27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction

Program Chairs: Andrew L. Molthan , NASA/MSFC ; Sam Ng , Metropolitan State University of Denver

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Sunday, 28 June 2015

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 28 June 2015


Registration Opens
Location: Mobley Room (Hilton Chicago)

Monday, 29 June 2015

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015


Registration Continues Throughout the Conference
Location: Mobley Room (Hilton Chicago)

8:15 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 29 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 1A
Forecast Center Overviews and Model Developments I
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC; R., Bruce Telfeyan, Air Force Weather Agency
8:15 AM
Welcoming Remarks

9:00 AM
1A.2
The NCEP production suite; present and future
Hendrik Tolman, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD
9:15 AM
1A.3
Improvements in Forecast Skill of the NCEP Production Suite
Glenn H. White, EMC, College Park, MD; and A. Chawla, T. Dorian, J. Du, Y. Lin, G. Manikin, S. Saha, P. Shafran, V. Tallapragada, F. Yang, B. Zhou, and Y. Zhu
Recording files available
Session 1B
Mesoscale Meteorology and Severe Local Storms I: Derechoes and MPEX-Related Studies
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Steven M. Cavallo, University of Oklahoma; Adam J. Clark, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NSSL/NOAA
8:15 AM
Welcoming Remarks

9:00 AM
1B.3
The Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX): Overview and Results from a Realtime Ensemble-Based Forecast System
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO ; and G. Romine, C. Schwartz, K. Manning, and C. Evans
9:15 AM
1B.4
The Influence of Assimilating Targeted Observations upon Ensemble Forecasts of Convection Initiation
Alexandra M. Keclik, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, P. J. Roebber, G. Romine, and R. D. Torn
9:30 AM
1B.5
Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization's Control on Ensemble Forecasts of Convection Initiation
Bryan M. Burlingame, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, P. J. Roebber, G. Romine, and R. D. Torn

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 29 June 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Pre-Function Space (Hilton Chicago)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 2A
Forecast Center Overviews and Model Developments II
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Jonathan Porter, AccuWeather, Inc; R., Bruce Telfeyan, Air Force Weather Agency
10:30 AM
2A.1
Ongoing Development of the Hourly-Updated Version of the NAM Forecast System
Jacob R. Carley, I.M. Systems Group Inc./NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and E. Rogers, B. S. Ferrier, E. Aligo, W. S. Wu, S. Liu, M. Pyle, X. Zhang, and G. DiMego
10:45 AM
2A.2
The 2015 Operational Upgrades to the Rapid Refresh (RAP) and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, D. C. Dowell, M. Hu, T. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, J. Kenyon, G. Grell, E. P. James, J. M. Brown, and H. Lin
11:15 AM
2A.4
Mesoscale Modeling Development at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction: Near-term plans and future evolution into a high-resolution convective-allowing ensemble system
Eric Rogers, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and G. DiMego, E. Aligo, J. Carley, J. Du, B. Ferrier, Z. Janjic, G. Manikin, M. Pyle, W. S. Wu, S. G. Benjamin, C. Alexander, and M. Hu
11:30 AM
2A.5
Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) system at NCEP: recent development and future transition
Jun Du, EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and G. DiMego, D. Jovic, B. Ferrier, B. Yang, and B. Zhou
11:45 AM
2A.6
The 2015 Upgrade of NCEP's Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, X. Zhou, R. Wobus, J. Peng, Y. Luo, and B. Cui
Recording files available
Session 2B
Mesoscale Meteorology and Severe Local Storms II: Case Studies
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Shawn M. Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Steven M. Cavallo, University of Oklahoma
10:30 AM
2B.1
Origin of Vertical Vorticity in Misocyclones along a Tornadic Narrow Cold Frontal Rainband in the United Kingdom
Kelsey Mulder, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom; and D. M. Schultz
10:45 AM
2B.2A
An Examination of Significant Tornadoes Across the High Plains
Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver, Denver, CO; and T. Croan
11:00 AM
2B.3
Radar analysis of St. Louis urban thunderstorm initiation
Luke Bard, Illinois State Water Survey/Prairie Research Institute/University of Illinois, Champaign, IL; and D. A. R. Kristovich and L. A. Stoecker
11:30 AM
2B.5

