Session 3D Numerical Modeling I: TC Initialization, Sensitivity and Predictability Studies

Monday, 16 April 2012: 1:30 PM-3:45 PM
Masters E (Sawgrass Marriott)
Sponsor: 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

**Indicates paper is being considered for the Max Eaton Student Prize**

Chair:
Ryan Torn, SUNY / Univ. at Albany, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY
Papers:
  1:30 PM
3D.1
Effects of Parameterized Diffusion on Simulated Hurricanes
Richard Rotunno, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. H. Bryan

Recorded Presentation

  1:45 PM
3D.2
Choosing a boundary-layer parameterisation for tropical cyclone modelling
Jeffrey D. Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (539.0 kB)

  2:00 PM
3D.3
The use of gamma distributions for characterizing cloud hydrometeor size distributions in hurricane models: Uncertainties and implications
Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and T. L. Hsieh and M. Freer

Recorded Presentation

  2:15 PM
3D.4
Sensitivity of the NOAA Hurricane Research and Forecasting Model (HWRF) to Horizontal and Vertical Diffusion
J. W. Bao, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Gopalakrishnan, S. A. Michelson, F. D. Marks Jr., and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded Presentation

  2:30 PM
3D.5
Community Support and Testing of the Hurricane WRF model at the Developmental Testbed Center
Ligia Bernardet, OAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Bao, T. Brown, M. K. Biswas, D. Stark, and L. Carson

http://dtcenter.org/HurrWRF

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (312.7 kB)

  2:45 PM
3D.6
Tropical Cyclone Prediction: Initial Condition Sensitivity
Richard M. Hodur, SAIC, Medford, OR; and J. D. Doyle, C. S. Liou, and K. D. Sashegyi

Recorded Presentation

  3:00 PM
3D.7
Impacts of Turbulence Length Scales on Numerical Forecasts of Hurricane Earl (2010)
Yongsheng Chen, York Univ., Toronto, ON, Canada; and S. Kurkute

Recorded Presentation

  3:15 PM
3D.8
Understanding Hurricane Intensity Predictability Limits and Model Error Using two Different Ensemble Techniques
Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Recorded Presentation

  3:30 PM
16B.6
Storm-Centered Assimilation using an Ensemble Kalman Filter
Erika L. Navarro, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim

Recorded Presentation

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