. Chen

Poster PDF (264.4 kB)
  11:30 AM
High-resolution simulation of Hurricane Danny (1997): Comparison with radar observations
Ying-Hwa Kuo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang, Q. Zhang, W. C. Lee, and M. M. Bell

Poster PDF (66.0 kB)
  11:45 AM
Assimilation of GOES rapid-scan winds into an experimental Eta Model During Atlantic Hurricanes
Howard I. Berger, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI

Poster PDF (118.1 kB)
  12:00 PM
NUMERICAL SIMULATION AND OBSERVATIONS IN PASSIVE MICROWAVE RADIOMETRY OF THE TROPICAL HURRICANE BRET (AUGUST 1999)
Corinne Burlaud, CETP, Velizy, France; and N. Viltard, O. Nuissier, and F. Roux

Poster PDF (36.9 kB)
  12:15 PM
Assimilating IFSAR DEM data into an ADCIRC cimulation of Hurricane Camille
Jayaram Veeramony, Mississippi State University; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, D. Herndon, N. Tran, E. Valenti, and D. Nechaeu

Poster PDF (108.3 kB)

12:30 PM-12:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


10A
Hurricane Impacts in the Americas (Parallel with Sessions 10B, 10C, and 10D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Ramon Perez, Cuban Weather Service

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Forecasting during the 2001 Atlantic hurricane season
Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and L. A. Avila

Poster PDF (173.1 kB)
  2:15 PM
Crisis management and preventive responses to the last tropical cyclone experiences in the french Antilles
Françoise Pagney Bénito-Espinal, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe-à-Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. Asselin de Beauville, A. Bonneton, and C. A. Pontikis

  2:30 PM
Study of the relation between economical damage and specific hurricane characteristics
Athanasia Koussoula-Bonneton, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and F. Pagney, C. Asselin de Beauville, and C. A. Pontikis

  2:45 PM
Tropical Cyclone evasion by United States Navy afloat units via Optimum Track Ship Routing (OTSR) in the Atlantic Basin
Glenn S. Bingham, Naval Atlantic Meteorolgy and Oceanography Center, Norfolk, VA

Poster PDF (30.2 kB)
  3:00 PM
  3:15 PM
Thirty Years After Hurricane Agnes—The Forgotten Florida Tornado Disaster
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Spratt

Poster PDF (29.5 kB)

10B
Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection V (Parallel with Sessions 10A, 10C, and 10D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Brant Liebmann, Univ. of Colorado

Papers:
  2:15 PM
Tropical tropospheric temperature variations caused by ENSO and their influence on the remote tropical climate
John C. H. Chiang, JISAO/University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. H. Sobel

Poster PDF (305.8 kB)
  2:30 PM
Axisymmetric circulations in a moist atmosphere
Olivier Pauluis, MIT, Cambridge, MA

  2:45 PM
Spatial-time structure of the energy content over tropics
Valery N. Khokhlov, Odessa State Ecological University, Odessa, Ukraine; and A. V. Glushkov

Poster PDF (103.2 kB)
  3:15 PM
Forcing of interannual variability of the tropical tropopause and lower stratosphere
George Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub

Poster PDF (806.2 kB)

10D
Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Parameterizations and Numerics (Parallel with Sessions 10A, 10B, and 10C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: John D. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Simulation of tropical cyclones using the GFDL TC model with bulk parameterization and spectral microphysics
Robert E. Tuleya, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and M. Bender and A. P. Khain

Poster PDF (174.5 kB)
  2:15 PM
  2:45 PM
Sensitivity of modeled tropical cyclone track and structure of Hurricane Irene (1999) to the convective parameterization scheme
Barbara E. Prater, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA

http://www.angelfire.com/mi/cyndertobey/irene/index.html

Poster PDF (172.2 kB)
  3:00 PM
Effects of Vertical Differencing in a minimal hurricane model
Hongyan Zhu, University of Munich, Munich, Germany

  3:15 PM
High order numerical schemes for simulating tropical cyclone dynamics
Russel P. Morison, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; and K. A. Tan, L. M. Leslie, and R. F. Abbey Jr.