12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 1
NOAA Model Development Forum
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Moderator: Hendrik L. Tolman, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 3A
Forecast Center Overviews and Model Developments III
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Jonathan Porter, AccuWeather, Inc; R., Bruce Telfeyan, Air Force Weather Agency
2:00 PM
3A.2
557th Weather Wing -- Delivering Decision Superiority to the Warfighter
Jeffrey G. Cunningham, United States Air Force, Offutt AFB, NE; and C. S. Wohlwend

2:15 PM
3A.3
2:30 PM
3A.4
Overview of the Navy's Coupled Mesoscale Modeling System
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, S. Chen, S. Gabersek, T. Haack, E. A. Hendricks, R. M. Hodur, T. Holt, X. Hong, Q. Jiang, H. Jin, Y. Jin, W. Komaromi, J. Moskaitis, J. Nachamkin, P. A. Reinecke, J. Schmidt, D. Tyndall, K. Viner, S. Wang, and L. Xu
2:45 PM
3A.5A
Evaluation of NCEP Atmospheric Models for Driving Air Quality Prediction
Jeff McQueen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. Huang, P. Shafran, E. Rogers, M. Pondeca, G. DiMego, and I. Stajner
3:00 PM
3A.6
The National Earth System Prediction Capability Program
Jessie C. Carman, OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and D. P. Eleuterio, D. McCarren, F. Toepfer, S. Sandgathe, K. Lutz, and K. Keith
3:15 PM
3A.7
Overview of The Weather Company's Principal Forecasting Methodologies
Peter P. Neilley, The Weather Company, Atlanta, GA; and B. Rose, J. P. Koval, T. Hutchinson, P. Bayer, J. McDonald, J. Mathews, W. Cassanova, D. Eck, N. McGillis, S. Tanner, and E. Floehr
Recording files available
Session 3B
Mesoscale Meteorology and Severe Local Storms III: Longer-Term Studies
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Shawn M. Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Adam J. Clark, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NSSL/NOAA
1:30 PM
3B.1
Real-Time Evaluation of Extended Guidance Produced by a Global Convection-Permitting Model
William C. Skamarock, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. J. Wicker, A. J. Clark, J. B. Klemp, and S. Cavallo
1:45 PM
3B.2
A Modeling Study of a Low-Level Jet Along the Yun-Gui Plateau in South China
Hong-Bo Liu, LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and M. Y. He, B. Wang, and D. L. Zhang
2:15 PM
3B.4
Applications for a CONUS-wide Multi-Radar, Multi-Sensor Database
Kiel L. Ortega, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and J. Correia Jr. and T. M. Smith
3:00 PM
3B.7
3:15 PM
3B.8

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hilton Chicago

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 29 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 4A
Forecast Center Overviews and Model Developments IV
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado; Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver
4:30 PM
4A.2
Physics upgrades to NWS wave modeling systems
Arun Chawla, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and H. Alves, A. Van der Westhuysen, R. Padilla, R. Grumbine, D. Spindler, Y. Chao, and V. Gerald
4:45 PM
4A.3
Challenges and Opportunities in Modeling of the Global Atmosphere
Zavisa Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and R. Vasic
5:00 PM
4A.4
Enhanced multi-model ensembles with the ESRL FIM-HYCOM coupled model at both NWP and subseasonal forecast time scales
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun, R. Bleck, H. Li, G. Grell, J. Brown, I. Jankov, and J. W. Bao
5:15 PM
4A.5
Evaluating Computational Performance for the Weather Service's Next Generation Global Prediction System
John Michalakes, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. W. Govett, R. Benson, T. Black, M. Duda, T. Henderson, P. Madden, G. Mozdzynski, P. A. Reinecke, W. C. Skamarock, and R. Vasic
5:30 PM
4A.6
Are Numerical Weather Prediction Models Getting Better?
Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Ovens
Recording files available
Session 4B
Tropical Weather
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC
4:00 PM
4B.1
Seasonal Influences Upon and Long-Term Trends in the Length of the Atlantic Hurricane Season
Juliana M. Karloski, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans
4:15 PM
4B.2
4:45 PM
4B.4
Examining Tropical Cyclone – MJO Interactions using Adjoint Diagnostics
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Doyle and X. Hong
5:00 PM
4B.5
Convective initiation sensitivity to the presence of an oceanic barrier layer
Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Schmidt, M. Flatau, J. G. Richman, and T. Jensen
5:15 PM
4B.6

