Monday, 29 April 2002
Spring to summer contrasted transitions in the West African monsoon
This poster presentation focuses on the spring to summer transition of
the West African monsoon through diagnostics from the NCEP/NCAR (USA)
reanalyses, 8 AGCM (ARPEGE-Climat, France) long-term simulations over
the period 1968-1998 and in-situ observations from the CRU (UK) dataset.
The selected NCEP variables are the monthly temperature, humidity,
geopotential and the 3 wind components on 11 standard isobaric levels in
the troposphere (1000hPa-100hPa), along with the radiative (long and
short wave) and heat (sensible and latent components) fluxes at the
surface and soil moisture (surface and deep reservoirs). These
atmospheric diagnostics refer mainly to the spring /summer transitions
occurring before the abnormally wet and dry July-September rainy seasons
using several simulated and observed rainfall indexes.
The results show that horizontal (mostly meridional) energy gradients in
the boundary layer control significantly the main spring to summer
changes in monsoon dynamics as tested with selected indicators in terms
of convergence/divergence of the humidity fluxes, vertical ascent,
shallow / deep convection partition and of course regional rainfall
indexes. The course of events can be summarized as follows:
1- At the beginning of spring, the Moist Static Energy (MSE) meridional
gradients are the strongest over the continent and are maintained by
sensible heating and cooling. Then they relax and the monsoon air mass
is transported northward into the continent.
2- These gradients are mainly controlled at regional scale by the
seasonal evolution of precipitation and soil moisture fields .
3- Before an abnormally wet (dry) rainy season, negative (positive)
rainfall and soil moisture anomalies are normally observed over
Sudan-Sahel: this maintains stronger than normal MSE and humidity
gradients between the Sahelian and Guinean areas in late spring
4- The MSE meridional gradients tend to be significantly stronger
(weaker) and to relax later (earlier) but more (less) intensely in
summer. This increase (decrease) monsoon dynamics as tested through the
aforementioned atmospheric indicators and rainfall indexes.
This could explain why, for improving rainfall predictions over West Africa, numerical simulations must prescribe an interactive (dynamical) soil moisture all along the time integration while statistical approaches have just to take into consideration the atmospheric MSE contents in spring.
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