Session 3A Prediction

Monday, 22 October 2018: 2:00 PM-3:30 PM
Pinnacle C (Stoweflake Mountain Resort )
Host: 29th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Chair:
Nusrat Yussouf, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

Papers:
2:00 PM
3A.1
The 2018 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Adam Clark, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, B. T. Gallo, S. J. Weiss, L. J. Wicker, S. R. Dembek, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, K. H. Knopfmeier, G. J. Creager, K. Brewster, Y. Jung, B. Roberts, G. Romine, C. Alexander, X. Wang, A. Johnson, L. Harris, C. Zhang, M. J. Morin, S. J. Lin, R. M. Hepper, T. A. Supinie, and A. R. Dean
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3A.2
Evidence of Progress: Precipitation Forecasts from the Warn-on-Forecast Ensemble System
John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, N. Yussouf, D. C. Dowell, D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier, and T. A. Jones
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3A.3
Inter-model Storm-scale Comparisons from the 2017 Spring Forecasting Experiment
Corey K. Potvin, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Carley, A. J. Clark, L. J. Wicker, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, B. T. Gallo, and J. S. Kain
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3A.4
Ensemble Sensitivity-Based Subsetting Overview and Evaluation Activities at the 2018 NOAA HWT
Brian C. Ancell, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and A. A. Coleman, A. J. Hill, and C. C. Weiss
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3A.5
Examining the Use of the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensembles for the Prediction of Severe Storms Through Short-Term Forecast Outlooks During the 2018 Spring Forecasting Experiment
Jessica J. Choate, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Clark, B. T. Gallo, E. Grimes, P. L. Heinselman, P. Skinner, and K. A. Wilson
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3A.6
Further Development of the Static Background Error Covariance for Direct Assimilation of Radar Reflectivity Within GSI Based Hybrid EnVar System to Improve Convection-allowing Hazardous Weather Forecast: Experiments in HRRR and WoF Contexts
X. Wang, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Wang
Recorded Presentation

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