Tuesday, 30 June 2015

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 5A
Advances in the Assimilation of Observations I
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Bradley T. Zavodsky, NASA/MSFC; Daryl T. Kleist, University of Maryland
8:15 AM
5A.2
8:30 AM
5A.3
Investigating the Impact of RapidSCAT in the GEOS-5 Data Assimilation System
Will McCarty, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and O. Reale, S. Bloom, M. Cordero-Fuentes, E. McGrath-Spangler, and D. Merkova
8:45 AM
5A.4
9:15 AM
5A.6
On the Impact of UAS Observations on High-Resolution Mesoscale Forecasts
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. D. Flagg, T. Holt, C. Amerault, D. Geiszler, T. Haack, J. Nachamkin, P. Pauley, and D. Tyndall
9:30 AM
5A.7
The Assimilation of Smartphone Pressures for Mesoscale Prediction
Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. E. Madaus and C. McNicholas
9:45 AM
5A.8
Connected Vehicles: Filling in the Observation Gap for Data Assimilation
Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Lee, S. D. Drobot, G. Weiner, P. A. Pisano, and L. Sturges
Recording files available
Session 5B
Winter Weather: Recent Storms and Lake-Effect Snowfall
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University; Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver
8:15 AM
5B.2
A Comparison of the Winters of 2013-2014 and 2014-2015
Eyad H. Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. Gyakum
8:30 AM
5B.3
A look at deterministic model behavior for the 2015 month of BIG snows in the Northeast
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, M. Fiorino, J. M. Brown, and B. D. Jamison
9:30 AM
5B.7
Short Range Probabilistic Winter Precipitation Forecasts at the Weather Prediction Center - Verification and Myth-Busting!
Anthony R. Fracasso, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and K. F. Brill, M. Bodner, and D. Novak

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hilton Chicago

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 6B
Winter Weather and Heavy Precipitation Events
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University
10:30 AM
6B.1
11:00 AM
6B.3
Discrimination between winter precipitation types based on spectral-bin microphysical modeling
Heather D. Reeves, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Ryzhkov and J. Krause
11:15 AM
6B.4
Atmospheric rivers and the connection to heavy rainfall events in the southeastern U.S. compared to the U.S. West Coast
Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. L. Jackson, G. Wick, M. Hughes, P. J. Neiman, E. Sukovich, L. Darby, R. Cifelli, and A. B. White
11:45 AM
6B.6
A High Resolution Ensemble-Based Investigation into the Long Island Flash Flood on 13 August 2014
Philippe P. Papin, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. P. Bassill, B. J. Moore, R. D. Torn, and L. F. Bosart

10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 6A
Advances in the Assimilation of Observations II
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah; Will McCarty, NASA/GSFC
10:30 AM
6A.1
10:45 AM
6A.2
The Impact of Supplemental Observations on the Intensity and Structure of Tropical Cyclones in the NCEP Hybrid GSI Scheme
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. T. Kleist, S. J. Majumdar, and K. L. Howard
11:00 AM
6A.3
Hurricane Initialization in HWRF model
Qingfu Liu, EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Zhang, M. Tong, V. Tallapragada, and F. Weng
11:15 AM
6A.4
Assimilation of SEVIRI Radiance Data in NCEP NAMRR System
Xiaoyan Zhang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Collard, J. Carley, and G. DiMego
11:30 AM
6A.5
Observation space localization for assimilation of satellite radiances
Lili Lei, University of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker
11:45 AM
6A.6
12:00 PM
AMS President Dr. Sandy MacDonald

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015

Recording files available
Session 7A
Data Assimilation Techniques
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Will McCarty, NASA/GSFC; Bradley T. Zavodsky, NASA/MSFC
1:30 PM
7A.1
2:00 PM
7A.3
Hybrid 4D EnVar for the NCEP GFS: Implementation plans and potential for outer loops
Daryl T. Kleist, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. B. Mahajan, C. Thomas, J. C. Derber, and R. Treadon
2:15 PM
7A.4
Time-Expanded Sampling for Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation Applied to Conventional and Satellite Observations
Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Q. Xu, Y. Jin, J. McLay, and C. Reynolds

Handout (5.4 MB)

