Joint Poster Session 1 WAF/NWP Poster Session I

Tuesday, 5 June 2018: 4:00 PM-5:30 PM
Aspen Ballroom (Grand Hyatt Denver)
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; and the 25th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Chair:
Christopher D. McCray, McGill University, Montréal, QC

Papers:
1
The Occurrences of Significant Tornadoes Across the High Plains Under Favorable Synoptic Conditions
Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University, Denver, CO; and T. K. Croan

2
The Effects of Differential Friction on PBL Kinematics and Possible Influences on Tornadoes and CI
Timothy A. Coleman, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and A. M. Weigel

3
Climatology of High-Impact Supercells over Northeastern Wyoming and Western South Dakota
Keith D. Sherburn, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD; and M. J. Bunkers

4
Research and Operational Challenges Posed by the 18 November 2017 High-Shear/Low-CAPE QLCS Tornado Outbreak in North Alabama
Anthony W. Lyza, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp

5
A Recent Climatological Look at Tornado Events Relative to Sunset
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and G. R. Herman, J. M. Peters, and R. S. Schumacher

6
Dynamical Insights into Extreme Short-Term Precipitation Associated with Supercells and Mesovortices
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

7
Research on Atmospheric Conditions supporting MCSs over East China in Summer
Liu Zhang, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

8
Analysis of Back-Building of a Simulated MCS in an Environment with a Low Level Stable Layer
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

9
An Investigation of the Conditional Practical Predictability of the 31 May 2013 Heavy-Rain–Producing Mesoscale Convective System
Aidan R. Kuroski, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans

10
Analysis of Convectively Generated Gravity Waves in the 14-15 July 2015 Mesoscale Convective System During PECAN
Faith P. Groff, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and R. Adams-Selin

11
Evaluation of HAILCAST during NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiments using Multiple Verification Metrics
Rebecca Adams-Selin, NOAA; and A. Clark, C. Melick, S. R. Dembek, I. L. Jirak, and C. Ziegler

12
Impact of Increased Resolution on Storm-Scale Ensemble Performance in the US Southeast
John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin

13
Improving NWS Convection-Allowing Hazardous Weather Ensemble Forecasts through Optimizing Multi-Scale Initial Condition (IC) Perturbations
Aaron Johnson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang

14
Enhancing Storm-Scale 1-h Probabilistic Low-Level Rotation Forecasts through Machine Learning
Montgomery L. Flora, University of Oklahoma, CIMMS, NSSL/NOAA, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, A. McGovern, and P. S. Skinner

15
Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts Using the Model for Prediction across Scales
Ryan A. Sobash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Schwartz

16
How Well Can a Climate Model Simulate an Extreme Precipitation Event: a Case Study using Transpose-AMIP Experiment
Jian LI, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and H. Chen

17
New Data for Old Storms: Can New, Convection-Allowing Ensemble Simulations of Historic Storms Help Minimize Present-Day Flood Risk?
Kelly Mahoney, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and C. McColl, B. D. Kappel, and D. M. Hultstrand

18
The Impact of Microphysics Schemes in Convection-Allowing Simulations of Banded Snowfall
Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI; and P. N. Schumacher, J. T. Radford, and G. M. Lackmann

19
Multiscale Frontal Circulations during the 6–8 January 2014 Lake-Effect Snow Event: Understanding their Superposition and Predictability using Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts
W. Massey Bartolini, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Minder, C. S. Schwartz, D. Keyser, and R. D. Torn

20
The Weather Prediction Center Day 8-10 Forecast Experiment: Development and Utilization of Forecast Tools
William S. Lamberson, IMSG, College Park, MD; and M. J. Bodner, S. Ganetis, J. Kastman, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

21
Assessing the Subseasonal Predictability of PV Streamer Activity compared to Tropical Cyclone activity using the Navy Earth System Model
Philippe P. Papin, NRC/NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Reynolds and M. A. Janiga

22
Verification of Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasts of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones.
Nicholas Leonardo, Stony Brook University - SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle

23
Using the Big Weather Web Ensemble to Examine Systemic Biases in WRF-model Parameterizations
Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and K. Tyle

Handout (62.2 MB)

24
Using SURFRAD and CERES Datasets to Evaluate Physics Parameterizations
Michelle Harrold, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Zhang, J. K. Wolff, L. Bernardet, and J. K. Henderson

25
The Model Evaluation Tools (MET): Recent Additions and Enhancements
John E. Halley Gotway, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, R. Bullock, H. Soh, and J. Prestopnik

26
Development of an Adaptive Ensemble Technique
Tyler J. Wixtrom, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

27
Dependence of Model Performance on Vertical Resolution for Operational Prediction
Haixia Mei, Jiangsu Institute of Meteorological Science, Nanjing, China; and X. Z. Liang, M. Zeng, C. Sun, Y. Li, and Q. Li

28
Diagnosis of the Radiation Fluxes in Grapes-GFS and Related Improvements

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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