Poster PDF (14.8 kB)

3:30 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 May 2002


11B
Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection VI (Parallel with Sessions 11A, 11C, and 11D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Victor Magaña, National Autonomous Univiversity of Mexico

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Effects of Hurricanes on the Stratosphere: Evidence of Gravity Wave Activity From CAMEX-4 In Situ Measurements and Mesoscale Modeling
Eric A. Ray, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Rosenlof, E. C. Richard, K. K. Kelly, M. J. Mahoney, and M. J. Alexander

  4:15 PM
Distal and sympathetic surface trough development induced by TUTT cells: a case study
Billy D. Ward Jr., NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam; and M. A. Lander

Poster PDF (206.5 kB)
  4:30 PM
Impact of an African squall line on large scale fields of heat, moisture and momentum
Jean-Philippe Lafore, CNRM/Meteo-France and CNRS, Toulouse, France; and A. Diongue, J. L. Redelsperger, and B. Thomas

Poster PDF (443.6 kB)
  4:45 PM
The Thermal Fields of the Hawaiian Wakes and the Circulation on the Leeside of the Island of Hawaii
Yang Yang, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and Y. L. Chen

Poster PDF (193.3 kB)
  5:00 PM
Impact of Trade-wind Strength on the Windward Rainfall and Circulation over the Island of Hawaii
Mary Ann Esteban, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and Y. L. Chen

Poster PDF (4.7 MB)
  5:15 PM
Performance of the ECMWF operational analysis during the 1999 INDOEX and JASMINE
Badrinath Nagarajan, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada; and A. Aiyyer

Poster PDF (121.3 kB)

11C
Tropical Cyclone Best Track
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Max Mayfield, NOAA/TPC/HRC

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Best Track determination at NHC
Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (39.6 kB)
  4:30 PM
The Atlantic Hurricane database re-analysisproject Documentation for the 1851-1910 Alterations and Additions to the Hurdat Database
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, N. Charles, G. Clark, J. P. Dunion, J. Fernandez-Partagas, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, and M. Zimmer

  4:45 PM
Insurance sector interests in best-track data sets
Richard J. Murnane, Bermuda Biological Station for Research, Garrett Park, MD

Poster PDF (12.1 kB)
  5:00 PM
A Current Review of the Historical Information on Tropical Cyclones in Cuba
Ramon Perez, Centro del Clima, Instituto de Meteorologia/AMA/CITMA, Habana, Cuba; and R. Vega and M. Limia

Poster PDF (19.3 kB)
  5:15 PM
Discussion


11D
Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Large-scale Effects and Climate Change (Parallel with Sessions 11A, 11B, and 11C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University

Papers:
  4:00 PM
A Numerical Study of the Evolution of Hurricane Bonnie (1998)
Tong Zhu, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

Poster PDF (59.8 kB)
  4:15 PM
  4:30 PM
Preliminary Comparisons of Tropical Cyclone Simulations in the GFDL and WRF Models
David S. Nolan, Princeton University, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. E. Tuleya

Poster PDF (164.8 kB)
  4:45 PM
Simulated tropical cyclones in the NCAR Community Climate Model at T170 resolution
Junichi Tsutsui, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko-shi, Chiba-ken, Japan

Poster PDF (1004.0 kB)
  5:00 PM
Analysis of High-resolution Climate Change Simulations of Tropical Cyclones
Kevin J. E. Walsh, CSIRO, Aspendale, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen

  5:15 PM
Tropical cyclone simulation using a high-resolution AGCM - Impacts of SST warming and CO2 increase
Jun Yoshimura, Frontier Research System for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan; and M. Sugi