2:30 PM
7A.5
Comparison of 3-km analyses and forecasts from WRF-LETKF and WRF-EAKF ensembles
Corey K. Potvin, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier, L. J. Wicker, and T. E. Ladwig
3:00 PM
7A.7
Initial Test of GSI 3DVAR-Ensemble Hybrid Data Assimilation for Rapid Refresh with Regional Ensembles
Ming Hu, NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and S. Weygandt, D. C. Dowell, S. G. Benjamin, J. Whitaker, and C. R. Alexander
Recording files available
Session 7B
Evolving Role of the Forecaster
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University; Gail Hartfield, NOAA/NWS
1:30 PM
7B.1A
1:45 PM
7B.2
Research to Operations in the Hazardous Weather Testbed: The Long View
John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, A. J. Clark, and M. C. Coniglio
2:00 PM
7B.3
Overview of the 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Adam J. Clark, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NSSL/NOAA, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, A. R. Dean, K. H. Knopfmeier, J. Correia Jr., B. L. Twiest, C. J. Melick, G. W. Carbin, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, and M. Xue
2:15 PM
7B.4
Progress Over the Last Decade in the Development and Use of Convection-Allowing Models in Operational Severe Weather Prediction
Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, M. C. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, M. Pyle, E. Rogers, B. Ferrier, E. Aligo, J. R. Carley, G. DiMego, S. G. Benjamin, C. R. Alexander, and M. Weisman
2:30 PM
7B.5
A Human Over the Loop Forecast Paradigm at The Weather Company (TWC)
Bruce Rose, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and D. Eck, L. Brown, A. Tupaj, J. Lidrbauch, P. Bayer, L. Merritt, and D. Winn
2:45 PM
Discussion

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 June 2015


Joint Poster Session 1
Poster Session I
Location: Salon A-3 & A-4 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
2
Towards the improvement of surface forecasting in the NCEP GFS
Helin Wei, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. Ek, J. Meng, and W. Zheng

3
Tropical Cyclogenesis Composites in the NCEP GFS Model
John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and T. B. Kimberlain, M. J. Brennan, and A. B. Penny

6
Assimilation of GOES-R ABI satellite and WSR-88D radar observations during a convection-resolving OSSE
Rebecca M. Cintineo, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin, T. A. Jones, S. Koch, L. J. Wicker, and D. J. Stensrud

7
Multi-Scale Data Assimilation of the June 13, 2010 Tornadic Supercell Storm Environment
Therese Ladwig, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Global Sciences Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. Romine, D. C. Dowell, L. J. Wicker, and X. Wang

8
Reconstruction of Gaps in Flow Series Using Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and Multi-channel SSA (M-SSA)
Kübra Agaç, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey; and Baydaro and K. Koçak

Handout (1.3 MB)

9
Value of Assimilating TAMDAR Observations
Brian P. Reen, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD; and R. E. Dumais Jr.

10
Assimilating infrared brightness temperatures using an ensemble data assimilation system and a cloud-dependent bias correction scheme
Jason Otkin, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and A. Perianez, A. Schomburg, F. Harnisch, R. Faulwetter, H. Reich, C. Schraff, and R. Potthast

Poster 12 has been moved. New paper number 2B.2A

14
Cross Season Memory of Ocean-Atmosphere System
Zhiyuan Liu, Tokio Marine Technologies, Duluth, GA
Manuscript (602.8 kB)

Wednesday, 1 July 2015

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 8A
Data Assimilation Studies and Methods at Regional to Global Scales
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS; Will McCarty, NASA/GSFC
8:00 AM
8A.1
Advancing the GSD Cloud and Precipitation Hydrometeor Analysis Towards Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation
Therese Ladwig, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Global Sciences Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Hu, S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, C. Alexander, and D. C. Dowell
8:15 AM
8A.2
8:30 AM
8A.3
9:15 AM
8A.6
Assimilation of Observations into a NAVGEM Global Analysis and Multiple COAMPS Limited Area Analyses by a Single Data Assimilation Process
Michael A. Herrera, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Bishop, T. R. Holt, K. W. Hoppel, D. D. Kuhl, S. Rainwater, I. Szunyogh, Q. Zhao, and A. Brainard
9:30 AM
8A.7
Recording files available
Session 8B
New Ensemble Generation and Probabilistic Forecasting Techniques I
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Adam J. Clark, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NSSL/NOAA; Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER
8:00 AM
8B.1
Exploring probabilistic precipitation and hydrologic forecasts for a flash flood event
Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Gochis, W. Yu, and K. Sampson
8:15 AM
8B.2
Generating Skillful and Reliable Probabilistic Forecasts for Locally Extreme Rainfall
Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher
8:45 AM
8B.4
Progress in storm-scale ensemble forecast system design at NCAR
Glen Romine, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Schwartz, R. A. Sobash, and K. Fossell
9:15 AM
8B.6
Using storm surrogates to produce probabilistic severe weather forecasts from an EnKF-based ensemble forecasting system
Ryan A. Sobash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. S. Romine, M. L. Weisman, C. S. Schwartz, and K. R. Fossell
9:45 AM
8B.8
Butterflies and Bow Echoes
John Lawson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and M. J. Krocak

