Session 14A Forecast Verification Methods and Performance III: Tropical Cyclones and Verification Tools

Thursday, 2 July 2015: 1:30 PM-3:30 PM
Salon A-2 (Hilton Chicago)
Host: 27th Conference On Weather Analysis And Forecasting/23rd Conference On Numerical Weather Prediction
Cochairs:
Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS, Weather Forecast Office, San Diego, CA and Jennifer E. Tate, North Carolina State University, Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, Raleigh, NC

Papers:
1:30 PM
14A.1
An Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Forecast Skill in the GEFS Reforecast Version 2
Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and W. W. Li and M. Peng
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
14A.2
Benchmarking progress towards the HFIP goals – results from HFIP Demos
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, E. Gilleland, P. A. Kucera, L. B. Nance, and K. M. Newman
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
14A.3
Examination of GFS Medium-Range Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts in the North Atlantic (2012–2014)
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, Y. H. Kuo, W. Wang, and X. Fang
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
14A.4
Evaluation of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts by the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, V. Tallapragada, and L. R. Bernardet
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
14A.5
Diagnosis of Kinetic Energy Error Growth in the NCEP GFS Model during the 2012 Hurricane Season
Xingqin Fang, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. H. Kuo
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
14A.6
Recent Advancements to the Model Evaluation Tools from the Developmental Testbed Center
John E. Halley Gotway, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Bullock, M. K. Biswas, T. L. Jensen, J. Prestopnik, T. L. Fowler, and B. G. Brown
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
14A.7
Web-based Verification Capability using NCEP's Verification Database and DTC's METviewer
Perry Shafran, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and T. L. Jensen, J. H. Gotway, B. Zhou, K. Nevins, Y. Lin, and G. DiMego
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
14A.8
Innovative Extensions of Current Verification Capabilities in the Model Evaluations Tools
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, R. Bullock, J. Prestopnik, T. Fowler, B. G. Brown, H. Shao, K. M. Newman, and S. E. Haupt

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