Thursday, 2 May 2002

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


THUR 2 MAY

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


12A
Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure I (Parallel with Sessions 12B, 12C, and 12D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Shirley Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Optimal Rain Rate Estimation in Tropical Cyclones: Validation of SFMR Remote Sensing Rain Rates
Haiyan Jiang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. G. Black, E. W. Uhlhorn, P. Leighton, E. J. Zipser, and F. D. Marks Jr.

http://meteor.met.utah.edu/zipser/hjiang/SFMR_preprint.htm

Poster PDF (141.2 kB)
  8:45 AM
Evaluation of microwave imagery in the life cycle of tropical cyclones
Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corp., Univ. of Guam, Tamuning, Guam; and M. A. Lander

Poster PDF (114.0 kB)
  9:00 AM
Concentric Eyewall Mapping and Frequency Via Passive Microwave Imagery
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston

  9:15 AM
A Study of Rainfall Asymmetry in Tropical Cyclones Using TRMM Microwave Imager.
Manuel Lonfat, RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (58.1 kB)
  9:30 AM
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using The NOAA-KLM Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU): Part I -- Initial Field Test and Lessons Learned
Kurt F. Brueske, U.S. Air Force Academy, USAF, CO; and C. S. Velden, B. W. Kabat, and J. D. Hawkins

Poster PDF (67.2 kB)
  9:45 AM
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using The NOAA-KLM Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU): Part II: A Multi-Channel Approach
Brian Kabat, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden and K. F. Brueske

Poster PDF (424.5 kB)
  10:00 AM
Examining structural changes and circulation center of Hurricane Danny (1997) using a single-Doppler radar wind retrieval technique
Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and W. -. C. Lee, F. D. Marks Jr., and P. P. Dodge

  10:15 AM
Operational Implementation of Single-Doppler Radar Algorithms for Tropical Cyclones
Paul R. Harasti, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, J. D. Tuttle, C. J. McAdie, P. P. Dodge, S. T. Murillo, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Poster PDF (121.5 kB)

12D
tropical cyclone extratropical transition (Parallel with Sessions 12A, 12B, and 12C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Joseph Cionne, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Operational forecasting of extra-tropical transition
Chris Fogarty, Newfoundland Weather Center, Gander, NF, Canada

http://www.geocities.com/novaweather/ET_schematic.html

Poster PDF (425.5 kB)
  9:00 AM
Tropical cyclone extratropical transition: A reversible process?
John L. Beven II, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL

  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
The extratropical transition of hurricane Irene (1999)
Anna Agusti-Panareda, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (198.6 kB)
  9:45 AM
  10:00 AM
The double transition of Hurricane Michael(2000): Baroclinic to tropical to baroclinic
Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. G. Black, J. L. Evans, J. E. Molinari, C. S. Velden, and M. J. Dickinson

Poster PDF (3.7 MB)
  10:15 AM
Hurricane Michael: The "Two-Way TC"
Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. Velden, L. F. Bosart, J. E. Molinari, and P. G. Black

Poster PDF (257.5 kB)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


12C
Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction I (Parallel with Sessions 12A, 12B, and 12D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Peter J. Webster, Univ. of Colorado

Papers:
  9:00 AM
The Nature of the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode
Galina Chirokova, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster, C. Clark, and W. Han

  9:15 AM
Relationships between anomalous monsoons, meridional oceanic heat transport and the Indian Ocean Dipole in the NCAR CSM
Johannes Loschnigg, International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI; and G. A. Meehl, P. J. Webster, J. M. Arbaster, and G. P. Compo

  9:30 AM
Influence of ENSO on the Indian Ocean dipole
Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Alexander and H. H. Hendon

Poster PDF (10.7 kB)
  9:45 AM
  10:00 AM
ENSO-Induced Air-Sea Interaction in the Maritime Continent
Harry H. Hendon, BMRC, Melbounre, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (26.5 kB)
  10:15 AM
Quasi-biennial and Low-frequency Variability of the South Asian Monsoon
Tim Li, IPRC/SOEST, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Zhang, C. -. P. Chang, and B. Wang

10:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


13A
Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure II(Parallel with Sessions 13B, 13C, and 13D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corporation, Univ. of Guam

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Analysis of QuikScat rain-flagged winds within the tropical cyclone environment
Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz and C. A. Mears

Poster PDF (169.7 kB)
  11:15 AM
The evolution of a hurricane-trough interaction from a satellite perspective
Deborah E. Hanley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Poster PDF (161.5 kB)
  11:30 AM
Latent Heating Structures of Hurricanes from TRMM Measurements
Song Yang, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. S. Olson, C. D. Kummerow, S. Chen, Z. Haddad, and E. A. Smith

Poster PDF (941.6 kB)
  11:45 AM
Russian/FSU tropical cyclone research: the Last 25 years
Richard E. Peterson, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and P. G. Black and V. Pudov

Poster PDF (83.9 kB)
  12:00 PM
Vertical mass, momentum, moisture, and heat fluxes in hurricanes above 10 km during CAMEX-3 and CAMEX-4
Leonhard Pfister, NASA/Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA; and T. P. Bui, R. L. Herman, and J. Dean-Day

  12:15 PM
Microwave scattering observed in convective cells during CAMEX-4
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. L. Riley

Poster PDF (4.9 MB)

13B
Climate Processes in the Americas and Eastern Pacific I (Parallel with Sessions 13A, 13C, and 13D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Climate Experiment in the Americas warm pools
Victor Magaña, National Autonomous Univiversity of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and E. Caetano and J. L. Vázquez

Poster PDF (838.5 kB)
  11:15 AM
  11:30 AM
Convection and easterly waves observed in the eastern Pacific ITCZ during EPIC2001
Walter A. Petersen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Cifelli, D. J. Boccippio, and S. A. Rutledge

Poster PDF (57.0 kB)
  11:45 AM
Diurnal cycle of convection in the East Pacific ITCZ during EPIC-2001
Dennis J. Boccippio, NASA/MSFC, Marshall Space Flight Center, AL; and W. A. Petersen, R. Cifelli, and S. A. Rutledge

Poster PDF (562.5 kB)
  12:00 PM
Development of new convective cells in the east Pacific warm pool
Carlos Lopez-Carrillo, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. Raymond and Z. Fuchs

Poster PDF (140.0 kB)
  12:15 PM
Factors controlling the east Pacific ITCZ during EPIC2001
David J. Raymond, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and C. S. Bretherton and G. Raga

Poster PDF (174.4 kB)

13C
Ocean Atmosphere Interaction II (Parallel with Sessions 13A, 13B, and 13D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii

Papers:
  11:00 AM
A simple model of tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability
Yochanan Kushnir, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Seager and J. C. H. Chiang

  11:15 AM
  11:45 AM
The seasonal cycle and El Niño termination
D.E. Harrison, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and G. A. Vecchi

  12:00 PM
Collective and competitive roles out of thermocline and zonal advective feedbacks in the ENSO Mode
Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin

Poster PDF (61.1 kB)
  12:15 PM
Precipitation variability and barrier-layer formation in the North Indian Ocean
Shalini Mohleji, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson

Poster PDF (583.6 kB)

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


13D
Tropical Cyclone Extratropical Transition II (Parallel with Sessions 13A, 13B, and 13C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Influence of the downstream state on extratropical transition: Hurricane Earl (1998) case study
R. J. McTaggart-Cowan, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada

Poster PDF (161.5 kB)
  11:15 AM
Quantitative measurements of extratropical transition in the Atlantic basin
Joshua K. Darr, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Poster PDF (141.5 kB)
  11:30 AM
Extratropical transition: One Trajectory through cyclone phase space
Robert Hart, Penna State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/cyclonephase