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hilton Chicago

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 9A
Modeling at Increased Spatial and Temporal Resolution I
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Steven Albers, NOAA/ERL/GSD; Bradley T. Zavodsky, NASA/MSFC
9A.1 has been moved. New paper number is 3A.5A

10:30 AM
9A.2
Tropical Cyclone Simulations Using Adaptive Mesh Refinement
Eric A. Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Kopera and F. X. Giraldo
11:00 AM
9A.4
Variable-Resolution Tropical Cyclone Prediction using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS)
C. A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Skamarock, D. Ahijevych, and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
11:30 AM
9A.6
Description of the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for ensembles
Kent H. Knopfmeier, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. M. Wheatley, T. A. Jones, C. D. Karstens, and G. J. Creager
11:45 AM
9A.7
Storm-scale data assimilation and ensemble forecasting with the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for ensembles
Dustan M. Wheatley, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. H. Knopfmeier, T. A. Jones, and G. J. Creager
Recording files available
Session 9B
New Ensemble Generation and Probabilistic Forecasting Techniques II
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: David B. Radell, NOAA/NWS; Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver
10:30 AM
9B.1
Investigating a New Stochastic Physics Suite for Use in the NCEP Global Ensemble
Walter Kolczynski Jr., EMC, College Park, MD; and P. Pegion, T. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, D. Hou, Y. Zhu, and X. Zhou
11:15 AM
9B.4
Representing model uncertainty in the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)
Philip Pegion, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. Whitaker, T. Hamill, and W. Kolczynski Jr.
11:30 AM
9B.5
11:45 AM
9B.6
12:00 PM
AMS President Dr. Sandy MacDonald

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 10A
Ensemble Techniques and Communication of Forecast Uncertainty
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS; Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University
1:45 PM
10A.2
A Study from NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System Extend Forecast
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. Peña, D. Hou, X. Zhou, W. Li, and Q. Zhang
2:00 PM
10A.3
A New Method for the Characterization and Verification of Local Spatial Predictability for Convective Scale Ensembles
Seonaid R. A. Dey, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. Plant, N. Roberts, and S. Migliorini
2:15 PM
10A.4
2:30 PM
10A.5
NWS Efforts to Improve Forecasting and Messaging of Uncertainty
Eli Jacks, NOAA/NWS Forecast Services Division, Silver Spring, MD; and D. R. Novak
2:45 PM
10A.6
Verification Results from the Northeast Probabilistic Storm Total Snowfall Forecast Experiment During Winter of 2014-2015
David B. Radell, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and J. Watson, R. Watling, S. M. Zubrick, A. M. Cope, J. S. Tongue, and J. W. Dellicarpini
3:00 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Session 10B
Modeling at Increased Spatial and Temporal Resolution II
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Bradley T. Zavodsky, NASA/MSFC; Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC
1:30 PM
10B.1
What are the benefits for convection of increasing the horizontal resolution of convection permitting NWP models?
Humphrey W. Lean, Met Office, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and K. E. Hanley, J. Nicol, and C. Halliwell
2:15 PM
10B.4
Sensitivity of Simulated Sea Breezes to Initial Conditions
Kelly Lombardo, University of Connecticut, Groton, CT; and E. Sinksy, Y. Jia, M. Whitney, and J. B. Edson
2:45 PM
10B.6
3:00 PM
10B.7

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 1 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 11A
Dynamics of Mid and High-Latitude Weather
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Gail Hartfield, NOAA/NWS; Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver
4:30 PM
11A.3
4:45 PM
11A.4
5:00 PM
11A.5
Sensitivity and Predictability of High-Impact Extratropical Cyclones
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, C. Amerault, and P. A. Reinecke
5:15 PM
11A.6
Object and Process Verification in MPAS-A of Tropopause Polar Vortices
Nicholas Szapiro, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo and W. C. Skamarock
Recording files available
Session 11B
New or Improved Parameterizations
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER; Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD
4:30 PM
11B.3
Improving Near-Surface Temperature Forecasts in the NCEP Global Forecast System
Weizhong Zheng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, H. Wei, and J. Meng
4:45 PM
11B.4
Recent Improvements in Subgrid-Scale Cloud Paramaterizations in the Rapid Refresh and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh
Jaymes Kenyon, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, J. M. Brown, G. Thompson, G. Grell, and S. R. Freitas
5:15 PM
11B.6

