25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 3D: Tropical Cyclone Prediction (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3B, & 3C)

Monday, 29 April 2002: 4:00 PM-5:30 PM
Organizer:  Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC
Papers:
  4:00 PM
The Advancement of NCEP's Hurricane Prediction System: Present and Future
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan, Q. Liu, W. Shen, and S. Lord

  4:15 PM
NCEP Global Model Tropical Forecast Upgrades: Model Performance during the 2001 Hurricane Season
Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Liu, N. Surgi, and S. Lord

  4:30 PM
Use of the NCEP Global Ensemble for tropical cyclone track forecasting
Timothy P. Marchok, SAIC at NCEP/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and Z. Toth and Q. Liu

Poster PDF (221.7 kB)
  4:45 PM
Forecasting tropical cyclogenesis in the NCEP global model
Richard S. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. G. Jiing, F. M. Horsfall, H. L. Pan, and N. Surgi

Poster PDF (63.6 kB)
  5:00 PM
The Met Office 2002 global model upgrade and the expected impact on tropical cyclone forecasts
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and G. Greed

  5:15 PM
Landfall prediction of hurricanes/typhoons from the FSU superensemble
T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar, L. Stefanova, and J. Wood