4A
New Techniques and Testbeds II

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Monday, 5 November 2012: 4:15 PM-5:45 PM
Symphony I (Loews Vanderbilt Hotel)
Host: 26th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Chair:  Andrew R. Dean, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK
Papers:
  4:15 PM
Profiling the Local Tornadic Environment
Steven Koch, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. Nelson, R. Ware, and S. Albers
  4:30 PM
Use of the NAM Model 1.33 km Movable Fire Weather Nest for Severe Weather Applications during the Spring of 2012
Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, A. R. Dean, E. Rogers, and G. J. DiMego
  4:45 PM
Assessment and prediction of seasonal tornado activity: A status update and application to the 2011 and 2012 warm seasons
Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and M. E. Baldwin and H. E. Brooks

  5:00 PM
A Method for Calibrating Deterministic Forecasts of Rare Events
Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS/SoM, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, V. Lakshmanan, and A. J. Clark
  5:15 PM
Associating Magnitudes of Severe Weather Diagnostic Variables with Severe Event Probabilities
Chad M. Shafer, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and M. W. Stanford, M. B. Richman, L. Leslie, C. A. Doswell III, and A. E. Mercer
  5:30 PM
A Tropical Cyclone Tornado Parameter (TCTP) for use in situational awareness forecasting
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and B. M. Hays and M. C. Link