Thursday, 2 July 2015

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 2 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 12A
Forecast Verification Methods and Performance I: Model Evaluation
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Jennifer E. Tate, North Carolina State University; Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS
8:00 AM
12A.1
Using Initial State and Forecast Temporal Variability to Evaluate Model Behavior
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. A. Satterfield and C. H. Bishop
8:30 AM
12A.3
8:45 AM
12A.4
An Overview of Grid-to-Grid Verification at Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) of NCEP
Binbin Zhou, EMC, College Park, MD; and P. Shafran, Y. Lin, F. Yang, Y. Zhu, Y. Mao, and G. DiMago
9:00 AM
12A.5
9:15 AM
12A.6
9:30 AM
12A.7
Verification for the High Impact Weather Prediction Project (HIWPP) and other verification work to support model development within ESRL/GSD
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Hamilton, X. Wei, W. R. Moninger, B. Strong, and T. Schneider
9:45 AM
12A.8
Use of User-Defined Metrics for Evaluating Solar Forecasts
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. E. Haupt, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, J. H. Gotway, J. Prestopnik, J. K. Lazo, and S. D. Drobot

Recording files available
Session 12B
Model Development and Application
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Jordan C. Alpert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Jonathan Porter, AccuWeather, Inc
8:15 AM
12B.2
Impacts of physics, resolution and nesting on hurricane simulation with regional NMMB
Bin Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and W. Wang, S. Trahan, Z. Zhang, Q. Liu, L. Zhu, J. Sippel, D. Sheinin, K. Wu, and V. Tallapragada
9:00 AM
12B.5
Improving High-Resolution Weather Forecasts using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model with an Improved Kain-Fritsch Scheme
Yue Zheng, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. Alapaty, J. A. Herwehe, A. Del Genio, and D. Niyogi
9:15 AM
12B.6
The use of HWRF ensemble versus global ensemble in GSI hybrid analysis for inner-core data assimilation
Mingjing Tong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and S. Trahan, V. Tallapragada, and Z. Zhang
9:30 AM
12B.7
0-6 hour Weather Forecast Guidance at The Weather Company
Todd Hutchinson, The Weather Company, Andover, MA; and J. Matthews, R. Turkington, S. Honey, P. Bayer, and J. P. Koval
9:45 AM
12B.8
1 - 15 Day Weather Forecast Guidance at The Weather Company
Joseph P. Koval, The Weather Company, Atlanta, GA; and B. Rose, P. Neilley, P. Bayer, J. McDonald, B. Cassanova, D. Winn, E. Yang, and J. Celenza

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 2 July 2015


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 2 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 13A
Forecast Verification Methods and Performance II: Precipitation and Microphysics
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory; Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS
10:30 AM
13A.1
10:45 AM
13A.2
Predictability of Precipitation in the Southeast United States, Part I: Verification and Categorization
Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI; and G. Lackmann, J. E. Tate, K. Mahoney, T. E. Workoff, and T. M. Hamill
11:00 AM
13A.3
Recording files available
Session 13B
Regional Climate Downscaling Approaches and Short-Range Climate Prediction
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Bradley T. Zavodsky, NASA/MSFC; David Beachler, NOAA/NWSFO
10:30 AM
13B.1
11:00 AM
13B.3
11:45 AM
13B.6
Statistical Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Climatology
Chia-Ying Lee, Columbia University, New York, NY; and M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, and S. J. Camargo

