Ensemble Techniques and Communication of Forecast Uncertainty

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Wednesday, 1 July 2015: 1:30 PM-3:30 PM
Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:  Alexander O. Tardy, Weather Forecast Office, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA and Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI

  1:45 PM
A Study from NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Extend Forecast
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. Peņa, D. Hou, X. Zhou, W. Li, and Q. Zhang
  2:00 PM
A New Method for the Characterization and Verification of Local Spatial Predictability for Convective Scale Ensembles
Seonaid R. A. Dey, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. Plant, N. Roberts, and S. Migliorini
  2:15 PM
  2:30 PM
NWS Efforts to Improve Forecasting and Messaging of Uncertainty
Eli Jacks, NOAA/NWS Forecast Services Division, Silver Spring, MD; and D. R. Novak
  2:45 PM
Verification Results from the Northeast Probabilistic Storm Total Snowfall Forecast Experiment During Winter of 2014-2015
David B. Radell, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and J. Watson, R. Watling, S. M. Zubrick, A. M. Cope, J. S. Tongue, and J. W. Dellicarpini
  3:00 PM