Poster PDF (200.7 kB)
  12:00 PM
An examination of the mesoscale structure associated with the extratropical transition of Hurricane Agnes (1972)
Michael J. Dickinson, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

Poster PDF (458.1 kB)

12:30 PM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


14A
Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure III (Parallel with Sessions 14B, 14C, and 14D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  2:00 PM
A Multi-Platform View of Hurricane Erin
Brian D. McNoldy, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert and J. P. Kossin

Poster PDF (139.2 kB)
  2:15 PM
Observations of the evolution of precipitation and kinematic structure in a hurricane as it encountered strong westerly shear
John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. D. Reasor, H. E. Willoughby, M. L. Black, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Poster PDF (282.2 kB)
  2:30 PM
Intensity of Recurving Typhoons From a PV Perspective
Andrew S. Levine, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
  2:45 PM
The relationship between GPS dropsonde wind profiles and sea-surface temperature in Hurricane Bret (1999)
Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, S. E. Feuer, W. P. Barry, and L. K. Shay

  3:00 PM
A New Parametric Model of Hurricane Wind Profiles
Hugh E. Willoughby, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Maimi, FL; and M. E. Rahn

  3:15 PM
Evaluation of SeaWinds wind speed measurements in hurricane Floyd
W. Linwood Jones, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and J. D. Park, I. Adams, and S. S. Chen

Poster PDF (31.1 kB)

2:00 PM-3:15 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


14B
Climate Processes in the Americas and Eastern Pacific II (Parallel with Sessions 14A, 14C, and 14D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Walter Peterson, Colorado State University

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Onset of the rainy season over Tropical Brazil in Observationsand A general Circulation Model Simulation
Brant Liebmann, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and D. Allured, A. Seth, and S. J. Camargo

Poster PDF (113.8 kB)
  2:15 PM
Observational Study of the mid summer drought during the Climate Experiment in the Americas warm pools
Ernesto Caetano, National Autonomous Univ. of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and V. Magaña

Poster PDF (36.5 kB)
  2:30 PM
Study of the factors that induced an unusual drought in Guadeloupe (FWI)
Christian Asselin de Beauville, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and F. Pagney, A. Bonneton, B. Dudon, and C. A. Pontikis

 
14B.4
Gulf surges: mean characteristics from 9 years of radiosonde data and NCEP real analyses

  2:45 PM
Central American cold surges and precipitation
Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN

  3:00 PM
Ocean model simulations of a gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec
Jon M. Schrage, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson, D. M. Schultz, and R. J. Machtmes

Poster PDF (234.7 kB)

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


14C
Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction III (Parallel with Sessions 14A, 14B, and 14D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Soon-Il An, International Pacific Research Center, Univ. of Hawaii

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Tropical air-sea feedbacks: model results and data analysis
Carol Anne Clayson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and A. Chen

  2:15 PM
Regulation of Tropical Deep Convection by SST and Wind Speed
Ian A. Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada

  2:30 PM
Sensitivity of a coupled single column model in the tropics to treatment of the interfacial parameterizations
Aidong Chen, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson and P. K. Chan

Poster PDF (516.6 kB)
  2:45 PM
Interaction Between Surface Heat Budgets, Sea Surface Temperature and Deep Convection in the Tropical Western Pacific
Shu-Hsien Chou, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. -. D. Chou and P. -. H. Lin

Poster PDF (15.0 kB)
  3:00 PM
Use of Granger causalities to examine air-sea feedbacks in the tropical equatorial Pacific Ocean
Brian Getzewich, Aerospace Corporation, El Segundo, CA; and C. A. Clayson

Poster PDF (529.9 kB)
  3:15 PM
Mesoscale air-sea interaction over the western Pacific warm pool simulated in an air-sea coupled model
Shaowu Bao, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and S. Raman