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 2 July 2015


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 2 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 14A
Forecast Verification Methods and Performance III: Tropical Cyclones and Verification Tools
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer E. Tate, North Carolina State University
1:30 PM
14A.1
An Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Forecast Skill in the GEFS Reforecast Version 2
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and W. W. Li and M. Peng
1:45 PM
14A.2
Benchmarking progress towards the HFIP goals – results from HFIP Demos
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, E. Gilleland, P. A. Kucera, L. B. Nance, and K. M. Newman
2:00 PM
14A.3
Examination of GFS Medium-Range Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts in the North Atlantic (2012–2014)
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, Y. H. Kuo, W. Wang, and X. Fang
2:15 PM
14A.4
Evaluation of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts by the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, V. Tallapragada, and L. R. Bernardet
2:45 PM
14A.6
Recent Advancements to the Model Evaluation Tools from the Developmental Testbed Center
John E. Halley Gotway, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Bullock, M. K. Biswas, T. L. Jensen, J. Prestopnik, T. L. Fowler, and B. G. Brown
3:00 PM
14A.7
Web-based Verification Capability using NCEP's Verification Database and DTC's METviewer
Perry Shafran, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and T. L. Jensen, J. H. Gotway, B. Zhou, K. Nevins, Y. Lin, and G. DiMego
3:15 PM
14A.8
Innovative Extensions of Current Verification Capabilities in the Model Evaluations Tools
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, R. Bullock, J. Prestopnik, T. Fowler, B. G. Brown, H. Shao, K. M. Newman, and S. E. Haupt

Recording files available
Session 14B
Post-THORPEX Legacy Research and Activities of Similar Campaigns
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL; Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
1:30 PM
14B.1
US Post-THORPEX Research Program
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. J. Majumdar
1:45 PM
Discussion

2:00 PM
14B.2
New Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts Generation
Bo Cui, IMSG at EMC/NCEP, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu and G. Hong
2:15 PM
14B.3
NAEFS Anomaly Forecast for Extreme Weather Events
Hong Guan, Systems Research Group Inc./EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, Y. Luo, and B. Cui
2:30 PM
14B.4
Seamless Precipitation Prediction Skill in the Tropics and Extratropics
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and H. Zhu, M. C. Wheeler, D. Hudson, and F. Vitart
2:45 PM
14B.5
An Investigation of the Dynamics of Forecast Uncertainty in Global Atmospheric Model Forecasts
Michael A. Herrera, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. Gyarmati, I. Szunyogh, C. F. Loeser, and J. Tribbia
3:00 PM
14B.6
The impact of space-based wind measurements on high-impact weather forecasting
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and B. Gentry, B. B. Demoz, S. Zhang, and L. Zhang
3:15 PM
14B.7

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 2 July 2015


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 2 July 2015


Joint Poster Session 2
Poster Session II
Location: Salon A-3 & A-4 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC; Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University of Denver
Poster 16 will be presented as paper 7B.1A as well

18
The Results of the Field Evaluation of NDBC's Prototype Self-Contained Ocean Observations Payload (SCOOP)
Richard H. Bouchard, NOAA/NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS; and R. V. Hervey, W. McCall, R. Beets, M. D. Robbie, C. Wills, J. Tancredi, M. Vasquez, and S. DiNapoli

Handout (3.8 MB)

21
Forecasting of Soil Water Content using Support Vector Regression with the Purpose of Agricultural Drought
Toprak Aslan, ITU = Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey; and Baydaroglu, K. Koçak, and L. Saylan

22
North American Rapid Refresh Ensemble (NARRE)-Preliminary Configuration
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and M. Hu, T. Smirnova, J. Beck, S. Gregory, C. Alexander, T. E. Workoff, F. Barthold, J. M. Brown, and S. Benjamin

23
Use of Stochastic Physics Approach in North American Rapid Refresh Ensemble (NARRE)
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and J. Beck, T. Smirnova, G. Grell, S. Freitas, J. B. Olson, J. Brown, S. Benjamin, and J. Berner

25
Development of a near-real-time GOES-based satellite verification and forecaster guidance system for the HRRR model
Jason A. Otkin, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. Sieglaff, S. Griffin, L. M. Cronce, and C. Alexander

Handout (5.9 MB)

26
The Self-Aggregation of Convection in Idealized Numerical Simulations using Different Cumulus Parameterizations
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, Y. H. Kuo, W. Wang, and D. A. Ahijevych

Handout (5.6 MB)

27
Observation impact on forecast error of binary interacted typhoons TEMBIN (201214) and BOLAVEN (201215)
Sung-Min Kim, YONSEI University, SEOUL, South Korea; and H. M. Kim

Poster 29 will be presented as paper 10B.5A as well

32
An Overview of CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast for the 2015 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Fanyou Kong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, Y. Jung, K. Brewster, K. Thomas, Y. Wang, F. Shen, A. Clark, I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, J. Correia Jr., and C. J. Melick
Manuscript (2.1 MB)

Handout (958.3 kB)

