25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 4D: Tropical Cyclone Prediction II (Parallel with Sessions 4A, 4B, & 4C)

Tuesday, 30 April 2002: 8:30 AM-10:30 AM
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Organizer:  Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
Papers:
  8:30 AM
4D.1
Track Forecasting of 2001 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Using a Kilo-Member Ensemble
Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

http://lamar.colostate.edu/~jvigh/ensembles/

Poster PDF (102.8 kB)
  8:45 AM
4D.2
Hurricane track and intensity prediction using a statistical ensemble of numerical models
Harry C. Weber, University of Munich, Munich, Germany

  9:00 AM
4D.3
Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones
K. Puri, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Barkmeijer, N. E. Davidson, and H. C. Weber

  9:15 AM
4D.4
Ensemble methods applied to hurricane track and intensity forecasting
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett and H. Liu

Poster PDF (248.8 kB)
  9:30 AM
4D.5
ASSIMILATION OF GPS DROPWINDSONDE DATA USING A VICBAR ENSEMBLE
Brian J. Etherton, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson

Poster PDF (177.6 kB)
  9:45 AM
4D.6
Tropical cyclone track predictability limits
Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Poster PDF (60.7 kB)
  10:00 AM
4D.7
Assessment of the Potential for Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the navy Global Models
Ted Dorics, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. L. Elsberry

Poster PDF (91.1 kB)
  10:15 AM
4D.8
Prospects for operational tropical cyclogenesis forecasting
Christopher C. Hennon, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Poster PDF (179.9 kB)
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