P8
Evaluation of Model and Human Forecasts

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- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 7 November 2012: 3:00 PM-4:15 PM
Symphony III and Foyer (Loews Vanderbilt Hotel)
Host: 26th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Papers:
 
119
Tornado Warning Verification by Storm Environment
Yvette P. Richardson, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. R. Dean and A. Anderson-Frey
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

 
120
Relationships between Convective Mode and Tornado Warning Probability of Detection and Lead Time
Steven E. Nelson, NOAA/NWSFO, Peachtree City, GA; and J. A. Brotzge, R. L. Thompson, and B. T. Smith

 
123
Usefulness of Storm-Scale Model Guidance in SPC Fire Weather Events with Dry Thunder
Benjamin S. Herzog, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. J. Melick, J. S. Grams, I. L. Jirak, A. R. Dean, and S. J. Weiss
Manuscript (345.5 kB)

Handout (1.2 MB)

 
124
Probabilistic forecasts of severe convection with a WRF-DART analysis and convection-permitting forecast system
Logan C. Dawson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and G. Romine, S. Tessendorf, and C. S. Schwartz

 
125
Statistical analyses of convective updraughts using radar scans and model data
Kirsty E. Hanley, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and B. Plant, T. Stein, R. Hogan, J. Nicol, E. Carter, and H. W. Lean

 
126
Tracking the three-dimensional evolution of convective storms in radar observations and high-resolution models
Thorwald Hendrik Matthias Stein, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and K. E. Hanley, R. Hogan, R. S. Plant, E. Carter, H. W. Lean, J. Nicol, C. Halliwell, and A. Macallan

 
130
Evaluation of different ensemble configurations for the analysis and prediction of high-impact mesoscale convective systems
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and A. J. Clark

 
131
Skill of 1- and 4-km WRF-ARW Forecasts of Storm Mode and Motion
Michael VandenBerg, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Coniglio and A. J. Clark