14D
Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction (Parallel with Sessions 14A, 14B, and 14C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: David S Nolan, NOAA/GFDL

Papers:
  2:15 PM
  2:30 PM
Hurricane Heat Potential Variability From In Situ and Radar Altimetry Measurements
Lynn K. Shay, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. D. Jacob, T. M. Cook, M. M. Mainelli, S. R. White, P. G. Black, G. J. Goni, and R. E. Cheney

Poster PDF (126.9 kB)
  2:45 PM
  3:00 PM
The upper ocean salinity response to tropical cyclones
Evan J. Robertson, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis

Poster PDF (183.9 kB)
  3:15 PM
Estimation of the drag coefficient in tropical cyclones using ocean response data
Vladimir Pudov, Institute of Experimental Meteorology, Obninsk, Russia; and I. Ginis and S. Petrichenko

3:30 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


15A
Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure IV (Parallel with Sessions 15B and 15D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Improvements to the NOAA Hurricane Research Division's Surface Reduction Algorithm for Inner Core Aircraft Flight-Level Winds
Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD and Univ. of Miami/CIAMS, Miami, FL; and M. D. Powell

  4:15 PM
Sensitivity study of HRD's H*WIND surface wind analyses for tropical cyclones
Samuel H. Houston, NOAA/NWS/WFO, Honolulu, HI; and M. D. Powell

Poster PDF (57.7 kB)
  4:30 PM
Low-level thermodynamic structure of hurricanes as seen with the GPS sonde
Gary Michael Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Wroe

Poster PDF (4.7 kB)
  4:45 PM
Development of the Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique (AODT) - Current progress and future directions
Timothy L. Olander, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. Velden and M. A. Turk

Poster PDF (21.8 kB)
  5:00 PM
Daily hurricane variability inferred from GOES infrared imagery
James P. Kossin, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
  5:15 PM
Regions of intense convection in the core of minimal tropical cyclones
Daniel E. Lipper, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


15B
Intraseasonal variability (Parallel with Sessions 15A and 15D)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Eric D. Maloney, NCAR

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Wave-Convection-Radiation Feedback in Madden-Julian Oscillation
Jialin Lin, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Zhang, T. Qian, R. D. Cess, B. E. Mapes, and M. Newman

Poster PDF (95.5 kB)
 
15B.2
Modeling intraseasonal variability with an aquaplanet GCM

  4:15 PM
Investigation of the MJO in the ECMWF model
Adrian M. Tompkins, ECMWF, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom; and T. Jung

  4:30 PM
Cloud Radiative Effects and Tropical Intraseasonal Variability
Sandrine Bony, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and K. A. Emanuel

 
15B.5
Equatorial Kelvin wave instability and the wind-evaporation feedback mechahism

  4:45 PM
MJO-like coherent structures in idealized aquaplanet simulations
Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
  5:00 PM

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


15D
Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction II (Parallel with Sessions 15A and 15B)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Lynn K. Shay, University of Miami/RSMAS

Papers:
  4:00 PM
  4:15 PM
Assimilating ocean satellite altimetry for hurricane intensification forecasts
Suzanna C. Barth, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. L. Leben and K. A. Emanuel

  4:30 PM
atmosphere-ocean modeling of hurricane Erin 2001
Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and E. Dunlap, Y. Hu, W. Li, Z. Long, B. Toulany, and P. Vachon

  4:45 PM
Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling in Tropical Cyclones
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, J. E. Tenerelli, and M. Donelan

  5:00 PM
Sensitivity of a coupled tropical cyclone/ocean wave simulation to different energy transfer schemes
Sharhdad A. Sajjadi, Center of Higher Learning, University of Southern Mississippi, Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, M. T. Bettencourt, and G. Mostovoi

Poster PDF (122.0 kB)
  5:15 PM
Numerical simulations of the hurricane directional wave spectra in the open ocean and at landfall
Isaac Ginis, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. J. Moon, T. Hara, E. J. Walsh, and H. Tolman