35
The Use of Vertical Cross Sections in Physics Development for Convection-Allowing Scale NAM Nests
Eric Aligo, EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA and I.M. Systems Group, Inc., College Park, MD; and B. Ferrier, E. Rogers, J. Carley, and G. DiMego

Friday, 3 July 2015

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 3 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 15A
Contributions in Numerical Weather Prediction I
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: David B. Radell, NOAA/NWS; Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS
8:30 AM
15A.3
The impact of varying the radiation parameterization and adding a partial cloudiness scheme to Hurricane WRF
Ligia R. Bernardet, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. Thompson, C. Holt, and M. K. Biswas
8:45 AM
15A.4
Impact of two-way interactive nesting on high-resolution hurricane simulations
Weiguo Wang, NOAA, College Park, MD; and B. Liu, S. Trahan, Z. Zhang, L. Zhu, and V. Tallapragada
9:15 AM
15A.6
Tropical Cyclones in the non-hydrostatic GFDL HiRAM
Jan-Huey Chen, NOAA/GFDL, UCAR, Princeton, NJ; and S. J. Lin
9:45 AM
15A.8
WRF Inversion Base Height Ensembles for Simulating California Summertime Marine Boundary Layer Clouds
Xiaohui Zhong, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and J. Kleissl

Recording files available
Session 15B
Testbed, Proving Ground, and Research-to-Operations Activities
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA; Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University
8:15 AM
15B.2
Using the High-Resolution NSSL-WRF Ensemble to Provide Hazard Guidance
Burkely L. Twiest, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Clark, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, and S. R. Dembek
9:00 AM
15B.5
An update on CIRA's Proving Ground efforts as we approach the launch of GOES-R
Edward J. Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State Univ. and NOAA/Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and D. Bikos, R. Brummer, H. Gosden, D. T. Lindsey, D. A. Molenar, D. W. Hillger, S. D. Miller, and C. J. Seaman
9:15 AM
15B.6
Use and Assessment of Multi-Spectral Satellite Imagery in NWS Operational Forecasting Environments
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and K. K. Fuell, G. T. Stano, K. M. McGrath, L. A. Schultz, and A. LeRoy
9:30 AM
15B.7
9:45 AM
15B.8
Testbed Activities at the U.S. Army Dugway Proving Ground
John C. Pace, U.S Army, Dugway Proving Ground, Dugway, UT; and D. Zajic, E. Vernon, F. W. Gallagher III, and B. P. Reen

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 3 July 2015


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:30 PM: Friday, 3 July 2015

Recording files available
Session 16A
Contributions in Numerical Weather Prediction II
Location: Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University; Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS
10:45 AM
16A.2
Solar Energy Nowcasting Case Studies Near Sacramento
Jared A. Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. E. Haupt, P. A. Jimenez, T. C. McCandless, M. A. Rogers, and S. D. Miller
11:00 AM
16A.3
Air-Sea Interaction and Moist Static Energy Budget in COAMPS Extended-Range Simulations during DYNAMO
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, J. D. Doyle, P. May, S. Chen, M. K. Flatau, and L. W. O'Neill
11:15 AM
16A.4
11:45 AM
16A.6
Coupled Mesoscale-LES Modeling of a Diurnal Cycle with a Nocturnal Low-level Jet: the Wangara Case Study
Patrick Hawbecker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and N. Y. Lu, S. Basu, B. Kosovic, and L. Manuel
12:00 PM
Concluding Remarks

Recording files available
Session 16B
Forecasting Tools
Location: Salon A-5 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs: Matthew Friedlein, NOAA/NWS; David Beachler, NOAA/NWSFO
10:30 AM
16B.1
On the synoptic-scale makings of the most extreme warm-season precipitation events
Shawn M. Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and J. R. Gyakum and E. H. Atallah
11:15 AM
16B.4
Applications of Earth Remote Sensing Data for Severe Weather and Disaster Assessment
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. E. Burks, L. A. Schultz, K. Angle, J. P. Camp, K. M. McGrath, and J. R. Bell
11:45 AM
16B.6
A Review of Wind and Wave Measurements from a NOAA Buoy during the Provincetown IV Ferry Incident of August 13, 2014
Richard H. Bouchard, NOAA/NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS; and S. Cucullu, J. W. Dellicarpini, G. Field, P. C. Liu, A. V. Babanin, W. E. Rogers, D. W. Wang, G. Z. Forristall, and R. Beets

Handout (2.6 MB)

12:00 PM
Concluding Remarks

12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Friday, 3 July 2015


Conference Ends