The PSU/NCAR MM5 was used to simulate the evolution of pre-cyclone disturbances with trade-wind surges or cross-equatorial surges. The model simulation started at about 36-48 hours before JTWC issued the TCFA (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) and ran for 72 hours. Results showed that the evolution of the large-scale circulation pattern as well as the intensity and motion of the system were simulated reasonably well for three trade-wind surge cases and two cross-equatorial surge cases. These cases were further analyzed to investigate the role of the low-level momentum forcing in triggering tropical cyclogenesis. Results showed that the horizontal vorticity advection associated with the strong trade wind to the north of the system played a key role in triggering the tropical cyclogenesis. For the cross-equatorial surge cases, there existed two vortices during the formation stage. The merging of these two vortices might be a key feature leading to tropical cyclogenesis.
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