7:00 PM-7:00 PM: Thursday, 2 May 2002


Panel Discussion 1
Subtropical Hybrid Storms: Classification Issues and Warning Strategies
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Moderator: Chris Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD
Panelists: Mark Lander, University of Guam; Jeff Callaghan, Bureau of Meteorology; John Beven, NOAA/NHC; Gary Padgett, U.S. Air Force; David Roth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

Friday, 3 May 2002

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Friday, 3 May 2002


FRI 3 MAY

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 3 May 2002


16A
Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure V (Parallel with Sessions 16B and 16C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Typhoon Hunter 2001 In Japan
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Bessho

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
  8:45 AM
Application of Aerosondes to Understanding Hurricanes
Brenda Mulac, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland and J. Curry

  9:00 AM
High-resolution observations of the eyewall in an intense hurricane: Bret on 21–22 August 1999
Peter P. Dodge, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. L. Black, J. L. Franklin, J. F. Gamache, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Poster PDF (191.8 kB)
  9:15 AM
What are Annular Hurricanes?
John A. Knaff, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. P. Kossin and M. DeMaria

Poster PDF (493.9 kB)
  9:30 AM
An Improved VTD Algorithm to Resolve Circulations of a Wavenumber Two Tropical Cyclone
Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. R. Harasti and M. M. Bell

Poster PDF (240.5 kB)
  9:45 AM
POTENTIAL VORTICITY DIAGNOSIS OF A SIMULATED HURRICANE
Xingbao Wang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang

Poster PDF (312.3 kB)
  10:00 AM
An analysis of some tropical cyclone boundary layer wind observations
Jeffrey D. Kepert, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (91.4 kB)
  10:15 AM
Radar derived structures of tornadic mesocyclones from Tropical Cyclone (TC) Frances (1998) in Texas and Louisiana
Gandikota V. Rao, St. Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and J. W. Scheck and R. Edwards

Poster PDF (130.1 kB)

16C
Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction III (Parallel with Sessions 16A and 16B)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Suzanna C. Barth, Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Tropical storm intensity forecasts: potential improvements through inclusion of microwave SSTs
Chelle L. Gentemann, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz

  8:45 AM
The impact of oceanic heat content on hurricane intensity forecasts using the SHIPS model
Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and L. K. Shay

Poster PDF (21.0 kB)
  9:15 AM
upper ocean Heat Content and Energy Extracted by the storm: Analytical Look
Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn

Poster PDF (39.5 kB)
  9:30 AM
Surface Wave Effects on the Ocean Mixed Layer Response To Hurricane Bonnie
Thomas M. Cook, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, S. D. Jacob, C. W. Wright, P. G. Black, and E. W. Uhlhorn

Poster PDF (116.2 kB)
  9:45 AM
Tropical cyclone enthalpy and angular momentum fluxes
William D. Ramstrom, MIT, Cambridge, MA

http://wind.mit.edu/~ramstrom/flux/

Poster PDF (419.3 kB)
  10:00 AM
A Study of the Sustaining Mechanism of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Chen Lianshou, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng

Poster PDF (21.6 kB)
  10:15 AM
A numerical simulation of the landfall tropical cyclones
Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and J. C. L. Chan

Poster PDF (38.0 kB)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 3 May 2002


16B
Inraseasonal Variability II (Parallel with Sessions 16A and 16C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

Papers:
  9:00 AM
eastern Pacific Intraseasonal precipitation and SST variations in a GCM coupled to a slab ocean model
Eric D. Maloney, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Kiehl

http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/~maloney/som/som.html

Poster PDF (76.2 kB)
  9:15 AM
Intra-seasonal perturbation of the Convective Activity over the Indian Ocean and relation with the SST
Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and R. Roca

