Monday, 29 April 2002
The ENSO signal in tropical tropospheric temperature
The authors address the interannual signal in the tropical mean
temperature of the free troposphere. This signal was shown by Soden to be
well simulated by a wide range of general circulation models, given
the observed sea surface temperature (SST) as a boundary condition.
This suggests that the mechanism by which SST anomalies are
communicated to the atmosphere might be understood simply as
moist convective adjustment. This in turn
suggests the hypothesis that the free tropospheric temperature
might be more sensitive to SST anomalies in regions of high mean SST
and frequent deep convection than anomalies in regions of low mean SST and
rare deep convection. However, it is shown that a time series of
interannual SST anomalies averaged over convective regions only is
very similar to the time series of total tropical mean SST anomalies,
and both are very similar to the time series of tropospheric
temperature anomalies (all for the period 1982-1998),
so that this hypothesis is not easily testable using observations.
Several atmospheric models are driven by observed SST fields for
the period 1982-1998: the Quasi-equilibrium Tropical Circulation
Model (QTCM) developed by Neelin and Zeng, a one-dimensional
reduced model derived from that model but making a number of additional
strong simplifying assumptions, and a zero-dimensional model
which simply assumes moist convective adjustment to the {\em tropical
mean} SST. All three models simulate the tropospheric temperature
signal fairly well. These and the observational results show that
the interannual tropospheric temperature signal is consistent with
moist convective adjustment, and that for purposes
of explaining this observed signal at a gross level
one need not consider subtleties
associated with changes in the distribution of SST (as opposed
to its mean value) because the histogram of SST shifts fairly
uniformly with interannual variability. There is, however, a slight
suggestion in both the observational and model results that changes
in the histogram shape may be significant for the tropospheric
temperature anomalies associated with the largest El Nino events,
and that in those events it is indeed the SST anomalies in the
convective regions which are most important in controlling the
tropospheric temperature.
Supplementary URL: http://www.columbia.edu/~ahs129/pubs.html