25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 2C: Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2B, and 2D)

Monday, 29 April 2002: 2:00 PM-3:30 PM
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Organizer:  Greg Holland, Aerosonde Ltd.
Papers:
  2:00 PM
2C.1
The use of GOES imagery in statistical hurricane intensity prediction
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and R. M. Zehr, J. P. Kossin, and J. A. Knaff

  2:15 PM
2C.2
The Effects of Vertical Wind Shear as Diagnosed by the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Data on Northeast Pacific Hurricane Intensity
Cynthia K. Palmer, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes

Poster PDF (11.1 kB)
  2:30 PM
2C.3
Estimating the probability of rapid intensification using the SHIPS model output: Some preliminary results
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria

  2:45 PM
2C.4
An analysis of the forecast performance of the GFDL model during Debby (2000)
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and S. Raman and R. S. Pasch

  3:00 PM
2C.5
Hurricane heat potential estimates from monthly versus seasonal temperature and salinity data
Sean R. White, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. M. Mainelli, S. D. Jacob, and L. K. Shay

Poster PDF (166.2 kB)
  3:15 PM
2C.6
Forecast skill of a simple coupled hurricane intensity prediction model
Fiona M. Horsfall, NOAA/AOML/NHC, Miami, FL; and K. A. Emanuel

Poster PDF (98.9 kB)
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