Poster PDF (26.2 kB)
  9:30 AM
Surface heat fluxes during the MJO and their effects on the oceanic mixed layer in the Tropical Eastern Hemisphere.
Crispian P. Batstone, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and A. J. Matthews and D. P. Stevens

Poster PDF (639.1 kB)
  9:45 AM
Sub-seasonal, seasonal and interannual variability of western Arabian Sea Surface Temperature
Gabriel A. Vecchi, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. E. Harrison and R. W. Reynolds

  10:00 AM
Mesoscale simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Indian and West Pacific Oceans
William I. Gustafson Jr., Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and B. C. Weare

  10:15 AM
Extratropical forcing of convectively coupled Kelvin waves
Katherine H. Straub, NOAA/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

Poster PDF (670.6 kB)

10:30 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 3 May 2002


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Friday, 3 May 2002


17A
Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure VI(Parallel with Sessions 17B and 17C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Kevin Walsh, CSIRO Atmospheric Research

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Numerical simulations of atmospheric boundary layer roll vortices in hurricane conditions
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Thomas and A. P. Khain

  11:15 AM
Observational Analysis of Buoyancy in Eyewalls of Intense Hurricanes
Matthew D. Eastin, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Poster PDF (97.9 kB)
  11:30 AM
A pilot meteorology-hydrology study for Typhoon Nari
Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Central Univ., Chung-Li, Taiwan; and C. S. Chen, P. L. Lin, and M. H. Li

  12:00 PM
Water recycling and water vapor transport in the vicinity of tropical cyclones from stable isotope ratios
James R. Lawrence, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and S. D. Gedzelman

Poster PDF (78.7 kB)
  12:15 PM
Meso-scale diagnosis of a torrential rainfall caused by a tropical depression
Hui Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and X. Liang and Y. Duan

Poster PDF (289.2 kB)

17B
Intraseasonal Variability III (Parallel with Sessions 17A and 17C)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Adrian M. Tompkins, ECMWF

Papers:
  11:15 AM
Evolution of mixed Rossby gravity waves in MJO type environments
Anantha R. Aiyyer, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari

Poster PDF (431.0 kB)
  11:30 AM
Intraseasonal variability over tropical Africa
Adrian J. Matthews, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom

http://envam1.env.uea.ac.uk/~e058/amstropmet2002.pdf

Poster PDF (207.3 kB)
  11:45 AM
  12:00 PM
  12:15 PM
Variability of MJO Associated with ENSO and the QBO
John D. Sheaffer, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO


17C
Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction IV (Parallel with Sessions 17A and 17B)
Sponsor: 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer: Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Real-Time Simulation of Hurricane Inner-Core Ocean Cooling as a Gauge for Intensity Change
Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione

  11:15 AM
Effects of entrainment closure on the oceanic mixed layer response during a tropical cyclone passage: A numerical investigation
S. Daniel Jacob, RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and G. R. Halliwell Jr.

Poster PDF (93.7 kB)
  11:30 AM
Barotropic waves generated by storms moving rapidly over shallow water
Doug Mercer, MSC and Dalhousie Univ., Halifax, NS, Canada; and J. Sheng, R. Greatbatch, and J. Bobanovic

Poster PDF (549.1 kB)
  11:45 AM
A minimal hurricane model with a coupled mixed layer ocean
Wolfgang Ulrich, Univ. of Munich, Munich, Germany

Poster PDF (34.2 kB)
  12:00 PM
Experimental Investigation of Air-Sea Transfer of Momentum and Enthalpy at High Wind Speed
Moshe Alamaro, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel, J. J. Colton, W. R. McGillis, and J. Edson

Poster PDF (332.3 kB)
  12:15 PM
Implementation of a coupled hurricane-land surface prediction system for improving hurricane prediction during landfall (Formerly Paper P1.10)
Weixing Shen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, S. Lord, N. Surgi, and K. E. Mitchell

12:30 PM-12:30 PM: Friday, 3 May 2002


Conference Ends