Session 6A PREDICT II

Tuesday, 17 April 2012: 10:30 AM-12:30 PM
Champions DE (Sawgrass Marriott)
Sponsor: 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

**Indicates paper is being considered for the Max Eaton Student Prize**

Chair:
Christopher Davis, NCAR, MMM, Boulder, CO
Papers:
  10:30 AM
6A.1
**Large-Scale Influences on the Genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010)**
Kyle S. Griffin, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (830.1 kB)

  10:45 AM
6A.2
Predictability studies of genesis and non-genesis using global model ensembles
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Komaromi

Recorded Presentation

  11:00 AM
6A.3
Predictability and dynamics of the genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010)
Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and X. Zhou and D. Tao

Recorded Presentation

  11:15 AM
6A.4
The sensitivity of pre-genesis forecasts of Hurricanes Danielle and Karl (2010) to pouch and environmental initial conditions
Ryan Torn, SUNY / Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and D. Cook

Recorded Presentation

  11:30 AM
6A.5
**A Numerical Model Study about the Impacts of Dry Air on Tropical Cyclone Formation**
Cody L. Fritz, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1.1 MB)

  11:45 AM
6A.6
Lagrangian coherent structures in developing and nondeveloping disturbances
Blake Rutherford, NWRA, Redmond, WA; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded Presentation

  12:00 PM
6A.7
Central American Gyres, Tropical Cyclones, and Heavy Rainfall
Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. S. Griffin and P. P. Papin

Recorded Presentation

  12:15 PM
6A.8
**A numerical study of rotating convection during tropical cyclogenesis**
Gerard Kilroy, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith

Manuscript (249.0 kB)

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